A review on the statistical significance of VAN predictions

Physics and Chemistry of the Earth, Part A: Solid Earth and Geodesy

Volumn 24, Issue 2, 1999, Pages 111-114

  Varotsos, P ^a   Sarlis, N ^a   Lazaridou, M ^a   Bogris, N ^a   Eftaxias, K ^a   Hadjicontis, V ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF ATHENS   (Greece)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION; STATISTICAL ANALYSIS;

EID: 0032795375     PISSN: 14641895     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/S1464-1895(99)00005-8     Document Type: Review

References (16)

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2. Geller, R. J., Shake-up for earthquake prediction. Nature 352, 275-276, 1991.
3. Geller, R. J., VAN: A critical evaluation, in The Critical Review of VAN: Earthquake Prediction from Seismic Electric Signals, ed. Sir J. Lighthill. World Scientific Publishing Co., Singapore, 155-238, 1996.
4. Hamada, K., Statistical evaluation of the SES predictions issued in Greece: Alarm and success rates, Tectonophysics 224, 203-210, 1993.
5. Hamada, K., Re-examination ot statistical evaluation of the SES prediction in Greece, in The Critical Review of VAN: Earthquake Prediction from Seismic Electric Signals, ed. Sir J. Lighthill, World Scientific Publishing Co., Singapore, 286-291, 1996.
6. Mulargia, F., and Gasperini P., Evaluating the statistical validity beyond chance of VAN earthquake precursors, Geophys. J. Int., 111, 32-44, 1992.
7. Mulargia, F., and Gasperini P., Behind VAN: Tectonic stress changes or earthquake induced alertness?, in The Critical Review of VAN: Earthquake Prediction from Seismic Electric Signals, ed. Sir J. Lighthill, World Scientific Publishing Co., Singapore, 244-249, 1996.
8. Nishizawa, O., Lei X., and Nagao T., Point process analysis of seismic electric signals, in "Electromagnetic Phenomena Related to Earthquake Prediction", edited by M. Hayakavva and Y. Fujinawa, pp 459-474, TerraPub, Tokyo, 1994.
9. Shnirman, M., Schneider S., and Dmitrieva O., Statistical evaluation of the VAN predictions issued during the period 1987-1989, Tectonophysics 224, 211-221, 1993.
10. Uyeda, S., Greece; A country where earthquake prediction is in practice. Zisin 44, 391-405, 1991.
11. Uyeda, S., Introduction to the VAN method of earthquake prediction, in The Critical Review of VAN: Earthquake Prediction from Seismic Electric Signals, ed. Sir J. Lighthill. World Scientific Publishing Co., Singapore. 3-28. 1996.
12. Varotsos, P., Sarlis N., and Lazaridou M., Reply to "Rebuttal to reply by Varotsos and Lazaridou: Towards plainly successful prediction." by Paul W. Burton, Geophys. Res. Lett., 23, 1389-1390, 1996a.
13. Varotsos, P., Eftaxias K., Vallianatos F., and Lazaridou M., Basic principles for evaluating an earthquake prediction method. Geophys. Res. Lett., 23. 1295-1298, 1996b.
14. Varotsos P., Lazaridou M., Eftaxias K., Antonopoulos G., Makris J. and KopanasJ., Short term earthquake prediction in Greece by Seismic Electric Signals, in The Critical Review of VAN Earthquake Prediction from Seismic Electric Signals, ed. Sir J. Lighthill. World Scientific Publishing Co., Singapore. 29-76. 1996c.
15. Varotsos, P., Sarlis N., Lazaridou M. and Bogris N., Statistical evaluation of earthquake prediction results. Comments on the success rate and alarm rate. Acta Geophysica Polonica, Vol. XLIV, No. 4, 329-348, 1996d.
16. Wyss, M., Brief summary of some reasons why the VAN hypothesis for predicting earthquakes has to be rejected, in A Critical Review of VAN: Earthquake Prediction from Seismic Electric Signals, ed. Sir J. Lighthill, World Scientific Publishing Co., Singapore, 250-264, 1996.