Dairy Cow Culling Strategies: Making Economical Culling Decisions

Journal of Dairy Science

Volumn 81, Issue 1, 1998, Pages 264-271

  Lehenbauer, Terry W ^a,c   Oltjen, James W ^b  

^a VETERANS AFFAIRS MEDICAL CENTER   (United States)

^b UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA   (United States)

^c OKLAHOMA STATE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

Author keywords

Culling; Dairy; Decision support system

Indexed keywords

BOS TAURUS;

ANIMAL; CATTLE; CATTLE DISEASE; DAIRYING; ECONOMICS; FEMALE; LACTATION; METHODOLOGY; PREGNANCY; REVIEW;

ANIMALS; CATTLE; DAIRYING; FEMALE; LACTATION; MASTITIS, BOVINE; PREGNANCY;

EID: 0031607503     PISSN: 00220302     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.3168/jds.S0022-0302(98)75575-4     Document Type: Conference Paper

References (68)

1. Allaire, F. R. 1981. Economic consequences of replacing cows with genetically improved heifers. J. Dairy Sci. 64:1985-1995.
2. Appleman, R. D. 1978. Replacement economics. Page 512 in Large Dairy Herd Management. C. J. Wilcox, H. H. Van Horn, B. Harris, Jr., H. H. Head, S. P. Marshall, W. W. Thatcher, D. W. Webb, and J. M. Wing, ed. Univ. Presses Florida, Gainesville.
3. Balaine, D. S., R. E. Pearson, and R. H. Miller. 1981. Profit functions in dairy cattle and effect of measures of efficiency and prices. J. Dairy Sci. 64:87-95.
4. Beaudeau, F., V. Ducrocq, C. Fourichon, and H. Seegers. 1995. Effect of disease on length of productive life of French Holstein dairy cows assessed by survival analysis. J. Dairy Sci. 78: 103-117.
5. Beck, H. S., W. S. Wise, and F. H. Dodd. 1992. Cost benefit analysis of bovine mastitis in the UK. J. Dairy Res. 59:449-460.
6. Ben-Ari, Y., I. Amir, and S. Sharar. 1983. Operational replacement decision model for dairy herds. J. Dairy Sci. 66: 1747-1759.
7. Blosser, T. H. 1979. Economic losses from and the national research program on mastitis in the United States. J. Dairy Sci. 62:119-127.
8. Bradford, G., and D. Reid. 1982. Theoretical and empirical problems in modeling optimal replacement of farm machines South. J. Agric. Econ. 14:109.
9. Burt, O. R. 1993. Decision rules for the dynamic animal feeding problem. Am. J. Agric. Econ. 75:190.
10. Cassell, B. G. 1994. Using somatic cell score evaluations for management decisions. J. Dairy Sci. 77:2130-2136.
11. Chisholm, A. H. 1966. Criteria for determining the optimum replacement pattern. J. Farm Econ. 48:107-112.
12. Congleton, W. R., Jr. 1988. Dairy cow culling decision. 3. Risk of culling on predicted income (an application of Bayes criterion) J. Dairy Sci. 71:1916-1925.
13. Congleton, W. R., Jr., A. R. Corey, and C. A. Roberts. 1988. Dairy cow culling decision. 1. Techniques for evaluating the effect on herd income. J. Dairy Sci. 71:1897-1904.
14. Congleton, W. R., Jr., and L. W. King. 1985. Culling cows on predicted future profitability with a variable planning horizon. J. Dairy Sci. 68:2970-2983.
15. DeLorenzo, M. A. 1992. Economic analysis in dairy management. Pages 698-708 in Large Dairy Herd Management. H. H. Van Horn and C. J. Wilcox, ed. Am. Dairy Sci. Assoc., Champaign, IL.
16. DeLorenzo, M. A., T. H. Spreen, G. R. Bryan, D. K. Beede, and J.A.M. Van Arendonk. 1992. Optimizing model: insemination, replacement, seasonal production, and cash flow. J. Dairy Sci. 75:885-896.
17. Deluyker, H. A. 1991. Milk yield fluctuations associated with mastitis. Page 207 in New Insights into the Pathogenesis of Mastitis. C. Burvenich, G. Vandeputte-Van Messom, and A. W. Hill, ed. Vlaams Diergeneeskundig Tijdschrift, Gent, Belgium.
18. Dijkhuizen, A. A., J. Stelwagen, and J. A. Renkema. 1985. Economic aspects of reproductive failure in dairy cattle. II. The decision to replace animals. Prev. Vet. Med. 3:265-276.
19. Dobbins, C. N., Jr. 1977. Mastitis losses. JAVMA 170: 1129-1132.
20. Farin, P. W., B. D. Slenning, M. T. Correa, and J. H. Britt. 1994. Effects of calving season and milk yield on pregnancy risk and income in North Carolina Holstein cows. J Dairy Sci. 77: 1848-1855.
21. Fetrow, J. 1988. Culling dairy cows. Page 102 in Proc. 20th Annu. Am. Assoc. Bovine Pract. Conv., Phoenix, AZ. Frontier Printers, Inc., Stillwater, OK.
22. France, J., and J.H.M. Thornley. 1984. Role of mathematical models in agriculture and agricultural research. Page 1 in Mathematical Models in Agriculture. Butterworth & Co. Ltd., London, United Kingdom.
23. Galligan, D. T., C. Ramberg, and C. Curtis. 1991. Application of portfolio theory in decision tree analysis. J. Dairy Sci. 74: 2138-2144.
24. Galligan, D. T., C. Ramberg, C. Curtis, and C. Johnstone. 1993. Adjustment for the competitive risk of culling in financial evaluation of health programs. Prev. Vet. Med. 16:15.
25. Gane, M., ed. 1968. Martin Faustmann and the Evolution of Discounted Cash Flow. Univ. Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.
26. Genske, G. B., and P. M. Mulder. 1994. Average of Top 25% of Our Dairy Clients (Sept. 30). Genske, Mulder & Co. (Certified Public Accountants), Chino, CA.
27. Gill, G. S., and F. R. Allaire. 1976. Relationship of age at first calving, days open, days dry, and herdlife to a profit function for dairy cattle. J. Dairy Sci. 59:1131-1139.
28. Halladay, D. 1996. Dairy numbers dip 5,904 more. West. Dairyman 77(12):14.
29. Harris, B. L. 1988. Optimal replacement on New Zealand seasonal supply dairy farms. Proc. N.Z. Anim. Prod. Soc. 48:243.
30. Harris, B. L. 1990. Recursive stochastic programming applied to dairy cow replacement. Agric. Syst. 34:53-64.
31. Houben, E.H.P., R.B.M. Huirne, A. A. Dijkhuizen, and A. R. Kristensen. 1994. Optimal replacement of mastitic cows determined by a hierarchic Markov process. J. Dairy Sci. 77: 2975-2993.
32. Janzen, J. J. 1970. Economic losses resulting from mastitis. A review. J. Dairy Sci. 53:1151-1161.
33. Jenkins, K. B., and A. N. Halter. 1963. A multi-stage stochastic replacement decision model (application to replacement of dairy cows). Tech. Bull. 67. Oregon State Univ., Agric. Exp. Stn., Corvallis.
34. Kay, R. D., and E. Rister. 1976. Effects of tax depreciation policy and investment incentives on optimal equipment replacement decision: comment. Am. J. Agric. Econ. 58:355-358.
35. Kennedy, J.O.S., and A. W. Stott. 1993. An adaptive decision-making aid for dairy cow replacement. Agric. Syst. 42:25-39.
36. Kristensen, A. R. 1986. A model to describe and predict the production and food intake of the dairy cow. Acta Agric. Scand. 36:305-317.
37. Kristensen, A. R. 1987. Optimal replacement and ranking of dairy cows determined by a hierarchic Markov process. Livest. Prod. Sci. 16:131-144.
38. Kristensen, A. R. 1989. Optimal replacement and ranking of dairy cows under milk quotas. Acta Agric. Scand. 39:311-318.
39. Kristensen, A. R., and E. Jorgensen. 1995. The application of Markov decision processes as a framework for decision support in animal production. Page 136 in Proc. FACTs 95: Farm Animal Computer Technologies Conf., Orlando, FL. L. Jones, ed. Cornell Univ., Ithaca, NY.
40. Lee, L. A., J. D. Ferguson, and D. T. Galligan. 1989. Effect of disease on days open assessed by survival analysis. J. Dairy Sci. 72:1020-1026.
41. Lin, W., G. W. Dean, and C. V. Moore. 1974. An empirical test of utility vs. profit maximization in agricultural production. Am. J. Agric. Econ. 56:497-508.
42. Modigliani, F., and G. A. Pogue. 1974. An introduction to risk and return. Financial Anal. J. 30:68.
43. Morin, D. E., G. C. Peterson, H. L. Whitmore, L. L. Hungerford, and R. A. Hinton. 1993. Economic analysis of a mastitis monitoring and control program in four dairy herds. JAVMA 202:540-548.
44. Morse, D., M. A. DeLorenzo, C. J. Wilcox, R. P. Natzke, and D. R. Bray. 1987. Occurrence and recurrence of clinical mastitis. J. Dairy Sci. 70:2168-2175.
45. Natzke, R. P., and R. W. Everett. 1975. The elimination of mastitis by culling. Page 303 in Proc. IDF Seminar on Mastitis Control. F. H. Dodd, T. K. Griffin, and R. G. Kingwill, ed. Int. Dairy Fed., Brussels, Belgium.
46. Nicholson, W. 1989. Choice in uncertain situations. Page 237 in Microeconomic Theory: Basic Principles and Extensions. 4th ed. Dryden Press, Chicago, IL.
47. Norman, H. D., B. G. Cassell, R. E. Pearson, and G. R. Wiggans. 1981. Relation of first lactation production and conformation to lifetime performance and profitability in Jerseys. J. Dairy Sci. 64:104-113.
48. Perrin, R. K. 1972. Asset replacement principles. Am. J. Agric. Econ. 54:60-67.
49. Quesenberry, N. C., and F. D. Murrill. 1983. Dairy Herd Improvement Records and Their Use. Univ. California Coop. Ext., Davis.
50. Radostits, O. M., K. E. Leslie, and J. Fetrow. 1994. Culling and genetic improvement programs for dairy herds. Page 159 in Herd Health: Food Animal Production Medicine. 2nd ed. W. B. Saunders Co., Philadelphia, PA.
51. Rogers, G. W., J.A.M. Van Arendonk, and B. T. McDaniel. 1988. Influence of production and prices on optimum culling rates and annualized net revenue. J. Dairy Sci. 71:3453-3462.
52. Rogers, G. W., J.A.M. Van Arendonk, and B. T. McDaniel. 1988. Influence of involuntary culling on optimum culling rates and annualized net revenue. J. Dairy Sci. 71:3463-3469.
53. Smith, B. J. 1973. The dairy cow replacement problem: an application of dynamic programming. Agric. Exp. Stn., Tech. Bull. 745. Univ. Florida, Gainesville.
54. Smith, B. J. 1973. Dynamic programming of the dairy cow replacement problem. Am. J. Agric. Econ. 55:100-104.
55. Smith, R. M., J. F. Taylor, J. P. Walter, M. A. Tomaszewski, C. G. Woelfel, and D. J. Leatham. 1993. Seasonal effects on income over feed and replacement costs. J. Dairy Sci. 76: 1678-1692.
56. Stott, A. W., and J.O.S. Kennedy. 1993. The economics of culling dairy cows with clinical mastitis. Vet. Rec. 133:495-499.
57. Thysen, I. 1988. Application of event time analysis to replacement, health and reproduction data in dairy cattle research. Prev. Vet. Med. 5:239-250.
58. Tigges, R. J., R. E. Pearson, and W. E. Vinson. 1986. Prediction of lifetime relative net income from first lactation production and individual type traits in Holstein cows. J. Dairy Sci. 69: 204-210.
59. Tomaszewski, M. A. 1991. Estimated relative producing ability list (ERPA) DHI-206. Page 38 in DHI Manual. Dairy Rec. Processing Ctr., Raleigh, NC.
60. Tronstad, R., and R. Gum. 1992. Reducing the interpretive dimensionality curse of dynamic programming with CART: an application to range cow culling decisions. Proc. Papers 1992 Annu. Mtg. West. Agric. Econ. Assoc., Colorado Springs, CO.
61. Van Arendonk, J.A.M. 1985. A model to estimate the performance, revenues, and costs of dairy cows under different production and price situations. Agric. Syst. 16:157-189.
62. Van Arendonk, J.A.M. 1985. Studies on the replacement policies in dairy cattle. II. Optimum policy and influence of changes in production and prices. Livest. Prod. Sci. 13:101-121.
63. Van Arendonk, J.A.M. 1986. Studies on the replacement policies in dairy cattle. IV. Influences of seasonal variation in performance and prices. Livest. Prod. Sci. 14:15-28.
64. Van Arendonk, J.A.M. 1988. Management guides for insemination and replacement decisions. J. Dairy Sci. 71:1050-1057.
65. Van Arendonk, J.A.M. 1991. Use of profit equations to determine relative economic value of dairy cattle herd life and production from field data. J. Dairy Sci. 74:1101-1107.
66. Van Arendonk, J.A.M., and A. A. Dijkhuizen. 1985. Studies on the replacement policies in dairy cattle. III. Influence of variation in reproduction and production. Livest. Prod. Sci. 13: 333-349.
67. Wilmink, J.B.M. 1987. Comparison of different methods of predicting 305-day milk yield using means calculated from within-herd lactation curves. Livest. Prod. Sci. 17:1-18.
68. Jones, T. 1997. Empirical Bayes prediction of 305-day milk production. J. Dairy Sci. 80:1060-1075.