메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 23, Issue 1, 1996, Pages 53-67

Do polls reflect opinions or do opinions reflect polls? The impact of political polling on voters' expectations, preferences, and behavior

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords


EID: 0030503223     PISSN: 00935301     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1086/209466     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (72)

References (55)
  • 2
    • 85055298808 scopus 로고
    • Wish and reality in voters' predictions of election outcomes
    • Babad, Elisha, and Eitan Yacabos (1993), "Wish and Reality in Voters' Predictions of Election Outcomes," Political Psychology, 14 (March), 37-54.
    • (1993) Political Psychology , vol.14 , Issue.MARCH , pp. 37-54
    • Babad, E.1    Yacabos, E.2
  • 3
    • 21144482198 scopus 로고
    • Carryover and backfire effects in marketing research
    • Bickart, Barbara A. (1993), "Carryover and Backfire Effects in Marketing Research," Journal of Marketing Research, 30 (February), 52-62.
    • (1993) Journal of Marketing Research , vol.30 , Issue.FEBRUARY , pp. 52-62
    • Bickart, B.A.1
  • 4
    • 0039193050 scopus 로고
    • Mixing polls and propaganda
    • Bollinger, William and Daniel M. Lund (1988), "Mixing Polls and Propaganda," The Nation (May 7), 635-637.
    • (1988) The Nation , Issue.MAY 7 , pp. 635-637
    • Bollinger, W.1    Lund, D.M.2
  • 5
    • 84925982281 scopus 로고
    • A false consensus bias in 1980 presidential preferences
    • Brown, Clifford E. (1982), "A False Consensus Bias in 1980 Presidential Preferences," Journal of Social Psychology, 118 (October), 137-138.
    • (1982) Journal of Social Psychology , vol.118 , Issue.OCTOBER , pp. 137-138
    • Brown, C.E.1
  • 6
    • 0022671220 scopus 로고
    • Similarity and uniqueness: The effects of attribute type, relevance, and individual differences in self-esteem and depression
    • Campbell, Jennifer D. (1986), "Similarity and Uniqueness: The Effects of Attribute Type, Relevance, and Individual Differences in Self-Esteem and Depression," Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 50 (February), 281-294.
    • (1986) Journal of Personality and Social Psychology , vol.50 , Issue.FEBRUARY , pp. 281-294
    • Campbell, J.D.1
  • 7
    • 0000274625 scopus 로고
    • Jumping on the bandwagon with the underdog: The impact of attitude polls on polling behavior
    • Ceci, Stephen J. and Edward L. Kain (1982), "Jumping on the Bandwagon with the Underdog: The Impact of Attitude Polls on Polling Behavior," Public Opinion Quarterly, 46 (Summer), 228-242.
    • (1982) Public Opinion Quarterly , vol.46 , Issue.SUMMER , pp. 228-242
    • Ceci, S.J.1    Kain, E.L.2
  • 8
    • 33846084566 scopus 로고
    • Perceived impact on defamation: An experiment on third-person effects
    • Cohen, Jeremy, Diana Mutz, Vincent Price, and Albert Gunter (1988), "Perceived Impact on Defamation: An Experiment on Third-Person Effects," Public Opinion Quarterly, 52 (Summer), 161-173.
    • (1988) Public Opinion Quarterly , vol.52 , Issue.SUMMER , pp. 161-173
    • Cohen, J.1    Mutz, D.2    Price, V.3    Gunter, A.4
  • 9
    • 0001207875 scopus 로고
    • Psychological commitment and its effects on post-decision evaluation and preference stability among voters
    • Crosby, Lawrence A. and James R. Taylor (1983), "Psychological Commitment and Its Effects on Post-decision Evaluation and Preference Stability among Voters," Journal of Consumer Research, 9 (March), 413-341.
    • (1983) Journal of Consumer Research , vol.9 , Issue.MARCH , pp. 413-1341
    • Crosby, L.A.1    Taylor, J.R.2
  • 10
    • 34047260359 scopus 로고
    • The third-person effect in communication
    • Davison, W. Phillips (1983), "The Third-Person Effect in Communication," Public Opinion Quarterly, 47 (Spring), 1-15.
    • (1983) Public Opinion Quarterly , vol.47 , Issue.SPRING , pp. 1-15
    • Davison, W.P.1
  • 11
    • 0005226750 scopus 로고
    • Combining tests of significance in test marketing research experiments
    • Dutka, Solomon (1984), "Combining Tests of Significance in Test Marketing Research Experiments," Journal of Marketing Research, 21 (February), 119-119.
    • (1984) Journal of Marketing Research , vol.21 , Issue.FEBRUARY , pp. 119-119
    • Dutka, S.1
  • 16
    • 0000206833 scopus 로고
    • Race-of-interviewer effects in a preelection poll
    • Finkel, Steven F., Thomas M. Guterbock, and Marian J. Borg (1991), "Race-of-Interviewer Effects in a Preelection Poll," Public Opinion Quarterly, 55 (Fall), 313-330.
    • (1991) Public Opinion Quarterly , vol.55 , Issue.FALL , pp. 313-330
    • Finkel, S.F.1    Guterbock, T.M.2    Borg, M.J.3
  • 17
    • 0001177506 scopus 로고
    • Bandwagon and underdog effects in minimal information elections
    • Fleitas, Daniel W. (1971) "Bandwagon and Underdog Effects in Minimal Information Elections," American Political Science Review, 65 (June), 434-438.
    • (1971) American Political Science Review , vol.65 , Issue.JUNE , pp. 434-438
    • Fleitas, D.W.1
  • 18
    • 77958423251 scopus 로고
    • Election-day radio-television and western voting
    • Fuchs, Douglas A. (1966), "Election-Day Radio-Television and Western Voting," Public Opinion Quarterly, 30 (Summer), 226-236.
    • (1966) Public Opinion Quarterly , vol.30 , Issue.SUMMER , pp. 226-236
    • Fuchs, D.A.1
  • 19
    • 84883976244 scopus 로고
    • Perceptions of issue positions of presidential candidates
    • Granberg, Donald and Edward Brent (1980), "Perceptions of Issue Positions of Presidential Candidates," American Scientist, 68 (November-December), 617-625.
    • (1980) American Scientist , vol.68 , Issue.NOVEMBER-DECEMBER , pp. 617-625
    • Granberg, D.1    Brent, E.2
  • 20
    • 58149372496 scopus 로고
    • When prophecy bends: The preference-expectation link in U.S. Presidential elections, 1952-1980
    • _ and Edward Brent (1983), "When Prophecy Bends: The Preference-Expectation Link in U.S. Presidential Elections, 1952-1980," Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 45 (September), 47-491.
    • (1983) Journal of Personality and Social Psychology , vol.45 , Issue.SEPTEMBER , pp. 47-491
    • Brent, E.1
  • 21
    • 84925900285 scopus 로고
    • Social judgments of the urban and vietnam issues in 1968 and 1972
    • _ and John Seidel (1976), "Social Judgments of the Urban and Vietnam Issues in 1968 and 1972," Social Forces, 55 (September), 1-15.
    • (1976) Social Forces , vol.55 , Issue.SEPTEMBER , pp. 1-15
    • Seidel, J.1
  • 22
    • 0000472877 scopus 로고
    • Increasing voting behavior by asking people if they expect to vote
    • Greenwald, Anthony G., Catherine Carnot, Rebecca Beach, and Barbara Young (1987), "Increasing Voting Behavior by Asking People If They Expect to Vote," Journal of Applied Psychology, 72 (May), 315-318.
    • (1987) Journal of Applied Psychology , vol.72 , Issue.MAY , pp. 315-318
    • Greenwald, A.G.1    Carnot, C.2    Beach, R.3    Young, B.4
  • 23
    • 84965558905 scopus 로고
    • What we think others think: Cause and consequence in the third-person effect
    • Gunther, Albert (1991), "What We Think Others Think: Cause and Consequence in the Third-Person Effect," Communication Research, 18 (June), 355-372.
    • (1991) Communication Research , vol.18 , Issue.JUNE , pp. 355-372
    • Gunther, A.1
  • 24
    • 84965673612 scopus 로고
    • Perceived persuasive effects of product commercials and public service announcements: Third person effects in new domains
    • _ and Esther Thorson (1992), "Perceived Persuasive Effects of Product Commercials and Public Service Announcements: Third Person Effects in New Domains," Communication Research, 19 (October), 574-596.
    • (1992) Communication Research , vol.19 , Issue.OCTOBER , pp. 574-596
    • Thorson, E.1
  • 25
    • 84946651784 scopus 로고
    • Attitudes and cognitive organization
    • Heider, Fritz (1946), "Attitudes and Cognitive Organization," Journal of Psychology, 21 (January), 107-112.
    • (1946) Journal of Psychology , vol.21 , Issue.JANUARY , pp. 107-112
    • Heider, F.1
  • 27
    • 0000571985 scopus 로고
    • Perceived consensus and predictive accuracy: The pros and cons of projection
    • Hoch, Stephen J. (1987), "Perceived Consensus and Predictive Accuracy: The Pros and Cons of Projection," Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 53 (August), 221-234.
    • (1987) Journal of Personality and Social Psychology , vol.53 , Issue.AUGUST , pp. 221-234
    • Hoch, S.J.1
  • 28
    • 84926272201 scopus 로고
    • Election night reporting and voter turnout
    • Jackson, John E. (1983), "Election Night Reporting and Voter Turnout," American Journal of Political Science, 27 (November), 615-635.
    • (1983) American Journal of Political Science , vol.27 , Issue.NOVEMBER , pp. 615-635
    • Jackson, J.E.1
  • 29
    • 0040377658 scopus 로고
    • Anonymity, strength of attitude, and the influence of public opinion polls
    • Kaplowitz, Stan A., Edward L. Fink, Dave D'Alessio, and G. Blake Armstrong (1983), "Anonymity, Strength of Attitude, and the Influence of Public Opinion Polls," Social Psychology Quarterly, 54 (Fall), 191-207.
    • (1983) Social Psychology Quarterly , vol.54 , Issue.FALL , pp. 191-207
    • Kaplowitz, S.A.1    Fink, E.L.2    D'Alessio, D.3    Armstrong, G.B.4
  • 31
    • 0000845371 scopus 로고
    • Political person perception: The asymmetrical influence of sentiment and choice on perceptions of presidential candidates
    • Kinder, Donald R. (1978), "Political Person Perception: The Asymmetrical Influence of Sentiment and Choice on Perceptions of Presidential Candidates," Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 36 (August), 859-871.
    • (1978) Journal of Personality and Social Psychology , vol.36 , Issue.AUGUST , pp. 859-871
    • Kinder, D.R.1
  • 32
    • 0040377668 scopus 로고
    • An experimental method to measure the tendency to equibalance in a political system
    • Laponce, J. A. (1966), "An Experimental Method to Measure the Tendency to Equibalance in a Political System," American Political Science Review, 60 (December), 982-993.
    • (1966) American Political Science Review , vol.60 , Issue.DECEMBER , pp. 982-993
    • Laponce, J.A.1
  • 33
    • 0001779013 scopus 로고
    • Public reactions to polling news during the 1988 presidential election campaign
    • ed. Paul J. Lavrakas and Jack K. Holley, Newbury Park, CA: Sage
    • Lavrakas, Paul J., Jack K. Holley, and Peter V. Miller (1991), "Public Reactions to Polling News during the 1988 Presidential Election Campaign," in Polling and Presidential Election Coverage, ed. Paul J. Lavrakas and Jack K. Holley, Newbury Park, CA: Sage, 151-183.
    • (1991) Polling and Presidential Election Coverage , pp. 151-183
    • Lavrakas, P.J.1    Holley, J.K.2    Miller, P.V.3
  • 35
    • 0039785360 scopus 로고
    • Do polls affect what people think?
    • ed. Charles F. Turner and Elizabeth Martin, New York: Russell Sage
    • Marsh, Catherine (1984), "Do Polls Affect What People Think?" in Surveying Subjective Phenomena, Vol. 2, ed. Charles F. Turner and Elizabeth Martin, New York: Russell Sage, 565-591.
    • (1984) Surveying Subjective Phenomena , vol.2 , pp. 565-591
    • Marsh, C.1
  • 36
    • 0039193048 scopus 로고
    • Back onto the bandwagon
    • _ (1985), "Back onto the Bandwagon," British Journal of Political Science, 15 (January). 51-74.
    • (1985) British Journal of Political Science , vol.15 , Issue.JANUARY , pp. 51-74
  • 37
    • 77958415550 scopus 로고
    • Election-day broadcasts and terminal voting decisions
    • Mendelsohn, Harold (1966), "Election-Day Broadcasts and Terminal Voting Decisions," Public Opinion Quarterly, 30 (Summer), 212-225.
    • (1966) Public Opinion Quarterly , vol.30 , Issue.SUMMER , pp. 212-225
    • Mendelsohn, H.1
  • 38
    • 0010159768 scopus 로고
    • Ethical considerations regarding public opinion polling during election campaigns
    • Michalos, Alex C. (1991), "Ethical Considerations Regarding Public Opinion Polling during Election Campaigns," Journal of Business Ethics, 10 (June), 403-422.
    • (1991) Journal of Business Ethics , vol.10 , Issue.JUNE , pp. 403-422
    • Michalos, A.C.1
  • 39
    • 84935412830 scopus 로고
    • Which side are you on? the 1990 Nicaraguan poll debacle
    • Miller, Peter V. (1991), "Which Side Are You On? The 1990 Nicaraguan Poll Debacle," Public Opinion Quarterly, 55 (Summer), 281-302.
    • (1991) Public Opinion Quarterly , vol.55 , Issue.SUMMER , pp. 281-302
    • Miller, P.V.1
  • 40
    • 0001164804 scopus 로고
    • An experimental approach to bandwagon research
    • Navazio, Robert (1977), "An Experimental Approach to Bandwagon Research," Public Opinion Quarterly, 41 (Summer), 217-226.
    • (1977) Public Opinion Quarterly , vol.41 , Issue.SUMMER , pp. 217-226
    • Navazio, R.1
  • 41
    • 84971758065 scopus 로고
    • Reciprocal effects of policy preferences, party loyalties and the vote
    • Page, Benjamin I. and Calvin C. Jones (1979), "Reciprocal Effects of Policy Preferences, Party Loyalties and the Vote," American Political Science Review, 73 (December), 1071-1089.
    • (1979) American Political Science Review , vol.73 , Issue.DECEMBER , pp. 1071-1089
    • Page, B.I.1    Jones, C.C.2
  • 42
    • 0039785362 scopus 로고
    • Making sense of a political poll: It's deeper than 'who's ahead
    • Panagakis, Nick (1988), "Making Sense of a Political Poll: It's Deeper than 'Who's Ahead,'" Marketing News (January 4), 25-27.
    • (1988) Marketing News , Issue.JANUARY 4 , pp. 25-27
    • Panagakis, N.1
  • 43
    • 0011530784 scopus 로고
    • An algorithm for estimating turnout as a guide to predicting elections
    • Petrocik, John C. (1991), "An Algorithm for Estimating Turnout as a Guide to Predicting Elections," Public Opinion Quarterly, 55 (Winter), 643-647.
    • (1991) Public Opinion Quarterly , vol.55 , Issue.WINTER , pp. 643-647
    • Petrocik, J.C.1
  • 44
    • 0040894085 scopus 로고
    • An analysis of cognitive balancing
    • ed. M. J. Rosenberg et al., New Haven, CT: Yale University Press
    • Rosenberg, M. J. and Robert P. Abelson (1960), "An Analysis of Cognitive Balancing," in Attitude Organization and Change, ed. M. J. Rosenberg et al., New Haven, CT: Yale University Press.
    • (1960) Attitude Organization and Change
    • Rosenberg, M.J.1    Abelson, R.P.2
  • 45
    • 0001368897 scopus 로고
    • Combining results of independent studies
    • Rosenthal, Robert (1978), "Combining Results of Independent Studies," Psychological Bulletin, 85 (January), 185-193.
    • (1978) Psychological Bulletin , vol.85 , Issue.JANUARY , pp. 185-193
    • Rosenthal, R.1
  • 46
    • 0004010283 scopus 로고
    • Cambridge: Cambridge University Press
    • _ and Ralph L. Rosnow (1985), Contrast Analysis, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
    • (1985) Contrast Analysis
    • Rosnow, R.L.1
  • 47
    • 49449125027 scopus 로고
    • The 'false consensus effect': An egocentric bias in social perception and attribution processes
    • Ross, Lee, David Greene, and Pamela House (1977). "The 'False Consensus Effect': An Egocentric Bias in Social Perception and Attribution Processes," Journal of Experimental Social Psychology, 13 (May), 279-301.
    • (1977) Journal of Experimental Social Psychology , vol.13 , Issue.MAY , pp. 279-301
    • Ross, L.1    Greene, D.2    House, P.3
  • 49
    • 21144462184 scopus 로고
    • Capturing and creating public opinion in survey research
    • Simmons, Carolyn J., Barbara A. Bickart, and John G. Lynch, Jr. (1993), "Capturing and Creating Public Opinion in Survey Research," Journal of Consumer Research, 20 (September), 316-329.
    • (1993) Journal of Consumer Research , vol.20 , Issue.SEPTEMBER , pp. 316-329
    • Simmons, C.J.1    Bickart, B.A.2    Lynch J.G., Jr.3
  • 50
    • 84962985516 scopus 로고
    • Do exit polls influence voting behavior?
    • Sudman, Seymour (1986), "Do Exit Polls Influence Voting Behavior?" Public Opinion Quarterly, 50 (Fall), 331-339.
    • (1986) Public Opinion Quarterly , vol.50 , Issue.FALL , pp. 331-339
    • Sudman, S.1
  • 51
    • 84925915533 scopus 로고
    • Promotional effects on a high-versus low-involvement electorate
    • Swinyard, William R. and Kenneth A. Coney (1978), "Promotional Effects on a High-versus Low-Involvement Electorate," Journal of Consumer Research, 5 (June), 41-48.
    • (1978) Journal of Consumer Research , vol.5 , Issue.JUNE , pp. 41-48
    • Swinyard, W.R.1    Coney, K.A.2
  • 53
    • 0001977586 scopus 로고
    • Self-definition and self-evaluation maintenance
    • ed. Jerry Suls and Anthony Greenwald, Hillsdale, NJ: Erlbaum
    • Tesser, Abraham and Jennifer Campbell (1983), "Self-Definition and Self-Evaluation Maintenance," in Social Psychological Perspectives on the Self, Vol. 2, ed. Jerry Suls and Anthony Greenwald, Hillsdale, NJ: Erlbaum, 1-31.
    • (1983) Social Psychological Perspectives on the Self , vol.2 , pp. 1-31
    • Tesser, A.1    Campbell, J.2
  • 54
    • 0040377662 scopus 로고
    • The influence of election night television broadcasts in a close election
    • Tuchman, Sam and Thomas E. Coffin (1971), "The Influence of Election Night Television Broadcasts in a Close Election," Public Opinion Quarterly, 40 (Fall), 315-326.
    • (1971) Public Opinion Quarterly , vol.40 , Issue.FALL , pp. 315-326
    • Tuchman, S.1    Coffin, T.E.2
  • 55
    • 0001741478 scopus 로고
    • Compounding probabilities from independent significant tests
    • Wallis, W. A. (1942), "Compounding Probabilities from Independent Significant Tests," Econometrica, 10 (January), 229-248.
    • (1942) Econometrica , vol.10 , Issue.JANUARY , pp. 229-248
    • Wallis, W.A.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.