World population projections for greenhouse gas emissions scenarios

Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change

Volumn 3, Issue 2-4, 1998, Pages 133-170

  Gaffin, Stuart R ^a  

^a ENVIRONMENTAL DEFENSE FUND   (United States)

Author keywords

Climate change; Environment; Fertility rates; Greenhouse gas emissions scenarios; IIASA; IPAT; IPCC; IS92; Population; Population projections; U.S. Census Bureau; United Nations; World Bank

Indexed keywords

CARBON EMISSION; EMISSION; GLOBAL PERSPECTIVE; GREENHOUSE GAS; POPULATION ESTIMATION;

UNITED STATES;

EID: 0032319980     PISSN: 13812386     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1023/a:1009637812445     Document Type: Article

References (45)

1. Alcamo, A., Bouwman, A., Edmonds, J., Gruebler, A., Morita, T., and Sugandhy, A.: 1995, 'An Evaluation of the IPCC IS92 Emissions Scenarios', in Houghton, J. T., Meira Filho, L. G., Bruce, J., Hoesung Lee, Callandar, B. A., Haites, E., Harris, N., and Maskell, K. (eds.), Climate Change 1994, Cambridge, Cambridge University Press, 232-304.
2. Birdsall, N.: 1994, 'Another Look at Population and Global Warming', in Population, Environment and Development: Proceedings of the United Nations Expert Group Meeting on Population, Environment and Development, United Nations Headquarters, 20-24 January 1992, New York, United Nations, 39-54.
3. Blanchet, D.: 1991, 'Estimating the Relationship Between Population Growth and Aggregate Economic Growth in Developing Countries: Methodological Problems', in United Nations (ed.), Consequences of Rapid Population Growth in Developing Countries, New York, Taylor & Francis, 67-98.
4. Bongaarts. J.: 1998, 'Global Population Growth: Demographic Consequences of Declining Fertility', Science 282, 419-420.
5. Bongaarts, J.: 1994, 'Population Policy Options in the Developing World', Science 263, 771-776.
6. Bongaarts, J., O'Neill, B. C., and Gaffin, S. R.: 1997, 'Global Warming Policy: Population Left Out in the Cold: Commentary', Environment 39(9), 40-41.
7. Bos, E., Vu, M. T., Massiah, E., and Bulatao, R.: 1994, World Population Projections 1994-95 Edition, Baltimore, Johns Hopkins University Press.
8. Branson, W.: 1989, Macroeconomic Theory and Policies, London, Harper & Row.
9. Cincotta, R. P., and Engelman, R.: 1997, Economics and Rapid Change: The Influence of Population Growth, Washington, D.C., Population Action International.
10. Easterlin, R. A.: 1978, 'The Economics and Sociology of Fertility: A Synthesis', in Tilly, C. (ed.), Historical Studies of Changing Fertility, Princeton, Princeton University Press, 57-113.
11. Eberstadt, N.: 1997, 'World Population Implosion?' Public Interest, no. 129, 3-22.
12. Engelman, R.: 1994, Stabilizing the Atmosphere: Population, Consumption and Greenhouse Gases, Washington, D.C., Population Action International.
13. Frejka, T.: 1996. 'Long-Range Global Population Projections: Lessons Learned', in Lutz, W. (ed.), The Future Population of the World: What Can We Assume Today? rev. ed., London, Earthscan, 3-13.
14. 2 Targets', Population and Environment 18(4), 389-413.
15. Hammer, J. S.: 1985, Population Growth and Savings in Developing Countries, World Bank Staff Working Paper no. 687, Population and Development Series no. 12, Washington, D.C., World Bank.
16. Haub, C.: 1997, 'New UN Projections Depict a Variety of Demographic Futures', Population Today: News Numbers and Analysis 25(4), 1-3.
17. Higgins, M., and Williamson, J. G.: 1997, 'Age Structure Dynamics in Asia and Dependence on Foreign Capital', Population and Development Review 23(2), 261-293.
18. Kelley, A.: 1988, 'Economic Consequences of Population Change in the Third World', Journal of Economic Literature 26(4), 685-728.
19. Kolsrud, G., and Torrey, B. B.: 1992. 'The Importance of Population Growth in Future Commercial Energy Consumption', in White. J. C. (ed.), Global Climate Change: Linking Energy, Environment, Economy and Equity, New York, Plenum.
20. Kuznets, S.: 1966, Modern Economic Growth, New Haven, Yale University Press.
21. Lutz, W.: 1993, 'Population and Environment - What Do We Need More Urgently: Better Data, Better Models, or Better Questions?' in Zaba, B., and Clarke, J. (eds.), Environment and Population Change, Liege, Derouaux Ordina Editions.
22. Lutz, W. (ed.): 1996, The Future Population of the World. What Can We Assume Today? rev. ed., London, Earthscan.
23. Lutz, W., Goldstein, J. R., and Prinz, C.: 1996a, 'Alternative Approaches to Population Projections', in Lutz, W. (ed.), The Future Population of the World: What Can We Assume Today? rev. ed., London, Earthscan, 15-44.
24. Lutz, W., Sanderson, W., Scherbov, S., and Goujon, A.: 1996b, 'World Population Scenarios in the 21st Century', in Lutz, W. (ed.), The Future Population of the World: What Can We Assume Today? rev. ed., London, Earthscan, 361-396.
25. Lutz, W., Sanderson, W., and Scherbov, S.: 1997, 'Doubling of World Population Unlikely', Nature 387, 803-805.
26. 2 Emissions', Population and Development Review 21(4), 849-865.
27. McDevitt, T. M.: 1996, World Population Profile, U.S. Bureau of the Census, Report WP/96, Washington, D.C., Government Printing Office.
28. National Research Council: 1986, Population Growth and Economic Development: Policy Questions, Washington, D.C., National Academy Press.
29. Nordhaus, W. D.: 1994, Managing the Global Commons: The Economics of Climate Change, Cambridge, Massachusetts, MIT Press.
30. Nordhaus, W. D., and Yohe, G. W.: 1983, 'Future Energy Paths and Carbon Dioxide Emissions', in Changing Climate: Report of the Carbon Dioxide Assessment Committee, Washington, D.C., National Academy Press.
31. O'Neill, B. C.: 1996, Greenhouse Gases: Timescales, Response Functions and the Role of Population Growth in Future Emissions, Ph.D. dissertation, New York University.
32. O'Neill, B. C., MacKellar, F. L., and Lutz, W.: 1998, Population and Climate Change, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge (forthcoming).
33. Pepper, W., Leggett, J., Swart, R., Wasson J., Edmonds, J., and Mintzer, I.: 1992, 'Emissions Scenarios for the IPCC and Update: Assumptions, Methodology, and Results, Support Document for Chapter A3' of Houghton, J. T., Callandar, B. A., and Varney, S. K. (eds.), Climate Change 1992: Supplementary Report to the IPCC Scientific Assessment, Cambridge, Cambridge University Press.
34. Preston, S. H.: 1996, 'The Effect of Population Growth on Environmental Quality', Population Research and Policy Review 15, 95-108.
35. Solow, R.: 1988, 'Growth Theory and After', American Economic Review 78(3), 307-317.
36. Solow, R.: 1956, 'A Contribution to the Theory of Economic Growth', Quarterly Journal of Economics 70, 56-94.
37. United Nations: 1997a, United Nations Population Division, Proceedings of Expert Group Meeting on Below Replacement Fertility, United Nations Publication no. ESA/P/WP.140, New York, United Nations.
38. United Nations: 1997b, Critical Trends: Global Change and Sustainable Development, United Nations Publication no. ST/ESA/255, New York, United Nations.
39. United Nations: 1997c, United Nations Commission on Population and Development, Thirteenth Session, Report of the Secretary General on 'Progress on Work in the Field of Population in 1996', 8-10.
40. United Nations: 1995, Population and Development: Program of Action Adopted at the International Conference on Population and Development, Cairo, 5-13 September 1994, vol. 1, United Nations Publication no. E.95.XIII.7, New York, United Nations.
41. U.S. Council of Economic Advisors: 1997, 'Excerpts on the Challenge of an Aging Population' [annual report], Population and Development Review 23(2), 443-451.
42. Wattenberg, B. J.: 1997, 'The Population Explosion Is Over', New York Times Magazine, 23 November, 60.
43. Wexler, L.: 1997. 'Population Assumptions in Greenhouse Gas Emissions Models', Population and Development Review (submitted).
44. Wexler, L.: 1995, 'Households, Future Energy Use and Future Greenhouse Gas Emissions' (submitted to IIASA).
45. World Bank: 1997, World Development Indicators 1997, Washington, D.C., World Bank.