메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 154, Issue 5, 1999, Pages 510-520

Variation thresholds for extinction and their implications for conservation strategies

Author keywords

Extinction risk; Process error; Stochastic population models

Indexed keywords

ECOLOGICAL MODELING; EXTINCTION RISK; POPULATION DYNAMICS; POPULATION GROWTH; RESOURCE MANAGEMENT; THRESHOLD; TIME SERIES ANALYSIS;

EID: 0033385397     PISSN: 00030147     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1086/303262     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (24)

References (39)
  • 2
    • 0027340050 scopus 로고
    • Chaos reduces species extinction by amplifying local population noise
    • Allen, J. C., W. M. Schaffer, and D. Rosko. 1993. Chaos reduces species extinction by amplifying local population noise. Nature (London) 364:229-232.
    • (1993) Nature (London) , vol.364 , pp. 229-232
    • Allen, J.C.1    Schaffer, W.M.2    Rosko, D.3
  • 3
    • 0005510494 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Tools for conservation planning: General principles for reserve network design in an uncertain world
    • In press
    • Andelman, S., W. Pagan, F. Davis, and B. Pressey. In press. Tools for conservation planning: general principles for reserve network design in an uncertain world. BioScience.
    • BioScience
    • Andelman, S.1    Pagan, W.2    Davis, F.3    Pressey, B.4
  • 5
    • 0024909255 scopus 로고
    • Population dynamics of magpie geese in relation to rainfall and density: Implications for harvest models in fluctuating environments
    • Bayliss, P. 1989. Population dynamics of magpie geese in relation to rainfall and density: implications for harvest models in fluctuating environments. Journal of Applied Ecology 26:913-924.
    • (1989) Journal of Applied Ecology , vol.26 , pp. 913-924
    • Bayliss, P.1
  • 7
    • 0031872298 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On the use of demographic models of population viability in endangered species management
    • Beissinger, S. R., and M. I. Westphal. 1998. On the use of demographic models of population viability in endangered species management. Journal of Wildlife Management 62:821-841.
    • (1998) Journal of Wildlife Management , vol.62 , pp. 821-841
    • Beissinger, S.R.1    Westphal, M.I.2
  • 10
    • 0030772558 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Metapopulation extinction in fragmented landscapes: Using bacteria and protozoa communities as model ecosystems
    • Burkey, T. V. 1998. Metapopulation extinction in fragmented landscapes: using bacteria and protozoa communities as model ecosystems. American Naturalist 150: 568-591.
    • (1998) American Naturalist , vol.150 , pp. 568-591
    • Burkey, T.V.1
  • 11
    • 0023467688 scopus 로고
    • A stage-based population model for loggerhead sea turtles and implications for conservation
    • Grouse, D. T., L. B. Crowder, and H. Caswell. 1987. A stage-based population model for loggerhead sea turtles and implications for conservation. Ecology 68:1412-1423.
    • (1987) Ecology , vol.68 , pp. 1412-1423
    • Grouse, D.T.1    Crowder, L.B.2    Caswell, H.3
  • 12
    • 0014380680 scopus 로고
    • Spreading of risk and stabilization of animal numbers
    • den Boer, P. J. 1968. Spreading of risk and stabilization of animal numbers. Acta Biotheoretica 18:165-194.
    • (1968) Acta Biotheoretica , vol.18 , pp. 165-194
    • Den Boer, P.J.1
  • 13
    • 0026015808 scopus 로고
    • Estimation of growth and extinction parameters for endangered species
    • Dennis, B., P. L. Munholland, and J. M. Scott. 1991. Estimation of growth and extinction parameters for endangered species. Ecological Monographs 61:115-143.
    • (1991) Ecological Monographs , vol.61 , pp. 115-143
    • Dennis, B.1    Munholland, P.L.2    Scott, J.M.3
  • 14
    • 0032742353 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Weak influences of initial conditions on metapopulation extinction times
    • In press
    • Fagan, W. F. In press. Weak influences of initial conditions on metapopulation extinction times. Ecological Applications.
    • Ecological Applications
    • Fagan, W.F.1
  • 15
    • 0026289858 scopus 로고
    • Single species metapopulation dynamics: Concepts, models, and observations
    • Hanski, I., and M. Gilpin. 1991. Single species metapopulation dynamics: concepts, models, and observations. Biological Journal of the Linnean Society 42:17-38.
    • (1991) Biological Journal of the Linnean Society , vol.42 , pp. 17-38
    • Hanski, I.1    Gilpin, M.2
  • 18
    • 0027331845 scopus 로고
    • Risks of population extinction from demographic and environmental stochasticity and random catastrophes
    • Lande, R. 1993. Risks of population extinction from demographic and environmental stochasticity and random catastrophes. American Naturalist 142:911-927
    • (1993) American Naturalist , vol.142 , pp. 911-927
    • Lande, R.1
  • 20
    • 0000763494 scopus 로고
    • More time means more variation
    • Lawton, J. H. 1988. More time means more variation. Nature (London) 334:563.
    • (1988) Nature (London) , vol.334 , pp. 563
    • Lawton, J.H.1
  • 21
    • 0019412796 scopus 로고
    • The average lifetime of a population in a varying environment
    • Leigh, E.G., Jr. 1981. The average lifetime of a population in a varying environment. Journal of Theoretical Biology 90:213-239.
    • (1981) Journal of Theoretical Biology , vol.90 , pp. 213-239
    • Leigh E.G., Jr.1
  • 23
    • 0027500059 scopus 로고
    • A simple, direct method for finding persistence times of populations and application to conservation problems
    • Mangel, M., and C. Tier. 1993. A simple, direct method for finding persistence times of populations and application to conservation problems. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the USA 90:1083-1086.
    • (1993) Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the USA , vol.90 , pp. 1083-1086
    • Mangel, M.1    Tier, C.2
  • 24
    • 0028079093 scopus 로고
    • Four facts every conservation biologist should know about persistence
    • -. 1994. Four facts every conservation biologist should know about persistence. Ecology 75:607-614.
    • (1994) Ecology , vol.75 , pp. 607-614
  • 27
    • 0034035822 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Will observation error and biases ruin the use of simple extinction models?
    • in press
    • Meir, E., and W. F. Fagan. 2000. Will observation error and biases ruin the use of simple extinction models? Conservation Biology (in press).
    • (2000) Conservation Biology
    • Meir, E.1    Fagan, W.F.2
  • 28
    • 0030616830 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Population persistence time: Estimates, models, and mechanisms
    • Middleton, D. A. J., and R. M. Nisbet. 1997. Population persistence time: estimates, models, and mechanisms. Ecological Applications 7:107-117.
    • (1997) Ecological Applications , vol.7 , pp. 107-117
    • Middleton, D.A.J.1    Nisbet, R.M.2
  • 31
    • 0030389934 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting the outcome of competition using experimental data: Maximum likelihood and bayesian approaches
    • Pascual, M. A., and P. Kareiva. 1996. Predicting the outcome of competition using experimental data: maximum likelihood and Bayesian approaches. Ecology 77: 337-349.
    • (1996) Ecology , vol.77 , pp. 337-349
    • Pascual, M.A.1    Kareiva, P.2
  • 32
    • 0030856627 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The influence of model structure on conclusions about the viability and harvesting of Serengeti wildebeest
    • Pascual, M. A., P. Kareiva, and R. Hilborn. 1997. The influence of model structure on conclusions about the viability and harvesting of Serengeti wildebeest. Conservation Biology 11:966-976.
    • (1997) Conservation Biology , vol.11 , pp. 966-976
    • Pascual, M.A.1    Kareiva, P.2    Hilborn, R.3
  • 33
    • 0028794263 scopus 로고
    • ALEX: A population viability analysis model for spatially structured populations
    • Possingham, H. P., and I. Davies. 1995. ALEX: A population viability analysis model for spatially structured populations. Biological Conservation 73:143-150.
    • (1995) Biological Conservation , vol.73 , pp. 143-150
    • Possingham, H.P.1    Davies, I.2
  • 35
    • 0031945365 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Environmental stochasticity and extinction risk in a population of a small songbird, the great tit
    • Saether, B. E., S. Engen, A. Islam, R. McCleery, and C. Perrins. 1998. Environmental stochasticity and extinction risk in a population of a small songbird, the great tit. American Naturalist 151:441-450.
    • (1998) American Naturalist , vol.151 , pp. 441-450
    • Saether, B.E.1    Engen, S.2    Islam, A.3    McCleery, R.4    Perrins, C.5
  • 36
    • 0000905848 scopus 로고
    • Minimum population sizes for conservation
    • Shaffer, M. L. 1981. Minimum population sizes for conservation. BioScience 31:131-134.
    • (1981) BioScience , vol.31 , pp. 131-134
    • Shaffer, M.L.1
  • 39
    • 0142036494 scopus 로고
    • Stochastic community theory: A partially guided tour
    • Turelli, M. 1986. Stochastic community theory: a partially guided tour. Lecture Notes in Biomathematics 17: 321-329.
    • (1986) Lecture Notes in Biomathematics , vol.17 , pp. 321-329
    • Turelli, M.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.