메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 22, Issue 2, 1997, Pages 231-241

Detecting chaotic dynamics of insect populations from long-term survey data

Author keywords

aphids; Chaos; Lyapunov exponent; moths; population dynamics; time series

Indexed keywords

CHAOS; LYAPUNOV EXPONENT; POPULATION DYNAMICS; TIME SERIES;

EID: 0030617658     PISSN: 03076946     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1046/j.1365-2311.1997.00049.x     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (11)

References (48)
  • 1
    • 0028181563 scopus 로고
    • Spatially induced bifurcations in single-species population dynamics
    • Bascompte, J. & Sole, R.V. (1994) Spatially induced bifurcations in single-species population dynamics. Journal of Animal Ecology, 63, 256-264.
    • (1994) Journal of Animal Ecology , vol.63 , pp. 256-264
    • Bascompte, J.1    Sole, R.V.2
  • 2
    • 0001633994 scopus 로고
    • On choosing models for describing and analyzing ecological time series
    • Berryman, A. (1992) On choosing models for describing and analyzing ecological time series. Ecology, 73, 694-698.
    • (1992) Ecology , vol.73 , pp. 694-698
    • Berryman, A.1
  • 5
    • 84964203940 scopus 로고
    • Bootstrap methods for standard errors, confidence intervals, and other measures of statistical accuracy
    • Efron, B. & Tibshirani, R. (1986) Bootstrap methods for standard errors, confidence intervals, and other measures of statistical accuracy. Statistical Science, 1, 54-77.
    • (1986) Statistical Science , vol.1 , pp. 54-77
    • Efron, B.1    Tibshirani, R.2
  • 6
    • 0028973866 scopus 로고
    • Chaos in a 'noisy' world: New methods and evidence from time series analysis
    • Ellner, S. & Turchin, P. (1995) Chaos in a 'noisy' world: new methods and evidence from time series analysis. American Naturalist, 145, 343-375.
    • (1995) American Naturalist , vol.145 , pp. 343-375
    • Ellner, S.1    Turchin, P.2
  • 7
    • 0001414087 scopus 로고
    • Convergence-rates and data requirements for jacobian-based estimates of Lyapunov exponents from data
    • Ellner, S., Gallant, A.R., McCaffrey, D. & Nychka, D. (1991) Convergence-rates and data requirements for jacobian-based estimates of Lyapunov exponents from data. Physics Letters A, 153, 357-363.
    • (1991) Physics Letters a , vol.153 , pp. 357-363
    • Ellner, S.1    Gallant, A.R.2    McCaffrey, D.3    Nychka, D.4
  • 10
    • 0003422374 scopus 로고
    • Oxford University Press, Oxford
    • Genstat 5 Committee (1993) Genstat 5 Reference Manual. Oxford University Press, Oxford.
    • (1993) Genstat 5 Reference Manual
  • 11
    • 0027524342 scopus 로고
    • Mean-related stochasticity and population variability
    • Hanski, I. & Woiwod, I.P. (1993) Mean-related stochasticity and population variability. Oikos, 67, 29-39.
    • (1993) Oikos , vol.67 , pp. 29-39
    • Hanski, I.1    Woiwod, I.P.2
  • 12
    • 0027337545 scopus 로고
    • Population oscillations of boreal rodents: Regulation by mustelid predators leads to chaos
    • Hanski, I., Turchin, P., Korplmakl, E. & Henttonen, H. (1993a) Population oscillations of boreal rodents: regulation by mustelid predators leads to chaos. Nature, 364, 232-235.
    • (1993) Nature , vol.364 , pp. 232-235
    • Hanski, I.1    Turchin, P.2    Korplmakl, E.3    Henttonen, H.4
  • 13
    • 0001099657 scopus 로고
    • Density dependence, population persistence, and largely futile arguments
    • Hanski, I., Woiwod, I.P. & Perry, J.N. (1993b) Density dependence, population persistence, and largely futile arguments. Oecologia, 95, 595-598.
    • (1993) Oecologia , vol.95 , pp. 595-598
    • Hanski, I.1    Woiwod, I.P.2    Perry, J.N.3
  • 14
    • 0001717061 scopus 로고
    • Patterns of dynamical behaviour in single-species populations
    • Hassell, M.P., Lawton, J.H. & May, R.M. (1976) Patterns of dynamical behaviour in single-species populations. Journal of Animal Ecology, 45, 471-486.
    • (1976) Journal of Animal Ecology , vol.45 , pp. 471-486
    • Hassell, M.P.1    Lawton, J.H.2    May, R.M.3
  • 16
    • 0027332613 scopus 로고
    • The frequency of detection of density dependence in insect orders
    • Holyoak, M. (1993) The frequency of detection of density dependence in insect orders. Ecological Entomology, 18, 339-347.
    • (1993) Ecological Entomology , vol.18 , pp. 339-347
    • Holyoak, M.1
  • 17
    • 0346184573 scopus 로고
    • Simple mathematical systems exhibit complex patterns of behaviour that can serve as models for chaotic behavior, including perhaps turbulent flow in real hydrodynamic systems
    • Kadanoff, L.P. (1983) Simple mathematical systems exhibit complex patterns of behaviour that can serve as models for chaotic behavior, including perhaps turbulent flow in real hydrodynamic systems. Physics Today, 36 (12), 46-53.
    • (1983) Physics Today , vol.36 , Issue.12 , pp. 46-53
    • Kadanoff, L.P.1
  • 18
    • 0027012206 scopus 로고
    • Nonlinear dynamics and chaos in insect populations
    • Logan, J.A. & Allen, J.C. (1992) Nonlinear dynamics and chaos in insect populations. Annual Review of Entomology, 37, 455-477.
    • (1992) Annual Review of Entomology , vol.37 , pp. 455-477
    • Logan, J.A.1    Allen, J.C.2
  • 19
    • 0016394337 scopus 로고
    • Biological populations with non-overlapping populations: Stable points, stable cycles, and chaos
    • May, R.M. (1974) Biological populations with non-overlapping populations: stable points, stable cycles, and chaos. Science, 186, 645-647.
    • (1974) Science , vol.186 , pp. 645-647
    • May, R.M.1
  • 20
    • 0017185443 scopus 로고
    • Simple mathematical models with very complicated dynamics
    • May, R.M. (1976) Simple mathematical models with very complicated dynamics. Nature, 261, 459-467.
    • (1976) Nature , vol.261 , pp. 459-467
    • May, R.M.1
  • 24
    • 0027331244 scopus 로고
    • Using response-surface methodology to detect chaos in ecological time series
    • Perry, J.N., Woiwod, I.P. & Hanski, I. (1993) Using response-surface methodology to detect chaos in ecological time series. Oikos, 68, 329-339.
    • (1993) Oikos , vol.68 , pp. 329-339
    • Perry, J.N.1    Woiwod, I.P.2    Hanski, I.3
  • 25
    • 0023483935 scopus 로고
    • The detection of density dependence from a series of annual censuses
    • Pollard, E., Lakhani, K.L. & Rothery, P. (1987) The detection of density dependence from a series of annual censuses. Ecology, 68, 2046-2055.
    • (1987) Ecology , vol.68 , pp. 2046-2055
    • Pollard, E.1    Lakhani, K.L.2    Rothery, P.3
  • 28
    • 0029537290 scopus 로고
    • Host-parasitoid metapopulations: The consequences of parasitoid aggregation on spatial dynamics and searching efficiency
    • Rohani, P. & Miramontes, O. (1995) Host-parasitoid metapopulations: the consequences of parasitoid aggregation on spatial dynamics and searching efficiency. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London Series B-Biological Sciences, 260, 335-342.
    • (1995) Proceedings of the Royal Society of London Series B-Biological Sciences , vol.260 , pp. 335-342
    • Rohani, P.1    Miramontes, O.2
  • 31
    • 0024773434 scopus 로고
    • Population regulation in animals
    • (ed. by J. M. Cherrett), Blackwell Scientific Publications, Oxford
    • Sinclair, A.R.E. (1989) Population regulation in animals. Ecological Concepts (ed. by J. M. Cherrett), pp. 197-241. Blackwell Scientific Publications, Oxford.
    • (1989) Ecological Concepts , pp. 197-241
    • Sinclair, A.R.E.1
  • 32
    • 0028047730 scopus 로고
    • Ecological chaos
    • Sole, R.V. & Bascompte, J. (1994) Ecological chaos. Nature, 367, 418.
    • (1994) Nature , vol.367 , pp. 418
    • Sole, R.V.1    Bascompte, J.2
  • 33
    • 0027835530 scopus 로고
    • Period-doubling reversals and chaos in simple ecological models
    • Stone, L. (1993) Period-doubling reversals and chaos in simple ecological models. Nature, 365, 617-620.
    • (1993) Nature , vol.365 , pp. 617-620
    • Stone, L.1
  • 34
    • 0001746855 scopus 로고
    • Monitoring and forecasting aphid problems
    • (ed. by D.C. Peters and J.A. Webster), Oklahoma Agricultural Experiment Station, Miscellaneous Publication 132, Oklahoma
    • Tatchell, G.M. (1991) Monitoring and forecasting aphid problems. Aphid-Plant Interactions: Populations to Molecules (ed. by D.C. Peters and J.A. Webster), pp. 215-230. Oklahoma Agricultural Experiment Station, Miscellaneous Publication 132, Oklahoma.
    • (1991) Aphid-Plant Interactions: Populations to Molecules , pp. 215-230
    • Tatchell, G.M.1
  • 35
    • 0009163814 scopus 로고
    • Testing linearity and modeling nonlinear time series
    • Terasvirta, T. (1994) Testing linearity and modeling nonlinear time series. Kybernetika, 30, 319-330.
    • (1994) Kybernetika , vol.30 , pp. 319-330
    • Terasvirta, T.1
  • 36
    • 44049111332 scopus 로고
    • Testing for nonlinearity in time-series - The method of surrogate data
    • Theiler, J., Eubank, S., Longtin, A., Galdrikian, B. & Farmer, J.D. (1992) Testing for nonlinearity in time-series - the method of surrogate data. Physica D, 58, 77-94.
    • (1992) Physica D , vol.58 , pp. 77-94
    • Theiler, J.1    Eubank, S.2    Longtin, A.3    Galdrikian, B.4    Farmer, J.D.5
  • 38
    • 0025250821 scopus 로고
    • Rarity of density dependence or population regulation with lags?
    • Turchin, P. (1990) Rarity of density dependence or population regulation with lags? Nature, 344, 660-663.
    • (1990) Nature , vol.344 , pp. 660-663
    • Turchin, P.1
  • 39
    • 0001771341 scopus 로고
    • Nonlinear modeling of time series data: Limit cycles and chaos in forest insects, voles, and epidemics
    • (ed. by J.A. Logan and F.P. Hain), Virginia Experiment Station, information series 91-3 edn. Blacksburg, Virginia
    • Turchin, P. (1991a) Nonlinear modeling of time series data: limit cycles and chaos in forest insects, voles, and epidemics. Chaos and Insect Ecology (ed. by J.A. Logan and F.P. Hain), pp. 39-62. Virginia Experiment Station, information series 91-3 edn. Blacksburg, Virginia.
    • (1991) Chaos and Insect Ecology , pp. 39-62
    • Turchin, P.1
  • 40
    • 0010702621 scopus 로고
    • Reconstructing endogenous dynamics of a laboratory Drosophila population
    • Turchin, P. (1991b) Reconstructing endogenous dynamics of a laboratory Drosophila population. Journal of Animal Ecology, 60, 1091-1098.
    • (1991) Journal of Animal Ecology , vol.60 , pp. 1091-1098
    • Turchin, P.1
  • 41
    • 0027869439 scopus 로고
    • Chaos and stability in rodent population-dynamics -evidence from nonlinear time-series analysis
    • Turchin, P. (1993) Chaos and stability in rodent population-dynamics -evidence from nonlinear time-series analysis. Oikos, 68, 167-172.
    • (1993) Oikos , vol.68 , pp. 167-172
    • Turchin, P.1
  • 43
    • 0026447445 scopus 로고
    • Complex dynamics in ecological time-series
    • Turchin, P. & Taylor, A.D. (1992) Complex dynamics in ecological time-series. Ecology, 73, 289-305.
    • (1992) Ecology , vol.73 , pp. 289-305
    • Turchin, P.1    Taylor, A.D.2
  • 44
    • 0001312511 scopus 로고
    • An efficient and portable pseudorandom number generator
    • Wichmann, B.A. & Hill, I.D. (1982) An efficient and portable pseudorandom number generator. Applied Statistics, 31, 188-190.
    • (1982) Applied Statistics , vol.31 , pp. 188-190
    • Wichmann, B.A.1    Hill, I.D.2
  • 45
    • 0027061081 scopus 로고
    • Patterns of density dependence in moths and aphids
    • Woiwod, I.P. & Hanski, I. (1992) Patterns of density dependence in moths and aphids. Journal of Animal Ecology, 61, 619-629.
    • (1992) Journal of Animal Ecology , vol.61 , pp. 619-629
    • Woiwod, I.P.1    Hanski, I.2
  • 46
    • 0002499824 scopus 로고
    • Flying in the face of change: The Rothamsted Insect Survey
    • (ed. by R. A. Leigh and A. E. Johnston), CAB International, Wallingford
    • Woiwod, I.P. & Harrington, R. (1994) Flying in the face of change: the Rothamsted Insect Survey. Long-term Experiments in Agricultural and Ecological Sciences (ed. by R. A. Leigh and A. E. Johnston), pp. 321-342. CAB International, Wallingford.
    • (1994) Long-term Experiments in Agricultural and Ecological Sciences , pp. 321-342
    • Woiwod, I.P.1    Harrington, R.2
  • 47
    • 0008494528 scopus 로고
    • Determining Lyapunov exponents from a time series
    • Wolf, A., Swift, J.B., Swinney, H.L. & Vastano, J.A. (1985) Determining Lyapunov exponents from a time series. Physica, 16D, 285-317.
    • (1985) Physica , vol.16 D , pp. 285-317
    • Wolf, A.1    Swift, J.B.2    Swinney, H.L.3    Vastano, J.A.4


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.