메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 99, Issue 3, 1997, Pages 516-529

Subjective estimation of the delay time distribution in maintenance modelling

Author keywords

Delay time; Expert judgment; Inspection; Maintenance; Subjective probability

Indexed keywords

DECISION MAKING; ESTIMATION; FAILURE (MECHANICAL); INSPECTION; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; PROBABILITY;

EID: 0031162682     PISSN: 03772217     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/S0377-2217(96)00318-9     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (54)

References (53)
  • 1
    • 0000501656 scopus 로고
    • Information theory and an extension of the maximum likelihood principle
    • Petrove, B.M., and Caski, F., eds., Academia, Budapest
    • Akaike, H. (1973), "Information theory and an extension of the maximum likelihood principle", in: Petrove, B.M., and Caski, F., eds., Second International Symposium on Information Theory, Academia, Budapest, 267-281.
    • (1973) Second International Symposium on Information Theory , pp. 267-281
    • Akaike, H.1
  • 2
    • 0025671211 scopus 로고
    • Probability estimation and information principle
    • Baker, R. (1990), "Probability estimation and information principle", Structural Safety 9, 97-116.
    • (1990) Structural Safety , vol.9 , pp. 97-116
    • Baker, R.1
  • 3
    • 0028395728 scopus 로고
    • Operational research modelling of engineering aspects of maintenance
    • Baker, R.D., and Christer, A.H. (1994), "Operational research modelling of engineering aspects of maintenance", European Journal of Operational Research 73, 407-422.
    • (1994) European Journal of Operational Research , vol.73 , pp. 407-422
    • Baker, R.D.1    Christer, A.H.2
  • 4
    • 0000936628 scopus 로고
    • Determining the delay time distribution of faults in repairable machinery from failure data
    • Baker, R.D., and Wang, W. (1991), "Determining the delay time distribution of faults in repairable machinery from failure data", IMA Journal of Mathematics Applied in Business and Industry 3/4, 259-282.
    • (1991) IMA Journal of Mathematics Applied in Business and Industry , vol.3 , Issue.4 , pp. 259-282
    • Baker, R.D.1    Wang, W.2
  • 6
    • 26444486398 scopus 로고
    • Innovatory decision making
    • White, D.L., and Brown, K.C., eds., Hodder and Stoughton, London
    • Christer, A.H. (1973), "Innovatory decision making", in: White, D.L., and Brown, K.C., eds., The Role and Effectiveness of Theories of Decision in Practice, Hodder and Stoughton, London, 369-377.
    • (1973) The Role and Effectiveness of Theories of Decision in Practice , pp. 369-377
    • Christer, A.H.1
  • 9
    • 0021422101 scopus 로고
    • An operational research approach to planned maintenance: Modelling P.M. for a vehicle fleet
    • Christer, A.H., and Waller, W.M. (1984b), "An operational research approach to planned maintenance: modelling P.M. for a vehicle fleet", Journal of the Operational Research Society 35, 401-406.
    • (1984) Journal of the Operational Research Society , vol.35 , pp. 401-406
    • Christer, A.H.1    Waller, W.M.2
  • 11
  • 13
    • 85033123630 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A case comparison of the objective and subjective delay time estimation techniques
    • Vancouver, Canada
    • Christer, A.H., Wang, W, Sharp J., and Baker, R.D. (1996), "A case comparison of the objective and subjective delay time estimation techniques", to be presented at IFORS 96, Vancouver, Canada.
    • (1996) IFORS 96
    • Christer, A.H.1    Wang, W.2    Sharp, J.3    Baker, R.D.4
  • 15
    • 0041678219 scopus 로고
    • Calibration and aggregation of probabilities
    • Clemen, R.T. (1986), "Calibration and aggregation of probabilities", Management Science 32, 312-314.
    • (1986) Management Science , vol.32 , pp. 312-314
    • Clemen, R.T.1
  • 17
    • 0042178870 scopus 로고
    • Procedures for using expert judgment in risk analysis
    • Flamm, J., and Luisi, T., eds.
    • Cooke, R.M. (1992), "Procedures for using expert judgment in risk analysis", in: Flamm, J., and Luisi, T., eds., Reliability Data Collection and Analysis.
    • (1992) Reliability Data Collection and Analysis
    • Cooke, R.M.1
  • 18
    • 0023847407 scopus 로고
    • Calibration and information in expert resolution: A classical approach
    • Cooke, R.M., Mendel, W., and Thijs, W. (1988), "Calibration and information in expert resolution: A classical approach", Autometrica 24, 87-94.
    • (1988) Autometrica , vol.24 , pp. 87-94
    • Cooke, R.M.1    Mendel, W.2    Thijs, W.3
  • 19
    • 0001128623 scopus 로고
    • Assessing probability assessor: Calibration and refinement
    • Gupta, S.S., and Berger, J.O., eds., Academic Press, New York
    • DeGroot, M.H., and Fienberg, S. (1982), "Assessing probability assessor: calibration and refinement", in: Gupta, S.S., and Berger, J.O., eds., Statistical Decision Theory and Related Topics III, Vol. 1, Academic Press, New York.
    • (1982) Statistical Decision Theory and Related Topics III , vol.1
    • DeGroot, M.H.1    Fienberg, S.2
  • 22
    • 0001538462 scopus 로고
    • Group consensus probability distributions: A critical survey
    • Bernardo, J.M., et al., eds., North-Holland, Amsterdam
    • French, S. (1985), "Group consensus probability distributions: a critical survey", in: Bernardo, J.M., et al., eds., Bayesian Statistics, Vol. 2, North-Holland, Amsterdam.
    • (1985) Bayesian Statistics , vol.2
    • French, S.1
  • 23
    • 0042680060 scopus 로고
    • Calibration and the expert problem
    • French, S. (1986), "Calibration and the expert problem", Management Science 32, 315-321.
    • (1986) Management Science , vol.32 , pp. 315-321
    • French, S.1
  • 24
    • 84972539429 scopus 로고
    • Combining probability distributions: A critique and an annotated bibliography
    • Genest, C. and Zidek, J. (1986), "Combining probability distributions: A critique and an annotated bibliography", Statistical Science 1/1, 114-148.
    • (1986) Statistical Science , vol.1 , Issue.1 , pp. 114-148
    • Genest, C.1    Zidek, J.2
  • 25
    • 0005301078 scopus 로고
    • Modelling expert judgments for Bayesian updating
    • Genest, C., and Schervish, M.J. (1985), "Modelling expert judgments for Bayesian updating", Annals of Statistics 13, 1198-1212.
    • (1985) Annals of Statistics , vol.13 , pp. 1198-1212
    • Genest, C.1    Schervish, M.J.2
  • 26
    • 0017558160 scopus 로고
    • Independence and calibration in decision science
    • Harrison, J.M. (1977), "Independence and calibration in decision science", Management Science 24, 320-328.
    • (1977) Management Science , vol.24 , pp. 320-328
    • Harrison, J.M.1
  • 27
    • 84950631713 scopus 로고
    • Cognitive process and the assessment of subjective probability distribution
    • Hogarth, R.M. (1975), "Cognitive process and the assessment of subjective probability distribution", Journal of the American Statistical Association 70/350, 271-293.
    • (1975) Journal of the American Statistical Association , vol.70 , Issue.350 , pp. 271-293
    • Hogarth, R.M.1
  • 31
    • 0003257525 scopus 로고
    • Calibration of probabilities: The state of art
    • Jungermann, H., and de Zeeuw, G., eds., Reidel, Dordrecht, Holland
    • Lichtenstein, S., and Phillips, L. (1977), "Calibration of probabilities: The state of art", in: Jungermann, H., and de Zeeuw, G., eds., Decision Making and Change in Human Affairs, Reidel, Dordrecht, Holland.
    • (1977) Decision Making and Change in Human Affairs
    • Lichtenstein, S.1    Phillips, L.2
  • 32
    • 0002941732 scopus 로고
    • Calibration of probabilities: The state of art, to 1980
    • Kahneman, D., Slovic, P., and Tversky, T., eds., Cambridge University Press, New York
    • Lichtenstein, S., Fischhoff, B., and Phillips, L. (1982), "Calibration of probabilities: the state of art, to 1980", in: Kahneman, D., Slovic, P., and Tversky, T., eds., Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases, Cambridge University Press, New York.
    • (1982) Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases
    • Lichtenstein, S.1    Fischhoff, B.2    Phillips, L.3
  • 34
    • 0043181019 scopus 로고
    • Another look at an axiomatic approach to expert resolution
    • Lindley, D.V. (1986), "Another look at an axiomatic approach to expert resolution", Management Science 32, 303-306.
    • (1986) Management Science , vol.32 , pp. 303-306
    • Lindley, D.V.1
  • 35
    • 0002737337 scopus 로고
    • Descriptive and normative implication of the decision theory postulates
    • Borch, K., and Mosin, J., eds., St. Martins Press, New York
    • MacCrimmon, K.R. (1968), "Descriptive and normative implication of the decision theory postulates", in: Borch, K., and Mosin, J., eds., Risk and Uncertainty, St. Martins Press, New York.
    • (1968) Risk and Uncertainty
    • MacCrimmon, K.R.1
  • 37
    • 0017466072 scopus 로고
    • Combining expert judgments: A Bayesian approach
    • Morris, P.A. (1977), "Combining expert judgments: A Bayesian approach", Management Science 23/7, 679-693.
    • (1977) Management Science , vol.23 , Issue.7 , pp. 679-693
    • Morris, P.A.1
  • 38
    • 0005935618 scopus 로고
    • Decision analysis: Expert use
    • Morris, P.A. (1974), "Decision analysis: Expert use", Management Science 20/9.
    • (1974) Management Science , vol.20 , Issue.9
    • Morris, P.A.1
  • 39
    • 0041678216 scopus 로고
    • Observations on expert aggregation
    • Morris, P.A. (1986), "Observations on expert aggregation", Management Science 32, 321-328.
    • (1986) Management Science , vol.32 , pp. 321-328
    • Morris, P.A.1
  • 40
    • 0020542186 scopus 로고
    • An axiomatic approach to expert resolution
    • Morris, P.A. (1983), "An axiomatic approach to expert resolution", Management Science 29, 24-32.
    • (1983) Management Science , vol.29 , pp. 24-32
    • Morris, P.A.1
  • 42
    • 0042680056 scopus 로고
    • Comments on some axioms for combining expert judgments
    • Schervish, M.J. (1986), "Comments on some axioms for combining expert judgments", Management Science 32, 306-312.
    • (1986) Management Science , vol.32 , pp. 306-312
    • Schervish, M.J.1
  • 43
    • 0001889741 scopus 로고
    • An interactive PC-based procedure for reliability assessment incorporating expert opinions and survival data
    • Singpurwalla, N.D. (1988), "An interactive PC-based procedure for reliability assessment incorporating expert opinions and survival data", Journal of the American Statistical Association 83/401, 43-51.
    • (1988) Journal of the American Statistical Association , vol.83 , Issue.401 , pp. 43-51
    • Singpurwalla, N.D.1
  • 44
    • 33745523588 scopus 로고
    • Manipulating the attractiveness of a Gamble without changing its expected value
    • Slovic, P. (1969), "Manipulating the attractiveness of a Gamble without changing its expected value", Journal of Experimental Psychology 79, 139-145.
    • (1969) Journal of Experimental Psychology , vol.79 , pp. 139-145
    • Slovic, P.1
  • 45
    • 0016570245 scopus 로고
    • Probability encoding in decision science
    • Spetzler, C.S., and Von Holstein, C.S. (1975), "Probability encoding in decision science". Management Science 22/3, 340-358.
    • (1975) Management Science , vol.22 , Issue.3 , pp. 340-358
    • Spetzler, C.S.1    Von Holstein, C.S.2
  • 47
    • 0002229686 scopus 로고
    • Basic measurement theory
    • Luce, R.D., Bush, R.R., and Galanter, E., eds., Wiley, New York
    • Suppes, P., and Zines, J.L. (1963), "Basic measurement theory", in: Luce, R.D., Bush, R.R., and Galanter, E., eds., Handbook of Mathematical Psychology, Vol. 1, Wiley, New York.
    • (1963) Handbook of Mathematical Psychology , vol.1
    • Suppes, P.1    Zines, J.L.2
  • 48
    • 0016264378 scopus 로고
    • Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases
    • Tversky, A., and Kahneman, D. (1974), "Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases", Science 185, 1124-1131.
    • (1974) Science , vol.185 , pp. 1124-1131
    • Tversky, A.1    Kahneman, D.2
  • 50
    • 0002229735 scopus 로고
    • Encoding subjective probabilities: A psychological and psychometric review
    • Wallsten, T.S., and Budescu, D.V. (1983), "Encoding subjective probabilities: A psychological and psychometric review", Management Science 29, 151-173.
    • (1983) Management Science , vol.29 , pp. 151-173
    • Wallsten, T.S.1    Budescu, D.V.2
  • 51
    • 0002843594 scopus 로고
    • The consensus of subjective probability distribution
    • Winkler, R.L. (1968), "The consensus of subjective probability distribution", Management Science 15/2, B61-B75.
    • (1968) Management Science , vol.15 , Issue.2
    • Winkler, R.L.1
  • 52
    • 0000635469 scopus 로고
    • Expert resolution
    • Winkler, R.L. (1986), "Expert resolution", Management Science 32/3, 298-303.
    • (1986) Management Science , vol.32 , Issue.3 , pp. 298-303
    • Winkler, R.L.1
  • 53
    • 0007947439 scopus 로고
    • Combining experts' opinions using a Normal-Wishart Model
    • Wiper, M.P., and French, S. (1995), "Combining experts' opinions using a Normal-Wishart Model", Journal of Forecasting 14, 25-34.
    • (1995) Journal of Forecasting , vol.14 , pp. 25-34
    • Wiper, M.P.1    French, S.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.