The impact of the 1993 European revision of the AIDS case definition on back-calculation estimates: An application in Italy

European Journal of Epidemiology

Volumn 14, Issue 5, 1998, Pages 427-432

  Verdecchia, Arduino ^a   Grossi, Patrizia ^a   Cantoni, Monica ^a  

^a ISTITUTO SUPERIORE DI SANITÀ   (Italy)

Author keywords

AIDS; Back calculation; Estimates; Incidence; Prevalence

Indexed keywords

ACQUIRED IMMUNE DEFICIENCY SYNDROME; ARTICLE; DISEASE CLASSIFICATION; EPIDEMIC; FEMALE; HUMAN; HUMAN IMMUNODEFICIENCY VIRUS INFECTION; INCIDENCE; INCUBATION TIME; ITALY; MALE; MATHEMATICS; MORTALITY; ONSET AGE; REGISTRATION;

ACQUIRED IMMUNODEFICIENCY SYNDROME; FEMALE; HUMANS; INCIDENCE; ITALY; MALE; POPULATION SURVEILLANCE; PREVALENCE; RISK FACTORS;

EID: 0031855195     PISSN: 03932990     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1023/A:1007474510851     Document Type: Article

References (20)

1. Centers for Disease Control. Update on acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS). MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 1982; 31: 507-514.
2. Centers for Disease Control. Revision of the CDC surveillance case definition for acquired immunodeficiency syndrome for national reporting. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 1985; 34: 373-375.
3. Centers for Disease Control. Revision of the CDC surveillance case definition for acquired immunodeficiency syndrome. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 1987; 36: 3s-15s.
4. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. 1993 revised classification system for HIV infection and expanded surveillance case-definition for AIDS among adolescents and adults. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 1992; 41: 1-19.
5. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Impact of the expanded AIDS surveillance case definition on AIDS case reporting - United States, first quarter, 1993. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep. 1993; 42: 308-310.
6. Vella S, Chiesi A, et al. Differential survival of patients with AIDS according to the 1987 and 1993 CDC case definitions. JAMA 1994; 271: 1197-1199.
7. Verdecehia A, Mariotto A, Capocaccia R, Mariotti S. An age and period reconstruction of the HIV epidemic in Italy. Int J Epidemiol 1994; 23: 1027-1039.
8. Centro Operative AIDS (COA). Aggiomamento dei casi AIDS notificati in Italia al 30 settembre 1994. Notiziario dell Istituto Superiore di Sanità, 7, 11 (Suppl.1): Novembre 1994.
9. Brookmeyer R, Liao L. The analysis of delays in disease reporting: Methods and results for the acquired immunodeficency syndrome. Am J Epidemiol 1990; 132: 355-365.
10. Numerical Algorithms Group. Generalized linear interactive modelling manual release 3.72. Oxford: Royal Statistical Society Glim, 1986.
11. Mariotto A, Mariotti S, Pezzotti P, Rezza G, Verdecchia A. Estimation of the acquired immunodeficiency syndrome incubation period in intravenous drug users: A comparison with male homosexuals. Am J Epidemiol 1992; 135: 428-437.
12. Verdecchia A, Mariotto A. A back-calculation method to estimate the age and period HIV infection intensity, considering the susceptible population. Statistics in Medicine 1995; 14: 1513-1530.
13. Capocaccia R, Caselli G. Popolazione Residente per Età e Sesso nelle Provincie Italiane. Anni 1972-1981. Universitá degli Studi di Roma La Sapienza, Dipartimento di Scienze Demografiche. Rome: Fonti e Strumenti, 1990.
14. Galli M, Musicco M, for the COMCAT Study Group. Mortality of IVDUs living in Milan, Italy: The role of HIV-1 infection. AIDS 1994; 8: 1457-1463.
15. Perucci C A, Davoli M, Rapiti E, Abeni D, Forastiere F. Mortality of intravenous drug users in Rome: A cohort study. American Journal of Public Health, 1991; 81: 1307-1310.
16. Grossi P, Cascioli R, Cantoni M, Mariotti S, Verdecchia A. Effetti stagionali ed anomalie nel sistema di notifica dell'AIDS in Italia: Uno studio sui problemi legati al ritardo di notifica. (Submitted for publication).
17. Wilson SR, Fazekas de St Groth C, Salomon PJ. Sensitivity analysis for the backcalculation method of AIDS projections. Journal of AIDS 1992; 5: 523-527.
18. Bacchetti P, Segal M, Jewell N. Uncertainty about the incubation period of AIDS and its impact on backcalculation. AIDS Epidemiology: Methodological Issues, Boston: Birkhauser, 1992.
19. Pezzotti P, Scalia-Tomba G, Rezza G. Incidenza e prevalenza delle infezioni da HIV in Italia e previsione a breve e medio termine. Istituto Superiore di Sanità; Rapporti ISTISAN 95/41, 1995.
20. Pezzotti P, Napoli PG, Rezza G, De Rosa MG. The effect of the 1993 European revision of the AIDS case definition in Italy: Implication for modelling the HIV epidemic. AIDS 1997; 11: 95-99.