Forecasting recorded property crime using a time-series econometric model

British Journal of Criminology

Volumn 37, Issue 3, 1997, Pages 437-445

  Deadman, Derek ^a   Pyle, David ^a  

^a NONE

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 0031479208     PISSN: 00070955     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1093/oxfordjournals.bjc.a014179     Document Type: Article

References (10)

1. DEADMAN, D. F., PUDNEY, S. E. and D. J. PYLE (1997), 'On the Bias in Regressions of Recorded Crime on the Conviction Rate', University of Leicester Discussion Papers in Public Sector Economics, forthcoming.
2. EHRLICH, I. (1975), 'The Deterrent Effect of Capital Punishment: A Question of Life and Death', American Economic Review, 65: 397-417.
3. FIELD, S. (1990), Trends in Crime and their Interpretation: a Study of Recorded Crime in Post-War England and Wales, Home Office Research Study No. 119. London: HMSO.
4. GAYNOR, P. E. and KIRKPATRICK, R. C. (1994), Introduction to Time-series Modelling and Forecasting in Business and Economics. Maidenhead, Berks: McGraw-Hill.
5. KLEIN, L., FORST, B. and FILATOV, V. (1978), 'The Deterrent Effect of Capital Punishment: An Assessment of the Estimates', in A. Blumstein, J. Cohen and D. Nagin, eds., Deterrence and Incapacitation: Estimating the Effects of Criminal Sanctions on Crime Rates. Washington, DC: National Academy of Sciences.
6. MAKRIDAKIS, S., WHEELWRIGHT, S. C. and MCGEE, V. E. (1983), Forecasting: Methods and Applications, 2nd edn. Chichester: Wiley.
7. NAGIN, D. (1978), 'General Deterrence: A Review of the Empirical Evidence', in A. Blumstein, J. Cohen and D. Nagin, eds., Deterrence and Incapacitation: Estimating the Effects of Criminal Sanctions on Crime Rates. Washington, DC: National Academy of Sciences.
8. PYLE, D. J. and DEADMAN, D. F. (1994), 'Crime and the Business Cycle in Post-War Britain', British Journal of Criminology, 34/3: 339-57.
9. TAYLOR, J. B. (1978), 'Econometric Models of Criminal Behavior: A Review', in J. M. Heineke, ed., Economic Models of Criminal Behavior, Ch. 2. Amsterdam: North-Holland.
10. YOUNG, G. (1996), 'The UK economy', National Institute Economic Review, 96/3: 11-27.