Adapting North American agriculture to climate change in review

Agricultural and Forest Meteorology

Volumn 80, Issue 1, 1996, Pages 1-53

  Easterling, William E ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF NEBRASKA LINCOLN   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

AGRICULTURE; CLIMATE CHANGE; ECONOMICS;

NORTH AMERICA;

EID: 0030470917     PISSN: 01681923     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/0168-1923(95)02315-1     Document Type: Article

References (95)

1. Adams, R., Glyer, J.D. and McCarl, B., 1989. The economic effects of climate change on US agriculture: a preliminary assessment. In: J. Smith and D. Tirpak (Editors), The Potential Effects of Global Climate Change on the United States, Vol. 1. Office of Policy, Planning and Evaluation, US Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, DC, Appendix C, pp. 4-1-4-56.
2. 2-induced climatic changes on irrigation water requirements in the Great Plains states (Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas and Nebraska). In: J. Smith and D. Tirpak (Editors), The Potential Effects of Global Climate Change on the United States, Vol. 1. Office of Policy, Planning and Evaluation, US Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, DC, Appendix C, pp. 6-1-6-42.
3. Antle, J.M., 1996. Methodological issues in assessing potential impacts of climatic change on agriculture. Agric. For. Meteorol., 80: 67-85.
4. Ausubel, J.H. and Biswas, A. (Editors), 1980. Climatic Constraints and Human Activities. Pergamon Press, New York.
5. 2 concentrations on global climate: potential consequences and corrective measures. Environ. Int., 2: 215-228.
6. Barkema, A. and Drabenstott, M., 1988. Can US and Great Plains agriculture compete in the world market? Econ. Rev. Fed. Reserve Bank Kansas City, February: 3-17.
7. Bockstadter, T.L., Eisenhauer, D., Kranz, W. and Retka, T., 1989. Irrigation Management Component of the Agricultural Energy Conservation Project: Final Report. University of Nebraska Cooperative Extension, Lincoln, NE, 22 pp.
8. Boggess, W.G., Anaman, K.A. and Hanson, G.D., 1985. Importance, causes and management responses to farm risks: evidence from Florida and Alabama. South. J. Agric. Econ., 17(2): 105-116.
9. Briggle, L.W. and Curtis, B.C., 1987. Wheat worldwide. In: E.G. Heyne (Editor), Wheat and Wheat Improvement, 2nd editionn. American Society of Agronomy, Crop Science Society of America and Soil Science Society of America, Madison, WI, pp. 1-31.
10. Buttler, I.W. and Riha, S.J., 1989. GAPS: A General Purpose Simulation Model of the Soil-Plant-Atmosphere System, Version 1.1 User's Manual. Department of Agronomy, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY.
11. Council for Agricultural Science and Technology (CAST), 1992. Preparing US agriculture for global climate change. Report 119. CAST, Ames, IA, 96 pp.
12. Cox, T.S., Murphy, J.P. and Rogers, D.M., 1986. Changes in genetic diversity in the red winter wheat regions of the United States. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci., 83: 5583-5586.
13. Crosson, P.R., 1989a. Climate change and mid-latitudes agriculture: perspectives on consequences and policy responses. In: M. Oppenheimer (Editor), Special Issue on Greenhouse Gas Emissions: Environmental and Policy Responses. Clim. Change, 15(1/2): 51-74.
14. Crosson, P.R., 1989b. Climate change: problems of limits and policy responses. In: N.J. Rosenberg, W.E. Easterling, P.R. Crosson and J. Darmstadter (Editors), Greenhouse Warming: Abatement and Adaptation. Resources for the Future, Washington, DC, pp. 69-82.
15. Crosson, P.R. and Katz, L., 1991. Agricultural Production and Resource Use in the MINK Region Without and With Climate Change, Report II-A of the MINK Project. US Department of Energy Report TR052C, National Technical Information Service, Springfield, VA, 123 pp.
16. 2? Science, 268(5): 654-656.
17. Dalrymple, D.G., 1988. Changes in wheat varieties and yields in the United States, 1919-1984. Agric. Hist., 62: 20-36.
18. 2 and Climate Change - The MINK Project, Report V. Special Report TR052G, US Department of Energy, Washington, DC, 60 pp.
19. Drabenstott, M., 1992. Agriculture's portfolio for an uncertain future: preparing for global warming. Econ. Rev. Fed. Reserve Bank Kansas City, 77(2): 5-20.
20. Duncan, M.R., 1989. U.S. agriculture: hard realities and new opportunities. Econ. Rev. Fed. Reserve Bank Kansas City, February: 3-20.
21. Easterling, W.E., III, Parry, M.L. and Crosson, P.R., 1989. Adapting future agriculture to changes in climate. In: N.J. Rosenberg, W.E. Easterling III, P. Crosson and J. Darmstadter (Editors), Greenhouse Warming: Abatement and Adaptation. Resources for the Future, Washington, DC, pp. 91-104.
22. Easterling, W.E., III, Rosenberg, N.J., McKenney, M.S. and Jones, C.A., 1992. An introduction to the methodology, the region of study and a historical analog of climate change. In: N.J. Rosenberg (Editor), Special Issue: Methodology for Assessing Regional Agricultural Consequences of Climate Change. Agric. For. Meteorol., 59(1/2): 3-16.
23. Easterling, W.E., Crosson, P.R., Rosenberg, N.J., McKenney, M.S., Katz, L.A. and Lemon, K.M., 1993. Agricultural impacts and responses to climate change in the Missouri-Iowa-Nebraska-Kansas (MINK) region. Clim. Change, 24: 23-61.
24. Fischer, G., Frohberg, K., Keyzer, K. and Parish, M., 1988. Linked National Models: A Tool for International Food Policy Analysis. Kluwer, Dordrecht.
25. 2 and Climate Change - The MINK Project, Report IV. US Department of Energy Report TR052F, DOE/RL/01830T-H10, 153 pp.
26. Fornari, H.D., 1979. The big change: cotton to soybeans. Agric. Hist., 53(1): 245-253.
27. Gardner, B.L., Just, R., Kramer, R. and Pope, R., 1984. Agricultural policy and risk. In: P.J. Barry (Editor), Risk Management in Agriculture. Iowa State University Press, Ames, IA, pp. 231-261.
28. Giorgi, F. and Meams, L., 1991. Approaches to the simulation of regional climate change: a review. Rev. Geophys., 29(2): 191-216.
29. Glantz, M.H. (Editor), 1988. Societal Responses to Regional Climatic Change: Forecasting by Analogy. Westview, Boulder, CO.
30. 2-induced climate change. In: M.H. Glantz (Editor), Societal Responses to Regional Climatic Change: Forecasting by Analogy. Westview, Boulder, CO, pp. 113-142.
31. Graedal, T.E., Bates, T., Bowman, A., Currnold, O., Dignon, J., Fung, I., Jacob, J., Lamb, D., Logan, J., Menland, G., Middleton, P., Pacyna, J., Placet, M. and Vedt, C., 1994. A compilation of inventories of emissions to the atmosphere. Global Biogeochem. Cycles, 7(1): 1-26.
32. Gudger, M., 1991. Crop insurance: failure of the public sector and the rise of the private sector alternative. In: D. Holden, P. Hazell and A. Pritchard (Editors), Risk in Agriculture: Proceedings of the Tenth Agriculture Sector Symposium. The World Bank, Washington, DC, pp. 143-159.
33. Hansen, J., Fung, I., Lacis, A., Lebedeff, S., Rind, D., Ruedy, R. et al., 1988. Global climate changes as forecast by the Goddard Institute for Space Studies Three Dimensional Model. J. Geophys. Res., D93: 9341-9364.
34. Hart, J.F., 1986. Change in the corn belt. Geogr. Rev., 76(1): 51-72.
35. Hayami, Y. and Ruttan, V.W., 1985. Agricultural Development: An International Perspective. The Johns Hopkins University Press, Baltimore, MD.
36. Heady, E.O., 1984. Economic impacts of energy prices on agriculture. In: G. Stanhill (Editor), Energy and Agriculture. Springer-Verlag, New York, pp. 10-23.
37. High Plains Associates, 1982. Congressional Briefing on the Six-State High Plains-Ogallala Aquifer Regional Resources Study. Camp, Dresser and McKee, Inc., Austin, TX.
38. Houghton, R.A., 1994. The worldwide extent of land-use change. BioScience, 44: 305-313.
39. Houghton, J.T., Jenkins, G.J. and Ephrannus, J.J. (Editors), 1990. Climate Change. The IPCC Scientific Assessment. World Meteorological Organization, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
40. Jones, C.A. and Kiniry, J. (Editors), 1986. CERES-Maize: A Simulation Model of Maize Growth and Development. College Station, TX, Texas A&M University Press, 194 pp.
41. Jones, J., Boote, K., Jagtap, S., Hoogenboom, G. and Wilkerson, G., 1988. SOYGRO V5.41: Soybean Crop Growth Simulation Model. User's Guide. Florida Agricultural Experiment Station Journal No. 8304, IFAS, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL.
42. Kaiser, H.M., Riha, S.J., Wilks, D., Rossiter, D.G. and Sampath, R., 1993. A farm-level analysis of economic and agronomic impacts of gradual climate warming. Am. J. Agric. Econ., 75: 387-398.
43. Kane, S., Reilly, J. and Tobey, J., 1992. A sensitivity analysis of the implications of climate change for world agriculture. In: J. Reilly and P.L. Anderson (Editors), Economic Issues in Global Climate Change. Westview, Boulder, CO, pp. 117-131.
44. Kane, S., Reilly, J. and Tobey, J., 1992. An empirical study of the economic effects of climate change on world agriculture. Clim. Change, 21(1): 17-36.
45. Kates, R.W., 1985. The interaction of climate and society. In: R.W. Kates, J.H. Ausubel and M. Berberian (Editors), *Climate Impact Assessment: Studies of the Interaction of Climate and Society, SCOPE 27. John Wiley and Sons, Chichester, pp. 3-36.
46. Keller, L.F., Heatwole, C.G. and Weber, J.W., 1981. Managing crisis: the effectiveness of local districts for control of ground water mining. Water Resour. Bull., 17(4): 647-654.
47. Khush, G.S., 1993. Breeding rice for sustainable agricultural systems. In: D.R. Buxton, R. Shibles, R. Forsberg, B. Blad, K. Asay et al. (Editors), International Crop Science I. Crop Science Society of America, Madison, WI, pp. 189-199.
48. Kimball, B.A., Rosenberg, N.J. and Allen, L.H., Jr., 1990. Impact of Carbon Dioxide, Trace Gases and Climate Change on Global Agriculture. American Society of Agronomy Special Publication No. 53, Madison, WI, 133 pp.
49. Kromm, D.E. and White, S.E., 1986. Variability in adjustment preferences to groundwater depletion in the American High Plains. Water Resour. Bull., 22(5): 791-801.
50. 2 on crop photosynthesis and productivity: a review of field studies. Plant Cell Environ., 14: 807-818.
51. Lehe, J.M., 1986. The effects of depletion of the Ogallala Aquifer and accompanying impact on economic and agricultural production in the Southern High Plains region of the United States. In: Proceedings of the Association of Ground Water Scientists and Engineers, Southern Regional Ground Water Conference. National Water Well Association, Worthington, OH, pp. 410-426.
52. Lewandrowski, J. and Brazee, R., 1992. Government farm programs and climate change: a first look. In: J. Reilly and M. Anderson (Editors), Economic Issues in Global Climate Change, Agriculture, Forestry and Natural Resources. Westview, Boulder, CO, pp. 132-147.
53. Major, D.J., Morrison, R.J., Blackshaw, R.E. and Roth, B.T., 1991. Agronomy of dryland corn production at the northern fringe of the Great Plains. J. Prod. Agric., 4(4): 606-613.
54. Manabe, S. and Wetherald, R.T., 1987. Large scale changes in soil wetness induced by an increase in carbon dioxide. J. Atmos. Sci., 44: 1211-1235.
55. McKenney, M.S., Easterling, W.E. and Rosenberg, N.J., 1992. Simulation of crop productivity and responses to climate change in the year 2030: the role of future technologies, adjustments and adaptations. In: N.J. Rosenberg (Editor), Special Issue: Methodology for Assessing Regional Agricultural Consequences of Climate Change. Agric. For. Meteorol., 59(1/2): 103-127.
56. Mearns, L.O., Katz, R.W. and Schneider, S.H., 1984. Extreme high-temperature events: changes in their probabilities with changes in mean temperature. J. Clim. Appl. Meteorol., 23(12): 1601-1613.
57. Mendelsohn, R. and Rosenberg, N.J., 1994. Framework for integrated assessments of global warming impacts. Clim. Change, 28(1,2): 15-44.
58. Mendelsohn, R., Nordhaus, W. and Shaw, D., 1994. The impact of global warming on agriculture: a Ricardian analysis. Am. Econ. Rev., 84: 753-771.
59. Mendelsohn, R., Nordhaus, W. and Shaw, D., 1996. Climate impacts on aggregate farm value: accounting for adaptation. Agric. For. Meteorol, 80: 55-66.
60. National Research Council/National Academy of Sciences (NRC/NAS), 1991. Policy Implications of Greenhouse Warming, Report of the Committee on Science, Engineering and Public Policy. National Academy Press, Washington, DC, 127 pp.
61. Nellis, M.D., 1987. Land-use adjustments to aquifer depletion in Western Kansas. In: C. Cocklin, B. Smit and T. Johnston (Editors), Demands on Rural Land: Planning for Resource Use. Westview, Boulder, CO, pp. 71-84.
62. 2-Induced Climate Change, Vol. 2. Carbon Dioxide Research Division, US Department of Energy, Washington, DC, Part 8.
63. Nordhaus, W.D., 1992. An optimal transition path for controlling greenhouse gases. Science, 258: 1315-1319.
64. Office of Technology Assessment, 1992. A New Technological Era for American Agriculture. US Government Printing Office, Washington, DC, 452 pp.
65. Parry, M.L., Carter, T.R. and Konijin, N.T. (Editors), 1988. The Impact of Climatic Variations on Agriculture. Kluwer, Dordrecht, 876 pp.
66. Phipps, T.T., Crosson, P.R. and Price. K.A. (Editors), 1986. Agriculture and the Environment. Resources for the Future, Washington, DC.
67. Riebsame, W.E., 1988. Adjusting water resources management to climate change. Clim. Change, 13: 69-97.
68. Riebsame, W.E., 1991. Sustainability of the Great Plains in an uncertain climate. Great Plains Res., 1(1): 133-151.
69. Riebsame, W.E., Changnon, S.A., Jr. and Karl, T.R., 1991. Drought and Natural Resources Management in the United States: Impacts and Implications of the 1987-1989 Drought. Westview, Boulder, CO, 174 pp.
70. Ritchie, J.T., Baer, B.D. and Chou, T.Y., 1989. Effect of global climate change on agriculture in the Great Lakes region. In: J. Smith and D. Tirpak (Editors), The Potential Effects of Global Climate Change on the United States, Vol. 1. Office of Policy, Planning and Evaluation, US Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, DC, Appendix C, pp. 1-1-1-21.
71. Robinson, J., 1985. Global modeling and simulations. In: R.W. Kates, J. Ausubel and M. Berberian (Editors), Climate Impact Assessment, SCOPE 27. J. Wiley and Sons, New York, pp. 469-492.
72. 2-induced climatic change. Clim. Change, 4: 239-254.
73. Rosenberg, N.J., 1986. Climate, technology, climate change and policy: the long run. In: C.F. Runge (Editor), The Future of the North American Granary: Politics, Economics and Resource Constraints in North American Agriculture. Iowa State University Press, Ames, IA, pp. 93-127.
74. Rosenberg, N.J., 1992. Adaptation of agriculture to climate change. Clim. Change, 21(4): 385-405.
75. 2 and climate change. Environ. Conserv., 18(4): 313-322.
76. Rosenberg, N.J., Crosson, P.R., Frederick, K.D., Easterling III, W.E., McKenney, M.S. et al., 1993. Paper 1. The MINK methodology: background and baseline. Clim. Change, 24: 7-22.
77. Rosenzweig, C., 1989. Potential effects of climate change on agricultural production in the Great Plains: a simulation study. In: J. Smith and D. Tirpak (Editors), The Potential Effects of Global Climate Change on the United States, Vol. 1. Office of Policy, Planning and Evaluation, US Environmental Protection Agency, Washington DC, Appendix C, pp. 3-1-3-43.
78. Rosenzweig, C. and Parry, M., 1994. Potential impact of climate change on world food supply. Nature, 367: 133-138.
79. Savdie, I., Whitewood, R., Raddatz, R.L. and Fowler, D.B., 1991. Potential for winter wheat production in western Canada: a CERES model winterkill risk assessment. Can. J. Plant Sci., 71(1): 21-30.
80. Schelling, T., 1983. Climate change: implications for welfare and policy: In: Changing Climate: Report of the Carbon Dioxide Assessment Committee. National Academy Press, Washington, DC.
81. 2 or Simulated by the OSU Atmospheric GCM/Mixed Layer Ocean Model. Climate Research Institute, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR.
82. Schneider, S.H. and Rosenberg, N.J., 1989. The greenhouse effect and associated uncertainties. In: N.J. Rosenberg, W.E. Easterling III, P.R. Crosson and J. Darmstadter (Editors), Greenhouse Warming: Abatement and Adaptation. Resources for the Future, Washington, DC, pp. 7-34.
83. Smit, B. (Editor), 1993. Adaptation to climatic variability and change, report of the Task Force on Climate Adaptation to the Canadian Climate Program. Occasional Paper No. 19, Department of Geography, University of Guelph.
84. Smith, J. and Tirpak, D., 1989. The Potential Effects of Global Climate Change on the United States. Office of Policy, Planning and Evaluation, US Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, DC.
85. Sonka, S.T. and Patrick, G.F., 1984. Risk management and decision making in agricultural firms. In: P.J. Barry (Editor), Risk Management in Agriculture. Iowa State University Press, Ames, IA, pp. 95-115.
86. Stepleton, B.M., 1986. Texas groundwater legislation: conservation of groundwater or drought by process, Nat. Resour. J., 26(4): 871-881.
87. Stewart, J.I., 1990. Managing climatic risk in agriculture. In: D. Holden, P. Hazell and A. Pritchard (Editors), Risk in Agriculture: Proceedings of the Tenth Agriculture Sector Symposium. The World Bank, Washington, DC, pp. 17-38.
88. Supalla, R.J., Lansford, R.R. and Gollehon, N.R., 1982. Is the Ogallala going dry? J. Soil Water Conserv., 37: 310-314.
89. Thompson, L.M., 1969. Weather and technology in the production of wheat in the United States. J. Soil Water Conserv., 24: 219-224.
90. Tyrchiewicz, E.U., 1986. The interaction of domestic and foreign agricultural policy: a Canadian view. In: C.F. Runge (Editor), The Future of the North American Granary. Iowa State University Press, Ames, IA, pp. 28-36.
91. US Department of Agriculture (USDA), 1990. The Second Appraisal. Miscellaneous Publications No. 1482, US Department of Agriculture, Washington, DC, 280 pp.
92. Warrick, R.A., 1980. Drought in the Great Plains: a case study of research on climate and society in the USA. J.A. Ausubel and A. Biswas (Editors), Climatic Constraints and Human Activities. Pergamon Press, Oxford.
93. Wilhite, D.A., 1988. The Ogallala Aquifer and carbon dioxide: are policy responses applicable? In: M.H. Glantz, (Editor), Societal Responses to Regional Climate Change: Forecasting by Analogy. Westview, Boulder, CO, pp. 353-374.
94. Williams, J.R., Jones, C.A. and Dyke, P., 1984. A modeling approach to determining the relationship between erosion and soil productivity. Trans. Am. Soc. Agric. Eng., 27: 129-144.
95. Yohe, G.W., 1993. Sorting out facts and uncertainties in economic response to the physical effects of global climate change. In: J. Darmstedter and M. Toman (Editors), Assessing Surprise and Nonlinearities in Greenhouse Warming. Resources for the Future, Washington, DC, pp. 109-132.