Dynamic modeling of present and future service demand

Proceedings of the IEEE

Volumn 85, Issue 10, 1997, Pages 1544-1555

  Lyons, Michael H ^a   Burton, Fraser ^a   Egan, Blaise ^a   Lynch, Tom ^a   Skelton, Sonia ^a  

^a MARTLESHAM HEATH   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

Communications systems; Decision making; Modeling; Technology forecasting; Technology planning

Indexed keywords

DECISION MAKING; ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL EFFECTS; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; STRATEGIC PLANNING; TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING; TELECOMMUNICATION SYSTEMS;

DYNAMIC MODELS; TELECOMMUNICATION SERVICE DEMAND;

TELECOMMUNICATION SERVICES;

EID: 0031245829     PISSN: 00189219     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1109/5.640764     Document Type: Article

References (23)

1. M. H. Lyons, K. O. Jensen, and I. Hawker, 'Traffic scenarios for the 21st century," Br. Telecom Technol. J., vol. 11, no. 4, pp. 73-84, 1993.
2. M. Hopkins, G. Louth, H. Bailey, R. Yelton, A. Ajibulu, and M. Niva, "A multifaceted approach to forecasting broadband demand and traffic," IEEE Commun. Mag., vol. 33, pp. 36-42, Feb. 1995.
3. K. Stordahl and E. Murphy, "Forecasting long-term demand for services in the residential market," IEEE Commun. Mag., vol. 33, p. 49, Feb. 1995.
4. O. J. Wasem, A. M. Gross, and G. A. Tiapa, "Forecasting demand between geographic areas," IEEE Commun. Mag., vol. 33, pp. 55-57, Feb. 1995.
5. J. Lyneis, "Tactical vs. strategic approaches to competitive positioning - An example from the telecommunications industry," presented at the Int. Conf. System Dynamics, Stirling, UK, 1994.
6. T. Lynch, S. Skelton, and M. H. Lyons, "Strategic analysis of global telecoms service provision," presented at the Int. Conf. System Dynamics, Stirling, UK, 1994.
7. J. Barnes, F. Burton, I. Hawker, and M. H. Lyons, "Scenario modeling of demand for future telecommunications services," presented at the Int. Conf. System Dynamics, Stirling, UK, 1994.
8. M. Baker, Marketing Strategy and Management. New York: Macmillan, 1986.
9. C. J. Easingwood, "Product life cycle patterns for new industrial products," R&D Manage., vol. 18, pp. 23-32, 1988.
10. C. F. Donaldson, S. Skelton, T. Lynch, and M. H. Lyons, "Modeling product life cycles from customer choice," Eur. Trans. Telecommun. vol. 6, no. 4, pp. 431-437, 1995.
11. Dataquest Europe Limited. (1993). Market history and forecasts. [Online]. Available: www.dataquest.com.
12. M. H. Lyons, "Modeling the interactions between new telecommunications services," Br. Telecom Technol. J., vol. 12, no. 2, pp. 14-18, Apr. 1994.
13. M. H. Lyons, T. Lynch, and S. Skelton, "Modeling competition in telecommunications markets," Eur. Trans. Telecommun., vol. 6, no. 4, pp. 407-414, 1995.
14. J. Carey, "Consumer adoption of new communication technologies," IEEE Commun. Mag., vol. 27, p. 28, Aug. 1989.
15. P. M. Senge, The Fifth Discipline. New York: Doubleday, 1990, ch. 7, 8, 17, app. 2.
16. V. Mahajan and E. Muller, "Innovation diffusion & new product growth models in marketing," J. Marketing, vol. 43, p. 55, 1979.
17. V. Mahajan and Y. Wind, Eds., Innovation Diffusion Models of New Product Acceptance. Cambridge, MA: Ballinger, 1986.
18. E. Mansfield, "Technical change & the rate of imitation," Econometrica, vol. 29, p. 741, 1961.
19. R. Haberman, Mathematical Models in Mechanical Vibrations, Population Dynamics & Traffic Flow. Englewood Cliffs, NJ: Prentice-Hall, 1977, sect. 37.
20. F. M. Bass, "New product growth model for consumer durables," Manage. Sci., vol. 15, p. 215, 1969.
21. M. H. Lyons, T. Lynch, and S. Skelton, "Modeling competition in telecommunications markets," Eur. Trans. Telecommun., vol. 6, no. 4, pp. 407-414.
22. H. Simon and K. H. Sebastian, "Diffusion and advertising: The German telephone campaign," Manage. Sci., vol. 33, p. 451, 1987.
23. J. Forrester, Industrial Dynamics. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 1965.