메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 277, Issue 6, 1997, Pages 488-494

Clinical prediction rules: A review and suggested modifications of methodological standards

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ARTICLE; MATHEMATICAL ANALYSIS; MEDICAL DECISION MAKING; OUTCOMES RESEARCH; PRIORITY JOURNAL; REPRODUCIBILITY; STANDARD; STATISTICAL ANALYSIS;

EID: 0031017667     PISSN: 00987484     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1001/jama.277.6.488     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (980)

References (56)
  • 1
    • 0025945007 scopus 로고
    • Prognostic value of a treadmill exercise score in outpatients with suspected coronary artery disease
    • Mark DB, Shaw L, HarrelL FE, et al. Prognostic value of a treadmill exercise score in outpatients with suspected coronary artery disease. N Engl J Med. 1991;325:849-853.
    • (1991) N Engl J Med , vol.325 , pp. 849-853
    • Mark, D.B.1    Shaw, L.2    Harrell, F.E.3
  • 2
    • 0028268763 scopus 로고
    • Implementation of the Ottawa Ankle Rules
    • Stiell IG, MeKnight RD, Greenberg GH, et al. Implementation of the Ottawa Ankle Rules. JAMA. 1994;271:827-832.
    • (1994) JAMA , vol.271 , pp. 827-832
    • Stiell, I.G.1    Meknight, R.D.2    Greenberg, G.H.3
  • 3
    • 0021969084 scopus 로고
    • Clinical prediction rules: Application and methodological standards
    • Wasson JH, Sox HC, Neff RK, Goldman L. Clinical prediction rules: application and methodological standards. N Engl J Med. 1985;313:793-799.
    • (1985) N Engl J Med , vol.313 , pp. 793-799
    • Wasson, J.H.1    Sox, H.C.2    Neff, R.K.3    Goldman, L.4
  • 5
    • 0027512758 scopus 로고
    • Decision rules for the use of radiography in acute ankle injuries: Refinement and prospective validation
    • Stiell IG, Greenberg GH, MeKnight RD, et al. Decision rules for the use of radiography in acute ankle injuries: refinement and prospective validation. JAMA. 1993;269:1127-1132.
    • (1993) JAMA , vol.269 , pp. 1127-1132
    • Stiell, I.G.1    Greenberg, G.H.2    Meknight, R.D.3
  • 6
    • 0029095971 scopus 로고
    • Multicentre trial to introduce the Ottawa ankle rules for use of radiography in acute ankle injuries
    • Stiell I, Wells G, Laupacis A, et al. Multicentre trial to introduce the Ottawa ankle rules for use of radiography in acute ankle injuries. BMJ. 1995; 311:594-597.
    • (1995) BMJ , vol.311 , pp. 594-597
    • Stiell, I.1    Wells, G.2    Laupacis, A.3
  • 7
    • 0030064057 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Prospective validation of a decision rule for the use of radiography in acute knee injuries
    • Stiell IG, Greenberg GH, Wells GA, et al. Prospective validation of a decision rule for the use of radiography in acute knee injuries. JAMA. 1996; 275:611-615.
    • (1996) JAMA , vol.275 , pp. 611-615
    • Stiell, I.G.1    Greenberg, G.H.2    Wells, G.A.3
  • 8
    • 0028213168 scopus 로고
    • Can bruits distinguish high-grade from moderate symptomatic carotid stenosis?
    • Sauve JS, Thorpe KE, Sackett DL, et al. Can bruits distinguish high-grade from moderate symptomatic carotid stenosis? Ann Intern Med. 1994; 120:633-637.
    • (1994) Ann Intern Med , vol.120 , pp. 633-637
    • Sauve, J.S.1    Thorpe, K.E.2    Sackett, D.L.3
  • 9
    • 0026072765 scopus 로고
    • Predicting death in patients hospitalized for community-acquired pneumonia
    • Fair BM, Sloman AJ, Fisch MJ. Predicting death in patients hospitalized for community-acquired pneumonia. Ann Intern Med. 1991;115:428-436.
    • (1991) Ann Intern Med , vol.115 , pp. 428-436
    • Fair, B.M.1    Sloman, A.J.2    Fisch, M.J.3
  • 11
    • 0028576994 scopus 로고
    • A clinical rule to predict preserved left ventricular ejection fraction in patients after myocardial infarction
    • Silver MT, Rose GA, Paul SD, O'Donnell CJ, O'Gara PT, Eagle KA. A clinical rule to predict preserved left ventricular ejection fraction in patients after myocardial infarction. Ann Intern Med. 1994;121:750-756.
    • (1994) Ann Intern Med , vol.121 , pp. 750-756
    • Silver, M.T.1    Rose, G.A.2    Paul, S.D.3    O'Donnell, C.J.4    O'Gara, P.T.5    Eagle, K.A.6
  • 12
    • 0027101737 scopus 로고
    • Value of the history and physical in identifying patients at increased risk for coronary artery disease
    • Pryor DB, Shaw L, McCants CB, et al. Value of the history and physical in identifying patients at increased risk for coronary artery disease. Ann Intern Med. 1993;118:81-90.
    • (1993) Ann Intern Med , vol.118 , pp. 81-90
    • Pryor, D.B.1    Shaw, L.2    McCants, C.B.3
  • 13
    • 0026788498 scopus 로고
    • Clinical evaluation of sinusitis: Making the diagnosis by history and physical examination
    • Williams JW, Simel DL, Roberts L, Samsa GP. Clinical evaluation of sinusitis: making the diagnosis by history and physical examination. Ann Intern Med. 1992;117:705-710.
    • (1992) Ann Intern Med , vol.117 , pp. 705-710
    • Williams, J.W.1    Simel, D.L.2    Roberts, L.3    Samsa, G.P.4
  • 14
    • 0027468250 scopus 로고
    • The incidence of perioperative myocardial infarction in men undergoing noncardiac surgery
    • Ashton CM, Petersen NJ, Wray NP, et al. The incidence of perioperative myocardial infarction in men undergoing noncardiac surgery. Ann Intern Med. 1993;118:504-510.
    • (1993) Ann Intern Med , vol.118 , pp. 504-510
    • Ashton, C.M.1    Petersen, N.J.2    Wray, N.P.3
  • 15
    • 0026543430 scopus 로고
    • Predictors of thromboembolism in atrial fibrillation, I: Clinical features of patients at risk
    • The Stroke Prevention in Atrial Fibrillation Investigators. Predictors of thromboembolism in atrial fibrillation, I: clinical features of patients at risk. Ann Intern Med. 1992;116:1-5.
    • (1992) Ann Intern Med , vol.116 , pp. 1-5
  • 16
    • 0026599354 scopus 로고
    • Predictors of thromboembolism in atrial fibrillation, II: Echocardiographic features of patients at risk
    • The Stroke Prevention in Atrial Fibrillation Investigators. Predictors of thromboembolism in atrial fibrillation, II: echocardiographic features of patients at risk. Ann Intern Med. 1992;116:6-12.
    • (1992) Ann Intern Med , vol.116 , pp. 6-12
  • 17
    • 0027502742 scopus 로고
    • Prediction of cardiovascular death in men undergoing noninvasive evaluation for coronary artery disease
    • Morrow K, Morris CK, Frolicher VF, et al. Prediction of cardiovascular death in men undergoing noninvasive evaluation for coronary artery disease. Ann Intern Med. 1993;118:689-695.
    • (1993) Ann Intern Med , vol.118 , pp. 689-695
    • Morrow, K.1    Morris, C.K.2    Frolicher, V.F.3
  • 18
    • 0026030624 scopus 로고
    • Which clinical variables predict an abnormal double-contrast barium enema result?
    • Zarchy TM, Ershoff D. Which clinical variables predict an abnormal double-contrast barium enema result? Ann Intern Med. 1991;114:137-141.
    • (1991) Ann Intern Med , vol.114 , pp. 137-141
    • Zarchy, T.M.1    Ershoff, D.2
  • 19
    • 0027486727 scopus 로고
    • A predictive model for delirium in hospitalized elderly medical patients based on admission characteristics
    • Inouye SK, Viscoli CM, Horwitz RI, Hurst LD, Tinetti ME. A predictive model for delirium in hospitalized elderly medical patients based on admission characteristics. Ann Intern Med. 1993; 119:474-481.
    • (1993) Ann Intern Med , vol.119 , pp. 474-481
    • Inouye, S.K.1    Viscoli, C.M.2    Horwitz, R.I.3    Hurst, L.D.4    Tinetti, M.E.5
  • 20
    • 0027460909 scopus 로고
    • Prediction of osteoporotic fractures by postural instability and bone density
    • Nguyen T, Sambrook P, Kelly P, et al. Prediction of osteoporotic fractures by postural instability and bone density. BMJ. 1993;307:1111-1115.
    • (1993) BMJ , vol.307 , pp. 1111-1115
    • Nguyen, T.1    Sambrook, P.2    Kelly, P.3
  • 21
    • 0027284962 scopus 로고
    • Prognostic index for recurrence of seizures after remission of epilepsy
    • Medical Research Council Antiepileptic Drug Withdrawal Study Group. Prognostic index for recurrence of seizures after remission of epilepsy. BMJ. 1993;306:1374-1378.
    • (1993) BMJ , vol.306 , pp. 1374-1378
  • 22
    • 0026784707 scopus 로고
    • Use of symptoms and signs to diagnose maxillary sinusitis in general practice: Comparison with ultra-sonography
    • van Duijn NP, Brouwer HJ, Lamberts H. Use of symptoms and signs to diagnose maxillary sinusitis in general practice: comparison with ultra-sonography. BMJ. 1992;305:684-687.
    • (1992) BMJ , vol.305 , pp. 684-687
    • Van Duijn, N.P.1    Brouwer, H.J.2    Lamberts, H.3
  • 23
    • 0026480843 scopus 로고
    • Venous leg ulcers: A prognostic index to predict time to healing
    • Skene AI, Smith JM, Dore CJ, Charlett A, Lewis JD. Venous leg ulcers: a prognostic index to predict time to healing. BMJ. 1992;305:1119-1121.
    • (1992) BMJ , vol.305 , pp. 1119-1121
    • Skene, A.I.1    Smith, J.M.2    Dore, C.J.3    Charlett, A.4    Lewis, J.D.5
  • 24
    • 0025734076 scopus 로고
    • Siriraj stroke score and validation study to distinguish supratentorial intracerebral hemorrhage from infarction
    • Poungvarin N, Viriyavejakul A, Komontri C. Siriraj stroke score and validation study to distinguish supratentorial intracerebral hemorrhage from infarction. BMJ. 1991;302:1565-1567.
    • (1991) BMJ , vol.302 , pp. 1565-1567
    • Poungvarin, N.1    Viriyavejakul, A.2    Komontri, C.3
  • 25
    • 0028358973 scopus 로고
    • Comparability and validity of two clinical scores in the early differential diagnosis of acute stroke
    • Celani MG, Righetti E, Migliacci R, et al. Comparability and validity of two clinical scores in the early differential diagnosis of acute stroke. BMJ. 1994;308:1674-1676.
    • (1994) BMJ , vol.308 , pp. 1674-1676
    • Celani, M.G.1    Righetti, E.2    Migliacci, R.3
  • 26
    • 0027161140 scopus 로고
    • Serum albumin concentration, arm circumference, and oedema and subsequent risk of dying in children in Central Africa
    • Dramaix M, Hennart P, Brasseur D, et al. Serum albumin concentration, arm circumference, and oedema and subsequent risk of dying in children in Central Africa. BMJ. 1993;307:710-713.
    • (1993) BMJ , vol.307 , pp. 710-713
    • Dramaix, M.1    Hennart, P.2    Brasseur, D.3
  • 27
    • 0028326934 scopus 로고
    • Early identification of patients at low risk of death after myocardial infarction and potentially suitable for early hospital discharge
    • Parsons RW, Jamrozik KD, Hobbs MST, Thompson DL. Early identification of patients at low risk of death after myocardial infarction and potentially suitable for early hospital discharge. BMJ. 1994; 308:1006-1010.
    • (1994) BMJ , vol.308 , pp. 1006-1010
    • Parsons, R.W.1    Jamrozik, K.D.2    Hobbs, M.S.T.3    Thompson, D.L.4
  • 28
    • 0027208616 scopus 로고
    • Predicting driving performance after stroke
    • Nouri FM, Lincoln NB. Predicting driving performance after stroke. BMJ. 1993;307:482-483.
    • (1993) BMJ , vol.307 , pp. 482-483
    • Nouri, F.M.1    Lincoln, N.B.2
  • 29
    • 0026571982 scopus 로고
    • Rapid classification of positive blood cultures: Prospective validation of a multivariate algorithm
    • Bates DW, Lee TH. Rapid classification of positive blood cultures: prospective validation of a multivariate algorithm. JAMA. 1992;267:1962-1966.
    • (1992) JAMA , vol.267 , pp. 1962-1966
    • Bates, D.W.1    Lee, T.H.2
  • 30
    • 0028008505 scopus 로고
    • A clinical prediction rule for delirium after elective noncardiac surgery
    • Marcantonio ER, Goldman L, Mangione CM, et al. A clinical prediction rule for delirium after elective noncardiac surgery. JAMA. 1994;271:134-139.
    • (1994) JAMA , vol.271 , pp. 134-139
    • Marcantonio, E.R.1    Goldman, L.2    Mangione, C.M.3
  • 31
    • 0026734168 scopus 로고
    • In-hospital and long-term mortality in male veterans following noncardiac surgery
    • Browner WS, Li J, Mangano DT, for the Study of Perioperative Ischemia Research Group. In-hospital and long-term mortality in male veterans following noncardiac surgery. JAMA. 1992;268:228-232.
    • (1992) JAMA , vol.268 , pp. 228-232
    • Browner, W.S.1    Li, J.2    Mangano, D.T.3
  • 32
    • 0026021087 scopus 로고
    • Independent prognostic factors in patients with metastatic (stage D2) prostate cancer
    • Chodak GW, Vogelzang NJ, Caplan RJ, Soloway M, Smith JA. Independent prognostic factors in patients with metastatic (stage D2) prostate cancer. JAMA. 1991;265:618-621.
    • (1991) JAMA , vol.265 , pp. 618-621
    • Chodak, G.W.1    Vogelzang, N.J.2    Caplan, R.J.3    Soloway, M.4    Smith, J.A.5
  • 33
    • 0026690370 scopus 로고
    • Predictors of postoperative myocardial ischemia in patients undergoing noncardiac surgery
    • Hollenberg M, Mangano DT, Browner WS, et al. Predictors of postoperative myocardial ischemia in patients undergoing noncardiac surgery. JAMA. 1992;268:205-209.
    • (1992) JAMA , vol.268 , pp. 205-209
    • Hollenberg, M.1    Mangano, D.T.2    Browner, W.S.3
  • 34
    • 0027940221 scopus 로고
    • Identifying suicidal ideation in general medical patients
    • Cooper-Patrick L, Crum RM, Ford DE. Identifying suicidal ideation in general medical patients. JAMA. 1994;272:1757-1762.
    • (1994) JAMA , vol.272 , pp. 1757-1762
    • Cooper-Patrick, L.1    Crum, R.M.2    Ford, D.E.3
  • 35
    • 0027444652 scopus 로고
    • A predictive model for aggressive non-Hodgkin's lymphoma
    • The International Non-Hodgkins Lymphoma Prognostic Factors Project. A predictive model for aggressive non-Hodgkin's lymphoma. N Engl J Med. 1993;329:987-994.
    • (1993) N Engl J Med , vol.329 , pp. 987-994
  • 36
    • 0025775077 scopus 로고
    • Ruling out acute myocardial infarction: A prospective multicenter validation of a 12-hour strategy for patients at low risk
    • Lee TH, Juarez G, Cook EF, et al. Ruling out acute myocardial infarction: a prospective multicenter validation of a 12-hour strategy for patients at low risk. N Engl J Med. 1991;324:1239-1246.
    • (1991) N Engl J Med , vol.324 , pp. 1239-1246
    • Lee, T.H.1    Juarez, G.2    Cook, E.F.3
  • 37
    • 1842359058 scopus 로고
    • Death and thromboembolic disease after total hip replacement without routine chemical prophylaxis
    • Williams M, Warwick D, Bannister GC. Death and thromboembolic disease after total hip replacement without routine chemical prophylaxis. Thromb Haemost. 1995;73:953.
    • (1995) Thromb Haemost , vol.73 , pp. 953
    • Williams, M.1    Warwick, D.2    Bannister, G.C.3
  • 38
    • 0029005522 scopus 로고
    • Accuracy of clinical assessment of deep-vein thrombosis
    • Wells PS, Hirsh J, Anderson DR, et al. Accuracy of clinical assessment of deep-vein thrombosis. Lancet. 1995;345:1326-1330.
    • (1995) Lancet , vol.345 , pp. 1326-1330
    • Wells, P.S.1    Hirsh, J.2    Anderson, D.R.3
  • 40
    • 0027322397 scopus 로고
    • Clinical practice guidelines as legal norms
    • Jutras D. Clinical practice guidelines as legal norms. Can Med Assoc J. 1993;148:905-908.
    • (1993) Can Med Assoc J , vol.148 , pp. 905-908
    • Jutras, D.1
  • 41
    • 0023905660 scopus 로고
    • RECPAM: A computer program for recursive partitioning and amalgamation for censored survival data and other situations frequently occurring in biostatistics, I: methods and program features
    • Ciampi A, Hogg SA, McKinney S, Thiffault J. RECPAM: A computer program for recursive partitioning and amalgamation for censored survival data and other situations frequently occurring in biostatistics, I: methods and program features. Comput Methods Programs Biomed. 1988;26:239-256.
    • (1988) Comput Methods Programs Biomed , vol.26 , pp. 239-256
    • Ciampi, A.1    Hogg, S.A.2    McKinney, S.3    Thiffault, J.4
  • 42
    • 0002589699 scopus 로고
    • Recursive partitioning: A versatile method for exploratory data analysis in biostatistics
    • Mac-Neill IB, Umphrey GJ, eds. Boston, Mass: D Reidel Publishing Co
    • Ciampi A, Chang CH, Hogg S, McKinney S. Recursive partitioning: a versatile method for exploratory data analysis in biostatistics. In: Mac-Neill IB, Umphrey GJ, eds. Time Series and Econometric Modelling/Biostatistics. Boston, Mass: D Reidel Publishing Co; 1987:23-50.
    • (1987) Time Series and Econometric Modelling/Biostatistics , pp. 23-50
    • Ciampi, A.1    Chang, C.H.2    Hogg, S.3    McKinney, S.4
  • 43
    • 0027534004 scopus 로고
    • The risk of determining risk with multi variable models
    • Concato J, Feinstein AR, Holford TR. The risk of determining risk with multi variable models. Ann Intern Med. 1993;118:201-210.
    • (1993) Ann Intern Med , vol.118 , pp. 201-210
    • Concato, J.1    Feinstein, A.R.2    Holford, T.R.3
  • 44
    • 0025934806 scopus 로고
    • Use of an artificial neural network for the diagnosis of myoceardial infarction
    • Baxt WG. Use of an artificial neural network for the diagnosis of myoceardial infarction. Ann Intern Med. 1991;115:843-848.
    • (1991) Ann Intern Med , vol.115 , pp. 843-848
    • Baxt, W.G.1
  • 46
    • 0025354523 scopus 로고
    • Value of the ventilation/perfusion scan in acute pulmonary embolism: Results of the prospective investigation of pulmonary embolism diagnosis (PIOPED)
    • The PIOPED Investigators. Value of the ventilation/perfusion scan in acute pulmonary embolism: results of the prospective investigation of pulmonary embolism diagnosis (PIOPED). JAMA. 1990;263:2753-2759.
    • (1990) JAMA , vol.263 , pp. 2753-2759
  • 47
    • 0025108376 scopus 로고
    • Comparison of magnetic resonance imaging and ultrasonography in staging early prostate cancer: Results of a multi-institutional cooperative trial
    • Rifkin MD, Zerhouni EA, Gatsonis CA, et al. Comparison of magnetic resonance imaging and ultrasonography in staging early prostate cancer: results of a multi-institutional cooperative trial. N Engl J Med. 1990;323:621-626.
    • (1990) N Engl J Med , vol.323 , pp. 621-626
    • Rifkin, M.D.1    Zerhouni, E.A.2    Gatsonis, C.A.3
  • 48
    • 0020083498 scopus 로고
    • The meaning and use of the area under a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve
    • Hanley JA, McNeil BJ. The meaning and use of the area under a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Radiology. 1982;143:29-36.
    • (1982) Radiology , vol.143 , pp. 29-36
    • Hanley, J.A.1    McNeil, B.J.2
  • 50
    • 0028781324 scopus 로고
    • Failed validation of a clinical decision rule for the use of radiography in acute ankle injury
    • Kerr L, Kelly A, Grant J, et al. Failed validation of a clinical decision rule for the use of radiography in acute ankle injury. N Z Med J. 1994;107:294-295.
    • (1994) N Z Med J , vol.107 , pp. 294-295
    • Kerr, L.1    Kelly, A.2    Grant, J.3
  • 53
    • 0004079916 scopus 로고
    • New Haven, Conn: Yale University Press
    • Feinstein AR. Clinimetrics. New Haven, Conn: Yale University Press; 1987.
    • (1987) Clinimetrics
    • Feinstein, A.R.1
  • 54
    • 0021982047 scopus 로고
    • A methodological framework for assessing health indices
    • Kirshner B, Guyatt G. A methodological framework for assessing health indices. J Chronic Dis. 1985;38:27-36.
    • (1985) J Chronic Dis , vol.38 , pp. 27-36
    • Kirshner, B.1    Guyatt, G.2
  • 55
    • 0028603428 scopus 로고
    • A proposal for structured reporting of randomized controlled trials
    • The Standards of Reporting Trials Group. A proposal for structured reporting of randomized controlled trials. JAMA. 1994;272:1926-1931.
    • (1994) JAMA , vol.272 , pp. 1926-1931
  • 56
    • 0029872417 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Checklist of information for inclusion in reports of clinical trials
    • The Asilomar Working Group on Recommendations for Reporting of Clinical Trials in the Biomedical Literature. Checklist of information for inclusion in reports of clinical trials. Ann Intern Med. 1996;124:741-743.
    • (1996) Ann Intern Med , vol.124 , pp. 741-743


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.