The dynamics of bovine tuberculosis in possum populations, and its eradication or control by culling or vaccination

Journal of Animal Ecology

Volumn 65, Issue 4, 1996, Pages 451-464

  Roberts, M G ^a  

^a AGRESEARCH   (New Zealand)

Author keywords

bovine tuberculosis; epidemiology; mathematical models; population dynamics; possums

Indexed keywords

BOVINE TUBERCULOSIS; BRUSHTAIL POSSUM;

MYCOBACTERIUM BOVIS; TRICHOSURUS VULPECULA;

EID: 0030304561     PISSN: 00218790     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.2307/5780     Document Type: Article

References (31)

1. Aubert, M.F.A. (1994) Control of rabies in foxes: what are the appropriate measures? Veterinary Record, 134, 55-59.
2. Barlow, N.D. & Clout, M.N. (1983) A comparison of 3-parameter, single-species population models, in relation to the management of brushtail possums in New Zealand. Oecologia, 60, 250-258.
3. Barlow, N.D (1991a) A spatially aggregated disease/host model for bovine Tb in New Zealand possum populations. Journal of Applied Ecology, 28, 777-793.
4. Barlow, N.D (1991b) Control of endemic bovine Tb in New Zealand possum populations: results from a simple model. Journal of Applied Ecology, 28, 794-809.
5. Bell, B.D. (1981) Breeding and condition of possums Trichosurus vulpecula in the Orongorongo Valley, near Wellington, New Zealand, 1966-1975. Proceedings of the First Symposium on Marsupials in New Zealand (ed. B. D. Bell), pp. 87-142. Zoology Publications from Victoria University of Wellington Number 74.
6. Bicknell, K. (1993) Cost-benefit and cost-effectiveness analyses in pest management. New Zealand Journal of Zoology, 20, 307-312.
7. Blower, S.M., McLean, A.R., Porco, T.C., Small, P.M., Hopewell, P.C., Sanchez, M.A. & Moss, A.R. (1995) The intrinsic dynamics of tuberculosis epidemics. Nature Medicine, 1, 815-821
8. Brockie, R.E., Bell, B.D. & White, A.J. (1981) Age structure and mortality of possum Trichosurus vulpecula populations from New Zealand. Proceedings of the First Symposium on Marsupials in New Zealand (ed. B. D. Bell), pp. 63-85. Zoology Publications from Victoria University of Wellington Number 74.
9. Busenberg, S. & Cooke, K. (1993) Vertically Transmitted Diseases, Biomathematics 23, Springer, Berlin.
10. Coleman, J.D. (1988) Distribution, prevalence, and epidemiology of bovine tuberculosis in brushtail possums, Trichosurus vulpecula, in the Hohonu Range, New Zealand. Australian Wildlife Research, 15, 651-663.
11. Coleman, J.D., Jackson, R., Cooke, M.M. & Grueber, L. (1994) Prevalence and spatial distribution of bovine tuberculosis in brushtail possums on a forest-scrub margin. New Zealand Veterinary Journal, 42, 128-132.
12. Cowan, P.E. (1989) Denning habits of common brushtail possums, Trichosurus vulpecula, in New Zealand lowland forest. Australian Wildlife Research, 16, 63-78.
13. Cowan, P.E. (1990) Brushtail possum. The Handbook of New Zealand Mammals (ed. C. M. King), pp. 68-98. Oxford University Press.
14. Diekmann, O. & Kjetzschmar, M. (1991) Patterns in the effects of infectious diseases on population growth. Journal of Mathematical Biology, 29, 539-570.
15. Efford, M.G. (1991) Use of age-specific population models to plan economic possum control Contract Report 91/61, DSIR Land Resources, Dunedin.
16. Green, W.Q. (1984) A review of ecological studies relevant to management of the common brushtail possum. Possums and Gliders (eds A. P. Smith & I. D. Hume), pp. 483-499. Australian Mammal Society, Sydney.
17. Haber, M., Longini, I.M. & Halloran, M.E. (1991) Measures of the effects of vaccination in a randomly mixing population. International Journal of Epidemiology, 20, 300-310.
18. Heesterbeek, J.A.P. & Metz, J.A.J. (1993) The saturating contact rate in marriage- and epidemic models. Journal of Mathematical Biology, 31, 529-539.
19. Heesterbeek, J.A.P. & Roberts, M.G. (1995) Mathematical models for microparasites of wildlife. Ecology of Infectious Diseases in Natural Populations (eds A. P. Dobson & B. T. Grenfell), pp. 90-122, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
20. Hickling, G.J. & Pekelharing, C.J. (1989) Intrinsic rate of increase for a brushtail possum population in rata/kamahi forest, Westland. New Zealand Journal of Ecology, 12, 117-120.
21. Hickling, G.J. Pfeiffer, D.U. & Morris, R.S. (1991) The epidemiology of Mycobacierium bovis infection in Australian brushtail possums (Trichosurus vulpecula Kerr) in the Hauhungaroa ranges, New Zealand. Contract Report: FWE 91/25, Forest Research Institute, Christchurch.
22. Julian, A.F. (1981) Tuberculosis in the possum Trichosurus vulpecula. Proceedings of the First Symposium on Marsupials in New Zealand (ed. B. D. Bell), pp. 163-1745. Zoology Publications from Victoria University of Wellington Number 74.
23. Kerle, J.A. (1984) Variation in the ecology of Trichosurus: its adaptive significance. Possums and Gliders (eds A. P. Smith & I. D. Hume), pp. 115-128. Australian Mammal Society, Sydney.
24. Liu, W-M. (1993) Dose-dependent latent period and periodicity of infectious diseases. Journal of Mathematical Biology, 31, 487-494.
25. Mollison, D. (1995) Epidemic Models: Their Structure and Relation to Data. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
26. Pfeifler, D.U. (1994) The role of a wildlife reservoir in the epidemiology of bovine tuberculosis. PhD thesis, Massey University.
27. Roberts, M.G. (1992) The dynamics and control of bovine tuberculosis in possums. IMA Journal of Mathematics Applied in Medicine and Biology, 9, 19-28.
28. Roberts, M.G. (1995) The dynamics of a microbial disease in a wild animal population. Abstract, ANZIAM'95, Busselton, Western Australia.
29. Roberts, M.G. & Heesterbeek, J.A.P. (1993) Bluff your way in epidemic models. Trends in Microbiology, 1, 343-348.
30. Roberts, M .G. & Jowett, J. (1996) An SEI model with density dependent demographics and epidemiology. IMA Journal of Mathematics Applied in Medicine and Biology (in press).
31. Smith, G. (1994) Characteristics of host-parasite interactions that promote parasite persistence. Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences, 740, 242-248