메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 29, Issue 1, 1996, Pages 1-27

Taming chance: Risk and the quantification of uncertainty

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ENVIRONMENTAL RISK; METHODOLOGY; POLICY ANALYSIS;

EID: 0030319689     PISSN: 00322687     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/BF00141477     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (10)

References (55)
  • 1
    • 0025681550 scopus 로고
    • The concept of probability in safety assessments of technological systems
    • Apostolakis, G. (1990). 'The concept of probability in safety assessments of technological systems,' Science 250: 1359-1364.
    • (1990) Science , vol.250 , pp. 1359-1364
    • Apostolakis, G.1
  • 2
    • 0040689043 scopus 로고
    • Behavior under uncertainty and its implications for policy
    • David Bell, Howard Raiffa, and Amos Tversky, eds., New York: Cambridge University Press
    • Arrow, K. (1988). 'Behavior under uncertainty and its implications for policy.' in David Bell, Howard Raiffa, and Amos Tversky, eds., Decision Making: Descriptive, Normative and Prescriptive Interactions. New York: Cambridge University Press.
    • (1988) Decision Making: Descriptive, Normative and Prescriptive Interactions
    • Arrow, K.1
  • 4
    • 33846246337 scopus 로고
    • Probability: Beware of falsifications
    • first published Henry Kyburg, Jr. and H. Smokler, eds., New York: John Wiley and Sons, 2nd ed.
    • DeFinetti, B. (1980). 'Probability: Beware of falsifications,' (first published 1977) in Henry Kyburg, Jr. and H. Smokler, eds., Studies in Subjective Probability. New York: John Wiley and Sons, 2nd ed.
    • (1977) Studies in Subjective Probability
    • DeFinetti, B.1
  • 6
    • 0000366418 scopus 로고
    • Value elicitation: Is there anything in there?
    • Fischhoff, B. (1991). 'Value elicitation: Is there anything in there?' American Psychologist 46: 835-847.
    • (1991) American Psychologist , vol.46 , pp. 835-847
    • Fischhoff, B.1
  • 8
    • 0000227882 scopus 로고
    • Measuring values: A conceptual framework for interpreting transactions with special reference to contingent valuation of visibility
    • Fischhoff, B. and L. Furby (1988). 'Measuring values: A conceptual framework for interpreting transactions with special reference to contingent valuation of visibility,' Journal of Risk and Uncertainty 1: 147-184.
    • (1988) Journal of Risk and Uncertainty , vol.1 , pp. 147-184
    • Fischhoff, B.1    Furby, L.2
  • 12
    • 25444462949 scopus 로고
    • Slightly more realistic personal probability
    • first published P. Gardenfors and N. Sahlin, eds., New York: Cambridge University Press
    • Hacking, I. (1988). 'Slightly more realistic personal probability' (first published 1967), in P. Gardenfors and N. Sahlin, eds., Decision, Probability, and Utility. New York: Cambridge University Press.
    • (1967) Decision, Probability, and Utility
    • Hacking, I.1
  • 13
    • 0004277776 scopus 로고
    • New York: Cambridge University Press
    • Hacking, I. (1990). The Taming of Chance. New York: Cambridge University Press.
    • (1990) The Taming of Chance
    • Hacking, I.1
  • 19
    • 0001189991 scopus 로고
    • The art of assessing multiattribute utility functions
    • Keeney, R. (1977). 'The art of assessing multiattribute utility functions,' Organizational Behavior and Human Performance 19: 267-310.
    • (1977) Organizational Behavior and Human Performance , vol.19 , pp. 267-310
    • Keeney, R.1
  • 20
    • 0020180125 scopus 로고
    • Decision analysis: An overview
    • Keeney, R. (1982). 'Decision analysis: An overview,' Operations Research 30: 803-830.
    • (1982) Operations Research , vol.30 , pp. 803-830
    • Keeney, R.1
  • 21
    • 0028213354 scopus 로고
    • Managing nuclear waste from power plants
    • Keeney, R. and D. von Winterfeldt (1994). 'Managing nuclear waste from power plants,' Risk Analysis 14: 107-130.
    • (1994) Risk Analysis , vol.14 , pp. 107-130
    • Keeney, R.1    Von Winterfeldt, D.2
  • 22
    • 25444465852 scopus 로고
    • The bases of probability
    • first published H. Kyburg, Jr., and H. Smokler, eds., New York: John Wiley and Sons, 2nd ed.
    • Koopman, B. (1980). 'The bases of probability' (first published 1940) in H. Kyburg, Jr., and H. Smokler, eds., Studies in Subjective Probability. New York: John Wiley and Sons, 2nd ed.
    • (1940) Studies in Subjective Probability
    • Koopman, B.1
  • 25
    • 25444469034 scopus 로고
    • Bets and beliefs
    • first published P. Gardenfors and N. Sahlin, eds., New York: Cambridge University Press
    • Kyburg, H. (1988), 'Bets and beliefs' (first published 1968), in P. Gardenfors and N. Sahlin, eds., Decision, Probability, and Utility. New York: Cambridge University Press.
    • (1968) Decision, Probability, and Utility
    • Kyburg, H.1
  • 32
    • 0023360082 scopus 로고
    • A multiattribute utility analysis of alternative sites for the disposal of nuclear waste
    • Merkhofer, M. and R. Keeney (1987). 'A multiattribute utility analysis of alternative sites for the disposal of nuclear waste.' Risk Analysis 7: 173-194.
    • (1987) Risk Analysis , vol.7 , pp. 173-194
    • Merkhofer, M.1    Keeney, R.2
  • 34
    • 25444462433 scopus 로고
    • Review of P. Brodeur's Currents of Death
    • Morgan, M. G. (1990). Review of P. Brodeur's Currents of Death, in Scientific American 267: 118.
    • (1990) Scientific American , vol.267 , pp. 118
    • Morgan, M.G.1
  • 37
    • 0004239573 scopus 로고
    • Washington D.C.: National Academy Press, 1989
    • National Research Council (1989). Improving Risk Communication. Washington D.C.: National Academy Press, 1989.
    • (1989) Improving Risk Communication
  • 38
    • 0011725735 scopus 로고
    • Polls may help government decide the worth of nature
    • September 6
    • New York Times (1993). 'Polls may help government decide the worth of nature,' September 6.
    • (1993) New York Times
  • 39
    • 25444463500 scopus 로고
    • Cigarette makers debated risks they denied
    • June 16
    • New York Times (1994). 'Cigarette makers debated risks they denied,' June 16.
    • (1994) New York Times
  • 41
    • 0009258624 scopus 로고
    • Truth and probability
    • first published P. Gardenfors and N. Sahlins, eds., New York: Cambridge University Press
    • Ramsey, F. (1988). 'Truth and probability' (first published 1931), in P. Gardenfors and N. Sahlins, eds., Decision, Probability, and Utility. New York: Cambridge University Press.
    • (1931) Decision, Probability, and Utility
    • Ramsey, F.1
  • 42
    • 0003797587 scopus 로고
    • New York: Cambridge University Press
    • Rodricks, J. (1992). Calculated Risks. New York: Cambridge University Press.
    • (1992) Calculated Risks
    • Rodricks, J.1
  • 44
    • 25444450239 scopus 로고
    • Science Research Reports
    • Science Research Reports (1989). Science 243-244: 28-29, 1041-1047, 1119.
    • (1989) Science , vol.243-244 , pp. 28-29
  • 45
    • 25444532722 scopus 로고
    • Science Research Reports
    • Science Research Reports (1990). Science 249: 23.
    • (1990) Science , vol.249 , pp. 23
  • 46
    • 25444519400 scopus 로고
    • Savage revisted
    • first published D. Bell, H. Raiffa and A. Tversky, eds., New York: Cambridge University Press
    • Shafer, G. (1988). 'Savage revisted,' (first published 1986) in D. Bell, H. Raiffa and A. Tversky, eds., Decision Making: Descriptive, Normative and Prescriptive Interactions. New York: Cambridge University Press.
    • (1986) Decision Making: Descriptive, Normative and Prescriptive Interactions
    • Shafer, G.1
  • 47
    • 25444511734 scopus 로고
    • Languages and designs for probability judgment
    • first published D. Bell, H. Raiffa and A. Tversky, New York: Cambridge University Press
    • Shafer, G. and A. Tversky (1988). 'Languages and designs for probability judgment,' (first published 1985) in D. Bell, H. Raiffa and A. Tversky, Decision Making: Descriptive, Normative and Prescriptive Interactions. New York: Cambridge University Press.
    • (1985) Decision Making: Descriptive, Normative and Prescriptive Interactions
    • Shafer, G.1    Tversky, A.2
  • 49
    • 85066006185 scopus 로고
    • Rating the risks
    • T. Glickman and M. Gough, eds., Washington D.C.: Resources for the Future
    • Slovic, P., B. Fischhoff, and S. Lichtenstein (1990). 'Rating the risks,' in T. Glickman and M. Gough, eds., Readings in Risk. Washington D.C.: Resources for the Future, pp. 61-75.
    • (1990) Readings in Risk , pp. 61-75
    • Slovic, P.1    Fischhoff, B.2    Lichtenstein, S.3
  • 51
    • 0025198328 scopus 로고
    • Climate and smoke: An appraisal of nuclear winter
    • Turco, R. P. et al. (1990). 'Climate and smoke: An appraisal of nuclear winter,' Science 247: 166-174.
    • (1990) Science , vol.247 , pp. 166-174
    • Turco, R.P.1
  • 55
    • 25444473840 scopus 로고
    • Estimating risks of known and unknown carcinogens
    • L. Lave, ed., New York: Plenum Press
    • Wilson, R. (1987). 'Estimating risks of known and unknown carcinogens,' in L. Lave, ed., Risk Assessment and Management. New York: Plenum Press.
    • (1987) Risk Assessment and Management
    • Wilson, R.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.