Finally: A withering away of cities?

Futures

Volumn 29, Issue 3, 1997, Pages 251-256

  Winger, Alan R ^a  

^a NONE   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

FUTURE PROSPECT; LANDSCAPE CHANGE; TECHNOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENT; URBAN LIFE;

EID: 0030707690     PISSN: 00163287     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/s0016-3287(97)00006-2     Document Type: Review

References (17)

1. The diminishing cost of communication will come from current and upcoming technological changes that are creating overcapacity in the industry and making possible new kinds of competition. See The Economist, The death of distance: a survey of telecommunications, 30 September 1995, Special Supplement, 1-28.
2. Becker talks about the problems of taxing capital when much of it is human capital investment. In this discussion, he gives his estimate of current investment in both human and physical capital. See Becker, Gary S. Human capital: one investment where America is way ahead, Business Week, 11 March 1996, 18.
3. The Economist has a very thoughtful piece about the future course of manufacturing technologies and how they are likely to thrust the information and analytical capabilities of the firm into a role of much greater prominence. It all has to do with the computer taking over the machine and, in the process of doing so, giving manufacturers a tool that allows them to try out ideas in a way that could not be done before. See The Economist, Between two worlds: a survey of manufacturing technology, 5 March 1994, Special Supplement, 1-18.
4. Amirahmade and Wallace have a brief but helpful summary statement of the basic elements in this world. See Amirahmade and Wallace, Information technology, the organization of production and regional development, Environment and Planning, 27, 1995, 1745-1775, Halal gives us a description of the major elements of the technology that will take us there. See Halal and William E. The information technology revolution, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 44, 1993, 69-86.
5. Amirahmade and Wallace have a brief but helpful summary statement of the basic elements in this world. See Amirahmade and Wallace, Information technology, the organization of production and regional development, Environment and Planning, 27, 1995, 1745-1775, Halal gives us a description of the major elements of the technology that will take us there. See Halal and William E. The information technology revolution, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 44, 1993, 69-86.
6. The Economist has a very helpful discussion of the Internet - what it is, how it developed, and what's likely to happen to it. See The Economist, The accidental superhighway: a survey of the Internet, 1 July 1995, Special Supplement, 1-18.
7. Paul Krugman provides us with estimates of the growth in international trade over the past 50 years from which extrapolations about the globalization of markets can be made. While Krugman points out that there is much that goes on in the US economy that remains untouched by these world wide economic developments, it is nonetheless true that the reach of more and more markets spans greater portions of the globe. See Krugman, Paul, Growing world trade: causes and consequences, In Brookings Papers on Economic Activity 1, Brookings Institution, Washington DC, 1995.
8. For examples of this genre see Business Week, (Enterprise Issue, 1993) and Fortune, 13 December 1993.
9. For examples of this genre see Business Week, (Enterprise Issue, 1993) and Fortune, 13 December 1993.
10. Sten Thore discusses how markets have been evolving in high tech areas of economic activity, the presumed forerunner of what's going to happen in most markets. His elaboration presents a detailed description and explanation of the way in which these markets now operate, and is neatly summarized in the first chapter of his book. See Thore, Sten. The Diversity, Complexity and Evolution of High-Tech Capitalism, Kluwer Academic Publishers, Boston, 1995.
11. Makridakis argues this revolution is beginning and rationalizes his conclusion in terms of a comparison of analogous inventions of the industrial and information revolutions. See Makridakis, Spyros, The forthcoming information revolution, Futures, 27, 1995, 791-821.
12. Speculations about the future of retailing abound. For an illustration of the kind of conclusions put forth, see Fortune, 18 April 1994.
13. Krugman has reignited the interest of economists in spatial agglomerations of economic activity with his recent work in economic geography. Drawing upon his work in fashioning a new international trade theory, Krugman brings to bear notions of increasing returns and imperfect competition in ways that provide some new underpinnings for the spatial clustering of economic activity so easily observed in many places throughout the world. See Krugman, Paul, Geography and Trade, MIT Press, Cambridge, MA, 1991.
14. One recent study provide empirical evidence to support the notion of more geographic concentration of economic activity where knowledge spillovers are an important element in that activity, eg innovative activity. See Audretsch, David, B. and Feldman, Maryann, P., R&D spillovers and the geography of innovation and production, American Economic Review, 86, 1996, 630-640.
15. See Trevino, Linda, K., Daft, Richard, L. and Lengel, Robert, H., Understanding managers media choices: a symbolic interactionist perspective. In Organizations and Communication Technology, eds Fulk and Steinfield. Sage Publications, Newbury Park, 1992.
16. See Walther, Joseph, B., Computer-mediated communication: impersonal, interpersonal and hyperpersonal interaction, Communications Research, 23, 1996, 3-43.
17. See Gallupe, Brent, R. and Cooper, William, H., Brainstorming electronically, Sloan Management Review, Fall, 1993, 27-36.