The effects of predators on fragmented prey populations: A case study for the conservation of endangered prey

Journal of Zoology

Volumn 247, Issue 4, 1999, Pages 487-506

  Macdonald, David W ^a   Mace, Georgina M ^b   Barretto, Guillermo R ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF OXFORD   (United Kingdom)

^b INSTITUTE OF ZOOLOGY   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

Extinction; Fragmented populations; Lagopus sp.; Predator prey relationships; Simulation model; Stochasticity

Indexed keywords

CONSERVATION; INDIVIDUAL-BASED MODEL; ISOLATED POPULATION; PREDATOR-PREY INTERACTION;

EID: 0032931546     PISSN: 09528369     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1017/S0952836999004082     Document Type: Article

References (41)

1. Barreto, G.R., Macdonald, D.W. & Strachan, R. (1999). The tightrope hypothesis: an explanation for plummetting water vole numbers in the Thames catchment. In United Kingdom floodplains: 311-327. Sherwood, B. & Bailey, R. (Eds). London: The Linnean Society of London.
2. Begon, M., Harper, J. L. & Townsend, C. R. (1990). Ecology: individuals, populations and communities. Oxford: Blackwell Scientific Publications.
3. Brook, B. W., Lim, L., Harden, R. & Frankham, R. (1997). Does population viability analysis software predict the behaviour of real populations? a retrospective analysis on the Lord Howe Island woodhen (Tricholimnas sylvestris) using VORTEX and GAPPS. Biol. Conserv. 82: 119-128.
4. Caughley, G. & Sinclair, A. R. E. (1994). Wildlife ecology and management. Oxford: Blackwell Scientific Publications.
5. Côté, L. M. & Sutherland, W. J. (1997). The effectiveness of removing predators to protect bird populations. Conserv. Biol. 11: 395-405.
6. DiDonato, G. T. & Lodge, D. M. (1993). Species replacements among Oronectes crayfishes in Wisconsin lakes: the role of predation by fish. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. 50: 1484-1488.
7. Downer, R. (1993). GAPPS II user manual version 1.3. Applied Biomathematics. New York: Setauket.
8. Drost, C. A. & McCluskey, R. C. (1992). Extirpation of alternative prey during a small rodent crash. Oecologia (Berl.), 92: 301-304.
9. Eggleston, D. B., Lipcius, R. N. & Hines, A. H. (1992). Density-dependent predation by blue crabs upon infaunal clam species with contrasting distribution and abundance pattern. Mar. Ecol. Prog. Sci: 85: 55-68.
10. Frankham, R. (1995). Inbreeding and extinction: a threshold effect. Conserv. Biol. 9: 792-799.
11. Goodman, D. (1987). The demography of chance extinction. In Viable populations for conservation. Soulé, M. E. (Ed.). Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
12. Hudson, P. J. (1992). Grouse in space and time: the population biology of a managed gamebird. Fordingbridge: Game Conservancy.
13. Hunter, S. (1991). The impact of avian predator-scavengers on King penguin Aptenodytes patagonicus chicks at Marion Island. Ibis 133: 343-350.
14. Järvinen, A. (1990). Changes in the abundance of birds in relation to small rodent density and predation rate in Finnish Lapland. Bird Study 37: 36-39.
15. Jenkins, D., Watson, A. & Miller, G. R. (1963). Population studies on red grouse, Lagopus lagopus scoticus (Lath.) in north-east Scotland. J. Anim. Ecol. 32: 317-376.
16. Kinnear, J. E., Onus, M. L. & Bromilow, R. N. (1988). Fox control and rock-wallaby population dynamics. Aust. Wildl. Res. 15: 435-450.
17. Lacy, R. C. (1993). VORTEX: a computer simulation model for population viability analysis. Wildl. Res. 20: 45-65.
18. Lacy, R. C., Hughes, K. A. & Miller, P. S. (1995). VORTEX: a stochastic simulation for the extinction process. Version 7 Users Manual. Minneapolis: IUCN/SSC/Conservation Breeding Specialist Group.
19. Lande, R. (1994). Risk of population extinction from fixation of new deleterious mutations. Evolution 48: 1460-1469.
20. Lindström, E. R., Andrén, H., Angelstom, P., Cederlund, G., Hörnfeldt, B., Jäderberg, L., Lemnell, P., Martinsson, B., Sköld, K. & Swenson, J. E. (1994). Disease reveals the predator: sarcoptic mange, red fox predation, and prey populations. Ecology 75: 1042-1049.
21. McClanahan, T. R. & Kurtis, J. D. (1991). Population regulation of the rock-boring sea urchin Echinometra mathaei (de Blainville). J. exp. mar. Biol. Ecol. 147: 121-146.
22. Macdonald, D. W., Mace, G. & Rushton, S. (1998). Proposals for the monitoring of British mammals. London: Department of the Environment, Transport and the Regions.
23. Macdonald, D.W. & Strachan, R. (In press). The mink and the water vole: analyses for conservation. Oxford: Wildlife Conservation Research Unit.
24. Madsen, T., Stille, B. & Shine, R. (1996). Inbreeding depression in an isolated population of adders Vipera berus. Biol. Conserv. 75: 113-118.
25. Mills, L. S., Haynes, S. G., Baldwin, C., Wisdom, M. J., Citta, J., Mattson, D. J. & Murphy, K. (1996). Factors leading to different viability predictions for a grizzly bear data set. Conserv. Biol. 10: 863-873.
26. Newton, I. (1993). Predation and limitation in bird numbers. Current Ornithol. 11: 143-198.
27. O'Brien, W. J., Hershey, A. E., Hobbie, J. E., Hullar, J. E., Kipphut, M. A., Miller, M. C., Moller, B. & Vestal, J. R. (1992). Control mechanisms of arctic lake ecosystems: a limnocorral experiment. Hydrobiologia 240: 143-188.
28. Pech. R. P., Sinclair, A. R. E., Newsome, A. E. & Catling, P. C. (1992). Limits to predator regulation of rabbits in Australia: evidence from predator-removal experiments. Oecologia (Berl.) 89: 102-112.
29. Potvin, F., Breton, L., Pilon, C. & Macquart, M. (1992a). Impact of an experimental wolf reduction on beaver in Papineau-Labelle Reserve, Quebec. Can. J. Zool. 70: 180-183.
30. Potvin, F., Jolicoeur, H., Breton, L. & Lemieux, R. (1992b). Evaluation of an experimental wolf reduction and its impact on deer in Papineau-Labelle Reserve, Quebec. Can. J. Zool. 70: 1595-1603.
31. Ralls, K., Ballou, J. D. & Templeton, A. (1988). Estimates of lethal equivalents and the cost of inbreeding in mammals. Conserv. Biol. 2: 185-193.
32. Reynolds, J. C. & Tapper, S. C. (1996) Control of mammalian predators in game management and conservation. Mammal Rev. 26: 127-156.
33. Seabrook, W. (1990). The impact of the feral cat (Felis catus) on the native fauna of Aldabra atoll, Seychelles. Rev. Ecol. (Terre et Vie) 45: 135-145.
34. Seip, D. R. (1992). Factors limiting woodland caribou populations and their interrelationships with wolves and moose in southern British Columbia. Can. J. Zool. 70: 1494-1503.
35. Sidorovich, V., Kruuk, H., Macdonald, D. W. & Maran, T. (1999). Diet of semi-aquatic carnivores in northern Belarus with implications for population changes. Symp. zool. Soc. Lond. No 71: 177-189.
36. Sih. A., Crowley, P., McPeek, M., Petranka, J., & Strohmeier, K. (1985). Predation, competition and prey communities: a review of field experiments. Annu. Rev. Ecol. Syst. 16: 269-311.
37. Sinclair, A. R. E., Olsen, P. D. & Redhead, T. D. (1990). Can predators regulate small mammal populations? Evidence from house mouse outbreaks in Australia. Oikos 59: 382-392.
38. Skogland, T. (1991). What are the effects of predators on large ungulate populations? Oikos 61: 401-411.
39. Small, R. J., Marcstrom, V. & Willebrandt, T. (1993). Synchronous and non synchronous population fluctuations of some predators and their prey in central Sweden. Ecography 16: 360-364.
40. Stiling, P. (1988). Density-dependence processes and key factors in insect populations. J. Anim. Ecol. 57: 581-593.
41. Zheng-wang, Z. (1989). The breeding performance of white-eared pheasants in captivity at Jersey Wildlife Preservation Trust. J. World Pheas. Ass. 14: 43-57.