메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 46, Issue 2, 1998, Pages 281-312

The behavior of real exchange rates during the post-Bretton Woods period

Author keywords

Monte Carlo simulation; Multivariate unit root test; Purchasing power parity; Real exchange rates; Test power

Indexed keywords

MONTE CARLO ANALYSIS; PURCHASING POWER PARITY; REAL EXCHANGE RATE;

EID: 0032462524     PISSN: 00221996     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/S0022-1996(97)00054-8     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (516)

References (84)
  • 1
    • 84977737410 scopus 로고
    • Purchasing power parity in the long run
    • Abuaf N., Jorion P. Purchasing power parity in the long run. Journal of Finance. 45:1990;157-174.
    • (1990) Journal of Finance , vol.45 , pp. 157-174
    • Abuaf, N.1    Jorion, P.2
  • 2
    • 84944835541 scopus 로고
    • Deviations from purchasing power parity in the long run
    • Adler M., Lehmann B. Deviations from purchasing power parity in the long run. Journal of Finance. 38:1983;1471-1487.
    • (1983) Journal of Finance , vol.38 , pp. 1471-1487
    • Adler, M.1    Lehmann, B.2
  • 3
    • 0000501656 scopus 로고
    • Information theory and an extension of the maximum likelihood principle
    • Petrov, B.N., Csaki, F. (Eds.) Akademini Kiado, Budapest
    • Akaike, H., 1973. Information theory and an extension of the maximum likelihood principle. In: Petrov, B.N., Csaki, F. (Eds.), Second International Symposium on Information Theory. Akademini Kiado, Budapest, pp. 267-81.
    • (1973) Second International Symposium on Information Theory , pp. 267-281
    • Akaike, H.1
  • 4
    • 0001399205 scopus 로고
    • The purchasing power parity doctrine: A reappraisal
    • Balassa B. The purchasing power parity doctrine: a reappraisal. Journal of Political Economy. 72:1964;584-596.
    • (1964) Journal of Political Economy , vol.72 , pp. 584-596
    • Balassa, B.1
  • 7
    • 84958839520 scopus 로고
    • A simple test for heteroskedasticity and random coefficient variation
    • Breusch T.S., Pagan A.R. A simple test for heteroskedasticity and random coefficient variation. Econometrica. 47:1979;1287-1294.
    • (1979) Econometrica , vol.47 , pp. 1287-1294
    • Breusch, T.S.1    Pagan, A.R.2
  • 8
    • 0001397560 scopus 로고
    • Pitfalls and opportunities: What macroeconomists should know about unit roots
    • Blanchard, O.J., Fisher, S. (Eds.) MIT Press, Cambridge MA.
    • Campbell, J.Y., Perron, P., 1991. Pitfalls and opportunities: what macroeconomists should know about unit roots. In: Blanchard, O.J., Fisher, S. (Eds.), NBER Macroeconomic Annuals 6. MIT Press, Cambridge MA.
    • (1991) NBER Macroeconomic Annuals , vol.6
    • Campbell, J.Y.1    Perron, P.2
  • 9
  • 11
    • 84981676740 scopus 로고
    • Finite-sample sizes of Johansen's likelihood ratio tests for cointegration
    • Cheung Y.W., Lai K.S. Finite-sample sizes of Johansen's likelihood ratio tests for cointegration. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics. 55:1993;313-328.
    • (1993) Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics , vol.55 , pp. 313-328
    • Cheung, Y.W.1    Lai, K.S.2
  • 13
  • 17
    • 85036258669 scopus 로고
    • Distribution of the estimators for autoregressive time series with a unit root
    • Dickey D., Fuller W.A. Distribution of the estimators for autoregressive time series with a unit root. Journal of the American Statistical Association. 74:1979;427-431.
    • (1979) Journal of the American Statistical Association , vol.74 , pp. 427-431
    • Dickey, D.1    Fuller, W.A.2
  • 18
    • 0000472488 scopus 로고
    • Likelihood ratio statistics for autoregressive time series with a unit root
    • Dickey D., Fuller W.A. Likelihood ratio statistics for autoregressive time series with a unit root. Econometrica. 49:1981;1057-1072.
    • (1981) Econometrica , vol.49 , pp. 1057-1072
    • Dickey, D.1    Fuller, W.A.2
  • 20
    • 0002489201 scopus 로고
    • Purchasing power parity
    • Eatwell, J., Milgate, M., Newman, P. (Eds.) Macmillan, London; Stockton, New York
    • Dornbusch, R., 1987. Purchasing power parity. In: Eatwell, J., Milgate, M., Newman, P. (Eds.), The New Palgrave: A Dictionary of Economics. Macmillan, London; Stockton, New York, pp. 1075-1085.
    • (1987) The New Palgrave: A Dictionary of Economics , pp. 1075-1085
    • Dornbusch, R.1
  • 23
    • 0000397633 scopus 로고
    • ARIMA and cointegration tests of PPP under fixed and flexible exchange rate regimes
    • Enders W. ARIMA and cointegration tests of PPP under fixed and flexible exchange rate regimes. Review of Economics and Statistics. 70:1988;504-508.
    • (1988) Review of Economics and Statistics , vol.70 , pp. 504-508
    • Enders, W.1
  • 25
    • 0000167703 scopus 로고
    • Monte Carlo methodology and the finite sample properties of instrumental variables statistics for testing nested and non-nested hypotheses
    • Ericsson N.R. Monte Carlo methodology and the finite sample properties of instrumental variables statistics for testing nested and non-nested hypotheses. Econometrica. 59:1991;1249-1277.
    • (1991) Econometrica , vol.59 , pp. 1249-1277
    • Ericsson, N.R.1
  • 26
    • 0002729030 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Exchange rate economics: What's wrong with the conventional macro approach?
    • Frankel, J.A., Galli, G., Giovannini, A. (Eds.) Chicago University Press, Chicago, for NBER.
    • Flood, R.P., Taylor, M.P., 1996. Exchange rate economics: what's wrong with the conventional macro approach? In: Frankel, J.A., Galli, G., Giovannini, A. (Eds.), The Microstructure of Foreign Exchange Markets. Chicago University Press, Chicago, for NBER.
    • (1996) The Microstructure of Foreign Exchange Markets
    • Flood, R.P.1    Taylor, M.P.2
  • 27
    • 0002214578 scopus 로고
    • International capital mobility and crowding out in the US economy: Imperfect integration of financial economics or of goods markets?
    • Hafer, R. (Ed.) Lexington MA.
    • Frankel, J.A., 1986. International capital mobility and crowding out in the US economy: imperfect integration of financial economics or of goods markets? In: Hafer, R. (Ed.), How Open is the US Economy? Lexington Books, Lexington MA.
    • (1986) How Open is the US Economy? Lexington Books
    • Frankel, J.A.1
  • 28
    • 0000793682 scopus 로고
    • Zen and the art of modern macroeconomics: The search for perfect nothingness
    • Haraf, W., Willett, T. (Eds.) American Enterprise Institute, Washington DC.
    • Frankel, J.A., 1989. Zen and the art of modern macroeconomics: the search for perfect nothingness. In: Haraf, W., Willett, T. (Eds.), Monetary Policy for a Volatile Global Economy. American Enterprise Institute, Washington DC.
    • (1989) Monetary Policy for a Volatile Global Economy
    • Frankel, J.A.1
  • 29
    • 0030462091 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A panel project on purchasing power parity: Mean reversion within and between countries
    • Frankel J.A., Rose A.K. A panel project on purchasing power parity: mean reversion within and between countries. Journal of International Economics. 40:1996;209-224.
    • (1996) Journal of International Economics , vol.40 , pp. 209-224
    • Frankel, J.A.1    Rose, A.K.2
  • 30
    • 0000634137 scopus 로고
    • A monetary approach to the exchange rate: Doctrinal aspects and empirical evidence
    • Frenkel J.A. A monetary approach to the exchange rate: doctrinal aspects and empirical evidence. Scandinavian Journal of Economics. 78:1976;200-224.
    • (1976) Scandinavian Journal of Economics , vol.78 , pp. 200-224
    • Frenkel, J.A.1
  • 31
    • 49149135061 scopus 로고
    • The collapse of purchasing power parities during the 1970s
    • Frenkel J.A. The collapse of purchasing power parities during the 1970s. European Economic Review. 16:1981;145-165.
    • (1981) European Economic Review , vol.16 , pp. 145-165
    • Frenkel, J.A.1
  • 34
    • 0013586369 scopus 로고
    • Partial time regressions as compared with individual trends
    • Frisch R., Waugh F.V. Partial time regressions as compared with individual trends. Econometrica. 1:1933;387-401.
    • (1933) Econometrica , vol.1 , pp. 387-401
    • Frisch, R.1    Waugh, F.V.2
  • 35
    • 77957239083 scopus 로고
    • Perspectives on PPP and long run real exchange rates
    • Rogoff, K., Grossman, G. (Eds.) North Holland, Amsterdam.
    • Froot, K.A., Rogoff, K., 1995. Perspectives on PPP and long run real exchange rates. In: Rogoff, K., Grossman, G. (Eds.), Handbook of International Economics. North Holland, Amsterdam.
    • (1995) Handbook of International Economics
    • Froot, K.A.1    Rogoff, K.2
  • 37
    • 0001297993 scopus 로고
    • Purchasing power parity as an explanation of long term changes in exchange rates
    • Gaillot H.J. Purchasing power parity as an explanation of long term changes in exchange rates. Journal of Money Credit and Banking. 2:1970;348-357.
    • (1970) Journal of Money Credit and Banking , vol.2 , pp. 348-357
    • Gaillot, H.J.1
  • 38
    • 44949280178 scopus 로고
    • Nominal exchange rate regimes and the real exchange rate: Evidence for the United States and Great Britain, 1885-1986
    • Grilli V., Kaminsky G. Nominal exchange rate regimes and the real exchange rate: evidence for the United States and Great Britain, 1885-1986. Journal of Monetary Economics. 27:1991;191-212.
    • (1991) Journal of Monetary Economics , vol.27 , pp. 191-212
    • Grilli, V.1    Kaminsky, G.2
  • 41
    • 0004050862 scopus 로고
    • James Nisbet and Cambridge University Press, London.
    • Harrod, R., 1933. International Economics. James Nisbet and Cambridge University Press, London.
    • (1933) International Economics
    • Harrod, R.1
  • 43
    • 70350165204 scopus 로고
    • Monte Carlo experimentation in econometrics
    • Griliches, Z., Intrilligator, M.D. (Eds.) North Holland, Amsterdam, New York and Oxford
    • Hendry, D.F., 1984. Monte Carlo experimentation in econometrics. In: Griliches, Z., Intrilligator, M.D. (Eds.), Handbook of Econometrics. North Holland, Amsterdam, New York and Oxford, pp. 939-976.
    • (1984) Handbook of Econometrics , pp. 939-976
    • Hendry, D.F.1
  • 44
    • 0003461311 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Testing for unit roots in heterogeneous panels
    • University of Cambridge (forthcoming Econometrica).
    • Im, K.S., Pesaran, M.H., Shin, Y., 1997. Testing for Unit Roots in Heterogeneous Panels. Mimeo, Department of Applied Economics, University of Cambridge (forthcoming Econometrica).
    • (1997) Mimeo, Department of Applied Economics
    • Im, K.S.1    Pesaran, M.H.2    Shin, Y.3
  • 45
    • 35548931351 scopus 로고
    • Efficient tests for normality, heteroskedasticity and serial independence of regression residuals
    • Jarque C.M., Bera A.K. Efficient tests for normality, heteroskedasticity and serial independence of regression residuals. Economics Letters. 6:1980;255-259.
    • (1980) Economics Letters , vol.6 , pp. 255-259
    • Jarque, C.M.1    Bera, A.K.2
  • 47
    • 0000158117 scopus 로고
    • Estimation and hypothesis testing of cointegrating vectors in Gaussian vector autoregressive models
    • Johansen S. Estimation and hypothesis testing of cointegrating vectors in Gaussian vector autoregressive models. Econometrica. 59:1991;1551-1580.
    • (1991) Econometrica , vol.59 , pp. 1551-1580
    • Johansen, S.1
  • 48
    • 84981579311 scopus 로고
    • Maximum likelihood estimation and inference on cointegration - With applications to the demand for money
    • Johansen S., Juselius K. Maximum likelihood estimation and inference on cointegration - with applications to the demand for money. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics. 52:1990;169-210.
    • (1990) Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics , vol.52 , pp. 169-210
    • Johansen, S.1    Juselius, K.2
  • 49
    • 0030210342 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Mean reversion in real exchange rates: Evidence and implications for forecasting
    • Jorion P., Sweeney R. Mean reversion in real exchange rates: evidence and implications for forecasting. Journal of International Money and Finance. 15:1996;535-550.
    • (1996) Journal of International Money and Finance , vol.15 , pp. 535-550
    • Jorion, P.1    Sweeney, R.2
  • 50
    • 0000907890 scopus 로고
    • Purchasing power parity in the long run: A cointegration approach
    • Kim Y. Purchasing power parity in the long run: a cointegration approach. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking. 22:1990;348-357.
    • (1990) Journal of Money, Credit and Banking , vol.22 , pp. 348-357
    • Kim, Y.1
  • 51
    • 0003812798 scopus 로고
    • Essays in persuasion
    • New York.
    • Keynes, J.M., 1932. Essays in Persuasion, Harcourt Brace, New York.
    • (1932) Harcourt Brace
    • Keynes, J.M.1
  • 53
    • 0002495262 scopus 로고
    • A century plus of yen exchange rate behavior
    • Lothian J.R. A century plus of yen exchange rate behavior. Japan and the World Economy. 2:1990;47-90.
    • (1990) Japan and the World Economy , vol.2 , pp. 47-90
    • Lothian, J.R.1
  • 54
    • 0030480824 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Real exchange rate behavior: The recent float from the perspective of the past two centuries
    • Lothian J.R., Taylor M.P. Real exchange rate behavior: the recent float from the perspective of the past two centuries. Journal of Political Economy. 104:1996;488-510.
    • (1996) Journal of Political Economy , vol.104 , pp. 488-510
    • Lothian, J.R.1    Taylor, M.P.2
  • 56
    • 0013148655 scopus 로고
    • Interest rates and prices in a two currency world
    • Lucas R.E. Interest rates and prices in a two currency world. Journal of Monetary Economics. 10:1982;335-360.
    • (1982) Journal of Monetary Economics , vol.10 , pp. 335-360
    • Lucas, R.E.1
  • 57
    • 0002378331 scopus 로고
    • Critical values for cointegration tests
    • Engle, R.F., Granger, C.W.J. (Eds.) Oxford University Press, Oxford.
    • MacKinnon, J.G., 1991. Critical values for cointegration tests. In: Engle, R.F., Granger, C.W.J. (Eds.), Long Run Economic Relationships: Readings in Cointegration. Oxford University Press, Oxford.
    • (1991) Long Run Economic Relationships: Readings in Cointegration
    • MacKinnon, J.G.1
  • 59
    • 0001244268 scopus 로고
    • Real and nominal exchange rates in the long run: An empirical investigation
    • Mark N. Real and nominal exchange rates in the long run: an empirical investigation. Journal of International Economics. 28:1990;115-136.
    • (1990) Journal of International Economics , vol.28 , pp. 115-136
    • Mark, N.1
  • 60
    • 38249006465 scopus 로고
    • National price levels, purchasing power parity and cointegration: A test of four high inflation economies
    • McNown R., Wallace M. National price levels, purchasing power parity and cointegration: a test of four high inflation economies. Journal of International Money and Finance. 8:1989;533-545.
    • (1989) Journal of International Money and Finance , vol.8 , pp. 533-545
    • McNown, R.1    Wallace, M.2
  • 61
    • 0042273578 scopus 로고
    • Nominal exchange rate regimes and the behavior of real exchange rates: Evidence and implications
    • Mussa M. Nominal exchange rate regimes and the behavior of real exchange rates: evidence and implications. Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy. 25:1986;177-213.
    • (1986) Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy , vol.25 , pp. 177-213
    • Mussa, M.1
  • 65
    • 0003433209 scopus 로고
    • Purchasing power parity and exchange rates: Theory
    • JAI Press, Greenwich CT.
    • Officer, L.H., 1982. Purchasing Power Parity and Exchange Rates: Theory, Evidence and Relevance. JAI Press, Greenwich CT.
    • (1982) Evidence and Relevance
    • Officer, L.H.1
  • 66
    • 0030163302 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Purchasing power parity and unit root tests using panel data
    • Oh K.Y. Purchasing power parity and unit root tests using panel data. Journal of International Money and Finance. 15:1996;405-418.
    • (1996) Journal of International Money and Finance , vol.15 , pp. 405-418
    • Oh, K.Y.1
  • 67
    • 0010130401 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Searching for Stationarity: Purchasing Power Parity Under the Current Float
    • Papell D.H. Searching for Stationarity: Purchasing Power Parity Under the Current Float. Journal of International Economics. 43:1998;313-332.
    • (1998) Journal of International Economics , vol.43 , pp. 313-332
    • Papell, D.H.1
  • 68
    • 0013632807 scopus 로고
    • Purchasing power parity and exchange rate dynamics
    • Arndt, S.W., Sweeney, R.J., Willett, D. (Eds.) Ballinger and American Enterprise Institute, Cambridge MA.
    • Piggott, C., Sweeney, R.J., 1985. Purchasing power parity and exchange rate dynamics. In: Arndt, S.W., Sweeney, R.J., Willett, D. (Eds.), Exchange Rates, Trade and the US Economy. Ballinger and American Enterprise Institute, Cambridge MA.
    • (1985) Exchange Rates, Trade and the US Economy
    • Piggott, C.1    Sweeney, R.J.2
  • 69
    • 0000619128 scopus 로고
    • Tests for specification errors in classical linear least squares regression analysis
    • Ramsey, J.B., 1969. Tests for specification errors in classical linear least squares regression analysis. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, series B, 31, 350-371.
    • (1969) Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B , vol.31 , pp. 350-371
    • Ramsey, J.B.1
  • 71
    • 0000786475 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The purchasing power parity puzzle
    • Rogoff R. The purchasing power parity puzzle. Journal of Economic Literature. 34:1996;647-668.
    • (1996) Journal of Economic Literature , vol.34 , pp. 647-668
    • Rogoff, R.1
  • 72
    • 0002679349 scopus 로고
    • Violations of purchasing power parity and their implications for efficient international commodity markets
    • Sarnat, M., Szego, G.P. (Eds.) Ballinger, Cambridge MA.
    • Roll, R., 1979. Violations of purchasing power parity and their implications for efficient international commodity markets. In: Sarnat, M., Szego, G.P. (Eds.), International Finance and Trade, vol 1. Ballinger, Cambridge MA.
    • (1979) International Finance and Trade , vol.1
    • Roll, R.1
  • 74
    • 14344281401 scopus 로고
    • Testing the random walk hypothesis: Power versus frequency of observation
    • Shiller R.J., Perron P. Testing the random walk hypothesis: power versus frequency of observation. Economics Letters. 18:1985;381-386.
    • (1985) Economics Letters , vol.18 , pp. 381-386
    • Shiller, R.J.1    Perron, P.2
  • 75
    • 0000120766 scopus 로고
    • Estimating the dimension of a model
    • Schwartz G. Estimating the dimension of a model. The Annals of Statistics. 6:1978;461-464.
    • (1978) The Annals of Statistics , vol.6 , pp. 461-464
    • Schwartz, G.1
  • 76
    • 0001608293 scopus 로고
    • A theory of exchange rate determination
    • Stockman A.C. A theory of exchange rate determination. Journal of Political Economy. 88:1980;673-698.
    • (1980) Journal of Political Economy , vol.88 , pp. 673-698
    • Stockman, A.C.1
  • 77
    • 84948866113 scopus 로고
    • An empirical examination of long run purchasing power parity using cointegration techniques
    • Taylor M.P. An empirical examination of long run purchasing power parity using cointegration techniques. Applied Economics. 20:1988;1369-1381.
    • (1988) Applied Economics , vol.20 , pp. 1369-1381
    • Taylor, M.P.1
  • 79
    • 12844268424 scopus 로고
    • Long run purchasing power parity in the 1920s
    • Taylor M.P., McMahon P.C. Long run purchasing power parity in the 1920s. European Economic Review. 32:1988;179-197.
    • (1988) European Economic Review , vol.32 , pp. 179-197
    • Taylor, M.P.1    McMahon, P.C.2
  • 80
    • 0012955246 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Cambridge University Press, Cambridge and New York, forthcoming.
    • Taylor, M.P., Sarno, L., 1998. The Economics of Exchange Rates. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge and New York, forthcoming.
    • (1998) The Economics of Exchange Rates
    • Taylor, M.P.1    Sarno, L.2
  • 81
    • 0003854610 scopus 로고
    • Purchasing Power Disparity During the Floating Rate Period: Exchange Rate Volatility
    • National Bureau of Economic Research, Working paper 5032.
    • Wei, S., Parsley, D., 1995. Purchasing Power Disparity During the Floating Rate Period: Exchange Rate Volatility, Trade Barriers and Other Culprits. National Bureau of Economic Research, Working paper 5032.
    • (1995) Trade Barriers and Other Culprits
    • Wei, S.1    Parsley, D.2
  • 82
    • 0003243160 scopus 로고
    • Asymptotic normality when regressors have a unit root
    • West K.D. Asymptotic normality when regressors have a unit root. Econometrica. 56:1988;1397-1417.
    • (1988) Econometrica , vol.56 , pp. 1397-1417
    • West, K.D.1
  • 83
    • 0030534750 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Are real exchange rates non stationary? Evidence from a panel data test
    • Wu Y. Are real exchange rates non stationary? Evidence from a panel data test. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking. 28:1996;54-63.
    • (1996) Journal of Money, Credit and Banking , vol.28 , pp. 54-63
    • Wu, Y.1
  • 84
    • 84946357749 scopus 로고
    • An efficient method of estimating seemingly unrelated regressions and tests for aggregation bias
    • Zellner A. An efficient method of estimating seemingly unrelated regressions and tests for aggregation bias. Journal of the American Statistical Association. 57:1962;348-368.
    • (1962) Journal of the American Statistical Association , vol.57 , pp. 348-368
    • Zellner, A.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.