Estimating the probability of events that have never occurred: When is your vote decisive?

Journal of the American Statistical Association

Volumn 93, Issue 441, 1998, Pages 1-9

  Gelman, Andrew ^a   King, Gary ^b   Boscardin, W John ^c  

^a Och Spine at New York Presbyterian Hospitals   (United States)

^b HARVARD UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^c UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA   (United States)

Author keywords

Conditional probability; Decision analysis; Election; Electoral campaigning; Forecasting; Political science; Presidential election; Rare event; Rational choice; Subjective probability; Voting power

Indexed keywords

EID: 0032343528     PISSN: 01621459     EISSN: 1537274X     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1080/01621459.1998.10474082     Document Type: Article

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