Uncertainty in comparative risk analysis for threatened Australian plant species

Risk Analysis

Volumn 19, Issue 4, 1999, Pages 585-598

  Burgman, Mark A ^a   Keith, David A ^b   Walshe, Terry V ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF MELBOURNE   (Australia)

^b NSW National Parks and Wildlife Service   (Australia)

Author keywords

Conservation; IUCN; Risk; Rule sets; Threatened plants; Uncertainty

Indexed keywords

CONSERVATION; ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION; LAWS AND LEGISLATION; NATURAL RESOURCES; PLANTS (BOTANY); RISK MANAGEMENT; STATISTICAL METHODS;

COMPARATIVE RISK ANALYSIS; POINT SCORING; RULE SETS; THREATENED PLANTS; UNCERTAINTY;

RISK ASSESSMENT;

ENDANGERED SPECIES; PLANT; RISK ASSESSMENT; UNCERTAINTY ROLE;

ARTICLE; AUSTRALIA; ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION; NONHUMAN; PLANT; RISK ASSESSMENT; SPECIES;

AUSTRALIA;

EID: 0033178101     PISSN: 02724332     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.1999.tb00430.x     Document Type: Article

References (31)

1. "Intergovernmental Agreement on the Environment," Commonwealth of Australia, Canberra. (1992).
2. "National Forest Policy Statement: A New Focus for Australia's Forests," Commonwealth of Australia, Canberra, (1992).
3. J. S. Gray, "Statistics and the Precautionary Principle," Marine Pollution Bull. 21, 174-176 (1990).
4. R. M. Peterman, "The Importance of Reporting Statistical Power: The Forest Decline and Acidic Deposition Example," Ecology 71, 2024-2027 (1990).
5. World Conservation and Monitoring Centre, Global Biodiversity: Status of the Earth's Living Resources (Chapman and Hall, London, 1992).
6. M. S. Boyce, "Population Viability Analysis," Annu. Rev. Ecol. Syst. 23, 481-506 (1992).
7. International Union for the Conservation of Nature, Red List Categories (IUCN Species Survival Commission, Gland, Switzerland, 1994).
8. G. M. Mace and R. Lande, "Assessing Extinction Threats: Towards a Re-evaluation of IUCN Threatened Species Categories," Conservation Biol. 5, 148-157 (1991).
9. B. A. Millsap, J. A. Gore, D. E. Runde, and S. I. Cerulean, "Setting the priorities for the conservation of fish and wildlife species in Florida. Wildlife Monographs Supplement," J. Wildlife Management 54, 5-57 (1990).
10. J. Molloy and A. Davis, Setting Priorities for Conservation of New Zealand's Threatened Plants and Animals (Department of Conservation, Te Papa Atawhai, Wellington, New Zealand, 1992).
11. Australian Nature Conservation Agency, "On the Brink," Newsl. Endangered Species Program 8, 8-13 (1996).
12. J. D. Briggs and J. H. Leigh, Rare or Threatened Australian Plants, Special Publication No. 14 (Australian National Parks and Wildlife Service, Canberra, 1988).
13. J. H. Leigh and J. D. Briggs, Rare or Threatened Australian Plants (CSIRO, Canberra, 1996).
14. D. A. Keith, J. M. Chalson, and T. D. Auld, "Assessing the Status of Threatened Plants: A New Methodology and an Application to the Vascular Flora of New South Wales," Unpublished report, NSW NPWS (1997).
15. D. A. Keith, "An Evaluation and Modification of World Conservation Union Red List Criteria for Classification of Extinction Risk in Vascular Plants," Conservation Biol. 12, 1076-1090 (1998).
16. D. Lunney, A. Curtin, D. Ayers, H. G. Cogger, and C. R. Dickman, "An Ecological Approach to Identifying the Endangered Fauna of New South Wales," Pacific Conservation Biol. 2, 212-231 (1996).
17. A. Burbidge and A. Brown, "Setting the Priorities for the Conservation of Western Australia's Threatened Plants and Animals," WATSCU Discussion Paper No. 3 (Department of Conservation and Land Management, Western Australia, 1993).
18. Department of Conservation and Land Management, "Policy Statement No. 50: Setting Priorities for the Conservation of Western Australia's Threatened Flora and Fauna" (1994).
19. Flora Advisory Committee; Native Higher Plant Taxa Which Are Rare or Threatened in Tasmania, First Edition (Species at Risk, Tasmania - Flora) (Parks & Wildlife Service, Tasmania; 1994).
20. M. B. Thomas and W. J. F. McDonald, Rare and Threatened Plants of Queensland, 2nd ed. (Department of Primary Industries, Queensland Government, Brisbane 1989).
21. S. McIntyre, "Risks Associated with the Setting of Conservation Priorities from Rare Plant Lists," Biol. Conservation 60, 31-37 (1991).
22. S. J. Holt, "Categorisation of Threats to and Status of Wild Populations," in R. Fitter and M. Fitter (eds.), The Road to Extinction (IUCN/UNEP, IUCN, Gland, 1987), pp. 19-30.
23. H. R. Akçakaya, "Population Viability Analysis and Risk Assessment," Proceedings of Wildlife 2001: Populations (Elsevier, Amsterdam, 1992).
24. M. A. Burgman, S. Ferson, and H. R. Akçakaya, Risk Assessment in Conservation Biology (Chapman and Hall, London, 1993).
25. M. A. Burgman, D. A. Keith, F. J. Rohlf, and C. R. Todd, "Probabilistic Classification Rules for Threatened Species," Biol. Conservation 89, 227-231 (1999).
26. C. R. Todd and M. A. Burgman, "The Assessment of Threat and Conservation Priorities Under Realistic Levels of Uncertainty," Conservation Biol. 12, 966-974 (1998).
27. G. Alefeld and J. Herzberger, Introduction to Interval Calculations (Academic Press, New York, 1983).
28. F. A. Seiler and J. L. Alvarez, "On the Selection of Distributions for Stochastic Variables," Risk Analysis 16, 5-18 (1996).
29. B. Fischhoff, C. Hope, and S. R. Watson, "Denning Risk," in T. S. Glickman and M. Gough (eds.), Readings in Risk (Resources for the Future, Washington, DC, 1990), pp. 30-41.
30. M. G. Morgan, B. Fischhoff, L. Lave, and P. Fischbeck, "A Proposal for Ranking Risk Within Federal Agencies," in J. C. Davies (ed.), Comparing Environmental Risks (Resources for the Future, Washington, DC, 1996), pp. 111-147.
31. M. G. Morgan and M. Henrion, Uncertainty: A Guide to Dealing with Uncertainty in Quantitative Risk and Policy Analysis (Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 1990).