메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 13, Issue 2, 1997, Pages 85-101

A stochastic bass innovation diffusion model for studying the growth of electricity consumption in Greece

Author keywords

Bass model; Electricity consumption; Maximum likelihood estimators; Reducible stochastic differential equations; Stochastic bass innovation diffusion model (SBIDM); Stochastic simulation; Technological innovation diffusion

Indexed keywords

COMPUTER SIMULATION; DIFFERENTIAL EQUATIONS; ELECTRIC POWER UTILIZATION; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; PARAMETER ESTIMATION; PROBABILITY; PROBLEM SOLVING; TIME SERIES ANALYSIS;

EID: 0031153551     PISSN: 87550024     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/(SICI)1099-0747(199706)13:2<85::AID-ASM298>3.0.CO;2-Z     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (36)

References (24)
  • 1
    • 0000087498 scopus 로고
    • Aggregate diffusion forecasting models in marketing: A critical review
    • P. M. Parker, 'Aggregate diffusion forecasting models in marketing: a critical review', Int. J. Forecasting, 10, 353-380 (1994).
    • (1994) Int. J. Forecasting , vol.10 , pp. 353-380
    • Parker, P.M.1
  • 2
    • 0000924633 scopus 로고
    • Technical change and the rate of imitation
    • E. Mansfield, 'Technical change and the rate of imitation', Econometrica, 29, 741-766 (1961).
    • (1961) Econometrica , vol.29 , pp. 741-766
    • Mansfield, E.1
  • 3
    • 0012039896 scopus 로고
    • A methodology for trend forecasting of figures of merit
    • J. R. Bright (ed.), Prentice Hall, Englewood Cliffs, New Jersey, U.S.A.
    • A. Floyd, 'A methodology for trend forecasting of figures of merit', in J. R. Bright (ed.), Technological Forecasting for Industry and Government: Methods and Applications, Prentice Hall, Englewood Cliffs, New Jersey, U.S.A., 1968.
    • (1968) Technological Forecasting for Industry and Government: Methods and Applications
    • Floyd, A.1
  • 4
    • 0001449665 scopus 로고
    • A new product growth model for consumer durables
    • F. M. Bass, 'A new product growth model for consumer durables', Mgmt Sci., 15, 215-227 (1969).
    • (1969) Mgmt Sci. , vol.15 , pp. 215-227
    • Bass, F.M.1
  • 5
    • 0037916019 scopus 로고
    • System dynamics modelling for forecasting multilevel technological substitution
    • M. N. Sharif and C. A. Kabir, 'System dynamics modelling for forecasting multilevel technological substitution', Techn. Forecasting & Social Change, 9, 89-112 (1976).
    • (1976) Techn. Forecasting & Social Change , vol.9 , pp. 89-112
    • Sharif, M.N.1    Kabir, C.A.2
  • 6
    • 0019728523 scopus 로고
    • A nonsymmetric responding logistic model for forecasting technological substitution
    • C. Easingwood, V. Mahajan and E. Muller, 'A nonsymmetric responding logistic model for forecasting technological substitution', Techn. Forecasting & Social Change, 20, 199-213 (1981).
    • (1981) Techn. Forecasting & Social Change , vol.20 , pp. 199-213
    • Easingwood, C.1    Mahajan, V.2    Muller, E.3
  • 7
    • 0021892033 scopus 로고
    • Two generalized rational models for forecasting innovation diffusion
    • C. H. Skiadas, 'Two generalized rational models for forecasting innovation diffusion', Techn. Forecasting & Social Change, 72, 39-61 (1985).
    • (1985) Techn. Forecasting & Social Change , vol.72 , pp. 39-61
    • Skiadas, C.H.1
  • 8
    • 0022854397 scopus 로고
    • Innovation diffusion models expressing asymmetry and/or positively or negatively influencing forces
    • C. H. Skiadas, 'Innovation diffusion models expressing asymmetry and/or positively or negatively influencing forces', Techn. Forecasting & Social Change, 30, 313-330 (1986).
    • (1986) Techn. Forecasting & Social Change , vol.30 , pp. 313-330
    • Skiadas, C.H.1
  • 9
    • 0023346656 scopus 로고
    • Two simple models for the early and middle stage prediction of innovation diffusion
    • C. H. Skiadas, 'Two simple models for the early and middle stage prediction of innovation diffusion', IEEE Trans Engng Mgmt, 34, 79-84 (1987).
    • (1987) IEEE Trans Engng Mgmt , vol.34 , pp. 79-84
    • Skiadas, C.H.1
  • 10
    • 0001148463 scopus 로고
    • Bayesian estimation and control of detailing effort in repeat purchase diffusion environment
    • G. L. Lilien, A. G. Rao and S. Kalish, 'Bayesian estimation and control of detailing effort in repeat purchase diffusion environment', Mgmt Sci., 27, 493-506 (1981).
    • (1981) Mgmt Sci. , vol.27 , pp. 493-506
    • Lilien, G.L.1    Rao, A.G.2    Kalish, S.3
  • 11
    • 6244296245 scopus 로고
    • Innovation diffusion models with stochastic parameters: Forecasting and planning implications
    • Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, U.S.A.
    • J. Eliashberg, C. S. Tapiero and Y. Wind, 'Innovation diffusion models with stochastic parameters: forecasting and planning implications', Working Paper No. 87-003, Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, U.S.A., 1987.
    • (1987) Working Paper No. 87-003
    • Eliashberg, J.1    Tapiero, C.S.2    Wind, Y.3
  • 12
    • 6244287320 scopus 로고
    • A sigmoid stochastic growth model derived from the revised exponential
    • J. Janssen and C. H. Skiadas (eds), World Scientific, Singapore
    • C. H. Skiadas, A. N. Giovanis and J. Dimoticalis, 'A sigmoid stochastic growth model derived from the revised exponential', in J. Janssen and C. H. Skiadas (eds), Applied Stochastic Models and Data Analysis, World Scientific, Singapore, 1993, pp. 864-870.
    • (1993) Applied Stochastic Models and Data Analysis , pp. 864-870
    • Skiadas, C.H.1    Giovanis, A.N.2    Dimoticalis, J.3
  • 13
    • 0344012736 scopus 로고
    • Investigation of stochastic differential models: The Gompertzian case
    • R. Gutierrez and M. J. Valderrama Bonnet (eds), World Scientific, Singapore
    • C. H. Skiadas, A. N. Giovanis and J. Dimoticalis, 'Investigation of stochastic differential models: the Gompertzian case', in R. Gutierrez and M. J. Valderrama Bonnet (eds), Selected Topics on Stochastic Modelling, World Scientific, Singapore, 1994, pp. 296-310.
    • (1994) Selected Topics on Stochastic Modelling , pp. 296-310
    • Skiadas, C.H.1    Giovanis, A.N.2    Dimoticalis, J.3
  • 14
    • 6244286378 scopus 로고
    • Forecasting the electricity consumption by applying stochastic modelling techniques: The case of Greece
    • J. Janssen, C. H. Skiadas and C. Zopounidis (eds.), Kluwer Academic, Dordrecht, The Netherlands
    • A. N. Giovanis and C. H. Skiadas, 'Forecasting the electricity consumption by applying stochastic modelling techniques: the case of Greece', in J. Janssen, C. H. Skiadas and C. Zopounidis (eds.), Advances in Applying Stochastic Modelling and Data Analysis, Kluwer Academic, Dordrecht, The Netherlands, 1995, pp. 85-100.
    • (1995) Advances in Applying Stochastic Modelling and Data Analysis , pp. 85-100
    • Giovanis, A.N.1    Skiadas, C.H.2
  • 15
    • 84982076781 scopus 로고
    • Analytic solution and estimation of parameters on a stochastic exponential model for a technological diffusion process
    • A. Katsamaki and C. H. Skiadas, 'Analytic solution and estimation of parameters on a stochastic exponential model for a technological diffusion process', Appl. Stochastic Models & Data Anal., 11, 59-75 (1995).
    • (1995) Appl. Stochastic Models & Data Anal. , vol.11 , pp. 59-75
    • Katsamaki, A.1    Skiadas, C.H.2
  • 16
    • 38248999007 scopus 로고
    • Forecasting the number of competing products in high-technology markets
    • E. Bridjes, K. B. Ensor and J. A. Norton, 'Forecasting the number of competing products in high-technology markets', Int. J. Forecasting, 9, 399-405 (1993).
    • (1993) Int. J. Forecasting , vol.9 , pp. 399-405
    • Bridjes, E.1    Ensor, K.B.2    Norton, J.A.3
  • 20
    • 0344012734 scopus 로고
    • On effects of discretization on estimators of drift parameters for diffusion processes
    • Department of Theoretical Statistics, Institute of Mathematics, University of Aarhus, Denmark
    • P. Kloeden, H. Schurz, E. Platten and M. Sorensen, 'On effects of discretization on estimators of drift parameters for diffusion processes', Research Report No. 249, Department of Theoretical Statistics, Institute of Mathematics, University of Aarhus, Denmark, 1992.
    • (1992) Research Report No. 249
    • Kloeden, P.1    Schurz, H.2    Platten, E.3    Sorensen, M.4
  • 21
    • 6244298505 scopus 로고
    • Exponential families of stochastic process with time-continuous likelihood function
    • U. Kuchler and M. Sorensen, 'Exponential families of stochastic process with time-continuous likelihood function', Math. Programming Study, 5, 124-144 (1989).
    • (1989) Math. Programming Study , vol.5 , pp. 124-144
    • Kuchler, U.1    Sorensen, M.2
  • 23
    • 0344012732 scopus 로고
    • Estimating the volatility of an exchange rate
    • J. Janssen and C. H. Skiadas (eds), World Scientific, Singapore
    • M. Chesney and R. J. Elliot, 'Estimating the volatility of an exchange rate', in J. Janssen and C. H. Skiadas (eds), Applied Stochastic Models and Data Analysis, World Scientific, Singapore, 1993, pp. 131-135.
    • (1993) Applied Stochastic Models and Data Analysis , pp. 131-135
    • Chesney, M.1    Elliot, R.J.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.