메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 24, Issue 3, 1996, Pages 227-240

Predicting criminal recidivism: A comparison of neural network models with statistical methods

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords


EID: 0030511711     PISSN: 00472352     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/0047-2352(96)00012-8     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (32)

References (52)
  • 1
    • 0011405902 scopus 로고
    • Experiments with representation in neural networks: Object motion, speech, and arithmetic
    • ed. H. Haken. Berlin: Springer
    • Anderson, A., Rossen, M. L., Viscuso, S. R., and Sereno, M. E. (1989). Experiments with representation in neural networks: Object motion, speech, and arithmetic. In Synergetics of cognition, ed. H. Haken. Berlin: Springer.
    • (1989) Synergetics of Cognition
    • Anderson, A.1    Rossen, M.L.2    Viscuso, S.R.3    Sereno, M.E.4
  • 2
    • 0000254593 scopus 로고
    • Use of an artificial neural network for data analysis in the clinical decision-making: The diagnosis of acute coronary occlusion
    • Baxt, W G. (1990). Use of an artificial neural network for data analysis in the clinical decision-making: The diagnosis of acute coronary occlusion. Neural Computation 2:480-89.
    • (1990) Neural Computation , vol.2 , pp. 480-489
    • Baxt, W.G.1
  • 3
    • 0011495770 scopus 로고
    • Neural nets vs. Logistic regression: A comparison of each model's ability to predict commercial bank failures
    • University of Kansas
    • Bell, T. B., Ribar, G. S., and Verchio, J. R. (1990). Neural nets vs. logistic regression: A comparison of each model's ability to predict commercial bank failures. Paper presented at the 1990 Deloitte & Touche Auditing Symposium, University of Kansas.
    • (1990) 1990 Deloitte & Touche Auditing Symposium
    • Bell, T.B.1    Ribar, G.S.2    Verchio, J.R.3
  • 5
    • 0003259586 scopus 로고
    • Factors determining success or failure on parole
    • eds. A. A. Bruce, A. J. Harno, and E. W. Burgess. Springfield, IL: Illinois State Board of Parole
    • Burgess, E. W. (1928). Factors determining success or failure on parole. In The working of the indeterminate sentence law and the parole system in Illinois, eds. A. A. Bruce, A. J. Harno, and E. W. Burgess. Springfield, IL: Illinois State Board of Parole.
    • (1928) The Working of the Indeterminate Sentence Law and the Parole System in Illinois
    • Burgess, E.W.1
  • 6
    • 0021077988 scopus 로고
    • Regional shifts in the manufacturing productivity response to output growth: Sunbelt versus snowbelt
    • Casetti, E., and Jones, J. P. (1983). Regional shifts in the manufacturing productivity response to output growth: Sunbelt versus snowbelt. Urban Geography 4:285-301.
    • (1983) Urban Geography , vol.4 , pp. 285-301
    • Casetti, E.1    Jones, J.P.2
  • 8
  • 10
    • 0024861871 scopus 로고
    • Approximation of superposition of a sigmoidal function
    • Cybenko, G. (1989). Approximation of superposition of a sigmoidal function. Mathematical Control Systems Signals 2:303-14.
    • (1989) Mathematical Control Systems Signals , vol.2 , pp. 303-314
    • Cybenko, G.1
  • 11
    • 0011780476 scopus 로고
    • The robust beauty of improper linear models in decision making
    • Dawes, R. M. (1979). The robust beauty of improper linear models in decision making. American Psychologist 34: 571-82.
    • (1979) American Psychologist , vol.34 , pp. 571-582
    • Dawes, R.M.1
  • 12
    • 0038879934 scopus 로고
    • Probabilistic versus causal thinking
    • eds. D. Cicchetti and W. M. Grove. Minneapolis, MN: University of Minnesota Press
    • Dawes, R. M. (1989). Probabilistic versus causal thinking. In Thinking clearly about psychology, vol. 1: Matters of public interest, eds. D. Cicchetti and W. M. Grove. Minneapolis, MN: University of Minnesota Press.
    • (1989) Thinking Clearly about Psychology, Vol. 1: Matters of Public Interest , vol.1
    • Dawes, R.M.1
  • 15
    • 0001406257 scopus 로고
    • An alternative approach to modelling recidivism using quantile residual life functions
    • Ellermann, R., Sullo, P., and Tien, J. M. (1992). An alternative approach to modelling recidivism using quantile residual life functions. Operations Research 40(3):485-504.
    • (1992) Operations Research , vol.40 , Issue.3 , pp. 485-504
    • Ellermann, R.1    Sullo, P.2    Tien, J.M.3
  • 16
    • 0003578240 scopus 로고
    • An empirical study of learning speed in back-propagation networks
    • Computer Science Department, Carnegie Mellon University
    • Fahlman, S. E. (1989). An empirical study of learning speed in back-propagation networks. Project report CMU-CS-88-162. Computer Science Department, Carnegie Mellon University.
    • (1989) Project Report CMU-CS-88-162
    • Fahlman, S.E.1
  • 17
    • 0001142407 scopus 로고
    • Relative improvement over chance (RIOC) and Phi as measures of predictive efficiency and strength of association in 2 × 2 tables
    • Farrington, D. P., and Loeber, R. (1989). Relative improvement over chance (RIOC) and Phi as measures of predictive efficiency and strength of association in 2 × 2 tables. Journal of Quantitative Criminology 5:201-13.
    • (1989) Journal of Quantitative Criminology , vol.5 , pp. 201-213
    • Farrington, D.P.1    Loeber, R.2
  • 20
  • 21
    • 84964159034 scopus 로고
    • Prediction tables as accounting devices for judges and parole boards
    • Glaser, D. (1962). Prediction tables as accounting devices for judges and parole boards. Crime and Delinquency 8:239-58.
    • (1962) Crime and Delinquency , vol.8 , pp. 239-258
    • Glaser, D.1
  • 22
    • 0003079343 scopus 로고
    • Comparative study of artificial neural network and statistical methods for predicting student grade point averages
    • Gorr, W. L., Nagin, D., and Szczypula, J. (1994). Comparative study of artificial neural network and statistical methods for predicting student grade point averages. International Journal of Forecasting 10:17-34.
    • (1994) International Journal of Forecasting , vol.10 , pp. 17-34
    • Gorr, W.L.1    Nagin, D.2    Szczypula, J.3
  • 25
    • 0003342043 scopus 로고
    • Screening for risk among parolees: Policy, practice and method
    • eds. D. P. Farrington and R. Tarling. Albany, NY: State University of New York Press
    • Gottfredson, S. D., and Gottfredson, D. M. (1985). Screening for risk among parolees: Policy, practice and method. In Prediction in criminology, eds. D. P. Farrington and R. Tarling. Albany, NY: State University of New York Press.
    • (1985) Prediction in Criminology
    • Gottfredson, S.D.1    Gottfredson, D.M.2
  • 26
    • 38149143766 scopus 로고
    • The mean cost rating (MCR) is Somer's D: A methodological note
    • Green, M. A., Hoffman, P. B., and Beck, J. L. (1994). The mean cost rating (MCR) is Somer's D: A methodological note. Journal of Criminal Justice 22:63-69.
    • (1994) Journal of Criminal Justice , vol.22 , pp. 63-69
    • Green, M.A.1    Hoffman, P.B.2    Beck, J.L.3
  • 28
    • 0025751820 scopus 로고
    • Approximation capabilities of multi-layer feedforward networks
    • Hornik, K. (1991). Approximation capabilities of multi-layer feedforward networks. Neural Networks 4:251-57.
    • (1991) Neural Networks , vol.4 , pp. 251-257
    • Hornik, K.1
  • 29
    • 0024880831 scopus 로고
    • Multi-layer feedforward networks are universal approximators
    • Hornik, K., Stinchcome, M., and White, H. (1989). Multi-layer feedforward networks are universal approximators. Neural Networks 2:359-66.
    • (1989) Neural Networks , vol.2 , pp. 359-366
    • Hornik, K.1    Stinchcome, M.2    White, H.3
  • 31
    • 85050418924 scopus 로고
    • Parole prediction using multiple correlation
    • Kirby, B. C. (1954). Parole prediction using multiple correlation. American Journal of Sociology 59:539-50.
    • (1954) American Journal of Sociology , vol.59 , pp. 539-550
    • Kirby, B.C.1
  • 32
    • 0020789881 scopus 로고
    • Early predictions of male delinquency: A review
    • Loeber, R., and Dishion, T. (1983). Early predictions of male delinquency: A review. Psychological Bulletin 94:68-99.
    • (1983) Psychological Bulletin , vol.94 , pp. 68-99
    • Loeber, R.1    Dishion, T.2
  • 33
    • 0001896046 scopus 로고
    • A comparative study of the practical characteristics of neural networks and conventional pattern classifiers
    • San Mateo, CA: Morgan Kaufmann
    • Ng, K., and Lippmann, R. P. (1991). A comparative study of the practical characteristics of neural networks and conventional pattern classifiers. Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems 3. San Mateo, CA: Morgan Kaufmann.
    • (1991) Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems , vol.3
    • Ng, K.1    Lippmann, R.P.2
  • 34
    • 0001513279 scopus 로고
    • Power construction in west Bohemia: Improved forecasts with decorrelating connectionist networks
    • Pelikan E., De Groot, C., and Wurtz, D. (1992). Power construction in west Bohemia: Improved forecasts with decorrelating connectionist networks. Neural Network World 6:701-12.
    • (1992) Neural Network World , vol.6 , pp. 701-712
    • Pelikan, E.1    De Groot, C.2    Wurtz, D.3
  • 35
    • 0011462234 scopus 로고
    • Classification using multi-layered perceptrons
    • Carnegie Mellon University
    • Piramuthu, S., Shaw, M., and Gentry, J.A. (1990). Classification using multi-layered perceptrons. CMU-RI-TR-90-29, Carnegie Mellon University.
    • (1990) CMU-RI-TR-90-29
    • Piramuthu, S.1    Shaw, M.2    Gentry, J.A.3
  • 36
    • 0023803244 scopus 로고
    • Predicting the secondary structure of globular proteins using neural network models
    • Qian, N., and Sejnowski, T. J. (1988). Predicting the secondary structure of globular proteins using neural network models. Journal of Molecular Biology 202:865-84.
    • (1988) Journal of Molecular Biology , vol.202 , pp. 865-884
    • Qian, N.1    Sejnowski, T.J.2
  • 39
    • 0000530779 scopus 로고
    • Predicting criminal recidivism using "split population" survival time models
    • Schmidt, P., and Witte, A. D. (1989). Predicting criminal recidivism using "split population" survival time models. Journal of Econometrics 40:141-59.
    • (1989) Journal of Econometrics , vol.40 , pp. 141-159
    • Schmidt, P.1    Witte, A.D.2
  • 40
  • 42
    • 0001407224 scopus 로고
    • The extent to which biosonar information is represented in the bat auditory cortex
    • eds. G. M. Edelman, W. E. Gall, and W. M. Cowan. New York: Wiley-Interscience
    • Suga, N. (1985). The extent to which biosonar information is represented in the bat auditory cortex. In Dynamic aspects of neocortical function, eds. G. M. Edelman, W. E. Gall, and W. M. Cowan. New York: Wiley-Interscience.
    • (1985) Dynamic Aspects of Neocortical Function
    • Suga, N.1
  • 44
    • 84997479670 scopus 로고
    • Managerial applications of neural networks: The case of bank failure predictions
    • Tam, K. Y., and Klang, M. Y (1992). Managerial applications of neural networks: The case of bank failure predictions. Management Science 38(7):926-47.
    • (1992) Management Science , vol.38 , Issue.7 , pp. 926-947
    • Tam, K.Y.1    Klang, M.Y.2
  • 45
    • 0041427671 scopus 로고
    • Comparison of three classification techniques, CART, C4.5 and multi-layer perceptrons
    • San Mateo, CA: Morgan Kaufmann
    • Tsoi, A. C., and Pearson, R. A. (1991). Comparison of three classification techniques, CART, C4.5 and multi-layer perceptrons. Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems 3. San Mateo, CA: Morgan Kaufmann.
    • (1991) Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems , vol.3
    • Tsoi, A.C.1    Pearson, R.A.2
  • 46
    • 0003854151 scopus 로고
    • New York: Addison-Wesley Publishing Company
    • Tukey, J. W. (1977). Exploratory data analysis. New York: Addison-Wesley Publishing Company.
    • (1977) Exploratory Data Analysis
    • Tukey, J.W.1
  • 47
    • 0018086089 scopus 로고
    • A multi-dimensional contingency table analysis of parole outcome: New methods and old problems in criminological prediction
    • Van Alstyne, D. J., and Gottfredson, M. R. (1978). A multi-dimensional contingency table analysis of parole outcome: New methods and old problems in criminological prediction. Journal of Research in Crime and Delinquency 7:172-93.
    • (1978) Journal of Research in Crime and Delinquency , vol.7 , pp. 172-193
    • Van Alstyne, D.J.1    Gottfredson, M.R.2
  • 48
    • 0000243355 scopus 로고
    • Learning artificial network models: A statistical perspective
    • White, H. (1989a). Learning artificial network models: A statistical perspective. Neural Computation 1:424-64.
    • (1989) Neural Computation , vol.1 , pp. 424-464
    • White, H.1
  • 49
    • 0002675201 scopus 로고
    • Neural network learning and statistics
    • December
    • White, H. (1989b). Neural network learning and statistics. AI Expert December:48-52.
    • (1989) AI Expert , pp. 48-52
    • White, H.1
  • 50
    • 0012195187 scopus 로고
    • Some asymptotic results for learning in single hidden layer feedforward network models
    • White, H. (1989c). Some asymptotic results for learning in single hidden layer feedforward network models. Journal of the American Statistical Association 84:1003-13.
    • (1989) Journal of the American Statistical Association , vol.84 , pp. 1003-1013
    • White, H.1
  • 51
    • 0003335796 scopus 로고
    • Predicting failure on parole
    • eds. D. P. Farrington and R. Tarling. Albany, NY: State University of New York Press
    • Wilbanks, W. L. (1985). Predicting failure on parole. In Prediction in criminology, eds. D. P. Farrington and R. Tarling. Albany, NY: State University of New York Press.
    • (1985) Prediction in Criminology
    • Wilbanks, W.L.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.