메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 102, Issue 18, 1997, Pages 21925-21932

An efficient method for parametric uncertainty analysis of numerical geophysical models

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

GEOPHYSICAL MODEL; RADIATIVE FORCING; SULPHATE AEROSOL; UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS;

EID: 0031392891     PISSN: 01480227     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1029/97jd01654     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (315)

References (39)
  • 1
    • 84908714774 scopus 로고
    • Stochastic system analysis
    • edited by G. Adomian, Academic, San Diego, Calif.
    • Adomian, G., Stochastic system analysis, in Applied Stochastic Processes, edited by G. Adomian, pp. 1-17, Academic, San Diego, Calif., 1980.
    • (1980) Applied Stochastic Processes , pp. 1-17
    • Adomian, G.1
  • 2
    • 0025680011 scopus 로고
    • Intercomparison and interpretation of climate feedback processes in 19 atmospheric general circulation models
    • Cess, R.D., et al., Intercomparison and interpretation of climate feedback processes in 19 atmospheric general circulation models, J. Geophys. Res., 95, 16,601-16,615, 1990.
    • (1990) J. Geophys. Res. , vol.95
    • Cess, R.D.1
  • 3
    • 0026273448 scopus 로고
    • Perturbation of the northern hemisphere radiative balance by backscattering from anthropogenic sulfate aerosols
    • Charlson, R.J., J. Langner, H. Rodhe, C.B. Leovy, and S.G. Warren, Perturbation of the northern hemisphere radiative balance by backscattering from anthropogenic sulfate aerosols, Tellus, Ser. AB, 43, 152-163, 1991.
    • (1991) Tellus, Ser. AB , vol.43 , pp. 152-163
    • Charlson, R.J.1    Langner, J.2    Rodhe, H.3    Leovy, C.B.4    Warren, S.G.5
  • 5
    • 0028666195 scopus 로고
    • An evaluation with the Fourier Amplitude Sensitivity Test (FAST) of which land-surface parameters are of greatest importance in atmospheric modeling
    • Collins, D.C., and R. Avissar, An evaluation with the Fourier Amplitude Sensitivity Test (FAST) of which land-surface parameters are of greatest importance in atmospheric modeling, J. Clim., 7, 681-703, 1994.
    • (1994) J. Clim. , vol.7 , pp. 681-703
    • Collins, D.C.1    Avissar, R.2
  • 6
    • 84953649167 scopus 로고
    • Study of the sensitivity of coupled reaction systems to uncertainties in rate coefficients, I, Theory
    • Cukier, R.I., C.M. Fortuin, K.E. Shuler, A.G. Petschek, and J.H. Schaibly, Study of the sensitivity of coupled reaction systems to uncertainties in rate coefficients, I, Theory, J. Chem. Phys., 59, 3873-3878, 1973.
    • (1973) J. Chem. Phys. , vol.59 , pp. 3873-3878
    • Cukier, R.I.1    Fortuin, C.M.2    Shuler, K.E.3    Petschek, A.G.4    Schaibly, J.H.5
  • 7
    • 0001762397 scopus 로고
    • Study of the sensitivity of coupled reaction systems to uncertainties in rate coefficients, III, Analysis of the approximations
    • Cukier, R.I., J.H. Schaibly, and K.E. Shuler, Study of the sensitivity of coupled reaction systems to uncertainties in rate coefficients, III, Analysis of the approximations, J. Chem. Phys., 63, 1140-1149, 1975.
    • (1975) J. Chem. Phys. , vol.63 , pp. 1140-1149
    • Cukier, R.I.1    Schaibly, J.H.2    Shuler, K.E.3
  • 8
    • 0040102388 scopus 로고
    • Nonlinear sensitivity analysis of multiparameter model systems
    • Cukier, R.I., H.B. Levine, and K.E. Shuler, Nonlinear sensitivity analysis of multiparameter model systems, J. Chem. Phys., 26, 1-42, 1978.
    • (1978) J. Chem. Phys. , vol.26 , pp. 1-42
    • Cukier, R.I.1    Levine, H.B.2    Shuler, K.E.3
  • 9
    • 0023159428 scopus 로고
    • Treating uncertainty in models of the atmospheric chemistry of nitrogen compounds
    • Derwent, R.G., Treating uncertainty in models of the atmospheric chemistry of nitrogen compounds, Atmos. Environ., 21, 1445-1454, 1987.
    • (1987) Atmos. Environ. , vol.21 , pp. 1445-1454
    • Derwent, R.G.1
  • 10
    • 0027387151 scopus 로고
    • The dynamics of uncertainty: Application to parameterization constants in climate models
    • Fleming, R.J., The dynamics of uncertainty: application to parameterization constants in climate models, Clim. Dyn., 8, 135-150, 1993.
    • (1993) Clim. Dyn. , vol.8 , pp. 135-150
    • Fleming, R.J.1
  • 11
    • 0001193665 scopus 로고
    • A comparison of sensitivity analysis and error analysis based on a stream ecosystem model
    • Gardner, R.H., R.V. O'Neill, J.B. Mankin, and J.H. Carnery, A comparison of sensitivity analysis and error analysis based on a stream ecosystem model, Ecol. Modell., 12, 173-190, 1981.
    • (1981) Ecol. Modell. , vol.12 , pp. 173-190
    • Gardner, R.H.1    O'Neill, R.V.2    Mankin, J.B.3    Carnery, J.H.4
  • 12
    • 0027085408 scopus 로고
    • AMIP, the atmospheric model intercomparison project
    • Gates, W.L., AMIP, The atmospheric model intercomparison project, Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 72, 1962-1970, 1992.
    • (1992) Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. , vol.72 , pp. 1962-1970
    • Gates, W.L.1
  • 13
    • 0028388229 scopus 로고
    • Algorithm 726: ORTHPOL - A package of routines for generating orthogonal polynomials and Gausstype quadrature rules
    • Gautschi, W., Algorithm 726: ORTHPOL - A package of routines for generating orthogonal polynomials and Gausstype quadrature rules, ACM Trans. Math. Software, 20(1), 21-26, 1994.
    • (1994) ACM Trans. Math. Software , vol.20 , Issue.1 , pp. 21-26
    • Gautschi, W.1
  • 15
    • 0028669607 scopus 로고
    • A proposal for the intercomparison of the dynamical cores of atmospheric general circulation models
    • Held, I.M., and M.J. Suarez, A proposal for the intercomparison of the dynamical cores of atmospheric general circulation models, Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 75, 1825-1830, 1994.
    • (1994) Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. , vol.75 , pp. 1825-1830
    • Held, I.M.1    Suarez, M.J.2
  • 16
    • 0027808141 scopus 로고
    • The project for intercomparison of land-surface parameterization schemes
    • Henderson-Sellers, A., Z.-L., Yang, and R.E. Dickinson, The project for intercomparison of land-surface parameterization schemes, Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 74, 1335-1349, 1993.
    • (1993) Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. , vol.74 , pp. 1335-1349
    • Henderson-Sellers, A.1    Yang, Z.-L.2    Dickinson, R.E.3
  • 17
    • 0003319339 scopus 로고
    • Zur Spektraltheorie stochastischer prozesse
    • Karhunen, K., Zur Spektraltheorie stochastischer prozesse, Ann. Acad. Sci. Fennicae, Ser. A, 1, 34, 1946.
    • (1946) Ann. Acad. Sci. Fennicae, Ser. A , vol.1 , pp. 34
    • Karhunen, K.1
  • 20
    • 0037507031 scopus 로고
    • Approximate solution of random differential and integral equations
    • edited by G. Adomian, Academic, San Diego, Calif.
    • Lax, M.D., Approximate solution of random differential and integral equations, App. Stochastic Process., edited by G. Adomian, pp. 121-134, Academic, San Diego, Calif., 1980.
    • (1980) App. Stochastic Process. , pp. 121-134
    • Lax, M.D.1
  • 21
    • 0003215313 scopus 로고
    • Fonctions aléaroire de second ordre
    • Loève, M, Fonctions aléaroire de second ordre, C. R. Sean. Acad. Sci., 220, 1945.
    • (1945) C. R. Sean. Acad. Sci. , vol.220
    • Loève, M.1
  • 22
    • 0018468345 scopus 로고
    • A comparison of three methods for selecting values of input variables in the analysis of output from a computer code
    • McKay, M.D., R.J. Beckman, and W.J. Conover, A comparison of three methods for selecting values of input variables in the analysis of output from a computer code, Technometrics, 21, 239-245, 1979.
    • (1979) Technometrics , vol.21 , pp. 239-245
    • McKay, M.D.1    Beckman, R.J.2    Conover, W.J.3
  • 23
    • 0019926821 scopus 로고
    • Global sensitivity analysis - A computational implementation of the Fourier Amplitude Sensitivity Test (FAST)
    • McRae, G.J., J.W. Tilden, and J.H. Seinfeld, Global sensitivity analysis - A computational implementation of the Fourier Amplitude Sensitivity Test (FAST), Comp. Chem. Eng., 6, 15-25, 1982.
    • (1982) Comp. Chem. Eng. , vol.6 , pp. 15-25
    • McRae, G.J.1    Tilden, J.W.2    Seinfeld, J.H.3
  • 24
    • 0027388691 scopus 로고
    • Predictability and finite-time instability of the northern winter circulation
    • Molteni, F., and T.N. Palmer, Predictability and finite-time instability of the northern winter circulation, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 119, 269-298, 1992.
    • (1992) Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. , vol.119 , pp. 269-298
    • Molteni, F.1    Palmer, T.N.2
  • 26
    • 84905421140 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The role of aerosol effects in the troposphere: Radiative forcing, model response, and uncertainty analysis
    • Ph.D. thesis, Mass. Inst. of Tech.
    • Pan, W., The role of aerosol effects in the troposphere: Radiative forcing, model response, and uncertainty analysis, 259 pp., Ph.D. thesis, Cent. Global Change Sci. Rep. 43, Mass. Inst. of Tech., 1996.
    • (1996) Cent. Global Change Sci. Rep. 43
    • Pan, W.1
  • 27
    • 84905427540 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Uncertainty analysis of direct radiative forcing by anthropogenic sulfate aerosols
    • accepted
    • Pan, W., M.A. Tatang, G.J. McRae, and R.G. Prinn, Uncertainty analysis of direct radiative forcing by anthropogenic sulfate aerosols, accepted by J. Geophys. Res., this issue.
    • J. Geophys. Res. , Issue.THIS ISSUE
    • Pan, W.1    Tatang, M.A.2    McRae, G.J.3    Prinn, R.G.4
  • 29
    • 3743066406 scopus 로고
    • Global nonlinear sensitivity analysis using Walsh functions
    • Pierce, T.H., and R.I. Cukier, Global nonlinear sensitivity analysis using Walsh functions, J. Comput. Phys., 41, 427-443, 1981.
    • (1981) J. Comput. Phys. , vol.41 , pp. 427-443
    • Pierce, T.H.1    Cukier, R.I.2
  • 30
    • 0025406690 scopus 로고
    • Using the C language to approximate non-linear stochastic systems
    • Serrano, S.E., Using the C language to approximate non-linear stochastic systems, Adv. Eng. Software, 12, 59-68, 1990.
    • (1990) Adv. Eng. Software , vol.12 , pp. 59-68
    • Serrano, S.E.1
  • 31
    • 38249016608 scopus 로고
    • Random evolution equations in hydrology
    • Serrano, S.E., and T.E. Unny, Random evolution equations in hydrology, App. Math. Comput., 39, 97-122, 1990.
    • (1990) App. Math. Comput. , vol.39 , pp. 97-122
    • Serrano, S.E.1    Unny, T.E.2
  • 32
    • 0019586465 scopus 로고
    • Properties of cross-entropy minimization
    • Shore, J.E., and R.W. Johnson, Properties of cross-entropy minimization, IEEE Trans. Inf. Theor., IT-27(4),472-482, 1981.
    • (1981) IEEE Trans. Inf. Theor. , vol.IT-27 , Issue.4 , pp. 472-482
    • Shore, J.E.1    Johnson, R.W.2
  • 33
    • 0026864325 scopus 로고
    • Parameter estimation from multiresponse data
    • Stewart, W.E., M. Caracotsios, and J.P. Sørensen, Parameter estimation from multiresponse data, AIChE J., 38(5), 641-650, 1992.
    • (1992) AIChE J. , vol.38 , Issue.5 , pp. 641-650
    • Stewart, W.E.1    Caracotsios, M.2    Sørensen, J.P.3
  • 34
    • 0010689635 scopus 로고
    • Sensitivity of an atmospheric photochemistry model to chlorine perturbations including consideration of uncertainty propagation
    • Stolarski, R.S., and A.R. Douglas, Sensitivity of an atmospheric photochemistry model to chlorine perturbations including consideration of uncertainty propagation, J. Geophys. Res., 91, 7853-7864, 1986.
    • (1986) J. Geophys. Res. , vol.91 , pp. 7853-7864
    • Stolarski, R.S.1    Douglas, A.R.2
  • 37
    • 0001509508 scopus 로고
    • Ensemble forecasting at NMC: The generation of perturbations
    • Toth, Z., and E. Kalnay, Ensemble forecasting at NMC: The generation of perturbations, Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 74, 2317-2330, 1993.
    • (1993) Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. , vol.74 , pp. 2317-2330
    • Toth, Z.1    Kalnay, E.2
  • 38
    • 0023823835 scopus 로고
    • Application of the FAST method to analyze the sensitivity-uncertainty of a Lagrangian model of sulfur transport in Europe
    • Uliasz, M., Application of the FAST method to analyze the sensitivity-uncertainty of a Lagrangian model of sulfur transport in Europe, Waste Air Soil Pollut., 40, 33-49, 1988.
    • (1988) Waste Air Soil Pollut. , vol.40 , pp. 33-49
    • Uliasz, M.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.