메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 14, Issue 4, 1998, Pages 523-526

Combining probabilistic and subjective assessments of error to provide realistic appraisals of demographic forecast uncertainty: Alho's approach

Author keywords

Alho's approach; Demographic forecast uncertainty; Probabilistic and subjective

Indexed keywords

ARTICLE; CRITIQUE; ESTIMATION TECHNICS; EVALUATION; FORECASTING; METHODOLOGY; POPULATION FORECAST; POPULATION PROJECTION; RESEARCH; STATISTICS; WORLD;

EID: 0032252968     PISSN: 01692070     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/S0169-2070(98)00057-0     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (1)

References (13)
  • 2
    • 0030642418 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Scenarios, uncertainty and conditional forecasts of the world population
    • Alho J. Scenarios, uncertainty and conditional forecasts of the world population. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. 160(1):1997;71-85.
    • (1997) Journal of the Royal Statistical Society , vol.160 , Issue.1 , pp. 71-85
    • Alho, J.1
  • 3
    • 0011843436 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The practical specification of the expected error of population forecasts
    • Ahlo J.M., Spencer B.D. The practical specification of the expected error of population forecasts. Journal of Official Statistics. 13:1997;203-225.
    • (1997) Journal of Official Statistics , vol.13 , pp. 203-225
    • Ahlo, J.M.1    Spencer, B.D.2
  • 5
    • 84950864351 scopus 로고
    • Joint forecasts of U.S. marital fertility, nuptiality, births, and marriages using time series models
    • Carter L.R., Lee R.D. Joint forecasts of U.S. marital fertility, nuptiality, births, and marriages using time series models. Journal of the American Statistical Association. 81:1986;901-911.
    • (1986) Journal of the American Statistical Association , vol.81 , pp. 901-911
    • Carter, L.R.1    Lee, R.D.2
  • 6
    • 0026952334 scopus 로고
    • Modeling and forecasting US sex differentials in mortality
    • Carter L.R., Lee R.D. Modeling and forecasting US sex differentials in mortality. International Journal of Forecasting. 8:1992;393-411.
    • (1992) International Journal of Forecasting , vol.8 , pp. 393-411
    • Carter, L.R.1    Lee, R.D.2
  • 8
    • 0022857767 scopus 로고
    • Methods for national population forecasts: A review
    • Land K.C. Methods for national population forecasts: A review. Journal of the American Statistical Association. 81(396):1986;888-901.
    • (1986) Journal of the American Statistical Association , vol.81 , Issue.396 , pp. 888-901
    • Land, K.C.1
  • 10
    • 0026948888 scopus 로고
    • Evaluating the forecast accuracy and bias of alternative population projections for states
    • Smith S.K., Sincich T. Evaluating the forecast accuracy and bias of alternative population projections for states. International Journal of Forecasting. 8(3):1992;495-508.
    • (1992) International Journal of Forecasting , vol.8 , Issue.3 , pp. 495-508
    • Smith, S.K.1    Sincich, T.2
  • 13
    • 0002222501 scopus 로고
    • Population of the United States, 1925 to 1975
    • Whelpton P.K. Population of the United States, 1925 to 1975. American Journal of Sociology. 34:1928;457-473.
    • (1928) American Journal of Sociology , vol.34 , pp. 457-473
    • Whelpton, P.K.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.