The US NRC's accident sequence precursor program: An overview and development of a Bayesian approach to estimate core damage frequency using precursor information

Reliability Engineering and System Safety

Volumn 53, Issue 2, 1996, Pages 205-216

  Johnson, James W ^a   Rasmuson, Dale M ^a  

^a U S NUCLEAR REGULATORY COMMISSION   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ACCIDENT PREVENTION; ESTIMATION; FAILURE (MECHANICAL); NUCLEAR REACTOR ACCIDENTS; PROBABILITY; REACTOR CORES;

ACCIDENT SEQUENCE PRECURSOR PROGRAM; BAYESIAN APPROACH; CORE DAMAGE FREQUENCY;

RISK ASSESSMENT;

EID: 0030206433     PISSN: 09518320     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/0951-8320(96)00064-6     Document Type: Article

References (13)

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3. US Nuclear Regulatory Commission, Precursors to potential severe core damage accidents: 1994: a status report. US Nuclear Regulatory Commission, NUREG/CR-4674, Vol. 21, December 1995.
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10. Oliver, R. M. & Yang, H. J., Bayesian updating of event tree parameters to predict high risk incidents. In Influence Diagrams, Belief Nets, and Decision Analysis, (eds R. M. Oliver and J. O. Smith) John Wiley and Sons, Inc. New York, pp. 277-296, 1990.
11. Bier, V.M. & Yi, W., A Bayesian method for analyzing dependencies in precursor data. Int. J. Forecasting, 11 (1995) 25-41.
12. US Nuclear Regulatory Commission, Integrated accident sequence precursor program plan (Draft), March 1994.
13. Atwood, C.L., Constrained noninformative priors in risk assessment. Reliab. Engng System Safety, 53 (1996) 37-46.