메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 12, Issue 4, 1996, Pages 465-473

Distinguishing between stochastic and deterministic behavior in high frequency foreign exchange rate returns: Can non-linear dynamics help forecasting?

Author keywords

Correlation dimension; GARCH model; Low dimensional chaos

Indexed keywords


EID: 0030525288     PISSN: 01692070     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/S0169-2070(96)00686-3     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (33)

References (29)
  • 2
    • 84959819944 scopus 로고
    • Intra-day and inter-market volatility in foreign exchange rates
    • Baillie, R.T. and T. Bollerslev, 1991, Intra-day and inter-market volatility in foreign exchange rates, Review of Economic Studies, 58, 565-585.
    • (1991) Review of Economic Studies , vol.58 , pp. 565-585
    • Baillie, R.T.1    Bollerslev, T.2
  • 3
    • 44049119176 scopus 로고
    • Chaotic behavior in exchange-rate series; First results for the Peseta-U.S. dollar case
    • Bajo-Rubio, O., Fernandez-Rodriguez and S. Sosvilla-Rivero, 1992, Chaotic behavior in exchange-rate series; First Results for the Peseta-U.S. dollar case, Economics Letters, 39, 202-211.
    • (1992) Economics Letters , vol.39 , pp. 202-211
    • Bajo-Rubio, O.1    Fernandez-Rodriguez2    Sosvilla-Rivero, S.3
  • 4
    • 0011679959 scopus 로고
    • Working Paper #204, Center for the Study of Future Markets, Columbia Business School, New York
    • Blank, S.C., 1990, Chaos in future markets? A nonlinear dynamical analysis, Working Paper #204, Center for the Study of Future Markets, Columbia Business School, New York.
    • (1990) Chaos in Future Markets? A Nonlinear Dynamical Analysis
    • Blank, S.C.1
  • 5
    • 46149128981 scopus 로고
    • Distinguishing random and deterministic systems: Abridged version
    • Brock, W.A., 1986, Distinguishing random and deterministic systems: Abridged version, Journal of Economic Theory, 40, 168-195.
    • (1986) Journal of Economic Theory , vol.40 , pp. 168-195
    • Brock, W.A.1
  • 6
    • 85054257750 scopus 로고
    • Nonlinearity and complex dynamics in economics and finance
    • P. Anderson, K. Arrow and D. Pines, eds. (Addison Wesley, New York)
    • Brock, W.A., 1988, Nonlinearity and complex dynamics in economics and finance, in: P. Anderson, K. Arrow and D. Pines, eds., The Economy as an Evolving Complex System (Addison Wesley, New York), 77-97.
    • (1988) The Economy as an Evolving Complex System , pp. 77-97
    • Brock, W.A.1
  • 8
    • 0003320818 scopus 로고
    • Predictability and low-dimensional chaos in foreign exchange rate returns: Further evidence
    • Penn State University, College Park
    • Cecen, A. and C. Erkal, 1994, Predictability and low-dimensional chaos in foreign exchange rate returns: Further evidence, Paper presented at Midwest International Economics Conference, Penn State University, College Park.
    • (1994) Midwest International Economics Conference
    • Cecen, A.1    Erkal, C.2
  • 9
    • 0030161727 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Distinguishing between stochastic and deterministic behavior in foreign exchange rate returns: Further evidence
    • forthcoming
    • Cecen, A. and C. Erkal, 1996, Distinguishing between stochastic and deterministic behavior in foreign exchange rate returns: Further evidence, Economics Letters, forthcoming.
    • (1996) Economics Letters
    • Cecen, A.1    Erkal, C.2
  • 11
    • 0000349271 scopus 로고
    • Estimation of Lyapunov exponents from time series: The stochastic case
    • Dammig, M. and F. Mitschke, 1993, Estimation of Lyapunov exponents from time series: The stochastic case, Physics Letters A, 178, 385-394.
    • (1993) Physics Letters A , vol.178 , pp. 385-394
    • Dammig, M.1    Mitschke, F.2
  • 12
    • 0001294794 scopus 로고
    • A chaotic model of the exchange rate: The role of fundamentalists and chartists
    • DeGrauwe, P. and H. Dewachter, 1993, A chaotic model of the exchange rate: The role of fundamentalists and chartists, Open Economies Review, 4, 351-379.
    • (1993) Open Economies Review , vol.4 , pp. 351-379
    • DeGrauwe, P.1    Dewachter, H.2
  • 14
    • 0001413618 scopus 로고
    • Temporal aggregation of GARCH processes
    • Drost, F.C. and T.E. Nijman, 1993, Temporal aggregation of GARCH processes, Econometrica, 61, 909-927.
    • (1993) Econometrica , vol.61 , pp. 909-927
    • Drost, F.C.1    Nijman, T.E.2
  • 15
    • 44049117207 scopus 로고
    • Fundamental limitations for estimating dimensions and Lyapunov exponents in dynamical systems
    • Eckmann, J.P. and D. Ruelle, 1992, Fundamental limitations for estimating dimensions and Lyapunov exponents in dynamical systems, Physica D, 56, 185-187.
    • (1992) Physica D , vol.56 , pp. 185-187
    • Eckmann, J.P.1    Ruelle, D.2
  • 17
    • 0001659575 scopus 로고
    • Meteor showers or heat waves? Heteroskedastic intra-daily volatility in the foreign exchange market
    • Engle, R.F., T. Ito and W.L. Lin, 1990, Meteor showers or heat waves? Heteroskedastic intra-daily volatility in the foreign exchange market, Econometrica, 58, 525-542.
    • (1990) Econometrica , vol.58 , pp. 525-542
    • Engle, R.F.1    Ito, T.2    Lin, W.L.3
  • 18
    • 84986409078 scopus 로고
    • Minute by minute: Efficiency, normality and randomness in intra-daily asset prices
    • Feinstone, L., 1987, Minute by minute: Efficiency, normality and randomness in intra-daily asset prices, Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2, 193-214.
    • (1987) Journal of Applied Econometrics , vol.2 , pp. 193-214
    • Feinstone, L.1
  • 20
    • 40749093037 scopus 로고
    • Measuring the strangeness of strange attractors
    • Grassberger, P. and I. Procaccia, 1983, Measuring the strangeness of strange attractors, Physica, 9D, 189-208.
    • (1983) Physica , vol.9 D , pp. 189-208
    • Grassberger, P.1    Procaccia, I.2
  • 21
    • 0000605911 scopus 로고
    • Testing for nonlinear dependence in daily foreign exchange rates
    • Hsieh, D., 1989a, Testing for nonlinear dependence in daily foreign exchange rates, Journal of Business, 3, 339-368.
    • (1989) Journal of Business , vol.3 , pp. 339-368
    • Hsieh, D.1
  • 22
    • 84952520952 scopus 로고
    • Modelling heteroscedasticity in daily foreign-exchange rates
    • Hsieh, D., 1989b, Modelling heteroscedasticity in daily foreign-exchange rates, Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 3, 307-317.
    • (1989) Journal of Business and Economic Statistics , vol.3 , pp. 307-317
    • Hsieh, D.1
  • 24
    • 0001900266 scopus 로고
    • A conditional variance model for daily observations of an exchange rate
    • Milhoj, A., 1987, A conditional variance model for daily observations of an exchange rate, Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 5, 99-103.
    • (1987) Journal of Business and Economic Statistics , vol.5 , pp. 99-103
    • Milhoj, A.1
  • 25
    • 0000684441 scopus 로고
    • The statistical properties of dimension calculations using small data sets: Some economic applications
    • Ramsey, J.B., C.L. Sayers and P. Rothman, 1990, The statistical properties of dimension calculations using small data sets: Some economic applications, International Economic Review, 4, 991-1020.
    • (1990) International Economic Review , vol.4 , pp. 991-1020
    • Ramsey, J.B.1    Sayers, C.L.2    Rothman, P.3
  • 26
    • 0002351412 scopus 로고
    • Time series and dependent variables
    • Savit, R. and M. Green, 1991, Time series and dependent variables, Physica D 50, 95-116.
    • (1991) Physica D , vol.50 , pp. 95-116
    • Savit, R.1    Green, M.2
  • 27
    • 0001376652 scopus 로고
    • Nonlinear dynamics and stock returns
    • Scheinkman, J.A. and B. LeBaron, 1989, Nonlinear dynamics and stock returns, Journal of Business, 62, 311-337.
    • (1989) Journal of Business , vol.62 , pp. 311-337
    • Scheinkman, J.A.1    LeBaron, B.2
  • 28
    • 0008494528 scopus 로고
    • Determining Lyapunov exponents from a time series
    • Wolf, A., J.B. Swift, H.L. Swinney and J.A. Vastano, 1985, Determining Lyapunov exponents from a time series, Physica, 16D, 285-317.
    • (1985) Physica , vol.16 D , pp. 285-317
    • Wolf, A.1    Swift, J.B.2    Swinney, H.L.3    Vastano, J.A.4
  • 29
    • 0001145674 scopus 로고
    • Statistical tests for deterministic effects in broad band time series
    • Wu, K., R. Savit and W. Brock, 1993, Statistical tests for deterministic effects in broad band time series, Physica D, 69, 172-188.
    • (1993) Physica D , vol.69 , pp. 172-188
    • Wu, K.1    Savit, R.2    Brock, W.3


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.