-
1
-
-
0000739407
-
The use of a decomposition principle in making judgments
-
Armstrong, J. S., Denniston, W. B., & Gordon, M. M. (1975). The use of a decomposition principle in making judgments. Organizational Behavior and Human Performance, 14, 257-263.
-
(1975)
Organizational Behavior and Human Performance
, vol.14
, pp. 257-263
-
-
Armstrong, J.S.1
Denniston, W.B.2
Gordon, M.M.3
-
2
-
-
0003010182
-
Verification of forecasts expressed in terms of probability
-
Brier, G. W. (1950). Verification of forecasts expressed in terms of probability. Monthly Weather Review, 78, 1-3.
-
(1950)
Monthly Weather Review
, vol.78
, pp. 1-3
-
-
Brier, G.W.1
-
5
-
-
0011780476
-
The robust beauty of improper linear models in decision making
-
Dawes, R. M. (1979). The robust beauty of improper linear models in decision making. American Psychologist, 34, 571-582.
-
(1979)
American Psychologist
, vol.34
, pp. 571-582
-
-
Dawes, R.M.1
-
7
-
-
0002168065
-
Conservatism in human information processing
-
B. Kleinmuntz (Ed.), New York: Wiley
-
Edwards, W. (1968). Conservatism in human information processing. In B. Kleinmuntz (Ed.), Formal representations of human judgment (pp. 17-52). New York: Wiley.
-
(1968)
Formal Representations of Human Judgment
, pp. 17-52
-
-
Edwards, W.1
-
8
-
-
0011594760
-
Probabilistic information processing systems: Design and evaluation
-
Edwards, W., Phillips, L. D., Hays, W. L., & Goodman, B. C. (1968). Probabilistic information processing systems: Design and evaluation. IEEE Transactions on Systems Science and Cybernetics, 4, 248-265.
-
(1968)
IEEE Transactions on Systems Science and Cybernetics
, vol.4
, pp. 248-265
-
-
Edwards, W.1
Phillips, L.D.2
Hays, W.L.3
Goodman, B.C.4
-
11
-
-
12044259660
-
Simultaneous over-and underconfidence: The role of error in judgment processes
-
Erev, I., Wallsten, T. S., & Budescu, D. V. (1994). Simultaneous over-and underconfidence: The role of error in judgment processes. Psychological Review, 101, 519-527.
-
(1994)
Psychological Review
, vol.101
, pp. 519-527
-
-
Erev, I.1
Wallsten, T.S.2
Budescu, D.V.3
-
12
-
-
84980191606
-
Commentary on "Random error in additive decompositions of multiattribute utility."
-
Fischer, G. W. (1991). Commentary on "Random error in additive decompositions of multiattribute utility." Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 4, 98-99.
-
(1991)
Journal of Behavioral Decision Making
, vol.4
, pp. 98-99
-
-
Fischer, G.W.1
-
14
-
-
0011646898
-
Divide and conquer? Effects of decomposition on the accuracy and calibration of subjective probability distributions
-
Henrion, M., Fischer, G. W., & Mullin, T. (1993). Divide and conquer? Effects of decomposition on the accuracy and calibration of subjective probability distributions. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 55, 207-227.
-
(1993)
Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes
, vol.55
, pp. 207-227
-
-
Henrion, M.1
Fischer, G.W.2
Mullin, T.3
-
15
-
-
21144468857
-
The use of decomposition in probability assessments of continuous variables
-
Hora, S. C., Dodd, N. G., & Hora, J. A. (1993). The use of decomposition in probability assessments of continuous variables. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 6, 133-147.
-
(1993)
Journal of Behavioral Decision Making
, vol.6
, pp. 133-147
-
-
Hora, S.C.1
Dodd, N.G.2
Hora, J.A.3
-
16
-
-
0001037403
-
Calibration and probability judgments: Conceptual and methodological issues
-
Keren, G. (1991). Calibration and probability judgments: Conceptual and methodological issues. Acta Psychologica, 77, 217-273.
-
(1991)
Acta Psychologica
, vol.77
, pp. 217-273
-
-
Keren, G.1
-
17
-
-
0002534736
-
Decomposition and the control of error in decision-analytic models
-
R. M. Hogarth (Ed.), Chicago: University of Chicago Press
-
Kleinmuntz, D. N. (1990). Decomposition and the control of error in decision-analytic models. In R. M. Hogarth (Ed.), Insights in decision making: A tribute to Hillel J. Einhorn (pp. 107-126). Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
-
(1990)
Insights in Decision Making: A Tribute to Hillel J. Einhorn
, pp. 107-126
-
-
Kleinmuntz, D.N.1
-
18
-
-
0023401782
-
Estimating utility functions in the presence of response error
-
Laskey, K. B., & Fischer, G. W. (1987). Estimating utility functions in the presence of response error. Management Science, 33, 965-980.
-
(1987)
Management Science
, vol.33
, pp. 965-980
-
-
Laskey, K.B.1
Fischer, G.W.2
-
19
-
-
0002941732
-
Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art to 1980
-
D. Kahneman, P. Slovic, & A. Tversky (Eds.), New York: Cambridge Univ. Press
-
Lichtenstein, S., Fischhoff, B., & Phillips, L. D. (1982). Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art to 1980. In D. Kahneman, P. Slovic, & A. Tversky (Eds.), Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases (pp. 306-344). New York: Cambridge Univ. Press.
-
(1982)
Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases
, pp. 306-344
-
-
Lichtenstein, S.1
Fischhoff, B.2
Phillips, L.D.3
-
20
-
-
0001744381
-
Counterfactual reasoning as a framework for attribution theories
-
Lipe, M. G. (1991). Counterfactual reasoning as a framework for attribution theories. Psychological Bulletin, 109, 456-471.
-
(1991)
Psychological Bulletin
, vol.109
, pp. 456-471
-
-
Lipe, M.G.1
-
23
-
-
0000742044
-
Structuring knowledge retrieval: An analysis of decomposed quantitative judgments
-
MacGregor, D., Lichtenstein, S., & Slovic, P. (1988). Structuring knowledge retrieval: An analysis of decomposed quantitative judgments. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 42, 303-323.
-
(1988)
Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes
, vol.42
, pp. 303-323
-
-
MacGregor, D.1
Lichtenstein, S.2
Slovic, P.3
-
27
-
-
0026883237
-
Bias in aggregations of subjective probability and utility
-
Ravinder, H. V. (1992). Bias in aggregations of subjective probability and utility. Journal of the Operational Research Society, 43, 621-627.
-
(1992)
Journal of the Operational Research Society
, vol.43
, pp. 621-627
-
-
Ravinder, H.V.1
-
29
-
-
0000351891
-
The reliability of subjective probabilities obtained through decomposition
-
Ravinder, H. V., Kleinmuntz, D. N., & Dyer, J. S. (1988). The reliability of subjective probabilities obtained through decomposition. Management Science, 34, 186-199.
-
(1988)
Management Science
, vol.34
, pp. 186-199
-
-
Ravinder, H.V.1
Kleinmuntz, D.N.2
Dyer, J.S.3
-
30
-
-
0013945727
-
Measurement and prediction: Clinical and statistical
-
Sawyer, J. (1966). Measurement and prediction: Clinical and statistical. Psychological Bulletin, 66, 178-200.
-
(1966)
Psychological Bulletin
, vol.66
, pp. 178-200
-
-
Sawyer, J.1
-
31
-
-
49649151167
-
Comparison of Bayesian and regression approaches to the study of information processing in judgment
-
Slovic, P., & Lichtenstein, S. (1971). Comparison of Bayesian and regression approaches to the study of information processing in judgment. Organizational Behavior and Human Performance, 6, 649-744.
-
(1971)
Organizational Behavior and Human Performance
, vol.6
, pp. 649-744
-
-
Slovic, P.1
Lichtenstein, S.2
-
32
-
-
0001158233
-
Calibration of auditors' probabilistic judgments: Some empirical evidence
-
Tomassini, L. A., Solomon, I., Romney, M. B., & Krogstad, J. L. (1982). Calibration of auditors' probabilistic judgments: Some empirical evidence. Organizational Behavior and Human Performance, 30, 391-406.
-
(1982)
Organizational Behavior and Human Performance
, vol.30
, pp. 391-406
-
-
Tomassini, L.A.1
Solomon, I.2
Romney, M.B.3
Krogstad, J.L.4
-
33
-
-
0002229735
-
Encoding subjective probabilities: A psychological and psychometric review
-
Wallsten, T. S., & Budescu, D. V. (1983). Encoding subjective probabilities: A psychological and psychometric review. Management Science, 29, 151-173.
-
(1983)
Management Science
, vol.29
, pp. 151-173
-
-
Wallsten, T.S.1
Budescu, D.V.2
-
34
-
-
0001107693
-
External correspondence: Decompositions of the mean probability score
-
Yates, J. F. (1982). External correspondence: Decompositions of the mean probability score. Organizational Behavior and Human Performance, 30, 132-156.
-
(1982)
Organizational Behavior and Human Performance
, vol.30
, pp. 132-156
-
-
Yates, J.F.1
-
36
-
-
84984488684
-
Conditional distribution analyses of probabilistic forecasts
-
Yates, J. F., & Curley, S. P. (1985). Conditional distribution analyses of probabilistic forecasts. Journal of Forecasting, 4, 61-73.
-
(1985)
Journal of Forecasting
, vol.4
, pp. 61-73
-
-
Yates, J.F.1
Curley, S.P.2
-
37
-
-
0002388086
-
Probabilistic forecasts of stock prices and earnings: The hazards of nascent expertise
-
Yates, J. F., McDaniel, L. S., & Brown, E. S. (1991). Probabilistic forecasts of stock prices and earnings: The hazards of nascent expertise. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 49, 60-79.
-
(1991)
Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes
, vol.49
, pp. 60-79
-
-
Yates, J.F.1
McDaniel, L.S.2
Brown, E.S.3
|