Verification of Public Weather Forecasts Available via the Media

Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

Volumn 78, Issue 10, 1997, Pages 2167-2177

  Brooks, Harold E ^a   Witt, Arthur ^a   Eilts, Michael D ^a  

^a NATIONAL SEVERE STORMS LABORATORY   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE; WEATHER FORECAST;

USA, OKLAHOMA, OKLAHOMA CITY;

EID: 0031420562     PISSN: 00030007     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/1520-0477(1997)078<2167:VOPWFA>2.0.CO;2     Document Type: Article

References (15)

1. Brier, G. W., 1950: Verification of forecasts expressed in terms of probability. Mon. Wea. Rev., 78, 1-3.
2. Brooks, H. E., and C. A. Doswell III, 1996: A comparison of measures-oriented and distributions-oriented approaches to forecast verification. Wea. Forecasting, 11, 288-303.
3. Brown, B. G., and A. H. Murphy, 1996: Improving forecasting performance by combining forecasts: The example of road-surface temperature forecasts. Meteor. Appl., 3, 257-265.
4. Driscoll, D. M., 1988: A comparison of temperature and precipitation forecasts issued by telecasters and the National Weather Service. Wea. Forecasting, 3, 285-295.
5. Murphy, A. H., 1991: Forecast verification: Its complexity and dimensionality. Won. Wea. Rev., 119, 1590-1601.
6. _, 1993: What is a good forecast? An essay on the nature of goodness in weather forecasting. Wea. Forecasting, 8, 281-293.
7. _, 1995: A coherent method of stratification within a general frame- work for forecast verification. Mon. Wea. Rev., 123, 1582-1588.
8. _, and R. L. Winkler, 1987: A general framework for forecast verification. Mon. Wea. Rev., 115, 1330-1338.
9. _, S. Lichtenstein, B. Fischhoff, and R. L. Winkler, 1980: Misinterpretations of precipitation probability forecasts. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 61, 695-701.
10. _, B. G. Brown, and Y.-S. Chen, 1989: Diagnostic verification of temperature forecasts. Wea. Forecasting, 4, 485-501.
11. Roebber, P. J., and L. F. Bosart, 1996: The complex relationship between forecast skill and forecast value: A real-world comparison. Wea. Forecasting, 11, 544-559.
12. Sink, S. A., 1995: Determining the public's understanding of precipitation forecasts: Results of a survey. Natl. Wea. Dig., 19, 9-15.
13. Thomes, J. E., 1996: The quality and accuracy of a sample of public and commercial weather forecasts in the U.K. Meteor. Appl., 3, 63-74.
14. Vislocky, R. L., I. M. Fritsch, and S. N. DiRienzo, 1995: Operational omission and misuse of numerical precipitation probabilities. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 76, 49-52.
15. Wilks, D. S., 1995: Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences. Academic Press, 467 pp.