Monitoring for policy-relevant regional trends over time

Ecological Applications

Volumn 8, Issue 2, 1998, Pages 246-257

  Urquhart, N Scott ^a   Paulsen, Steven G ^b   Larsen, David P ^b  

^a OREGON STATE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^b U S ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY   (United States)

Author keywords

Components of variance; Environmental monitoring; Policy relevant trend; Regional trend; Statistical power; Temporal sampling designs; Trend detection

Indexed keywords

ECOSYSTEM MONITORING; METHODOLOGY; TREND DETECTION;

EID: 0031966335     PISSN: 10510761     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1890/1051-0761(1998)008[0246:MFPRRO]2.0.CO;2     Document Type: Review

References (28)

1. Baker, J. R., G. D. Merritt, and D. W. Sutton. 1993. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment Program - Surface Waters. Lake field operations. Volume I: Resource group manual. EPA/620/X-93/003, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA.
2. Bickford, C. A., C. E. Mayer, and K. D. Water. 1963. An efficient sampling design for forestry inventory: the Northeast forest resurvey. Journal of Forestry 61:826-833.
3. Christensen, N. L., A. M. Bartuska, J. H. Brown, S. Carpenter, C. D'Antonio, R. Francis, J. F. Franklin, J. A. MacMahon, R. F. Noss, D. J. Parsons, C. H. Peterson, M. G. Turner, and R. G. Woodmansee. 1996. The report of the Ecological Society of America Committee on the scientific basis for ecosystem management. Ecological Applications 6:665-691.
4. Cohen, J. 1977. Statistical power analysis for the behavioural sciences. Academic Press, New York, New York, USA.
5. Cotter, J., and J. Nealon. 1989. Area frame design for agricultural surveys. Area Frame Section. Research and Applications Division, National Agricultural Statistics Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Washington, D.C., USA.
6. Duncan, G. J., and G. Kalton. 1987. Issues of design and analysis of surveys across time. International Statistical Review 55:97-117.
7. Esterby, S. R. 1993. Trend analysis methods for environmental data. Environmetrics 4:459-481.
8. Gerrodette, T. 1987. A power analysis for detecting trends. Ecology 68:1364-1372.
9. Hazard, J. W., and B. E. Law. 1988. Forest survey methods used by the USDA Forest Service. EPA/600/3-89/065. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Corvallis, Oregon, USA.
10. Jassby, A. D. 1998. Interannual variability at three inland water sites: implications for sentinel ecosystems. Ecological Applications 8:277-287.
11. Larsen, D. P., K. W. Thornton, N. S. Urquhart, and S. G. Paulsen. 1994. The role of sample surveys for monitoring the condition of the nation's lakes. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment 32:101-134.
12. Larsen, D. P., N. S. Urquhart, and D. L. Kugler. 1995. Regional-scale trend monitoring of indicators of trophic conditions of lakes. Water Resources Bulletin 31:117-140.
13. Lubchenco, J., A. M. Olson, L. B. Brubaker, S. R. Carpenter, M. M. Holland, S. P. Hubbell, S. A. Levin, J. A. MacMahon, P. A. Matson, J. M. Melillo, H. A. Mooney, C. H. Peterson, H. R. Pulliam, L. A. Real, P. J. Regal, and P. G. Risser. 1991. The sustainable biosphere initiative: an ecological research agenda. A report from the Ecological Society of America. Ecology 72:371-412.
14. Magnuson, J. J., B. J. Benson, and T. K. Kratz. 1990. Temporal coherence in the limnology of a suite of lakes in Wisconsin. U.S.A. Freshwater Biology 23:145-159.
15. Mood, A. M., F. A. Graybill, and D. C. Boes, 1974. Introduction to the theory of statistics. McGraw-Hill, New York, New York, USA.
16. Neyman, J., and E. S. Pearson. 1936. Sufficient statistics and uniformly most powerful tests of statistical hypotheses. Statistical Research Memoirs 1:113-137.
17. Osenberg, C. W., R. J. Schmitt, S. J. Holbrook, K. E. Abu-Saba. and A. R. Flegal. 1994. Detection of environmental impacts: natural variability, effect size, and power analysis. Ecological Applications 4:16-30.
18. Overton, W. S., D. White, and D. L. Stevens. 1991. Design report for EMAP, the Environmental Monitoring and Assessment Program. EPA/600/3-91/053. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, D.C., USA.
19. Searle, S. R. 1987. Linear models for unbalanced data. John Wiley and Sons, New York, New York, USA.
20. Searle, S. R., G. Casella, and C. E. McCulloch. 1992. Variance components. John Wiley and Sons, New York, New York, USA.
21. Skalski, J. R. 1990. A design for long-term monitoring. Journal of Environmental Management 30:139-144.
22. Smith, R. A., R. B. Alexander, and M. G. Wolman. 1987. Water-quality trends in the nation's rivers. Science 235: 1607-1615.
23. Stevens, D. L. 1997. Variable density grid-based sampling designs for continuous spatial populations. Environmetrics 8:167-195.
24. Stoddard, J. L., C. T. Driscoll, J. S. Kahl, and J. H. Kellogg. 1998. Can site-specific trends be extrapolated to a region? An acidification example for the Northeast. Ecological Applications 8:288-299.
25. Urquhart, N. S., W. S. Overton, and D. S. Birkes. 1993. Comparing sampling designs for the monitoring of ecological status and trends: impact of temporal patterns. Pages 71-85 in V. Barnet and K. F. Turkman, editors. Statistics for the environment. John Wiley and Sons, London, UK.
26. Urquhart, N. S., and D. L. Weeks. 1978. Linear models in messy data: some problems and alternatives. Biometrics 34:696-705.
27. VanLeeuwen, D. M., L. W. Murray, and N. S. Urquhart. 1996. A mixed model with both fixed and random trend components across time. Journal of Agricultural, Biological and Environmental Statistics 1:435-453.
28. Whittier, T. R., and S. G. Paulsen. 1992. The surface waters component of the Environmental Monitoring and Assessment Program (EMAP): an overview. Journal of Aquatic Ecosystem Health 1:119-126.