Forecasting catfish industry prices using linear and nonlinear methods

Aquaculture Economics and Management

Volumn 2, Issue 2, 1998, Pages 71-80

  Jolly, Curtis M ^a   Ligeon, Carel ^a   Hishamunda, Nathanael ^a  

^a AUBURN UNIVERSITY   (United States)

Author keywords

Catfish price forecast; Nonlinear models

Indexed keywords

AQUACULTURE; FORECASTING METHOD; METHODOLOGY; PRICE DYNAMICS;

EID: 0032454815     PISSN: 13657305     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1080/13657309809380218     Document Type: Article

References (26)

1. Bollerslev, T. (1996) Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasity. Journal of Econometrics, 31, 307-327.
2. Byers, J.D. & Peel, D.A. (1995) Forecasting industrial production using non-linear methods. Journal of Forecasting, 14, 325-336.
3. Cicarreli, J. & Narayan, J. (1980) The performance of eleven economic forecasting models in 19 70s. Business Economics, 12-16.
4. Engle, R.F. (1982) Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasicity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50, 987-1007.
5. Engle, C.R. & Kouka, P.T. (1996) Effects of Inflation on the Cost of Producing Catfish. The Catfish Bargaining Association, Belzoni, Mississippi.
6. Engle, C.R. & Pounds, G. (1993) Economics of single-and multiple-batch production regimes for catfish. In Aquaculture, Models, and Economics (eds U. Hatch & H. Kinnucan), pp. 75-89, Westview Press, Boulder.
7. Jolly, CM. & Clonts, H. (1993) Economics of Aquaculture. Haworth Press, New York.
8. Jolly, CM. & Engle, C.R. (1988) Effects of stocking, harvesting and marketing strategies in profit maximization in catfish farming. Southern Business and Economic Journal, 12, 52-62.
9. Kinnucan, H.W. (1995) Catfish aquaculture in the United States: five propositions about industry growth and policy. World Aquaculture, 26,13-20.
10. Kinnucan, H. & Wineholt, D. (1989) Econometric analysis of demand and price-markup functions for catfish at processor level. Bulletin 597, Alabama Agricultural Experiment Station, Auburn University, Auburn, Alabama.
11. Lambregts, J.A., Capps, D.O. Jr & Griffin, W.L. (1993) Seasonal demand characteristics for U.S. farm-raised catfish. In Aquaculture, Models, and Economics (eds U. Hatch & H. Kinnucan), Westview Press, Boulder.
12. Leitch, G. & Tanner, J.E. (1995) Professional economic forecasts: are they worth their costs? Journal of Forecasting, 14, 143-157.
13. Ligeon, C., Jolly, C.M. & Jackson, J.D. (1996) Evaluation of the possible threat of NAFTA on U.S. catfish industry using a traditional import demand function. Journal of Food Distribution Research, July, 33-41.
14. McCall, M. (1997) Industry to pass 500 million pounds in 1997. Catfish Journal, 12, 1.
15. Nyankori, J.C.O. (1991) Price transmission in the catfish industry with specific industry emphasis on the role of processing cooperatives. Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, 23, 1247-1252.
16. SAS (1993) SAS/ETS User Guide. SAS Institute Inc., Cary, North Carolina.
17. SAS (1996) Forecasting examples for business and economics using SAS system. SAS Institute Inc., Cary, North Carolina.
18. Tai, C., Martin, N.R. & Hatch, U. (1995) Influence of planning horizon and frequency of decision-making on optimal enterprise combination in farm planning. Journal of the Association of Farm Managers and Rural Appraisers, 59, 147-153.
19. Tiao, G.C. & Tsay, S.T. (1994) Some advances in nonlinear and adaptive modelling in time-series. Journal of Forecasting, 13, 109-131.
20. Tong, H. (1990) Non-linear Time Series Models. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
21. USD A. (1984) Aquaculture Outlook and Situation. United States Department of Agriculture, Economics and Statistics Service, 1984-87. Washington, D.C.
22. USDA. (1994) Aquaculture Situation and Outlook Report. United States Department of Agriculture, 1994. Washington, D.C.
23. USDA. (1995) Aquaculture Outlook. LDP-AQS-2, Economic Research Service, Washington, D.C.
24. Zidack, W. & Hatch, U. (1991) An econometric estimation of market growth for the U. S. processed catfish industry. Journal of World Aquaculture Society, 22 (1), 10-23.
25. Zidack, W., Kinnucan, H. & Hatch, U. (1993) A dynamic econometric model of the U.S. catfish industry. In Aquaculture, Models and Economics (eds U. Hatch & H. Kinnucan), Westview Press, Boulder.
26. Zidack, W., Kinnucan, H. & Hatch, U. (1992) Wholesale-and farm-level impacts of generic advertising: the case of catfish. Applied Economics, 24, 959-968.