The expiry date of man: A synthesis of evolutionary biology and public health

Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health

Volumn 52, Issue 10, 1998, Pages 619-623

  Bonneux, Luc ^a   Barendregt, Jan J ^a   Van Der Maas, Paul J ^a  

^a ERASMUS UNIVERSITY ROTTERDAM   (Netherlands)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

HEALTH CARE; MEDICAL GEOGRAPHY; MORBIDITY; MORTALITY;

ARTICLE; DEATH; DEGENERATIVE DISEASE; EVOLUTION; HEALTH CARE NEED; HUMAN; LIFESPAN; MORBIDITY; MORTALITY; PUBLIC HEALTH; REPRODUCTION; SENESCENCE; SURVIVAL;

EID: 0031686470     PISSN: 0143005X     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1136/jech.52.10.619     Document Type: Article

References (45)

1. Bennet N, Olshansky S. Forecasting US age structure and the future of social security: the impact of adjustments to official mortality schedules. Population and Development Review 1996;22:703-27.
2. Jorm AF, Korten AE, Jacomb PA. Projected increases in the number of dementia cases for 29 developed countries: application of a new method for making projections. Acta Psychiatr Scand 1988;78:493-500.
3. Schneider EL, Guralnik JM. The aging of America. Impact on health care costs. JAMA 1990;263:2335-40.
4. Bonneux L, Barendregt JJ, Meeter K, Bonsel GJ, van der Maas PJ. Estimating clinical morbidity due to ischemic heart disease and congestive heart failure: the future rise of heart failure. Am J Public Health 1994;84:20-8.
5. Carnes BA, Olshansky SJ, Grahn D. Continuing the search for a law of mortality. Population and Development review 1996;22:231-64.
6. Medawar PB. An unsolved problem in biology. London: Lewis, 1952.
7. Kirkwood TBL. Comparative and evolutionary aspects of longevity. In: Finch CE, Schneider EL, eds. Handbook of the biology of aging. New York: Van Nostrand Reinhold, 1985: 27-44.
8. Kirkwood TB. Comparative life spans of species: why do species have the life spans they do? Am J Clin Nutr 1992;55:1191-5S.
9. Kirkwood TB, Rose MR. Evolution of senescence: late survival sacrificed for reproduction. Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci 1991;332:15-24.
10. Jazwinski SM. Longevity, genes and aging. Science 1996; 273:54-9.
11. Dawkins R. The selfish gene (new edition). New York: Oxford University Press, 1989.
12. Darwin C. On the origin of species. London: John Murray, 1859.
13. Dawkins R. The extended phenotype. New York: Oxford University Press, 1989.
14. Dawkins R. River out of Eden. London: Phoenix, Orion Books, 1995.
15. Williams GC. Pleiotropy, natural selection and the evolution of scenescence. Evolution 1957;22:398-411.
16. Kirkwood TB. Evolution of ageing. Nature 1977;270:301-4.
17. Parker GA, Maynard-Smith J. Optimality theory in evolutionary biology. Nature 1990;348:27-33.
18. Partridge L, Barton NH. Optimality, mutation and the evolution of ageing. Nature 1993;362:305-11.
19. Sacher GA. Mammalian life histories: their evolution and molecular-genetic mechanisms. Adv Pathobiol 1980;7:21-42.
20. Harvey PH, Glutton-Brock TH. Life history variation in primates. Evolution 1985;39:559-81.
21. Kirkwood TB, Franceschi C. Is aging as complex as it would appear? New perspectives in aging research. Ann N Y Acad Sci 1992;663:412-17.
22. Weindruch R. Caloric restriction and aging. Sci Am 1996;274:46-52.
23. Sohal RS, Weindruch R. Oxidative stress, caloric restriction, and aging. Science 1996;273:59-63.
24. Meerding WJ, Bonneux L, Polder JJ, et al. Demographic and epidemiological determinants of healthcare costs in the Netherlands: costs of illness study. BMJ 1988;317:111-15.
25. Manton KG, Tolley HD. Rectangularization of the survival curve. Implications of an ill posed question. J Aging Health 1991;3:172-93.
26. Kirkwood T. How can we live forever? BMJ 1996;313:1571.
27. Peto R, Lopez AD, Boreham J, Thun M, Heath C Jr, Doll R. Mortality from smoking worldwide. Br Med Bull 1996;52: 12-21.
28. Gunning-Schepers L. The health benefits of prevention: a simulation approach. J Health Policy 1989;12/1-2:93-129.
29. Tsevat J, Weinstein M, Williams L, Tosteston A, Goldman L. Expected gains in life expectancy from various coronary heart disease risk factor modifications. Circulation 1991;83: 1194-201.
30. Manton KG, Stallard E. Chronic disease modelling. London, England: Charles Griffins, 1988.
31. Manton KG, Stallard E. Longevity in the united states: age and sex-specific evidence on life span limits from mortality patterns 1960-1990. J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci 1996;51: B362-75.
32. Olshansky S, Carnes B, Cassel C. In search of Methuselah: estimating the upper limits to human longevity. Science 1990;250:634-40.
33. Bonneux L, Looman CW, Barendregt JJ, Van der Maas PJ. Regression analysis of recent changes in cardiovascular mortality and morbidity in the Netherlands. BMJ 1997; 314:789-92.
34. Hahn RA, Eberhardt S. Life expectancy in four U.S. racial/ ethnic populations: 1990. Epidemiology 1995;6:350-5.
35. Rosenwaike I. A note on new estimates of the mortality of the extreme aged. Demography 1981;18:257-66.
36. Kannisto V, Lauritsen J, Thatcher A, Vaupel J. Reductions in mortality at advanced ages: Several decades of evidence from 27 countries. Population and Development Review 1994;20:793-810.
37. Omran AR. The epidemiologic transition: a theory of the epidemiology of population change. Milbank Memorial Fund Quarterly 1971;49:509-38.
38. Van Hoorn WD. Mortality: trends, backgrounds and forecast. Monthly population statistics. Voorburg Heerlen: Statistics Netherlands, 1997:10-15.
39. Peccei JS. A hypothesis for the origin and evolution of menopause. Maturitas 1995;21:83-9.
40. Fries JF. Aging, natural death, and the compression of morbidity. N Engl J Med 1980;303:130-5.
41. Bonita R. Epidemiology of stroke. Lancet 1992;339:342-4.
42. Murray CJL, Lopez AD. Regional patterns of disability free life expectancy and disability adjusted life expectancy. The global burden of disease study. Lancet 1997;349:1347-52.
43. Barendregt JJ, Nusselder WJ, Bonneux L. Global burden of disease. [Letter]. Lancet 1997;350:142-3.
44. Olshansky SJ, Ault AB. The fourth stage of the epidemiologic transition: the age of delayed degenerative disease. Milbank Memorial Fund Quarterly 1986;49:355-91.
45. Manton KG, Corder L, Stallard E. Chronic disability trends in elderly United States populations: 1982-1994. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 1997;94:2593-8.