Illicit substance use among adolescents: A matrix of prospective predictors

Substance Use and Misuse

Volumn 33, Issue 13, 1998, Pages 2561-2604

  Petraitis, John ^a   Flay, Brian R ^b   Miller, Todd Q ^c   Torpy, Edward J ^b   Greiner, Brenda ^b  

^a UNIVERSITY OF ALASKA ANCHORAGE   (United States)

^b UNIVERSITY OF ILLINOIS AT CHICAGO   (United States)

^c UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS MEDICAL BRANCH   (United States)

Author keywords

Illicit substances; Longitudinal; Predictors

Indexed keywords

ILLICIT DRUG;

ATTITUDE; BEHAVIOR DISORDER; EMOTIONAL STABILITY; GROUP PSYCHOLOGY; PREDICTION; PREVALENCE; PRIORITY JOURNAL; REVIEW; SMOKING; SOCIAL ASPECT; SOCIAL INTERACTION; SUBSTANCE ABUSE;

EID: 0031788116     PISSN: 10826084     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.3109/10826089809059341     Document Type: Review

References (82)

1. AJZEN, I. (1988). Attitudes, Personality and Behavior. Chicago, IL: Dorsey Press.
2. AJZEN, I., and FISHBEIN, M. (1980). Understanding Attitudes and Predicting Social Behavior. Englewood Cliffs, NJ: Prentice-Hall.
3. BAILEY, S., FLEWELLING, R. L., and RACHAL, J. V. (1992). Predicting continued use of marijuana among adolescents: The relative influence of drug-specific and social context factors. J. Health Soc. Behav. 33: 51-66.
4. BAILEY, S., and HUBBARD, R. L. (1990). Developmental variation in the context of marijuana initiation among adolescents. J. Health Soc. Behav. 31: 58-70.
5. BANDURA, A. (1982). Self-efficacy mechanism in human agency. Am. Psychol. 37: 122-147.
6. BANDURA, A. (1986). Social Foundations of Thought and Action: A Social Cognitive Theory. New York, NY: Prentice-Hall.
7. BARKLEY, R. A., FISCHER, M., EDELBROCK, C. S., and SMALLISH, L. (1990). The adolescent outcome of hyperactive children diagnosed by research criteria: I. An 8-year prospective follow-up study. J. Am. Acad. Child Adolesc. Psychiatry 29: 546-557.
8. BAUMRIND, D. (1985). Familial antecedents of adolescent drug use: A developmental perspective. In C. L. Jones and R. J. Battjes (Eds.), Etiology of Drug Abuse: Implications for Prevention (pp. 13-44). Rockville, MD: National Institute on Drug Abuse, Research Monograph 56.
9. BLOCK, J., BLOCK, J. H., and KEYES, S. (1988). Longitudinally foretelling drug usage in adolescence: Early childhood personality and environmental precursors. Child Dev. 52: 336-355.
10. BROOK, J. S., BROOK, D. W., GORDON, A. S., WHITEMAN, M., and COHEN, P. (1990). The psychosocial etiology of adolescent drug use: A family interactional approach. Genet. Soc. Gen. Psychol. Monogr. 116: 111-267.
11. DEMBO, R., WILLIAMS, L., LAVOIE, L., SCHMEIDLER, J., KERN, J., GETREU, A., BERRY, E., GENUNG, L., and WISH, E. D. (1990). A longitudinal study of the relationships among alcohol use, marijuana/hashish use, cocaine use, and emotional/psychological functioning problems in a cohort of high-risk youth. Int. J. Addict. 25: 1341-1382.
12. ELLICKSON, P. L., HAYS, R. D., and BELL, R. M. (1992). Stepping through the drug use sequence: Longitudinal scalogram analysis of initiation and regular use. J. Abnorm. Psychol. 101: 441-451.
13. ELLIOTT, D. S., HUIZINGA, D., and AGETON, S. S. (1985). Explaining Delinquency and Drug Use. Beverly Hills, CA: Sage.
14. ENSMINGER, M. E., BROWN, C. H., and KELLAM, S. G. (1982). Sex differences in antecedents of substance use among adolescents. J. Soc. Issues 38: 25-42.
15. FARRELL, A. D. (1993). Risk factors for drug use in urban adolescents: A three-wave longitudinal study. J. Drug Issues 23: 443-462.
16. FERGUSSON, D. M., LYNSKEY, M. T., and HORWOOD, L. J. (1993). Conduct problems and attention deficit behaviour in middle childhood and cannabis use by age 15. Aust. N. Z. J. Psychiatry 27: 673-682.
17. FISHBEIN, M., and AJZEN, I. (1975). Beliefs, Attitude, Intention and Behavior: An Introduction to Theory and Research. Reading, MA: Addison-Wesley.
18. FLAY, B. R., MILLER, T. Q., and KOEPKE, D. (1989). Grade 7 Correlates of Onset of Substance Experimentation and Use by Grade 9. Unpublished manuscript, University of Illinois at Chicago.
19. FLAY, B. R., and PETRAITIS, J. (1991). Methodological issues in drug abuse prevention research: Theoretical foundations. In C. Leukefeld and W. Bukoski (Eds.), Drug Abuse and Prevention Research: Methodological Issues. Washington, DC: National Institute of Drug Abuse Research Monographs.
20. FLAY, B. R., and PETRAITIS, J. (1994). The theory of triadic influence: A new theory of health behavior with implications for preventive interventions. In G. Albrecht (Ed.), Advances in Medical Sociology, Vol. 4 (pp. 19-44). Greenwich, CT: JAI Press.
21. FLEMING, J. P., KELLAM, S. G., and BROWN, C. H. (1982). Early predictors of age of first use of alcohol, marijuana, and cigarettes. Drug Alcohol Depend. 9: 285-303.
22. FRIEDMAN, A. S., UTADA, A. T., GLICKMAN, N. W., and MORRISSEY, M. R. (1987). Psychopathology as an antecedent to, and as a "consequence" of, substance use in adolescence. J. Drug Educ. 17: 233-244.
23. GOLDBERG, L. R. (1993). The structure of phenotypic personality traits. Am. Psychol. 41: 26-34.
24. HAMMER, T. (1992). Unemployment and use of drug and alcohol among young people: A longitudinal study in the general population. Br. J. Addict. 87: 1571-1581.
25. HANSELL, S., and MECHANIC, D. (1990). Parent and peer effects on adolescent health behavior. In K. Hurrelmann and F. Losel (Eds.), Health Hazards in Adolescence: Prevention and Intervention in Childhood and Adolescence, Vol. 8 (pp. 43-65). New York, NY: Walter de Gruyter.
26. HANSELL, S., and WHITE, H. R. (1991). Adolescent drug use, psychological distress, and physical symptoms. J. Health Soc. Behav. 32: 288-301.
27. HAWKINS, J. D., CATALANO, R. F., and MILLER, J. Y. (1992). Risk and protective factors for alcohol and other drug problems in adolescence and early adulthood: Implications for substance abuse prevention. Psychol. Bull. 112: 64-105.
28. HUBA, G. J., WINGARD, J. A., and BENTLER, P. M. (1980). Longitudinal analysis of the role of peer support, adult models, and peer subcultures in beginning adolescent substance use: An application of setwise canonical correlation methods. Multivar. Behav. Res. 15: 259-279.
29. HUBA, G. J., WINGARD, J. A., and BENTLER, P. M. (1981). Intentions to use drugs among adolescents: A longitudinal analysis. Int. J. Addict. 16: 331-339.
30. JESSOR, R., DONOVAN, J. E., and COSTA, F. M. (1991). Beyond Adolescence: Problem Behavior and Young Adult Development. New York, NY: Cambridge University Press.
31. JESSOR, R., and JESSOR, S. L. (1977). Problem Behavior and Psychosocial Development. New York, NY: Academic Press.
32. JOHNSON, C. A., PENTZ, M. A., WEBER, M. D., DWYER, J. H., BAER, N., MACKINNON, D. P., HANSEN, W. B., and FLAY, B. R. (1990). Relative effectiveness of comprehensive community programming for drug abuse prevention with high-risk and low-risk adolescents. J. Consult. Clin. Psychol. 58: 447-456.
33. JOHNSON, R. J., and KAPLAN, H. B. (1990). Stability of psychological symptoms: Drug use consequences and intervening processes. J. Health Soc. Behav. 31: 277-291.
34. JOHNSON, V. (1988). Adolescent alcohol and marijuana use: A longitudinal assessment of a social learning perspective. Am. J. Drug Alcohol Abuse 14: 419-439.
35. JOHNSON, V., and PANDINA, R. J. (1991). Effects of family environment on adolescent substance use, delinquency, and coping styles. Am. J. Drug Alcohol Abuse 17: 71-88.
36. JOHNSTON, L. D. (1991). Toward a theory of drug epidemics. In L. Donohew, H. E. Sypher, and W. J. Bukoski (Eds.), Persuasive Communication and Drug Abuse Prevention. Hillsdale, NJ: Lawrence Earlbaum Associates.
37. JOHNSTON, L. D., O'MALLEY, P. M., and EVELAND, L. (1978). Drugs and delinquency: A search for causal connections. In D. B. Kandel (Ed.), Longitudinal Research on Drug Use: Empirical Findings and Methodological Issues (pp. 137-156). Washington, DC: Hemisphere.
38. KANDEL, D. B. (1980). Developmental stages in adolescent drug involvement. In D. J. Lettieri, M. Sayers, and H. W. Pearson (Eds.), Theories of Drug Abuse: Selected Contemporary Perspectives (pp. 120-127). Rockville, MD: National Institute on Drug Abuse, Research Monograph 30.
39. KANDEL, D. B. (1989). Issues of sequencing of adolescent drug use and other problem behaviors. Drugs Soc. 3: 55-76.
40. KANDEL, D. B., KESSLER, R. C., and MARGULIES, R. Z. (1978). Antecedents of adolescent initiation into stages of drug use: A developmental analysis. In D. B. Kandel (Ed.), Longitudinal Research on Drug Use: Empirical Findings and Methodological Issues (pp. 73-99). Washington, DC: Hemisphere.
41. KANDEL, D., SIMCHA-FAGAN, O., and DAVIES, M. (1986). Risk factors for delinquency and illicit drug use from adolescence to young adulthood. J. Drug Issues 16: 67-90.
42. KAPLAN, H. B., MARTIN, S. S., JOHNSON, R. J., and ROBBINS, C. (1986). Escalation of marijuana use: Application of a general theory of deviant behavior. J. Health Soc. Behav. 27: 44-61.
43. KAPLAN, H. B., MARTIN, S. S., and ROBBINS, C. (1982). Application of a general theory of deviant behavior: Self-derogation and adolescent drug use. J. Health Soc. Behav. 23: 274-294.
44. KAPLAN, H. B., MARTIN, S. S., and ROBBINS, C. (1984). Pathways to adolescent drug use: Self-derogation, peer influence, weakening of social controls, and early substance use. J. Health Soc. Behav. 25: 270-289.
45. KELLAM, S. G., BROWN, C. H., and FLEMING, J. P. (1982). The prevention of teenage substance use: Longitudinal research and strategy. In T. J. Coates, A. C. Peterson, and C. Perry (Eds.), Promoting Adolescent Health: A Dialogue on Research and Practice (pp. 171-200). New York, NY: Academic Press.
46. KELLAM, S. G., BROWN, C. H., RUBIN, B. R., and ENSMINGER, M. E. (1983). Paths leading to teenage psychiatric symptoms and substance use: Developmental epidemiological studies in Woodlawn. In S. B. Guze, F. J. Earls, and J. E. Barrett (Eds.), Childhood Psychopathology and Development (pp. 17-51). New York, NY: Raven Press.
47. LERNER, J. V., and VICARY, J. R. (1984). Difficult temperament and drug use: Analyses from the New York Longitudinal Study. J. Drug Educ. 14: 1-8.
48. LETTIERI, D. J., SAYERS, M., and PEARSON, H. W. (Eds.) (1980). Theories on Drug Abuse: Selected Contemporary Perspectives. Rockville, MD: National Institute on Drug Abuse, Research Monograph 30.
49. LEVY, S. J., and PIERCE, J. P. (1990). Predictors of marijuana use and uptake among teenagers in Sydney, Australia. Int. J. Addict. 25: 1179-1193.
50. MADDAHIAN, E., NEWCOMB, M. D., and BENTLER, P. M. (1988). Adolescent drug use and intentions to use drugs: Concurrent and longitudinal analyses of four ethnic groups. Addict. Behav. 13: 191-195.
51. MCBRIDE, A. A., JOE, G. W., and SIMPSON, D. D. (1991). Prediction of long-term alcohol use, drug use, and criminality among inhalant users. Hisp. J. Behav. Sci. 13: 315-323.
52. MILLER, T. Q. (1994). A test of alternative explanations for the stage-like progression of adolescent substance use in four national samples. Addict. Behav. 19(3): 287-293.
53. MILLER, T. Q., and FLAY, B. R. (1993). A Framework for Understanding Why Adolescents Experiment with Alcohol and Cigarettes before Marijuana. Unpublished manuscript, Prevention Research Center, University of Illinois at Chicago.
54. MONCHER, M. S., HOLDEN, G. W., and SCHINKE, S. P. (1991). Psychosocial correlates of adolescent substance use: A review of current etiological constructs. Int. J. Addict. 26: 377-414.
55. NEWCOMB, M. D., and BENTLER, P. M. (1986). Frequency and sequence of drug use: A longitudinal study from early adolescence to young adulthood. J. Drug Educ. 16: 101-120.
56. NEWCOMB, M. D., and BENTLER, P. M. (1987). Changes in drug use from high school to young adulthood: Effects of living arrangement and current life pursuit. J. Appl. Dev. Psychol. 8: 221-246.
57. PANDINA, R. J., and JOHNSON, V. (1990). Serious alcohol and drug problems among adolescents with a family history of alcoholism. J. Stud. Alcohol 51: 278-282.
58. PEDERSEN, W. (1991). Mental health, sensation seeking and drug use patterns: A longitudinal study. Br. J. Addict. 86: 195-204.
59. PETRAITIS, J., FLAY, B. R., and MILLER, T. Q. (1995). Reviewing theories of adolescent substance use: Organizing pieces in the puzzle. Psychol. Bull. 117: 67-86.
60. ROBINS, L. N., and PRZYBECK, T. R. (1985). Age of onset of drug use as a factor in drug and other disorders. In C. L. Jones and R. J. Battjes (Eds.), Etiology of Drug Abuse: Implications for Prevention (pp. 178-192). Rockville, MD: National Institute on Drug Abuse, Research Monograph 56.
61. ROSENTHAL, R. (1984). Meta-analytic Procedures for Social Research. Beverly Hills, CA: Sage.
62. SCHULENBERG, J., BACHMAN, J. G., O'MALLEY, P. M., and JOHNSTON, L. D. (1994). High school educational success and subsequent substance use: A panel analysis following adolescents into young adulthood. J. Health Soc. Behav. 35: 45-62.
63. SHADISH, W. R. (1996). Meta-analysis and the exploration of causal mediating processes: A primer of examples, methods, and issues. Psychol. Methods 1: 47-65.
64. SHEDLER, J., and BLOCK, J. (1990). Adolescent drug use and psychological health. Am. Psychol. 45: 612-630.
65. SIMCHA-FAGAN, O., GERSTEN, J. C., and LANGER, T. S. (1986). Early precursors and concurrent correlates of patterns of illicit drug use in adolescence. J. Drug Issues 16: 7-28.
66. SIMONS, R. L., CONGER, R. D., and WHITBECK, L. B. (1988). A multistage social learning model of the influences of family and peers upon adolescent substance abuse. J. Drug Issues 18: 293-315.
67. SMITH, G. M., and FOGG, C. P. (1978). Psychological predictors of early use, late use, and non-use of marijuana among teenage students. In D. B. Kandel (Ed.), Longitudinal Research on Drug Use: Empirical Findings and Methodological Issues (pp. 101-113). Washington, DC: Hemisphere.
68. SMITH, G. M., and FOGG, C. P. (1979). Psychological antecedents of teen-age drug use. Res. Commun. Ment. Health 1: 87-102.
69. STEIN, J. A., NEWCOMB, M. D., and BENTLER, P. M. (1986). The relationship of gender, social conformity, and substance use: A longitudinal study. Bull. Soc. Psychol. Addict. Behav. 5: 125-138.
70. STEIN, J. A., NEWCOMB, M. D., and BENTLER, P. M. (1987a). An 8-year study of multiple influences on drug use and drug use consequences. J. Pers. Soc. Psychol. 53: 1094-1105.
71. STEIN, J. A., NEWCOMB, M. D., and BENTLER, P. M. (1987b). Personality and drug use: Reciprocal effects across four years. Pers. Indiv. Differences 8: 419-430.
72. TEICHMAN, M., BARNEA, Z., and RAVAV, G. (1989). Personality and substance use among adolescents: A longitudinal study. Br. J. Addict. 84: 181-190.
73. VANKAMMEN, W. B., and LOEBER, R. (1994). Are fluxuations in delinquent activities related to the onset and offset in juvenile illegal drug use and drug dealing? J. Drug Issues 24: 9-24.
74. VICARY, J. R., and LERNER, J. V. (1983). Longitudinal perspectives on drug use: Analyses from the New York longitudinal study. J. Drug Educ. 13: 275-285.
75. VICARY, J. R., and LERNER, J. V. (1986). Parental attributes and adolescent drug use. J. Adolesc. 9: 115-122.
76. WENG, L., and NEWCOMB, M. D. (1989). Predicting changes in teenage drug use: The role of intention-behavior discrepancy. Genet. Soc. Gen. Psychol. Monogr. 115: 25-48.
77. WHITE, H. R. (1992). Early problem behavior and later drug use. J. Res. Crime Delinq. 29: 412-429.
78. WHITE, H. R., PANDINA, R. J., and LAGRANGE, R. (1987). Longitudinal predictors of serious substance use and delinquency. Criminology 3: 715-740.
79. WILLS, T. A BAKER, E., and BOTVIN, G. J. (1989). Dimensions of assertiveness: Differential relationships to substance use in early adolescence. J. Consult. Clin. Psychol. 57: 473-478.
80. WINDEL, M. (1989). Substance use and abuse among adolescent runaways: A four-year follow-up study. J. Youth Adolesc. 18: 331-344.
81. WINDEL, M. (1990). A longitudinal study of antisocial behaviors in early adolescence as predictors of late adolescent substance use: Gender and ethnic group differences. J. Abnorm. Psychol. 99: 86-91.
82. WINEFIELD, A. H., TIGGEMANN, M., WINEFIELD, H. R., and GOLDNEY, R. D. (1993). Growing Up with Unemployment: A Longitudinal Study of Its Psychological Impact. London: Routledge.