Testing the validity of kinship microsimulation

Mathematical and Computer Modelling

Volumn 26, Issue 6, 1997, Pages 89-104

  Wachter, K W ^a   Blackwell, D ^a   Hammel, E A ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA   (United States)

Author keywords

Aging; Forecasting; Kinship; Microsimulation

Indexed keywords

COMPUTER SIMULATION; PROBABILITY;

KINSHIP MICROSIMULATION;

POPULATION STATISTICS;

EID: 0031236509     PISSN: 08957177     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/S0895-7177(97)00172-6     Document Type: Article

References (30)

1. J. Reeves, A Statistical Analysis and Projection of the Effects of Divorce on Future U.S. Kinship Structure, Ph.D. Thesis in Statistics, University of California, Berkeley, (1982).
2. C. Citro and E. Hanushek, Editors, Improving Information for Social Policy Decisions: The Uses of Microsimulation Modeling, two volumes, National Academy Press, Washington, DC, (1991).
3. M.L. Cohen, Evaluations of microsimulation models: Literature review, In Improving Information for Social Policy Decisions: The Uses of Microsimulation Modeling: Technical Papers, (Edited by C. Citro and E. Hanushek), pp. 255-275, National Academy Press, Washington, DC, (1991).
4. E.A. Hammel, K.W. Wachter and C.K. McDaniel, The Kin of the Aged in A.D. 2000, In Aging, (Edited by by S. Kiesler, J. Morgan and V. Oppenheimer), pp. 11-40, Academic Press, New York, (1981).
5. J. Reeves, Projection of number of kin, In Family Demography, (Edited by J. Bongaarts, T. Burch and K. Wachter), pp. 228-248, Clarendon Press, Oxford, (1987).
6. E.A. Hammel, D. Hutchinson, K. Wachter, R. Lundy and R. Deuel, The SOCSIM Demographic-Sociological Microsimulation Program Operating Manual, Institute of International Studies Research Monograph No. 27, University of California, Berkeley, CA, (1976).
7. M. Stoto, The accuracy of population projections, Journal of the American Statistical Association 78, 13-20, (1983).
8. D.A. Wolf, Demography of Aging, (Edited by L. Martin and S. Preston), pp. 146-194, National Academy Press, Washington, DC, (1994).
9. J. Bongaarts, T. Burch and K.W. Wachter, Editors, Family Demography: Methods and Their Applications, The Clarendon Press, Oxford, (1987).
10. S. DeVos and A. Palloni, Formal models and methods for the analysis of kinship and household organization, Population Index 55, 174-198, (1989).
11. H. LeBras, Parents, grandparents, bisaieux, Population 1, 9-37, (1973).
12. J. Menken, Age and fertility: How late can you wait?, Demography 22, 469-483, (1985).
13. J.E. Smith, The computer simulation of kin sets and kin counts, In Family Demography, (Edited by J. Bongaarts, T. Buch and K. Wachter), pp. 249-266, Clarendon Press, Oxford, (1987).
14. D. Wolf, Kinship and family support in aging societies, In Social and Economic Consequences of Population Aging, U.N. Department of International Economic and Social Affairs, New York, (1988).
15. Z. Zhao, Demographic conditions and multi-generation households in Chinese history: Results from genealogical research and microsimulation, Population Studies 48, 413-426, (1994).
16. Y. Zeng, Changing demographic characteristics and the family status of Chinese women, Population Studies 42, 183-203, (1988).
17. J. Bartlema, Modeling Stepfamilies: First Results, Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute Press, The Hague, The Netherlands, (1989).
18. J. Lin, Parity and Security: A Simulation Study of Population Aging, Kinship Network, and Old Age Security in China, Ph.D. Dissertation, Department of Demography, University of California, Berkeley, CA, (1992).
19. E.A. Hammel, C. Mason, K. Wachter, F. Wang and H. Yang, Rapid population change and kinship: The effects of unstable demographic changes on Chinese kinship networks, 1750-2250, In Consequences of Rapid Population Growth in Developing Countries, (Edited by G. Tapinos, D. Blanchet and D. Horlacher), pp. 243-271, Taylor and Francis, New York, (1991).
20. J. Lin, Parity and security: A simulation study of old age support in rural China, Population and Development Review 20, 423-448, (1994).
21. A.V. Rao, Q. Lindsey, R. Bhavsar, B. Shah, D. Horvitz and J. Batts, The evaluation of four alternative family planning programs for Poland, a less developed country, In Computer Simulation in Human Population Studies, (Edited by B. Dyke and J. MacCluer), pp. 261-304, Academic Press, New York, (1973).
22. P. Kunstadter R. Buhler, F. Stephan and C. Westoff, Demographic variability and preferential marriage patterns, American Journal of Physical Anthropology 21, 511-519, (1963).
23. A. Clague and J.C. Ridley, The assessment of three methods of estimating births averted, In Computer Simulation in Human Population Studies, (Edited by B. Dyke and J. MacCIuer), pp. 329-382, Academic Press, New York, (1973).
24. N. Howell, Demography of the Dobe Kung, Chapters 5, 11, 14, 15, and 16, Academic Press, New York, (1979).
25. E.A. Hammel, C. K. McDaniel and K. W. Wachter, Demographic consequences of incest prohibitions: A microsimulation analysis, Science 205, 972-977, (1979).
26. J. Sweet, L. Bumpass and V. Call, The design and content of the national survey of families and households, NSFH Working Paper No. 1, Center for Demography and Ecology, University of Wisconsin, (1988).
27. th Edition, Washington, DC, (1992).
28. J. Wood and M. Weinstein, A model of age-specific fecundability, Population Studies 42, 85-113, (1988).
29. T. Pullum and D. Wolf, Correlations between frequencies of kin, Demography 28, 391-410, (1991).
30. R.D. Lee and L. Carter, Modeling and forecasting the time series of U.S. mortality, Journal of the American Statistical Association 87, 659-671, (1992).