A method for predicting the impact of climate change on slope stability

Environmental Geology

Volumn 35, Issue 2-3, 1998, Pages 190-196

  Buma, J ^a   Dehn, M ^b  

^a UTRECHT UNIVERSITY   (Netherlands)

^b UNIVERSITY OF BONN   (Germany)

Author keywords

Climate change; Downscaling; General circulation models; Landsliding; Slope models

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE CHANGE; FORECASTING; MODELS; RAIN; SLOPE STABILITY;

DOWNSCALING;

LANDSLIDES;

CLIMATE CHANGE; FREQUENCY-MAGNITUDE DISTRIBUTION; LIMIT ANALYSIS; METHODOLOGY; SLOPE STABILITY;

FRANCE, (SOUTHEAST);

EID: 0032144122     PISSN: 09430105     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s002540050305     Document Type: Article

References (18)

1. ASCH TWJ VAN (1996) The study of hydrological systems to understand changes in the temporal occurrence of landslides related to climatic changes. The temporal stability and activity of landslides in Europe with respect to climatic change. Final report. European Community, CEC Environment Programme, pp 69-74
2. ASCH TWJ VAN, STEIJN H VAN (1991) Temporal patterns of mass movements in the French Alps. Catena 18:515-527
3. BÁRDOSSY A, PLATE EJ (1992) Space-time model for daily rainfall using atmospheric circulation patterns. Water Res Res 28:1247-1259
4. BENISTON M, DOUGLAS GF (1996) Impacts of climate change on mountain regions. In: Watson RT, Zinyowera MC, Moss RH, Dokken DJ (eds) Climate change 1995. impacts, adaptations and mitigation of climate change: scientific-technical analysis. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp 191-213
5. CARIS J, ASCH TWJ VAN (1991) Geophysical, geotechnical and hydrological investigations of a small landslide in the French Alps. Eng Geol 31:249-276
6. CUBASCH U, SANTER BD, HELLBACH A, HEGERL GC, HÖCK H, MAIER-REIMER E, MIKOLAJEWICZ U, STÖSSEL A, VOSS R (1994) Monte Carlo climate change forecasts with a global coupled ocean-atmosphere model. Clim Dyn 10:1-19
7. CUBASCH U, WASZKEWITZ J, HEGERL GC, PERLWITZ J (1995) Regional climate changes as simulated in time-slice experiments. Clim Change 2-4:273-304
8. FREY-BUNESS A, HEIMANN D, SAUSEN R (1995) A statistical-dynamical downscaling procedure for global climate simulations. Theor Appl Climatol 50:117-131
9. GATES WL, HENDERSON-SELLERS A, BOER GJ, FOLLAND CK, KITOH A, MCAVANEY BJ, SEMAZZI F, SMITH N, WEAVER AJ, ZENG Q-C (1996) Climate models - evaluation. In: Houghton JT, Meira Filho LG, Callander BA, Harris N, Kattenberg A, Maskell K (eds) Climate change 1995. The science of climate change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp 229-284
10. GYALISTRAS D, STORCH H VON, FISCHLIN A, BENISTON M (1994) Linking GCM-simulated climatic changes to ecosystem models: case-studies of statistical downscaling in the Alps. Clim Res 4:167-189
11. HEYEN H, ZORITA E, STORCH H VON (1996) Statistical downscaling of monthly mean North Atlantic air-pressure to sea level anomalies in the Baltic Sea. Tellus 48A:312-323
12. HOUGHTON JT, CALLANDER BA, VARNEY SK (eds) (1992) Climate change 1992. The supplementary report to the IPCC scientific assessment. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
13. 2 climate change scenario over Europe generated using a limited area model nested in a general circulation model. 1. Present-day seasonal climate simulation. J Geophys Res 97:9989-10009
14. ROECKNER E, OBERHUBER JM, BACHER A, CHRISTOPH M, KIRCHNER I (1996) ENSO variability and atmospheric response in a global coupled atmosphere-ocean GCM. Clim Dyn 12:737-754
15. RUBY LEUNG L, GHAN SJ (1995) A subgrid parameterization of orographic precipitation. Theor Appl Climatol 52:95-118
16. STORCH H VON, ZORITA E, CUBASCH U (1993) Downscaling of climate change estimates to regional scales: an application to Iberian rainfall in winter time. J Clim 6:1161-1171
17. TRENBERTH KE (1996) Coupled climate system modelling. In: Giambelluca TW, Henderson-Sellers A (eds) Climate change. Developing southern hemisphere perspectives. Wiley, Chichester, pp 63-88
18. ZORITA E, HUGHES JP, LETTENMAIER DP, STORCH H VON (1995) Stochastic characterization of regional circulation patterns for climate model diagnosis and estimation of local precipitation. J Clim 8:1023-1042