메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 30, Issue 1, 1998, Pages 15-32

The interacting effects of prices and weather on population cycles in a preindustrial community

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ARTICLE; BIRTH RATE; CHILD NUTRITION; CORRELATION FUNCTION; ECONOMICS; ENVIRONMENTAL TEMPERATURE; EPIDEMIC; FAMILY; FOOD; GRAIN; HUMAN; HUNGER; MALNUTRITION; MIGRATION; MORTALITY; NUTRITIONAL HEALTH; OSCILLATION; POPULATION DYNAMICS; SMALLPOX; TIME; UNITED KINGDOM; WEATHER; WINTER;

EID: 0031597733     PISSN: 00219320     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1017/S0021932098000157     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (15)

References (58)
  • 1
    • 6844266678 scopus 로고
    • The decline in Danish mortality before 1850 and its economic and social background
    • Edited by T. G. Bengtsson, G. Fridlizius & R. Ohlsson. Almquist and Wiksell, Stockholm
    • ANDERSEN, O. (1984) The decline in Danish mortality before 1850 and its economic and social background. In: Pre-industrial Population Change, pp. 115-126. Edited by T. G. Bengtsson, G. Fridlizius & R. Ohlsson. Almquist and Wiksell, Stockholm.
    • (1984) Pre-industrial Population Change , pp. 115-126
    • Andersen, O.1
  • 2
    • 0015689935 scopus 로고
    • Disease or famine? Mortality in Cumberland and Westmorland
    • APPLEBY, A. B. (1973) Disease or famine? Mortality in Cumberland and Westmorland. Econ. Hist. Rev. 26, 403-432.
    • (1973) Econ. Hist. Rev. , vol.26 , pp. 403-432
    • Appleby, A.B.1
  • 4
    • 0026515582 scopus 로고
    • The maternal and fetal origins of cardiovascular disease
    • BARKER, D. J. P. & MARTYN, C. N. (1992) The maternal and fetal origins of cardiovascular disease. J. Epidemiol. comm. Hlth, 46, 8-11.
    • (1992) J. Epidemiol. Comm. Hlth , vol.46 , pp. 8-11
    • Barker, D.J.P.1    Martyn, C.N.2
  • 5
    • 0022621648 scopus 로고
    • Infant mortality, childhood nutrition and ischaemic heart disease in England and Wales
    • BARKER, D. J. P. & OSMOND, C. (1986) Infant mortality, childhood nutrition and ischaemic heart disease in England and Wales. Lancet, i, 1077-1081.
    • (1986) Lancet , vol.1 , pp. 1077-1081
    • Barker, D.J.P.1    Osmond, C.2
  • 7
    • 0000979624 scopus 로고
    • Statistical Appendix
    • Edited by J. Thirsk. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
    • BOWDEN, P. (1967) Statistical Appendix. In: The Agrarian History of England and Wales, pp. 814-870. Edited by J. Thirsk. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
    • (1967) The Agrarian History of England and Wales , pp. 814-870
    • Bowden, P.1
  • 8
    • 0006397452 scopus 로고
    • Agricultural prices, wages, farm profits and rents
    • Edited by J. Thirsk. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
    • BOWDEN, P. J.(1985) Agricultural prices, wages, farm profits and rents. In: The Agrarian History of England and Wales, Vol. V. pp. 1-117. Edited by J. Thirsk. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
    • (1985) The Agrarian History of England and Wales , vol.5 , pp. 1-117
    • Bowden, P.J.1
  • 10
    • 0029846654 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Whooping cough epidemics in London 1701-1812: Infection dynamics, seasonal forcing and malnutritional effects
    • DUNCAN, C. J., DUNCAN, S. R. & SCOTT, S. (1996a) Whooping cough epidemics in London 1701-1812: infection dynamics, seasonal forcing and malnutritional effects. Proc. Roy. Soc. B 263, 445-450.
    • (1996) Proc. Roy. Soc. B , vol.263 , pp. 445-450
    • Duncan, C.J.1    Duncan, S.R.2    Scott, S.3
  • 11
    • 0029752255 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The dynamics of scarlet fever epidemics in England and Wales in the 19th century
    • DUNCAN, C. J., DUNCAN, S. R. & SCOTT, S. (1996b) The dynamics of scarlet fever epidemics in England and Wales in the 19th century. Epidemiol. Infect. 117, 493-499.
    • (1996) Epidemiol. Infect. , vol.117 , pp. 493-499
    • Duncan, C.J.1    Duncan, S.R.2    Scott, S.3
  • 13
    • 0026609408 scopus 로고
    • Time series analysis of oscillations in a model population: The effects of plague, pestilence and famine
    • DUNCAN, S. R., SCOTT, S. & DUNCAN, C. J. (1992) Time series analysis of oscillations in a model population: the effects of plague, pestilence and famine. J. theoret. Biol. 158, 293-311.
    • (1992) J. Theoret. Biol. , vol.158 , pp. 293-311
    • Duncan, S.R.1    Scott, S.2    Duncan, C.J.3
  • 14
    • 0027330524 scopus 로고
    • An hypothesis for the periodicity of smallpox epidemics as revealed by time series analysis
    • DUNCAN, S. R., SCOTT, S. & DUNCAN, C. J. (1993a) An hypothesis for the periodicity of smallpox epidemics as revealed by time series analysis. J. theoret. Biol. 160, 231-248.
    • (1993) J. Theoret. Biol. , vol.160 , pp. 231-248
    • Duncan, S.R.1    Scott, S.2    Duncan, C.J.3
  • 15
    • 0027786352 scopus 로고
    • The dynamics of smallpox epidemics in Britain 1550-1800
    • DUNCAN, S. R., SCOTT, S. & DUNCAN, C. J. (1993b) The dynamics of smallpox epidemics in Britain 1550-1800. Demography, 30, 405-423.
    • (1993) Demography , vol.30 , pp. 405-423
    • Duncan, S.R.1    Scott, S.2    Duncan, C.J.3
  • 16
    • 0028232413 scopus 로고
    • Determination of a feedback vector that generates a non-decaying oscillation in a model population
    • DUNCAN, S. R., SCOTT, S. & DUNCAN, C. J. (1994a) Determination of a feedback vector that generates a non-decaying oscillation in a model population. J. theoret. Biol. 167, 67-71.
    • (1994) J. Theoret. Biol. , vol.167 , pp. 67-71
    • Duncan, S.R.1    Scott, S.2    Duncan, C.J.3
  • 17
    • 84937302394 scopus 로고
    • Smallpox epidemics in cities in Britain in the 17th and 18th centuries
    • DUNCAN, S. R., SCOTT, S. & DUNCAN, C. J. (1994b) Smallpox epidemics in cities in Britain in the 17th and 18th centuries. J. Interdisc. Hist. 25, 255-271.
    • (1994) J. Interdisc. Hist. , vol.25 , pp. 255-271
    • Duncan, S.R.1    Scott, S.2    Duncan, C.J.3
  • 18
    • 0028159008 scopus 로고
    • Predictions from time series analysis of the oscillations in parish register series
    • DUNCAN, S. R., SCOTT, S. & DUNCAN, C. J. (1994c) Predictions from time series analysis of the oscillations in parish register series. J. theoret. Biol. 168, 95-103.
    • (1994) J. Theoret. Biol. , vol.168 , pp. 95-103
    • Duncan, S.R.1    Scott, S.2    Duncan, C.J.3
  • 21
    • 0001203121 scopus 로고
    • Short run fluctuations in fertility and mortality in preindustrial Sweden
    • December
    • ECKSTEIN, Z., SCHULTZ, T. P. & WOLPIN, K. I. (1982) Short run fluctuations in fertility and mortality in preindustrial Sweden. Eur. Econ. Rev. 26, No. 3 (December).
    • (1982) Eur. Econ. Rev. , vol.26 , Issue.3
    • Eckstein, Z.1    Schultz, T.P.2    Wolpin, K.I.3
  • 22
    • 0005136141 scopus 로고
    • The mortality decline in the first phase of the demographic transition: Swedish experiences
    • Edited by T. G. Bengtsson, G. Fridliziuis & R. Ohlsson. Almquist & Wiksell, Stockholm
    • FRIDLIZIUS, G. (1984) The mortality decline in the first phase of the demographic transition: Swedish experiences. In: Pre-industrial Population Change, pp. 71-114. Edited by T. G. Bengtsson, G. Fridliziuis & R. Ohlsson. Almquist & Wiksell, Stockholm.
    • (1984) Pre-industrial Population Change , pp. 71-114
    • Fridlizius, G.1
  • 23
    • 0028591925 scopus 로고
    • Economic growth, population theory, and physiology: The bearing of long-term processes on the making of economic policy
    • FOGEL, R. W. (1994) Economic growth, population theory, and physiology: the bearing of long-term processes on the making of economic policy. Am. Econ. Rev. 84, 369-395.
    • (1994) Am. Econ. Rev. , vol.84 , pp. 369-395
    • Fogel, R.W.1
  • 24
    • 0022266661 scopus 로고
    • Annual variations in deaths by age, deaths by cause, prices, and weather in London 1670 to 1830
    • GALLOWAY, P. R. (1985) Annual variations in deaths by age, deaths by cause, prices, and weather in London 1670 to 1830. Popul. Stud. 39, 487-505.
    • (1985) Popul. Stud. , vol.39 , pp. 487-505
    • Galloway, P.R.1
  • 25
    • 85040852539 scopus 로고
    • Long-term fluctuations in climate and population in the preindustrial era
    • GALLOWAY, P. R. (1986) Long-term fluctuations in climate and population in the preindustrial era. Popul. Dev Rev. 12, 1-24.
    • (1986) Popul. Dev Rev. , vol.12 , pp. 1-24
    • Galloway, P.R.1
  • 26
    • 0024164425 scopus 로고
    • Basic patterns in annual variations in fertility, nuptiality, mortality, and prices in preindustrial Europe
    • GALLOWAY, P. R. (1988) Basic patterns in annual variations in fertility, nuptiality, mortality, and prices in preindustrial Europe. Popul Stud 42, 275-302.
    • (1988) Popul Stud , vol.42 , pp. 275-302
    • Galloway, P.R.1
  • 27
    • 0003690111 scopus 로고
    • Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
    • GOTTMAN, J. M. (1981) Time-Series Analysis. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
    • (1981) Time-Series Analysis
    • Gottman, J.M.1
  • 28
    • 6844234047 scopus 로고
    • 5 vols. Parish Register Section of the Cumberland and Westmorland Antiquarian Society
    • HASWELL, C. S. (1938) The Registers of St Andrew's Parish Church, Penrith, 5 vols. Parish Register Section of the Cumberland and Westmorland Antiquarian Society.
    • (1938) The Registers of St Andrew's Parish Church, Penrith
    • Haswell, C.S.1
  • 29
    • 0006535283 scopus 로고
    • Deaths, marriages, births and the Tuscan economy (c. 1300-1550)
    • Edited by R. D. Lee. Academic Press, New York
    • HERLIHY, D. (1977) Deaths, marriages, births and the Tuscan economy (c. 1300-1550). In: Population Patterns in the Past, pp. 135-164. Edited by R. D. Lee. Academic Press, New York.
    • (1977) Population Patterns in the Past , pp. 135-164
    • Herlihy, D.1
  • 30
    • 0000246266 scopus 로고
    • The formal dynamics of controlled populations and the echo, the boom, and the bust
    • LEE, R. D. (1974) The formal dynamics of controlled populations and the echo, the boom, and the bust. Demography, 11, 563-585.
    • (1974) Demography , vol.11 , pp. 563-585
    • Lee, R.D.1
  • 31
    • 0009305719 scopus 로고
    • Short-term variation: Vital rates, prices and weather
    • Edited by E. A. Wrigley & R. S. Schofield. Edward Arnold, London
    • LEE, R. D. (1981) Short-term variation: vital rates, prices and weather. In: The Population History of England 1541-1871 A Reconstruction, pp. 356-401. Edited by E. A. Wrigley & R. S. Schofield. Edward Arnold, London.
    • (1981) The Population History of England 1541-1871 a Reconstruction , pp. 356-401
    • Lee, R.D.1
  • 32
    • 84934453055 scopus 로고
    • Population homeostasis and English demographic history
    • LEE, R. D. (1985) Population homeostasis and English demographic history. J. interdiscip. Hist. 15, 635-660.
    • (1985) J. Interdiscip. Hist. , vol.15 , pp. 635-660
    • Lee, R.D.1
  • 33
    • 0023441481 scopus 로고
    • Population dynamics of humans and other animals
    • LEE, R. D. (1987) Population dynamics of humans and other animals. Demography, 24, 443-465.
    • (1987) Demography , vol.24 , pp. 443-465
    • Lee, R.D.1
  • 34
    • 0025663865 scopus 로고
    • The demographic response to economic crisis in historical and contemporary populations
    • LEE, R. (1990) The demographic response to economic crisis in historical and contemporary populations Popul. Bull. United Nations, 29, 1-15
    • (1990) Popul. Bull. United Nations , vol.29 , pp. 1-15
    • Lee, R.1
  • 36
    • 0022932505 scopus 로고
    • Fertility, nutrition and pellagra: Italy during the vital revolution
    • LIVI-BACCI, M. (1986) Fertility, nutrition and pellagra: Italy during the vital revolution. J. interdiscip. Hist. 16, 431-454.
    • (1986) J. Interdiscip. Hist. , vol.16 , pp. 431-454
    • Livi-Bacci, M.1
  • 39
    • 84981656868 scopus 로고
    • Central England temperatures: Monthly means 1659-1973
    • MANLEY, G. (1974) Central England temperatures: monthly means 1659-1973. Q. J. Roy. Met. Soc 100, 389-405.
    • (1974) Q. J. Roy. Met. Soc , vol.100 , pp. 389-405
    • Manley, G.1
  • 41
    • 0020755680 scopus 로고
    • Weather, nutrition and the economy: Short-run fluctuations in births, deaths, and marriages. France 1740-1909
    • RICHARDS, T. (1983) Weather, nutrition and the economy: short-run fluctuations in births, deaths, and marriages. France 1740-1909. Demography, 20, 197-212.
    • (1983) Demography , vol.20 , pp. 197-212
    • Richards, T.1
  • 42
    • 0343068363 scopus 로고
    • Introduction
    • Fetal and Infant Origins of Adult Disease, London
    • ROBINSON, R. J. (1992) Introduction. In: Fetal and Infant Origins of Adult Disease, pp. 1-20. British Medical Journal, London.
    • (1992) British Medical Journal , pp. 1-20
    • Robinson, R.J.1
  • 43
    • 84926270622 scopus 로고
    • Nutrition and history
    • ROTBERG, R. I. (1983) Nutrition and history. J. interdiscip. Hist. 14, 199-204.
    • (1983) J. Interdiscip. Hist. , vol.14 , pp. 199-204
    • Rotberg, R.I.1
  • 44
    • 6844221560 scopus 로고
    • Population growth in the century after 1750: The role of mortality decline
    • Edited by T. G. Bengtsson, G. Fridlizius & R. Ohlsson. Almquist and Wiksell, Stockholm
    • SCHOFIELD, R. (1984) Population growth in the century after 1750: the role of mortality decline. In: Pre-industrial Population Change, pp. 17-39. Edited by T. G. Bengtsson, G. Fridlizius & R. Ohlsson. Almquist and Wiksell, Stockholm.
    • (1984) Pre-industrial Population Change , pp. 17-39
    • Schofield, R.1
  • 45
    • 0346891707 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Marital fertility at Penrith, 1557-1812 - Evidence for a malnourished community?
    • SCOTT, S. & DUNCAN, C. J. (1996) Marital fertility at Penrith, 1557-1812 - evidence for a malnourished community? Trans. Cumb. Westmor. Antiquar Archaeol. Soc. 96, 105-114.
    • (1996) Trans. Cumb. Westmor. Antiquar Archaeol. Soc. , vol.96 , pp. 105-114
    • Scott, S.1    Duncan, C.J.2
  • 46
    • 0030613721 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Interacting factors affecting illegitimacy in preindustrial Northern England
    • SCOTT, S. & DUNCAN, C. J. (1997) Interacting factors affecting illegitimacy in preindustrial Northern England. J. biosoc. Sci. 29, 151-169.
    • (1997) J. Biosoc. Sci. , vol.29 , pp. 151-169
    • Scott, S.1    Duncan, C.J.2
  • 47
    • 0028988918 scopus 로고
    • Infant mortality and famine: A study in historical epidemiology in Northern England
    • SCOTT, S., DUNCAN, S. R. & DUNCAN, C. J. (1995) Infant mortality and famine: a study in historical epidemiology in Northern England. J. Epidemiol. comm. Hlth, 49, 245-252.
    • (1995) J. Epidemiol. Comm. Hlth , vol.49 , pp. 245-252
    • Scott, S.1    Duncan, S.R.2    Duncan, C.J.3
  • 48
    • 0008334966 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The origins, interactions and causes of the cycles in grain prices in England
    • in press
    • SCOTT, S., DUNCAN, S. R. & DUNCAN, C. J. (1998) The origins, interactions and causes of the cycles in grain prices in England. Agricult. Hist. Rev. in press.
    • (1998) Agricult. Hist. Rev.
    • Scott, S.1    Duncan, S.R.2    Duncan, C.J.3
  • 51
    • 0006468230 scopus 로고
    • The farming regions of England
    • Edited by J. Thirsk. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
    • THIRSK, J. (1967) The farming regions of England. In: The Agrarian History of England and Wales, pp. 1-112. Edited by J. Thirsk. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
    • (1967) The Agrarian History of England and Wales , pp. 1-112
    • Thirsk, J.1
  • 52
    • 0025942110 scopus 로고
    • Elusive cycles: Are there dynamically possible Lee-Easterlin models for US births?
    • WACHTER, K. W. (1991) Elusive cycles: are there dynamically possible Lee-Easterlin models for US births? Popul. Stud. 45, 109-135.
    • (1991) Popul. Stud. , vol.45 , pp. 109-135
    • Wachter, K.W.1
  • 53
    • 0021579293 scopus 로고
    • Life under pressure: France and England, 1680-1870
    • WEIR, D. R. (1984) Life under pressure: France and England, 1680-1870. J. econ. Hist. 44, 27-47.
    • (1984) J. Econ. Hist. , vol.44 , pp. 27-47
    • Weir, D.R.1
  • 54
    • 84970850139 scopus 로고
    • Temperature and cardiovascular mortality
    • WILMSHURST, P. (1994) Temperature and cardiovascular mortality. Br. med. J. 309, 1029-1030.
    • (1994) Br. Med. J. , vol.309 , pp. 1029-1030
    • Wilmshurst, P.1
  • 57
    • 0017722959 scopus 로고
    • Births and baptisms: The use of Anglican baptism registers as a source of information about the numbers of births in England before the beginning of civil registration
    • WRIGLEY, E. A. (1977) Births and baptisms: the use of Anglican baptism registers as a source of information about the numbers of births in England before the beginning of civil registration. Popul. Stud. 31, 281-312.
    • (1977) Popul. Stud. , vol.31 , pp. 281-312
    • Wrigley, E.A.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.