The vaison-la-romaine flash flood: Mesoscale analysis and predictability issues

Weather and Forecasting

Volumn 11, Issue 4, 1996, Pages 417-442

  Sénési, Stéphane ^a   Bougeault, Philippe ^a   Chèze, Jean Luc ^a   Cosentino, Philippe ^a   Thepenier, Rose May ^a  

^a CENTRE NATIONAL DE RECHERCHES MÉTÉOROLOGIQUES   (France)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

FLASH FLOOD; MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE SYSTEM; PRECIPITATION; RAINFALL; WEATHER FORECASTING;

FRANCE, PROVENCE-ALPES COTE D'AZUR, VAISON-LA-ROMAINE;

EID: 0030394595     PISSN: 08828156     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/1520-0434(1996)011<0417:TVLRFF>2.0.CO;2     Document Type: Article

References (46)

1. Barret, I., V. Jacq, and J.-C. Rivrain, 1994: A situation generating torrential rains in the Mediterranean area (the 22-23/09/93 stormy case in south-eastern France) (in French). La Météorologie, 7, 38-60.
2. Battan, L. J., 1965: Some factors governing precipitation and lightning from convective clouds. J. Atmos. Sci., 22, 79-84.
3. Beckman, S. K., and K. L. Polston, 1995: An evaluation of the RUC predicted winds and 404 MHz profiler observed winds at 0300 and 0600 UTC. Preprints, 14th Conf. on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Dallas, TX, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 188-193.
4. Benech, B., H. Brunet, V. Jacq, M. Payen, J.-Ch. Rivrain, and P. Santurette, 1993: The Vaison-la-Romaine catastrophe and the heavy rains of September, 1992: Meteorological aspects (in French). La Météorologie, 1, 72-90.
5. Bougeault, P., 1985: A simple parameterization of the large-scale effects of cumulus convection. Mon. Wea. Rev., 113, 2108-2121.
6. Brewster, K., F. Carr, N. Lin, J. Straka, and J. Krause, 1994: A local analysis system for initializing real-time convective-scale models. Preprints, 10th Conf. on Numerical Weather Prediction, Portland, OR, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 596-598.
7. Browning, K. A., and F. F. Hill, 1984: Structure and evolution of a mesoscale convective system near the British Isles. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 110, 897-913.
8. Cammas, J.-P., and D. Ramond, 1989: Analysis and diagnosis of the composition of ageostrophic circulations in jet-front systems. Mon. Wea. Rev., 117, 2447-2462.
9. Caracena, F., R. A. Maddox, L. R. Hoxit, and C. F. Chappell, 1979: Mesoanalysis of the Big Thompson storm. Mon. Wea. Rev., 107, 1-17.
10. Chappell, C. F., 1986: Quasi-stationary convective events. Mesoscale Meteorology and Forecasting, P. S. Ray, Ed., Amer. Meteor. Soc., 289-310.
11. Chastan, B., O. Gilard, and J. Lavabre, 1993: The difficulties in rapid estimation of flood flows - The example of the Ouvèze river flood on the 22nd September 1992 (in French). Revue de Géographie de Lyon, 68, 2-3, 153-158.
12. _, 1994: On off-line correction of radar signal attenuation by rain. Proc. COST 75 Weather Radar Systems Int. Seminar, Brussels, Belgium, European Commission, 135-143.
13. Chisholm, A. J., and J. H. Renick, 1972: The kinematics of multicell and supercell Alberta hailstorms. Research Council of Alberta Hail Studies, Rep. 72-2, 53 pp.
14. Courtier, P., and J.-F. Geleyn, 1988: A global numerical weather prediction model with variable resolution-Application to the shallow water equations. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 114, 1321-1346.
15. _, C. Freydier, J.-F. Geleyn, F. Rabier, and M. Rochas, 1991: The Arpege project at Météo-France. ECMWF 1991 Seminar Proceedings: Numerical Methods in Atmospheric Models, Reading, Berkshire, United Kingdom, ECMWF, 193-231.
16. Craven, P., and G. Wahba, 1979: Smoothing noisy data with spline functions. Numer. Math., 31, 377-403.
17. Delrieu, G., J.-D. Creutin, and I. Saint-André, 1991: Mean K-R relationships: Practical results for typical radar wavelengths. J. Atmos. Oceanic Technol., 8, 467-476.
18. Doswell, C. A., III, H. E. Brooks, and R. A. Maddox, 1995: Flash flood forecasting : An ingredients-based methodology. Preprints, Fifth Workshop on Operational Meteorology, Edmonton, AB, Canada, Atmospheric Environment Services/Canadian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society, 149-156.
19. Ducrocq, V., and P. Bougeault, 1995: Simulations of an observed squall line with a meso-beta scale hydrostatic model. Wea. Forecasting, 10, 380-399.
20. Durand, Y., and P. Bougeault, 1987: Peridot objective analysis (in French). EERM Internal Note 193, 71 pp. [Available from CNRM/DOC, 42, Avenue G. Coriolis, F-31057 Toulouse Cedex, France.]
21. Fawbush, E. J., and R. C. Miller, 1953: A method for forecasting hailstone size at the earth's surface. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 34, 235-244.
22. Geleyn, J.-F., 1985: On a simple, parameter-free partition between moistening and precipitation in the Kuo scheme. Mon. Wea. Rev., 113, 405-407.
23. Gilet, M., 1984: The French weather radar network - A status report. Proc. Nowcasting II Symp., Norrkopping, Sweden, European Space Agency, 417-422.
24. Houze, R. A., Jr., and P. V. Hobbs, 1982: Organization and structure of precipitating cloud systems. Advances in Geophysics, Vol. 24, Academic Press, 221-315.
25. _, W. Schmid, R. G. Fovell, and H.-H. Schiesser, 1993: Hailstorms in Switzerland: Left movers, right movers, and false hooks. Mon. Wea. Rev., 121, 3345-3370.
26. Imbard, M., A. Joly, and R. Juvanon du Vachat, 1986: The Peridot model for NWP: Formulation and manual (in French). EERM Internal Note 161, 70 pp. [Available from CNRM/DOC, 42, Avenue G. Coriolis, F-31057, Toulouse Cedex, France.]
27. Jacq, V., 1994: Inventory of torrential rain situations in south-east France: Period 1985-1994. Météo-France Remarkable Phenomena Series 3, 190 pp. [Available from Météo-France, SCEM/DOC, 42 Av. Coriolis, 31057 Toulouse Cedex, France.]
28. Janish, P. R., K. K. Droegemeier, X. Ming, K. Brewster, and J. Levit, 1995: Evaluation of the advanced regional prediction system (ARPS) for storm-scale operational forecasting. Preprints, 14th Conf. on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Dallas, TX, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 224-229.
29. Keyser, D., and M. A. Shapiro, 1986: A review of the structure and dynamics of upper-level frontal zones. Mon. Wea. Rev., 114, 452-499.
30. Kinzer, G. D., 1974: Cloud-to-ground lightning versus radar reflectivity in Oklahoma thunderstorms. J. Atmos. Sci., 31, 787-799.
31. Klemp, J. B., and R. B. Wilehmson, 1978: Simulations of right- and left-moving thunderstorms produced through storm splitting. J. Atmos. Sci., 35, 1097-1110.
32. Krider, E. P., R. C. Noyle, and M. A. Uman, 1976: A gated, wideboard magnetic direction finder for lightning return strokes. J. Appl. Meteor., 15, 301-306.
33. MacGorman, D. R., and W. L. Taylor, 1989: Positive cloud-to-ground lightning detection by a direction finder, J. Geophys. Res., 94(D11), 13313-13318.
34. Maddox, R. A., 1980: Mesoscale convective complexes. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 61, 1374-1387.
35. _, L. R. Hoxit, C. F. Chappell, and F. Caracena, 1978: Comparison of meteorological aspects of the Big Thompson and Rapid City flash floods. Mon. Wea. Rev., 106, 375-389.
36. _, C. F. Chappell, and L. R. Hoxit, 1979: Synoptic and mesoalpha scale aspects of flash flood events. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 60, 115-123.
37. Martyn, D., 1992: Developments in Atmospheric Sciences. Vol. 18, Climates of the World, Elsevier, 435 pp.
38. McCann, D. W., 1983: The enhanced-V, a satellite observable severe storms signature. Mon. Wea. Rev., 111, 887-894.
39. McGinley, J. A., S. C. Albers, and P. A. Stamus, 1991: Validation of a composite convective index as defined by a real-time local analysis system. Wea. Forecasting, 6, 337-356.
40. Moller, A. R., C. A. Doswell III, M. P. Foster, and G. R. Woodall, 1994: The operational recognition of supercell thunderstorm environments and storm structures. Wea. Forecasting, 9, 327-347.
41. Piepgrass, M. V., E. P. Krider, and C. B. Moore, 1982: Lightning and surface rainfall during Florida thunderstorm. J. Geophys. Res., 87(C13), 11 193-11 201.
42. Pircher, V., and F. Saix, 1991: Multiscale case study of the sustained thunderstorm activity associated with the Nimes flood event on 3 October 1988. Preprints, 25th Radar Conf., Paris, France, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 428-431.
43. Scofield, R. A., 1985: Satellite convective categories associated with heavy precipitation. Preprints, Sixth Conf. on Hydrometeorology, Indianapolis, IN, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 42-51.
44. Sekhon, R. S., and R. C. Srivastava, 1971: Doppler radar observations of drop-size distribution in a thunderstorm. J. Atmos. Sci., 28, 983-994.
45. Tourte, J. L., F. Helloco, M. Le Boulch, and J. Hamelin, 1988: First results obtained with the Météorage thunderstorm monitoring system. Preprints, Eighth Conf. on Atmospheric Electricity, Uppsala, Sweden, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 341-346.
46. Weisman, M. L., and J. B. Klemp, 1986: Characteristics of isolated convective storms. Mesoscale Meteorology and Forecasting, S. Ray, Ed., Amer. Meteor. Soc., 351-358.