Change in avian abundance across the geographic range in response to environmental change

Ecological Applications

Volumn 7, Issue 2, 1997, Pages 614-624

  Mehlman, David W ^a,b  

^a UNIVERSITY OF NEW MEXICO   (United States)

^b FOREST AND RANGELAND ECOSYSTEM SCIENCE CENTER   (United States)

Author keywords

Abundance change; Climate change; Geographic range; Passerine birds; Range dynamics

Indexed keywords

AVES; GALLIFORMES; PASSERIFORMES;

ABUNDANCE; ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE; GEOGRAPHICAL RANGE; POPULATION DECLINE;

NORTH AMERICA;

EID: 0030613868     PISSN: 10510761     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1890/1051-0761(1997)007[0614:CIAAAT]2.0.CO;2     Document Type: Article

References (54)

1. AOU (American Ornithologists' Union). 1983. Check-list of North American birds. Allen Press, Lawrence, Kansas, USA.
2. Arcese, P., J. N. M. Smith, W. M. Hochachka, C. M. Rogers, and D. Ludwig. 1992. Stability, regulation, and the determination of abundance in an insular Song Sparrow population. Ecology 73:805-822.
3. Bart, J., and J. D. Schoultz. 1984. Reliability of singing bird surveys: changes in observer efficiency with avian density. Auk 101:307-318.
4. Bohning-Gaese, K., M. L. Taper, and J. H. Brown. 1994. Avian community dynamics are discordant in space and time. Oikos 70:121-126.
5. Boorman, S. A., and P. R. Levin. 1973. Group selection on the boundary of a stable population. Theoretical Population Biology 4:85-128.
6. Brown, J. H. 1984. On the relationship between abundance and distribution of species. American Naturalist 124:255-279.
7. _. 1995. Macroecology. University of Chicago Press, Chicago, Illinois, USA.
8. Brown, J. H., D. W. Mehlman, and G. C. Stevens. 1995. Spatial variation in abundance. Ecology 76:2028-2043.
9. Bystrak, D. 1981. The North American Breeding Bird Survey. Studies in Avian Biology 6:34-41.
10. Caughley, G., D. Grice, R. Barker, and B. Brown. 1988. The edge of the range. Journal of Animal Ecology 57:771-785.
11. Cawthorne, R. A., and J. H. Marchant. 1980. The effects of the 1978/79 winter on British bird populations. Bird Study 27:163-172.
12. Droege, S. 1990. The North American Breeding Bird Survey. Pages 1-4 in J. R. Sauer and S. Droege, editors. Survey designs and statistical methods for the estimation of avian population trends. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, Biological Report 90(1).
13. Emlen, J. T., M. J. DeJong, M. J. Jaeger, T. C. Moermond, K. A. Rusterholz, and R. P. White. 1986. Density trends and range boundary constraints of forest birds along a latitudinal gradient. Auk 103:791-803.
14. ESRI (Environmental Systems Research Institute.) 1992a. ARC command references. Environmental Systems Research Institute, Redlands, California, USA.
15. _. 1992b. Surface modeling with TIN. Environmental Systems Research Institute, Redlands, California, USA.
16. Faanes, C. A., and D. Bystrak. 1981. The role of observer bias in the North American Breeding Bird Survey. Studies in Avian Biology 6:353-359.
17. Gaston, K. J. 1990. Patterns in the geographical ranges of species. Biological Reviews 65:105-129.
18. Graber, J. W., and R. R. Graber. 1979. Severe winter weather and bird populations in southern Illinois. Wilson Bulletin 91:88-103.
19. Graber, J. W., and R. R. Graber. 1983. Expectable decline of forest bird populations in severe and mild winters. Wilson Bulletin 95:682-690.
20. Hanski, I., and M. E. Gilpin. 1991. Metapopulation dynamics: brief history and conceptual domain. Biological Journal of the Linnean Society 42:3-16.
21. Hengeveld, R. 1990. Dynamic biogeography. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, England.
22. Hengeveld, R., and J. Haeck. 1982. The distribution of abundance. I. Measurements. Journal of Biogeography 9:303-316.
23. Karl, T. R., R. E. Livezey, and E. S. Epstein. 1984. Recent unusual mean winter temperatures across the contiguous United States. Bulletin American Meteorological Society 65:1302-1309.
24. Karl, T. R., C. N. Williams, Jr., F. T. Quinlan, and T. A. Boden. 1990. United States Historical Climatology Network (HCN) serial temperature and precipitation data. Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Environmental Sciences Division Publication Number 3404.
25. Kaufman, K. 1994a. Changing seasons. National Audubon Society Field Notes 48:264-267.
26. _. 1994b. Changing seasons. National Audubon Society Field Notes 48:912-916.
27. Kerr, R. A. 1985. Wild string of winters confirmed. Science 227:506.
28. Lawton, J. H., S. Nee, A. J. Letcher, and P. H. Harvey. 1994. Animal distributions: patterns and processes. Pages 41-58 in P. J. Edwards, R. M. May, and N. R. Webb, editors. Large-scale ecology and conservation biology. Blackwell Scientific, Oxford, England.
29. Link, W. A., R. J. Barker, J. R. Sauer, and S. Droege. 1994. Within-site variability in surveys of wildlife populations. Ecology 75:1097-1108.
30. Lomolino, M. V., and R. Channell. 1995. Splendid isolation: patterns of geographic range collapse in endangered mammals. Journal of Mammalogy 76:335-347.
31. Maurer, B. A. 1994. Geographical population analysis: tools for the analysis of biodiversity. Blackwell Scientific, Oxford, England.
32. Maurer, B. A., and S. G. Heywood. 1993. Geographic range fragmentation and abundance in neotropical migratory birds. Conservation Biology 7:501-509.
33. Maurer, B. A., and M.-A. Villard. 1994. Population density: geographic variation in abundance of North American birds. National Geographic Research and Exploration 10: 306-317.
34. Mehlman, D. W. 1994. Rarity in North American passerine birds. Conservation Biology 8:1141-1145.
35. Milne, B. T. 1991. Lessons from applying fractal models to landscape patterns. Pages 199-235 in M. G. Turner and R. H. Gardner, editors. Quantitative methods in landscape ecology. Springer-Verlag, New York, New York, USA.
36. Peterjohn, B. G. 1994. The North American Breeding Bird Survey. Birding 26:386-398.
37. Peterjohn, B. G., and J. R. Sauer. 1993. North American Breeding Bird Survey annual summary 1990-1991. Bird Populations 1:1-15.
38. Pitts, T. D. 1981. Eastern Bluebird population fluctuations in Tennessee during 1970-1979. Migrant 52:29-37.
39. Pulliam, H. R. 1988. Sources, sinks, and population regulation. American Naturalist 132:652-661.
40. Rapoport, E. H. 1982. Areography: geographical strategies of species. Pergamon Press, Oxford, England.
41. Robbins, C. S., B. Bruun, and H. S. Zim. 1983. Birds of North America. Golden Press, New York, New York, USA.
42. Robbins, C. S., D. Bystrak, and P. H. Geissler. 1986. The breeding bird survey: its first fifteen years, 1965-1979. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, Resource Publication 157.
43. Robertson, W. B., Jr. 1977. The changing seasons. American Birds 31:1103-1109.
44. Root, T. 1988. Environmental factors associated with avian distributional boundaries. Journal of Biogeography 15: 489-505.
45. Sauer, J. R., and S. Droege. 1990. Recent population trends of the Eastern Bluebird. Wilson Bulletin 102:239-252.
46. Sauer, J. R., B. G. Peterjohn, and W. A. Link. 1994. Observer differences in the North American Breeding Bird Survey. Auk 111:50-62.
47. Sherry, T. W., and R. T. Holmes. 1995. Summer versus winter limitation of populations: what are the issues and what is the evidence? Pages 85-120 in T. E. Martin and D. M. Finch, editors. Ecology and management of neotropical migratory birds. Oxford University Press, York, New York, USA.
48. Simberloff, D. 1994. The ecology of extinction. Acta Palaeontologica Polonica 38:159-174.
49. _. 1995. Habitat fragmentation and population extinction of birds. Ibis 137:S105-S111.
50. Telleria, J. L., and T. Santos. 1993. Distributional patterns of insectivorous passerines in the Iberian Forests: does abundance decrease near the boarder? Journal of Biogeography 20:235-240.
51. Verboom, J., A. Schotman, P. Opdam, and J. A. J. Metz. 1991. European Nuthatch metapopulations in a fragmented agricultural landscape. Oikos 61:149-156.
52. Villard, M.-A., K. Freemark, and G. Merriam 1992. Metapopulation theory and neotropical migrant birds in temperate forest: an empirical investigation. Pages 474-482 in J. M. Hagan, III, and D. W. Johnston, editor. Ecology and conservation of neotropical migrant landbirds. Smithsonian Institution Press, Washington, D. C. USA.
53. Wilcove, D. S., and J. W. Terborgh. 1984. Patterns of population decline in birds. American Birds 38:10-13.
54. Williamson, M. 1989. Natural extinction on island. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London B 325:457-468.