Estimating the HIV Vertical Transmission Rate and the Pediatric AIDS Incubation Period from Prospective Data

Journal of the American Statistical Association

Volumn 91, Issue 435, 1996, Pages 935-943

  Dunn, D T ^a   Ades, A E ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY COLLEGE LONDON   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

Acquired immune deficiency syndrome; Human immunodeficiency virus; Incubation period; Prospective study; Vertical transmission

Indexed keywords

EID: 0030336575     PISSN: 01621459     EISSN: 1537274X     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1080/01621459.1996.10476963     Document Type: Article

References (33)

1. Auger, I., Thomas, P., DeGruttola, V., Morse, D., Moore, D., Williams, R., Truman, B., and Lawrence, C. E. (1988), “Incubation Periods for Paediatric AIDS Patients,” Nature, 336, 575-577.
2. Blanche, S., Mayaux, M. J., Rouzioux, C., Teglas, J. P., Firtion, G., Monpoux, F., Ciraru-Vigneron, N., Meier, F., Tricoire, J., Courpotin, C., Vilmer, E., Griscelli, C., Delfraissy, J. F., and French Pediatric HIV Infection Study Group (1994), “Relation of the Course of HIV Infection in Children to the Severity of the Disease in Their Mothers at Delivery,” New England Journal of Medicine, 330, 808-812.
3. Boylan, L., and Stein, Z. A. (1991), “The Epidemiology of HIV-1 Infection in Children and Their Mothers-Vertical Transmission,” Epidemiologic Reviews, 13, 143-177.
4. Breslow, N. E. (1975), “Analysis of Survival Data under the Proportional Hazards Model,” International Statistical Review, 43, 45-48.
5. Bryson, Y. J. (1995), “HIV Clearance in Infants-A Continuing Saga,” AIDS, 9, 1373-1375.
6. Centers for Disease Control (1987a), “Classification System for Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) Infection in Children Under 13 Years of Age,” Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report, 36, 225-235.
7. Centers for Disease Control (1987b), “Revision of the CDC Surveillance Case Definition for Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome,” Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report, 36, 3S-15S.
8. Connor, E. M., Sperling, R. S., Gelber, R., Kiselev, P., Scott, G., O’Sullivan, M. J., VanDyke, R., Bey, M., Shearer, W., Jacobson, R. L., Jimenez, E., O’Neill, E., Bazin, B., Delfraissy, J. F., Culnane, M., Coombs, R., Elkins, M., Moye, J., Stratton, P., and Balsey, J. (1994), “Reduction of Maternal-Infant Transmission of Human Immunodeficiency Virus Type 1 With Zidovudine Treatment,” New England Journal of Medicine, 1994, 331, 1173-1179.
9. Consensus Workshop (1992), “Early Diagnosis of HIV Infection in Infants: Report of a Consensus Workshop Held in Siena, Italy, January 1992,” Journal of the Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome, 5, 1169-1178.
10. Dabis, F., Msellati, P., Dunn, D., Lepage, P., Newell, M. L., Peckham, C., Van de Perre, P., and Working Group on Mother-to-Child Transmission of HIV (1993), “Estimating the Rate of Mother-to-Child Transmission of HIV. Report of a Workshop on Methodological Issues, Ghent (Belgium), 17-20 February 1992,” AIDS, 7, 1139-1148.
11. DeGruttola, V., Tu, X. M., and Pagano, M. (1992), “Pediatric AIDS in New York City: Estimating the Distributions of Infection, Latency, and Reporting Delay and Projecting Future Incidence,” Journal of the American Statistical Association, 87, 633-640.
12. Dempster, A. P., Laird, N. M., and Rubin, D. B. (1977), “Maximum Likelihood Estimation From Incomplete Data via the EM Algorithm” (with discussion), Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Ser. B, 39, 1-38.
13. Downs, A. M., Salamina, G., and Ancelle-Park, R. A. (1995), “Incubation Period of Vertically Acquired AIDS in Europe Prior to the Widespread Use of Prophylactic Therapies,” Journal of Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndromes and Human Retrovirology, 9, 297-304.
14. Dunn, D. T., Brandt, C. D., Krivine, A., Cassol, S. A., Roques, P., Borkowsky, W., De Rossi, A., Denamur, E., Ehmst, A., Loveday, C., Harris, J. A., McIntosh, K., Comeau, A. M., Rakusan, T., Newell, M. L., and Peckham, C. S. (1995), “The Sensitivity of HIV-1 DNA Polymerase Chain Reaction in the Neonatal Period and the Relative Contributions of Intra-Uterine and Intra-Partum Transmission,” AIDS, 9, F7-F11.
15. European Collaborative Study (1991), “Children Bom to Women With HIV-1 Infection: Natural History and Risk of Transmission,” Lancet, 337, 253-260.
16. European Collaborative Study (1992), “Risk Factors for Mother-to-Child Transmission of HIV-1,” Lancet, 339, 1007-1012.
17. European Collaborative Study (1994), “Natural History of Vertically Acquired Human Immunodeficiency Virus-1 Infection,” Pediatrics, 94, 815-819.
18. Finkelstein, D. M. (1986), “A Proportional Hazards Model for Interval-Censored Failure Time Data,” Biometrics, 42, 845-854.
19. Holland, F. J., Ades, A. E., Davison, C. F., Parker, S., Berry, T., Hjelm, M., Wilcox, A. H., Cubitt, D., Hudson, C. N., and Peckham, C. S. (1994), “Use of Anonymous Newborn Serosurveys to Evaluate Antenatal HIV Screening Programmes,” Journal of Medical Screening, 1, 176-179.
20. Hosmer, D. W. (1973), “A Comparison of Iterative Maximum Likelihood Estimates of the Parameters of a Mixture of Two Normal Distributions Under Three Different Types of Sample,” Biometrics, 29, 761-770.
21. Kaplan, E. L., and Meier, P. (1958), “Nonparametric Estimation From Incomplete Observations,” Journal of the American Statistical Association, 53, 457-481.
22. Lagakos, S. W. (1979), “General Right Censoring and Its Impact on the Analysis of Survival Data,” Biometrics, 35, 139-156.
23. Laska, E. M., and Meisner, M. J. (1992), “Nonparametric Estimation and Testing in a Cure Model,” Biometrics, 48, 1223-1234.
24. Matheson, P. B., Weedon, J., Cappelli, M., Abrams, E. J., Shaffer, N., Bamji, M., Krasinski, K., Lambert, G., Kaul, A., Grimm, K., Hutson, D., Thomas, P. A., and New York City Perinatal HIV Transmission Collaborative Study Group (1995), “Comparison of Methods of Estimating the Mother-to-Child Transmission Rate of Human Immunodeficiency Virus Type 1 (HIV-1),” American Journal of Epidemiology, 142, 714-718.
25. MaWhinney, S., and Pagano, M. (1994), “Distribution of the Latency Period for Perinatally Acquired AIDS,” Statistics in Medicine, 13, 2031-2042.
26. McIntosh, K., Pitt, J., Brambilla, D., Carroll, S., Diaz, C., Handelsman, E., Moye, J., and Rich, K. (1994), “Blood Culture in the First 6 Months of Life for the Diagnosis of Vertically Transmitted Human Immunodeficiency Virus Infection,” Journal of Infectious Diseases, 170, 996-1000.
27. Meng, X. L., and Rubin, D. B. (1991), “Using EM to Obtain Asymptotic Variance-Covariance Matrices: The SEM Algorithm,” Journal of the American Statistical Association, 86, 899-909.
28. Miller, R. G. (1981), Survival Analysis, New York: John Wiley.
29. Peto, R., and Peto, J. (1972), “Asymptotically Efficient Rank-Invariant Test Procedures” (with discussion), Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Ser. A, 135, 185-206.
30. Rai, S. N., and Matthews, D. E. (1993), “Improving the EM Algorithm,” Biometrics, 49, 587-591.
31. Simpson, B. J., and Andiman, W. A. (1994), “Difficulties in Assigning Human Immunodeficiency Virus-1 Infection and Seroreversion Status in a Cohort of HIV-Exposed Children Using Serologic Criteria Established by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention,” Pediatrics, 93, 840-842.
32. Turnbull, B. W. (1976), “The Empirical Distribution Function With Arbitrarily Grouped, Censored and Truncated Data,” Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Ser. B, 38, 290-295.
33. Working Group on Mother-to-Child Transmission of HIV (1995), “Rates of Mother-to-Child Transmission of HIV-1 in Africa, America and Europe: Results From 13 Perinatal Studies,” Journal of Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndromes and Human Retrovirology, 8, 506-510.