A simple statistical-synoptic track prediction technique for western North Pacific tropical cyclones

Monthly Weather Review

Volumn 127, Issue 1, 1999, Pages 89-102

  Chen, Jeng Ming ^a   Elsberry, Russell L ^a   Boothe, Mark A ^a   Carr III, Lester E ^a  

^a NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

PREDICTION; TRACKING; TROPICAL CYCLONE; FORECASTING METHOD;

(NORTHWEST); PACIFIC OCEAN;

EID: 0032694912     PISSN: 00270644     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/1520-0493(1999)127<0089:ASSSTP>2.0.CO;2     Document Type: Article

References (7)

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2. Elsberry, R. L., 1995: Tropical cyclone motion. Global perspectives on tropical cyclones. Tech. Doc. WMO/TD-NO. 693, World Meteorological Organization, 106-197.
3. Goerss, J. S., 1997: NOGAPS 1996 tropical cyclone forecast performance. Preprints, 22d Conf. on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, Ft. Collins, CO, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 617-618.
4. _, and S. A. Petko, 1995: The impact of synthetic tropical cyclone observations on a global forecast model. Preprints, 21st Conf. on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, Miami, FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 149-151.
5. JTWC, 1995: Annual Tropical Cyclone Report. Joint Typhoon Warning Center, 289 pp.
6. Neumann, C. J., 1972: An alternate to the HURRAN tropical cyclone forecasting system. NOAA Tech. Memo. NWS SR-62, 32 pp. [Available from National Hurricane Center, 11691 SW 17th Street, Miami, FL 33165-2149.]
7. _, 1992: A revised climatology and persistence model (WPCLPR) for the prediction of western North Pacific tropical cyclone motion. SAIC/NORAL Contract Report N00014-90-C-6042 (Part I), 40 pp. [Available from National Research Lab, 7 Grace Hopper Avenue, Monterey, CA 93943-5502.]