Predicting the distribution of fynbos and succulent karoo biome boundaries and plant communities using generalised linear models and geographic information systems

South African Journal of Botany

Volumn 65, Issue 1, 1999, Pages 89-96

  Lechmere Oertel, R G ^a   Cowling, R M ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF CAPE TOWN   (South Africa)

Author keywords

Biome boundary; Fynbos; GIS; Growth forms; Modelling; Succulent karoo

Indexed keywords

EID: 0032918423     PISSN: 02546299     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/S0254-6299(15)30945-5     Document Type: Article

References (40)

1. M.P. Austin Vegetation theory in relation to cost-efficient surveys C.R. Margules M.P. Austin Nature Conservation: Cost Effective Biological Surveys and Data Analysis 1991 CSIRO Canberra
2. M.P. Austin R.B. Cunningham P.M. Fleming New approaches to direct gradient analysis using environmental scalars and statistical curve fitting procedures Vegetatio 55 1984 11 27
3. M.P. Austin R.B. Cunningham R. Good Altitudinal distribution of several Eucalyptus species in Southern New South Wales Aust. J. Ecol. 8 1983 169 180
4. M.P. Austin P.C. Heyligers New approach to vegetation survey design: gradsect sampling C.R. Margules M.P. Austin Nature Conservation: Cost Effective Biological Surveys and Data Analysis 1991 CSIRO Canberra
5. M.P. Austin A.O. Nicholls C.R. Margules Measurement of the realised qualitative niche of plants species: examples of the environmental niches of five Eucalyptus species Ecol. Monogr. 60 1990 161 177
6. W.J. Bond Vegetation Gradients in the Southern Cape Mountains 1981 University of Cape Town Unpublished M.Sc. Thesis
7. D.G. Brown Predicting vegetation types at treeline using topography and biophysical disturbance variables J. Veg. Sci. 5 1994 641 656
8. B.M. Campbell Montane plant environments in the fynbos biome Bothalia 14 1983 283 298
9. B.M. Campbell Montane plant communities of the fynbos biome Vegetatio 66 1986 3 16
10. CCWR Computing Centre for Water Research 1996 University of Natal, Pietermaritzburg KwaZulu-Nalal
11. R.M. Cowling K.J. Esler P.W. Rundel Namaqualand, South Africa - a unique winter-rainfall desert ecosystem 1999 Plant Ecology (in press)
12. R.M. Cowling P.M. Holmes Flora and Vegetation The Ecology of Fynbos. Nutrients, Fire and Diversity 1992 R.M. Cowling. Oxford University Press Cape Town
13. R.M. Cowling D.M. Richardson P.J. Mustart Fynbos R.M. Cowling D.M. Richardson S.M. Pierce The Vegetation of Southern Africa 1997 Cambridge University Press Cambridge
14. M.J. Crawley Methods in Ecology: GLIM for Ecologists 1993 Blackwell Scientific Publ
15. W.N. Ellery R.J. Scholes M.T. Mentis An initial approach to predicting the sensitivity of the South African grassland biome to climate change S. Afr. J. Sci. 89 1991 449 503
16. F. Ellis J.J.N. Lambrechts F. Ellis J.J.N. Lambrechts Soils R.M. Cowling P.W. Rottx A.J.H. Pieterse The Karoo Biome: a preliminary synthesis Part 1 - the physical environment. South African National Scientific Programmes Report No. 124 1986 CSIR Pretoria
17. D. Euston-Brown Environmental and dynamic determinants of vegetation distribution in the Kouga and Baviaanskloof Mountains, Eastern Cape 1995 University of Cape Town Unpublished M.Sc. Thesis
18. J. Franklin Predictive vegetation mapping: geographic modelling of biospatial patterns in relation to environmental gradients Prog. Phys Geog. 19 1995 474 499
19. Genstat 5 Committee GENSTAT 5 Reference Manual 1987 Clarendon Press Oxford
20. A.N. Gillison K.R.W. Brewer The use of gradient directed transects or gradsects in natural resource surveys J. Env. Manage. 20 1985 103 127
21. M.F. Goodchild Integrating GIS and remote sensing for vegetation and modelling: methodological issues J. Veg. Sci. 5 1994 615 626
22. T. Hoffman Lowland Succulent Karoo A.B. Low A.G. Rebelo Vegetation of South Africa, Lesotho and Swaziland 1996 Department of Environmental Affairs and Tourism Pretoria
23. P.G. Holland D.G. Steyn Vegetation responses to latitudinal variations in slope angle and aspect J. Biogeog. 2 1975 179 183
24. R.G. Lechmere-Oertel The environmental determinants of the fynbos/succulent karoo boundary in the Matjiesrivier Nature Reserve, Western Cape 1998 University of Cape Town Unpublished M.Sc. thesis
25. M.R. Levyns The relations of the Cape and Karoo floras near Ladismith, Cape Trans. Roy. Soc. S. Afr. 32 1950 235 246
26. J.K. Lindsey The Analysis of Categorical Data using GLIM 1989 SpringerVerlag New York
27. A.B. Low A.G. Rebelo Vegetation of South Africa. Lesotho and Swaziland 1996 Department of Environmental Affairs and Tourism Pretoria
28. C.R. Margules M.P. Austin Nature Conservation: Cost Effective Biological Surveys and Data Analysis 1991 CSIRO Canberra
29. C.R. Margules A.O. Nicholls M.P. Austin Diversity of Eucalyptus species predicted by a multi-variable environmental gradient Oecologia 71 1987 229 232
30. P. McCullagh J.A. Nelder Generalized Linear Models (2 Edition) 1989 Chapman and Hall London
31. S.J. Milton R.I. Yeaton W.R.J. Dean J.H.J. Vlok Succulent Karoo R.M. Cowling D.M. Richardson S.M. Pierce Vegetation of Southern Africa 1997 Cambridge University Press Cambridge
32. A.O. Nicholls How to make biological surveys go further with generalised linear models Biol. Cons. 50 1989 51 75
33. A.O. Nicholls Examples ofthe use of generalised linear models in analysis of survey data for conservation evaluation C.R. Margules M.P. Austin Nature Conservation: Cost Effective Biological Surveys and Data Analysis 1991 CSIRO Australia
34. R.P. Nielson Transient ecotone response to climatic change: some conceptual and modelling approaches Ecol. App. 3 1993 385 395
35. A.G. Rebelo Central Mountain Renosterveld A.B. Low A.G. Rebelo Vegetation of South Africa, Lesotho and Swaziland 1996 Department of Environmental Affairs and Tourism Pretoria
36. A.G. Rebelo Mountain Fynbos A.B. Low A.G. Rebelo Vegetation of South Africa, Lesotho and Swaziland 1996 Department of Environmental Affairs and Tourism Pretoria
37. R.E. Schulze Incoming radiation fluxes on sloping terrain: a general model for use in South Africa Agrochemophysika 7 1975 55 61
38. J.C. Trexler J. Travis Non-traditional Regression Analyses Ecology 74 1993 1629 1637
39. P.L. Valverde C. Montana A rapid methodology for vegetation survey in Mexican arid lands J. Arid Environ. 34 1996 89 100
40. C.W.C.J. van de Rut L. Hazelhoff C.W.P.M. Blom Vegetation zonation in a former tidal area: a vegetation-type response model based on DCA and logistic regression using GIS J. Veg. Sci. 7 1996 505 518