Total system performance assessment for waste disposal using a logic tree approach

Risk Analysis

Volumn 19, Issue 5, 1999, Pages 915-931

  Kessler, John H ^a   McGuire, Robin K ^b  

^a ELECTRIC POWER RESEARCH INSTITUTE   (United States)

^b Risk Engineering Inc   (United States)

Author keywords

Climate; Corrosion; Expert judgment; Groundwater; High level radioactive waste; Hydrothermal; Infiltration; Logic tree; Monte Carlo; Percolation; Performance assessment; Repository; Yucca Mountain

Indexed keywords

HIGH-LEVEL RADIOACTIVE WASTE MANAGEMENT; LOGIC TREE METHOD; PERFORMANCE ASSESSMENTS;

DECISION THEORY; ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT; ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION; GEOLOGICAL REPOSITORIES; GROUNDWATER POLLUTION; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; MONTE CARLO METHODS; PROBABILITY; RISK ASSESSMENT; TREES (MATHEMATICS);

RADIOACTIVE WASTE DISPOSAL;

GROUND WATER; RADIOACTIVE MATERIAL;

METHODOLOGY; MODELING; PERFORMANCE ASSESSMENT; WASTE DISPOSAL;

DATA ANALYSIS; DECISION MAKING; MODEL; RADIATION DOSE; RADIOACTIVE WASTE DISPOSAL; REVIEW; SYSTEM ANALYSIS; UNITED STATES; WATER CONTAMINATION;

GEOLOGY; HUMANS; LOGISTIC MODELS; MONTE CARLO METHOD; NEVADA; RADIOACTIVE WASTE; RISK ASSESSMENT; WASTE MANAGEMENT; WATER POLLUTANTS, RADIOACTIVE;

EID: 0033212847     PISSN: 02724332     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1023/A:1007018611145     Document Type: Review

References (21)

1. D. L. Owen, "The Use of Influence Diagrams in Structuring Complex Decision Problems," in Proceedings, Second Lawrence Symposium on Systems and Decision Sciences (1978), pp. 765-771.
2. R. A. Howard and J. E. Matheson, "Influence Diagrams," in Proceedings, Second Lawrence Symposium on Systems and Decision Sciences (1978), pp. 721-762.
3. H. Raiffa and R. Schlaifer, Applied Statistical Decision Theory (MIT Press, Cambridge Massachusetts, 1968).
4. H. Raiffa, Decision Analysis (Addison-Wesley, Reading, Massachusetts, 1968).
5. R. L. Keeney and D. von Winterfeldt, "Probabilities are Useful to Quantify Expert Judgments," Reliability Eng. Syst. Safety 23, 293-298 (1988).
6. Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities, Probabilities of Large Earthquakes in the San Francisco Bay Region, California, USGS Circular 1053 (1990).
7. Pacific Gas and Electric Company, Long-Term Seismic Program Final Report (San Francisco, 1990).
8. Electric Power Research Institute, Seismic Hazard Methodology for the Central and Eastern United States, Technical Report EPRI NP-4726 (Electric Power Research Institute, Palo Alto, California, 1988).
9. Risk Engineering. Inc., Demonstration of a Risk-Based Approach to High-Level Waste Repository Evaluation, Technical Report EPRI NP-7057 (Electric Power Research Institute, Palo Alto, California, 1990).
10. Risk Engineering, Inc., Demonstration of a Risk-Based Approach to High-Level Waste Repository Evaluation: Phase 2, EPRI TR-100384 (Electric Power Research Institute, Palo Alto, California, 1992).
11. J. H. Kessler and R. L. Yang, Health and Safety Standard for Yucca Mountain, EPRI TR-104012 (Electric Power Research Institute, Palo Alto, California, 1994).
12. J. H. Kessler, R. K. McGuire, J. A. Vlasity, A. Long, S. Childs, B. Ross, F. W. Schwartz, D. B. Bullen, M. J. Apted, W. Zhou, E. Sudicky, G. M. Smith, K. J. Coppersmith, J. M. Kemeny, and M. F. Sheridan, Yucca Mountain Total System Performance Assessment, Phase 3, EPRI TR-107191 (Electric Power Research Institute, Palo Alto, California 1996).
13. Committee on Technical Bases for Yucca Mountain Standards, Technical Bases for Yucca Mountain Standards (National Academy Press, Washington, D.C., 1995).
14. BIOMOVS II Reference Biospheres Working Group, Development of a Reference Biospheres Methodology for Radioactive Waste Disposal (BIOMOVS II Technical Report 6, BIOMOVS II Steering Committee, available through the Swedish Radiation Protection Institute, 1996).
15. TRW Environmental Safety Systems, Inc., Total System Performance Assessment-1995: An Evaluation of the Potential Yucca Mountain Repository, Report B00000000-0717-2200-00136, Rev. 01 (Civilian Radioactive Waste Management System Management and Operating Contractor, Las Vegas, Nevada, 1995).
16. U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, NRC Iterative Performance Assessment Phase 2, NUREG-1464 (U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, Washington, D.C., 1995).
17. G. M. Smith, B. M. Watkins, R. H. Little, H. M. Jones, and A. M. Mortimer, Biosphere Modeling and Dose Assessment for Yucca Mountain, EPRI TR-107190 (Electric Power Research Institute, Palo Alto, California, 1996).
18. J. H. Kessler, R. K. McGuire, and J. A. Vlasity, "Allocating Performance Using a 'Hazard Index' approach," in Proceedings of the Eighth International High Level Radioactive Waste Management Conference (Las Vegas, Nevada, 1998), pp. 438-440.
19. Risk Engineering, Inc., Comparison of EPRI and Sandia Performance Assessment Assumptions (TRW Environmental Safety Systems, Inc., Vienna, Virginia 1994).
20. B. J. Garrick, Public comment at the Advisory Committee on Nuclear Waste public meeting on the use of Total System Performance Assessment for Yucca Mountain, San Antonio, Texas, 23-24 July 1997.
21. C. Whipple, R. Budnitz, R. Ewing, D. Moeller, J. Payer, and P. Witherspoon, Peer Review of the Total System Performance Assessment - Viability Assessment: Third Interim Report (June 1998).