Modelling of time-dependent biome shifts under global climate changes

Ecological Modelling

Volumn 87, Issue 1-3, 1996, Pages 29-40

  Belotelov, Nickolay V ^a   Bogatyrev, Boris G ^a   Kirilenko, Andrew P ^a   Venevsky, Sergey V ^a  

^a RUSSIAN ACADEMY OF SCIENCES   (Russian Federation)

Author keywords

Climate; Vegetation dynamics

Indexed keywords

BIOME SHIFT; CLIMATIC CHANGE; MODELLING; TEMPORAL DYNAMICS; VEGETATION DYNAMICS;

EID: 0030498688     PISSN: 03043800     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/0304-3800(94)00200-2     Document Type: Article

References (59)

1. Bazilevich, N.I. and Rodin, L.E., 1967. Block-schemes of productivity and biological rotation for terrestrial vegetation types. Izv. Vses. Geogr. Obshchestva, 99: 190-194 (in Russian).
2. Bazilevich, N.I., Grebenshchikov, O.S. and Tishkov, A.A., 1986. Geographical Regularity of Structure and Dynamics Ecosystems. Nauka, Moscow, 296 pp. (in Russian).
3. Belotelov, N.V., Bogatyrev, B.G., Kirilenko, A.P. and Venevsky, S.V., 1993. Modeling of vegetation zones dynamics under non-equilibrium global climatic scenario. In: Problems of Monitoring and Modelling of Dynamics of Forest Ecosystems. Nauka, Moscow (in press, in Russian).
4. Belotelov, N.V., Bogatyrev, B.G. and Kirilenko, A.P., 1994a. Modeling of time-dependent vegetation shifts at a global scale under climate changes. In: Proceedings of the 5th Global Warming International Conference and Expo. 4-7 April 1994, San Francisco: Abstracts. SUPCON International, Chicago, IL, p. 12.
5. Belotelov, N.V., Bogatyrev, B.G. and Kirilenko, A.P., 1994b. Annual research report. The State Scientific -Industrial program #0-18, Global Changes of Environment and Climate. CEPL RAS, Moscow.
6. Berdnikov, S.V., Sarancha, D.A. and Belotelov, N.V., 1982. Spatial distributed model of the biosphere. Problems Ecological Monitoring and Ecosystems Modeling. Gidrometeoizdat, Leningrad, 5: 199-219 (in Russian).
7. Bogatyrev, B.G. and Belotelov, N.V., 1993. Modeling of vegetation dynamics due to global climate changes with usage of bioclimatic Scheme. In: Proceedings of the European Simulation Multiconference 3-7 June 1993, Lyon, France, pp. 638-642.
8. Bogatyrev, B.G., Kirilenko, A.P. and Tarko, A.M., 1988. Spatial Distributed Models of the Biosphere. Computer Center AN USSR, Moscow, 23 pp. (in Russian).
9. Botkin, D.B., Janak, J.F. and Wallis, J.R., 1972. The rational, limitations and assumptions of a north-east forest growth simulator. IBM J. Res. Dev., 16: 101-116.
10. Budyko, M.I., 1977. Global Ecology. Mysl', Moscow, 327 pp. (in Russian).
11. Emanuel, W.R., Shugart, H.H. and Stevenson, M.P., 1985. Climatic change and the broad-scale distribution of terrestrial ecosystems complexes. Climatic Change, 7: 29-43.
12. 2: a proposed model structure. In: H. Lieth, R. Fantechi and H. Schnitzler (Editors), Progress in Biometeorology, 3. pp. 253-294.
13. Esser, G., 1991. Osnabruck biosphere model: construction, structure, results. In: G. Esser and D. Overdieck (Editors), Modern Ecology, Basic and Applied Aspects. Elsevier, New York, pp. 679-709.
14. Grizebach, A., 1874. The Earth Vegetation Distribution in Accordance With Climate, Vol. 1. St. Petersburg, 545 pp. (in Russian).
15. Henderson-Sellers, A., 1993. Continental vegetation as a dynamic component of a global climate model: a preliminary assessment. Climatic Change, 23: 337-377.
16. Holdridge, L.R., 1947. Determination of world formations from simple climatic data. Science, 105: 367-368.
17. IPCC, 1991. Climate Change. The IPCC report. Oxford University Press, Oxford, 795 pp.
18. Kalesnik, S.V., 1974. Basic Geographical Regularity of the Earth. Mysl', Moscow, 283 pp. (in Russian).
19. Kirilenko, A.P., Belotelov, N.V. and Bogatyrev, B.G., 1994. Modeling of shifts in vegetation patterns considering climate instability. Dokl. Ross. Akad. Nauk, 338: 116-118. (in Russian).
20. Kostitzin, V.A., 1935. Evolution de l'Atmosphere: Circulation Organique, Epoques Glaciares. Hermann, Paris.
21. Krapivin, V.F., 1993. Mathematical model for global ecological investigations. Ecol. Model., 67: 103-127.
22. Kryuchkov, V.V., 1978. Agro-and Forest Melioration of Tundra. Lesnaya Promyshlennost, Moscow, 168 pp. (in Russian).
23. Lieth, H., 1973. Primary production: terrestrial ecosystems. Hum. Ecol., 1: 302-332.
24. Machta, L., 1971. The role of the oceans and the biosphere in the carbon dioxide circle. Gothenburg, Nobel Symp., 20, August 16-20.
25. Malanson, G.R., 1993. Comment on modeling ecological response to climatic change. Climate Change, 23: 95-109.
26. 2 concentration in the atmosphere. J. Geophys. Res., 85: 5529-5554.
27. Martin, P., 1993. Vegetation responses and feedbacks to climate: a review of models and processes. Climate Dynamics, 8: 201-210.
28. Melillo, J.M., McGurie, A.D., Kicklighter, D.W., Moore III, B., Vorosmurty, C.J. and Schloss, A.L., 1993. Global climate change and terrestrial net primary production. Nature, 363: 234-240.
29. Moiseev, N.N., Aleksandrov, V.V. and Tarko, A.M., 1985. Man and Biosphere. Nauka, Moscow, 272 pp. (in Russian).
30. Monserud, R.A. and Leemans, R., 1992. Comparing global vegetation maps with the Kappa statistic. Ecol. Model., 62: 275-293.
31. Olson, J.S., Pfuderer, H.A. and Chan, Y.H., 1978. Changes in the Global Carbon Cycle and the Biosphere. Oak Ridge Nat. Lab., 153 pp.
32. Petoukhov, V.K., 1990. Thermodynamical approach to macro-turbulent heat, humidity and momentum transfer description in climatic models. In: E.G. Nikiforov and N.Ph. Romanov (Editors), Investigations of Eddy Dynamics, Atmospheric Energetics and the Problem of Climate. Gidrometeoizdat, Leningrad, 156-171 pp. (in Russian).
33. Prentice, I.C., 1986. The design of a forest succession model. In: J. Fanta (Editor), Forest Dynamics Research in Western and Central Europe. PUDOC, Wageningen, pp. 253-256.
34. Prentice, K.C., 1990. Bioclimatic distribution of vegetation for general circulation model studies. J. Geophys. Res., 95 (D8): 11811-11830.
35. Rotmans, J., de Boois, H. and Swart, R.J., 1990. An integrated model for the assessment of the greenhouse effect: the Dutch approach. Climate Change, 16: 331-356.
36. Ryabchikov, A.M., 1972. Structure and Dynamics of the Geosphere. Mysl', Moscow, 223 pp. (in Russian).
37. Saltzman, B., 1978. Statistical-dynamical models of the terrestrial climate. Adv. Geophys., 20: 183-304.
38. Schwartz, M.W., 1992. Potential effects of global climate change on the biodiversity of plants. For. Chron., 68: 462-471.
39. SCOPE, 1981. Carbon Cycle Modeling. SCOPE 16. John Wiley, New York.
40. SCOPE, 1986. The Greenhouse Effect, Climatic Change and Ecosystems. SCOPE 29. John Wiley, New York.
41. Sellers, P.J., Mintz, Y., Sud, Y.C. and Dalcher, A., 1986. A simple biosphere model (SiB) for use within general circulation models. J. Atmos. Sci., 43: 505-531.
42. Shugart, H.H., 1984. A Theory of Forest Dynamics. Springer-Verlag, New York.
43. Smirnova, O.V. (Editor), 1993. East-European Broadleaf Forests. Nauka, Moscow, 364 pp. (in Russian).
44. Smith, T.M. and Urban, D.L., 1988. Scale and resolution of forest structural pattern. Vegetatio, 74: 143-150.
45. 2-induced climate change: comparison of four scenarios based on general circulation models. Climate Change, 21: 367-384.
46. Smith, T.M., Shugart, H.H., Bonan, G.B. and Smith, J.B., 1992b. Modeling the potential response of vegetation to global climate change. Adv. Ecol. Res., 22: 93-116.
47. 2-induced climate change: simulation modeling experiments in eastern North America. Oecologia, 68: 567-579.
48. Solomon, A.M. and Shugart, H.H., 1984. Integrating forest-stand simulations with paleoecological records to examine long-term forest dynamics. In: State and Change of Forest Ecosystems - Indicators in Current Research. Sweden, pp. 333-356.
49. Solomon, A.M. and Shugart, H.H. (Editors), 1993. Vegetation Dynamics and Climate Change. Chapman and Hall, New York, 338 pp.
50. Stouffer, R.J., Manabe, S. and Bryan, K., 1989. Interhemispheric asymmetry in climate response to a gradual increase of atmospheric carbon dioxide. Nature 339: 60-62.
51. Svirezhev, Yu.M., Krapivin, V.F. and Tarko, A.M., 1985. Modeling of the main biosphere cycles. In: T.F. Malone and J.G. Roederer (Editors), Global Change. Cambridge Univ. Press, Cambridge, pp. 298-313.
52. Tarko, A.M., Bogatyrev, B.G. and Kirilenko, A.P., 1992. Part of countries and regions in the formation of global atmospheric carbon dioxide budget. Dokl. Akad. Nauk SSSR, 322: 810-812 (in Russian)
53. Tchebakova, N.M., Monserud, R.A., Leemans, R., Golovanov, S.V., 1993. A global vegetation model based on the climatological approach of Budyko. J. Biogeogr., 20: 129-144.
54. Thornthwaite, C.W., 1948. An approach toward a rational classification of climate. Geogr. Rev., 38: 55-89.
55. Venevsky, S.V., Churkina, G.E. and Golubiatnikov, L.L., 1992. Climate scenario and some environmental consequences. The Proceedings of the 8th ISEM Conference, Kiel.
56. Verseghy, D.L., 1991. CLASS -a Canadian land surface scheme for GCMs. I. Soil model. Int. J. Climatol., 11: 111-133.
57. Udra, I.F., 1988. Settlement of Plants and Paleo-and Biogeography Problems. Naukova Dumka, Kiev, 197 pp. (in Russian).
58. 2: experiments with a coupled atmosphere and ocean general circulation model. Climate Dynamics, 4: 1-38.
59. Whittaker, R.H., 1970. Communities and Ecosystems. Macmillan, New York.