Statistical postprocessing of NOGAPS tropical cyclone track forecasts

Monthly Weather Review

Volumn 127, Issue 8, 1999, Pages 1912-1919

  Elsberry, Russell L ^a   Boothe, Mark A ^a   Ulses, Greg A ^a   Harr, Patrick A ^a  

^a NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

CYCLONE; FORECASTING; METEOROLOGY; WEATHER MODELING;

CYCLONE; FORECASTING METHOD; TROPICAL CYCLONE;

EID: 0032746587     PISSN: 00270644     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/1520-0493(1999)127<1912:SPONTC>2.0.CO;2     Document Type: Article

References (9)

1. Efroymson, M. A., 1960: Multiple regression analysis. Mathematical Methods for Digital Computers, A. Ralston and H. Wilf, Eds., John Wiley and Sons, 191-203.
2. Elsberry, R. L., 1995: Tropical cyclone motion. Global Perspectives on Tropical Cyclones, R. L. Elsberry, Ed., WMO/TD-No. 693, World Meteorological Organization, 106-191.
3. _, and D. R. Frill, 1980: Statistical post-processing of dynamical tropical cyclone model track forecasts. Mon. Wea. Rev., 108, 1219-1225.
4. Goerss, J. S., 1997: NOGAPS 1996 tropical cyclone forecast performance. Preprints, 22d Conf. Hurricane Tropical Meteor., Fort Collins, CO. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 617-618.
5. _, and R. A. Jeffries, 1994: Assimilation of synthetic tropical cyclone observations into the Navy Operational Global Atmospheric Prediction System. Wea. Forecasting, 9, 557-576.
6. Kurihara, Y., M. A. Bender, and R. J. Ross, 1993: An initialization scheme of hurricane models by vortex specification. Mon. Wea. Rev., 121, 2030-2045.
7. _, _, R. E. Tuleya, and R. J. Ross, 1995: Improvements in the GFDL hurricane prediction system. Mon. Wea. Rev., 123, 2791-2801.
8. Nagata, N., Y. Tahara, and C. Muroi, 1998: Enhanced accuracy of typhoon prediction of the advanced numerical models at JMA. RSMC Tokyo - Typhoon Center Technical Review, No. 2, Japan Meteorological Agency. 1-18.
9. Peak, J. E., and R. L. Elsberry, 1982: A simplified statistical postprocessing technique for adjusting tropical cyclone tracks. Pap. Meteor. Res., 5, 1-14.