ENSO influence on intraseasonal extreme rainfall and temperature frequencies in the contiguous United States: Implications for long-range predictability

Journal of Climate

Volumn 11, Issue 12, 1998, Pages 3192-3203

  Gershunov, Alexander ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ATMOSPHERIC TEMPERATURE; CLIMATE CHANGE; COASTAL ZONES; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; PROBABILITY DENSITY FUNCTION; RAIN; STATISTICAL METHODS;

EXTREME COLD TEMPERATURE FREQUENCY (ECF); EXTREME WARM TEMPERATURE FREQUENCY (EWF);

CLIMATOLOGY;

EL NINO-SOUTHERN OSCILLATION; EXTREME EVENT; RAINFALL INTENSITY; TEMPERATURE; WEATHER FORECASTING;

UNITED STATES;

EID: 0032427249     PISSN: 08948755     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/1520-0442(1998)011<3192:EIOIER>2.0.CO;2     Document Type: Article

References (18)

1. Barnett, T. P., N. Graham, M. Latif, S. Pazan, and W. White, 1993: ENSO and ENSO-related predictability. Part I: Prediction of equatorial Pacific sea surface temperature with a hybrid coupled ocean-atmosphere model. J. Climate, 6, 1545-1566.
2. Briggs, W. M., and D. S. Wilks, 1996: Estimating monthly and seasonal distributions of temperature and precipitation using the new CPC long-range forecasts. J. Climate, 9, 818-826.
3. Cayan, D., K. Redmond, and L. Riddle, 1996: Accentuated ENSO effects on extreme hydrologic events over the western United States. Preprints, Proc. 21st Annual Climate Diagnostics and Prediction Workshop, Huntsville, AL, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 324-325.
4. Changnon, S. A., J. M. Changnon, and D. Changnon, 1995: Uses and applications of climate forecasts for power utilities. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 76, 711-720.
5. Efron, B., 1982: The Jackknife, the Bootstrap, and Other Resampling Plans. Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics, 92 pp.
6. Gershunov, A., and T. Barnett, 1996: Long-range prediction of intraseasonal variability. Preprints, Proc. 21st Annual Climate Diagnostics and Prediction Workshop, Huntsville, AL, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 255-258.
7. _, and _, 1998: ENSO influence on intraseasonal extreme rainfall and temperature frequencies in the contiguous United States: Observations and model results. J. Climate, 11, 1575-1586.
8. Graham, N. E., and T. P. Barnett, 1994: ENSO and ENSO-related predictability. Part II: Northern Hemisphere 700-mb height predictions based on a hybrid coupled ENSO model. J. Climate, 8, 544-549.
9. Hoerling, M. P., A. Kumar, and M. Zhong, 1997: El Niño, La Niña, and the nonlinearity of their teleconnections. J. Climate, 10, 1769-1786.
10. Kiladis, G. N., and H. Diaz, 1989: Global climatic anomalies associated with extremes in the Southern Oscillation. J. Climate, 2, 1069-1090.
11. Kumar, A., and M. P. Hoerling, 1997: Interpretation and implications of the observed inter-El Niño variability. J. Climate, 10, 83-91.
12. Lau, N.-C., 1997: Interactions between global SST anomalies and the midlatitude atmospheric circulation. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 78, 21-33.
13. Livezey, R. E., M. Masutani, A. Leetma, H. Rui, M. Ji, and A. Kumar, 1997: Teleconnective response of the Pacific-North American region atmosphere to large central equatorial Pacific SST anomalies. J. Climate, 10, 1787-1820.
14. Michelangeli, P.-A., R. Vautard, and B. Lergas, 1995: Weather regimes: Recurrence and quasi-stationarity. J. Atmos. Sci., 52, 1237-1256.
15. O'Lenic, E., 1994: Operational long-lead forecasts for the climate outlook. NOAA/NWS/CPC Tech. Proc. Bull. 418, 30 pp. [Available from NOAA/CPC, 5200 Auth Rd., Camp Spring, MD 20746.]
16. Robinson, P. J., 1996: Projecting daily temperatures from long-lead forecasts. Preprints, 13th Conf. on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, San Francisco, CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 231-238.
17. Ropelewski, C. F., and M. S. Halpert, 1986: North American precipitation and temperature patterns associated with the El Niño/ Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Mon. Wea. Rev., 114, 2352-2362.
18. _, and _, 1996: Quantifying Southern Oscillation-Precipitation relationships. J. Climate, 9, 1043-1059.