Turnout

Parliamentary Affairs

Volumn 50, Issue 4, 1997, Pages 720-732

  Denver, David ^a   Hands, Gordon ^a  

^a NONE

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 0031256551     PISSN: 00312290     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1093/oxfordjournals.pa.a028767     Document Type: Article

References (11)

1. See R. Rose, Electoral Behaviour (Free Press, 1974), p. 494.
2. J. Curtice and M. Steed, 'The Results Analysed' in D. Butler and D. Kavanagh, The British General Election of 1992 (Macmillan, 1992) p. 347.
3. D. Denver and K. Halfacree, 'Inter-Constituency Migration and Turnout at the British General Election of 1983', British Journal of Political Science 22, 1992.
4. D. Denver and G. Hands, 'Marginality and Turnout in British General Elections', British Journal of Political Science 4, 1974; D. Denver and G. Hands, 'Marginality and Turnout in British General Elections in the 1970s', British Journal of Political Science 15, 1985.
5. D. Denver and G. Hands, 'Marginality and Turnout in British General Elections', British Journal of Political Science 4, 1974; D. Denver and G. Hands, 'Marginality and Turnout in British General Elections in the 1970s', British Journal of Political Science 15, 1985.
6. The 'notional' 1991 results are to be found in C. Rallings and M. Thrasher, Media Guide to the New Constituencies (Local Government Chronicle Election Centre, University of Plymouth, 1995).
7. For a recent assessment of the impact of previous marginality in 1992 see C. Pattie and R.J. Johnston 'Voter Turnout at the British General Election of 1992: Rational Choice, Social Standing or Political Efficacy?', European Journal of Political Research, forthcoming.
8. The Boundary Commission for England did not use 1992 electorates to define the new constituencies. The 'notional' 1992 results found in Rallings and Thrasher's Media Guide to the New Constituencies are intended only as estimates of the distribution of votes in the new constituencies and should not be used to estimate 1992 constituency turnouts.
9. Garret Fitzgerald argues (The Times, 12.5.97) that 'the whole of the two million fall in the total poll was accounted for simply by Tories staying at home'.
10. The 19 comparable Scottish seats are excluded since the fall in turnout was much lower in Scotland and there is a heavy preponderance of Labour held seats.
11. There were, of course, many more Conservative-held than Labour-held seats in 1992 so that, as we have suggested, the smaller decline in turnout in Conservative marginals will have contributed to the increased importance of marginality in predicting turnout overall.