메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 87, Issue 4, 1997, Pages 789-798

The paradox of the expected time until the next earthquake

(2)  Sornette, D a   Knopoff, L a  

a NONE

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION; RECURRENCE INTERVAL; STATISTICAL ANALYSIS;

EID: 0031452033     PISSN: 00371106     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: None     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (131)

References (16)
  • 1
    • 0024879880 scopus 로고
    • The longer it has been since the last earthquake, the longer the expected time till the next?
    • Davis, P. M., D. D. Jackson, and Y. Y. Kagan (1989). The longer it has been since the last earthquake, the longer the expected time till the next?, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 79, 1439-1456.
    • (1989) Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. , vol.79 , pp. 1439-1456
    • Davis, P.M.1    Jackson, D.D.2    Kagan, Y.Y.3
  • 2
    • 0001278883 scopus 로고
    • Is the sequence of earthquakes in southern California, with aftershocks removed, Poissonian?
    • Gardner, J. K. and L. Knopoff (1974). Is the sequence of earthquakes in southern California, with aftershocks removed, Poissonian?, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 64, 1363-1367.
    • (1974) Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. , vol.64 , pp. 1363-1367
    • Gardner, J.K.1    Knopoff, L.2
  • 3
    • 0001748393 scopus 로고
    • Synthetic seismicity for the San Andreas fault
    • Goes, S. D. B. and S. N. Ward (1994). Synthetic seismicity for the San Andreas fault, Ann. Geof. 37, 1495-1513.
    • (1994) Ann. Geof. , vol.37 , pp. 1495-1513
    • Goes, S.D.B.1    Ward, S.N.2
  • 4
    • 0028254348 scopus 로고
    • Paleoseismic evidence of clustered earthquakes on the San Andreas fault in the Carrizo Plain, California
    • Grant, L. B. and K. Sieh (1994). Paleoseismic evidence of clustered earthquakes on the San Andreas fault in the Carrizo Plain, California, J. Geophys. Res. 99, 6819-6841.
    • (1994) J. Geophys. Res. , vol.99 , pp. 6819-6841
    • Grant, L.B.1    Sieh, K.2
  • 5
    • 0027430485 scopus 로고
    • Statistics of characteristic earthquakes
    • Kagan, Y. Y. (1983). Statistics of characteristic earthquakes, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 83, 7-24.
    • (1983) Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. , vol.83 , pp. 7-24
    • Kagan, Y.Y.1
  • 6
    • 0026051038 scopus 로고
    • Long-term earthquake clustering
    • Kagan, Y. Y. and D. D. Jackson (1991). Long-term earthquake clustering, Geophys. J. Int. 104, 117-133.
    • (1991) Geophys. J. Int. , vol.104 , pp. 117-133
    • Kagan, Y.Y.1    Jackson, D.D.2
  • 7
    • 0028601589 scopus 로고
    • Long-term probabilistic forecasting of earthquakes
    • Kagan, Y. Y. and D. D. Jackson (1994). Long-term probabilistic forecasting of earthquakes, J. Geophys. Res. 99, 13685-13700.
    • (1994) J. Geophys. Res. , vol.99 , pp. 13685-13700
    • Kagan, Y.Y.1    Jackson, D.D.2
  • 8
    • 49549132331 scopus 로고
    • Statistical search for non-random features of the seismicity of strong earthquakes
    • Kagan, Y. and L. Knopoff (1976). Statistical search for non-random features of the seismicity of strong earthquakes, Phys. Earth Planet. Interiors 12, 291-318.
    • (1976) Phys. Earth Planet. Interiors , vol.12 , pp. 291-318
    • Kagan, Y.1    Knopoff, L.2
  • 9
    • 0000011847 scopus 로고
    • Stochastic synthesis of earthquake catalogs
    • Kagan, Y. Y. and L. Knopoff (1981). Stochastic synthesis of earthquake catalogs, J. Geophys. Res. 86, 2853-2862.
    • (1981) J. Geophys. Res. , vol.86 , pp. 2853-2862
    • Kagan, Y.Y.1    Knopoff, L.2
  • 10
    • 0023471638 scopus 로고
    • Statistical short-term earthquake prediction
    • Kagan, Y. Y. and L. Knopoff (1987). Statistical short-term earthquake prediction, Science 236, 1563-1567.
    • (1987) Science , vol.236 , pp. 1563-1567
    • Kagan, Y.Y.1    Knopoff, L.2
  • 11
    • 0029862708 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A selective phenomenology of the seismicity of southem California
    • Knopoff, L. (1996). A selective phenomenology of the seismicity of southem California, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S. 93, 3756-3763.
    • (1996) Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S. , vol.93 , pp. 3756-3763
    • Knopoff, L.1
  • 12
    • 0029751098 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Increased long-range intermediate-magnitude earthquake activity prior to strong earthquakes in California
    • Knopoff, L., T. Levshina, V. I. Keilis-Borok, and C. Mattoni (1996). Increased long-range intermediate-magnitude earthquake activity prior to strong earthquakes in California, J. Geophys. Res. 101, 5779-5796.
    • (1996) J. Geophys. Res. , vol.101 , pp. 5779-5796
    • Knopoff, L.1    Levshina, T.2    Keilis-Borok, V.I.3    Mattoni, C.4
  • 13
    • 0001375434 scopus 로고
    • On Chinese earthquake history-an attempt to model incomplete data set by point process analysis
    • Lee, W. H. K and R. R. Brillinger (1979). On Chinese earthquake history-an attempt to model incomplete data set by point process analysis, Pure Appl. Geophys. 117, 1229-1257.
    • (1979) Pure Appl. Geophys. , vol.117 , pp. 1229-1257
    • Lee, W.H.K.1    Brillinger, R.R.2
  • 14
    • 0024572988 scopus 로고
    • A more precise chronology of earthquakes produced by the San Andreas Fault in southern California
    • Sieh, K., M. Stuiver, and D. Brillinger (1989). A more precise chronology of earthquakes produced by the San Andreas Fault in southern California, J. Geophys. Res. 94, 603-623.
    • (1989) J. Geophys. Res. , vol.94 , pp. 603-623
    • Sieh, K.1    Stuiver, M.2    Brillinger, D.3
  • 15
    • 51249182998 scopus 로고
    • Some examples of statistical estimation applied to earthquake data. I. Cyclic Poisson and self-exciting models
    • Vere-Jones, D. and T. Ozaki (1982). Some examples of statistical estimation applied to earthquake data. I. Cyclic Poisson and self-exciting models, Ann. Inst. Statist. Math. B34, 189-207.
    • (1982) Ann. Inst. Statist. Math. , vol.B34 , pp. 189-207
    • Vere-Jones, D.1    Ozaki, T.2
  • 16
    • 0027834012 scopus 로고
    • How regularly do earthquakes recur? A synthetic seismicity model for the San Andreas Fault
    • Ward, S. N. and S. D. B. Goes (1993). How regularly do earthquakes recur? A synthetic seismicity model for the San Andreas Fault, Geophys. Res. Lett. 20, 2131-2134.
    • (1993) Geophys. Res. Lett. , vol.20 , pp. 2131-2134
    • Ward, S.N.1    Goes, S.D.B.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.