The impact of dropwindsonde data on GFDL hurricane model forecasts using global analyses

Weather and Forecasting

Volumn 12, Issue 2, 1997, Pages 307-323

  Tuleya, Robert E ^a,b   Lord, Stephen J ^a  

^a NOAA EARTH SYSTEM RESEARCH LABORATORY   (United States)

^b PRINCETON UNIVERSITY   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

DATABASE SYSTEMS; HURRICANES; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; NATURAL SCIENCES COMPUTING; STATISTICAL METHODS;

GEOPHYSICAL FLUID DYNAMICS LABORATORY (GFDL); OMEGA DROPWINDSONDE (ODW);

WEATHER FORECASTING;

HURRICANE; WEATHER FORECASTING;

ATLANTIC;

EID: 0031153991     PISSN: 08828156     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/1520-0434(1997)012<0307:TIODDO>2.0.CO;2     Document Type: Article

References (22)

1. Aberson, S. D., and M. DeMaria, 1994: Verification of a nested barotropic hurricane track forecast model (VICBAR). Mon. Wea. Rev., 122, 2804-2815.
2. Bender, M. A., R. J. Ross, R. E. Tuleya, and Y. Kurihara, 1993: Improvements in tropical cyclone track and intensity forecasts using the GFDL initialization system. Mon. Wea. Rev., 121, 2046-2061.
3. Burpee, R. W., D. G. Marks, and R. T. Merrill, 1984: An assessment of Omega dropwindsonde data in track forecasts of Hurricane Debby (1982). Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 65, 1050-1058.
4. _, J. L. Franklin, S. J. Lord, R. E. Tuleya, and S. D. Aberson, 1996: The impact of Omega dropwindsondes on operational hurricane track forecast models. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 77, 925-933.
5. Carr, L. E., and R. L. Elsberry, 1990: Observational evidence for predictions of tropical cyclone propagation relative to environmental steering. J. Atmos. Sci., 47, 542-546.
6. Chan, J. C., and W. M. Gray, 1982: Tropical cyclone movement and surrounding flow relationship. Mon. Wea. Rev., 110, 1354-1374.
7. DeMaria, M., and J. Kaplan, 1994: A statistical hurricane intensity predictive scheme (SHIPS) for the Atlantic basin. Wea. Forecasting, 9, 209-220.
8. _, S. D. Aberson, K. V. Ooyama, and S. J. Lord, 1992: A nested spectral model for hurricane track forecasting. Mon. Wea. Rev., 120, 1628-1643.
9. Dong, K., and C. J. Neuman, 1986: The relationship between tropical cyclone motion and environmental geostrophic flows. Mon. Wea. Rev., 114, 115-122.
10. Franklin, J. L., and M. DeMaria, 1992: The impact of Omega dropwindsonde observations on barotropic hurricane track forecasts. Mon. Wea. Rev., 120, 381-391.
11. _, S. E. Feuer, J. Kaplan, and S. Aberson, 1996: Tropical cyclone motion and surrounding flow relationships: Searching for betagyres in a Omega dropwindsonde dataset. Mon. Wea. Rev., 124, 64-84.
12. Kanamitsu, M., 1989: Description of the NMC global data assimilation and forecast system. Wea. Forecasting, 4, 335-342.
13. _, and Coauthors, 1991: Recent changes implemented into the global forecast system at NMC. Wea. Forecasting, 6, 424-435.
14. Kurihara, Y., and R. E. Tuleya, 1974: Structure of a tropical cyclone developed in a three-dimensional numerical simulation model. J. Atmos. Sci., 31, 893-919.
15. _, and M. A. Bender, 1980: Use of a movable nested mesh model for tracking a small vortex. Mon. Wea. Rev., 108, 1792-1809.
16. _, _, R. E. Tuleya, and R. J. Ross, 1990: Prediction experiments of Hurricane Gloria (1985) using a multiply nested movable mesh model. Mon. Wea. Rev., 118, 2185-2198.
17. _, _, and R. J. Ross, 1993: An initialization scheme of hurricane models by vortex specification. Mon. Wea. Rev., 121, 2030-2045.
18. _, _, R. E. Tuleya, and R. J. Ross, 1995: Improvements in the GFDL hurricane prediction system. Mon. Wea. Rev., 123, 2791-2801.
19. Lord, S. J., 1991: A bogusing system for vortex circulations in the National Meteorological Center global forecast model. Preprints, 19th Conf. on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, San Antonio, TX, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 328-330.
20. _, 1993: Recent developments in tropical cyclone track forecasting with the NMC global analysis and forecasting system. Preprints, 20th Conf. on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, Miami, FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 290-291.
21. Lorenz, E. N., 1965: A study of the predictability of a 28-variable atmospheric model. Tellus, 17, 321-333.
22. Parrish, D. F, and J. C. Derber, 1992: The National Meteorological Center's spectral statistical-interpolation analysis system. Mon. Wea. Rev., 120, 1747-1763.