Explosive volcanic eruptions, the El Niño-Southern oscillation, and U.S. climate variability

Journal of Climate

Volumn 9, Issue 1, 1996, Pages 17-33

  Portman, David A ^a   Gutzler, David S ^b  

^a ATMOSPHERIC AND ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH   (United States)

^b NOAA EARTH SYSTEM RESEARCH LABORATORY   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE DATA; CLIMATE RECORDS; CLIMATE VARIABILITY; EL NINO/SOUTHERN OSCILLATION; ENSO; VOLCANIC ERUPTION; VOLCANIC ERUPTIONS; VOLCANIC SIGNAL DETECTION; WEATHER ANOMALY;

USA;

EID: 0029730994     PISSN: 08948755     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/1520-0442(1996)009<0017:EVETEN>2.0.CO;2     Document Type: Article

References (62)

1. Angell, J. K., 1988: Impact of El Niño on the delineation of tropospheric cooling due to volcanic eruptions. J. Geophys. Res., 93(D4), 3697-3704.
2. _, and J. Korshover, 1983: Global temperature variations in the troposphere and stratosphere, 1958-1982. Mon. Wea. Rev., 111, 901-921.
3. _, and _, 1984: Comparison of tropospheric temperatures following Agung and El Chichón volcanic eruptions. Mon. Wea. Rev., 112, 1457-1463.
4. _, and _, 1985: Surface temperature changes following the six major volcanic episodes between 1780 and 1980. J. Climate Appl. Meteor., 24, 937-951.
5. Bradley, R. S., 1988: The explosive volcanic eruption signal in Northern Hemisphere continental temperature records. Clim. Change, 12, 221-243.
6. _, H. F. Diaz, G. N. Kiladis, and J. K. Eischeid, 1987: ENSO signal in continental temperature and precipitation records. Nature, 327, 497-501.
7. Boutron, C., 1980: Respective influence of global pollution and volcanic eruptions on the past variations of the trace metals content of Antarctic snow since the 1880's. J. Geophys. Res., 6, 7426-7432.
8. Delmas, R., and C. Boutron, 1980: Are the past variations of the stratospheric sulfate burden recorded in central Antarctic snow and ice layers? J. Geophys. Res., 85, 5645-5649.
9. Diaconis, P., and B. Efron, 1983: Computer-intensive methods in statistics. Sci. Amer., 248, 116-130.
10. Dutton, E. G., 1990: Comments on "Major volcanic eruptions and climate: A critical evaluation." J. Climate, 3, 587-588.
11. Dyer, A. J., 1974: The effect of volcanic eruptions on global turbidity and an attempt to detect long-term trends due to man. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 100, 563-571.
12. Efron, B., 1982: The Jackknife, the Bootstrap, and Other Resampling Plans. CBMS-NSF Regional Conference Series in Applied Mathematics, Vol. 38, Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics, 104 pp.
13. Graf, H.-F., I. Kirchner, R. Sausen, and S. Schubert, 1992: The impact of upper-tropospheric aerosol on global atmospheric circulation. Ann. Geophys., 10, 698-707.
14. _, _, A. Robock, and I. Schult, 1993: Pinatubo eruption winter climate effects: Model versus observations. Climate Dyn., 9, 81-93.
15. Groisman, P. Y., 1985: Regional climatic consequences of volcanic eruptions (in Russian). Meteor. Gidrol., 4, 39-45.
16. _, 1992: Possible regional climate consequences of the Pinatubo eruption: An empirical approach. Geophys. Res. Lett., 19, 1603-1606.
17. Halpert, M. S., and C. F. Ropelewski, 1992: Surface temperature patterns associated with the Southern Oscillation. J. Climate, 5, 577-593.
18. Hammer, C. U., H. B. Claussen, and W. Dansgaard, 1980: Greenland ice sheet evidence of post glacial volcanism and its climatic impact. Nature, 288, 230-235.
19. Hansen, J., A. Lacis, R. Ruedy, and M. Sato, 1992: Potential climate impact of Mount Pinatubo eruption. Geophys. Res. Let., 19, 215-218.
20. Hirono, M., 1988: On the trigger of El Niño Southern Oscillation by the forcing of early El Chichón volcanic aerosols. J. Geophys. Res., 93, 5365-5384.
21. _, T. Shibita, and M. Fujiwara, 1985: A possible relationship of volcanic aerosol variations with El Niño Southern Oscillations: Lidar observations of volcanic aerosols in the atmosphere. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 63, 303-310.
22. Horel, J. D., and J. M. Wallace, 1981: Planetary-scale atmospheric phenomena associated with the Southern Oscillation. Mon. Wea. Rev., 109, 813-829.
23. Humphreys, W. J., 1940: Physics of the Air. 3d ed. McGraw Hill, 676 pp.
24. Karl, T. R., H. F. Diaz, and G. Kukla, 1988: Urbanization: Its detection and effect in the United States climate record. J. Climate, 1, 1099-1123.
25. _, C. N. Williams Jr., and F. T. Quinlan, 1990: United States Historical Climatology Network (HCN) Serial Temperature and Precipitation Data. ORNL/CDIAC-30, NDP-019/R1. Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN, 374 pp.
26. Karol', I. L., 1973: The size of radioactive aerosol and its transfer in the troposphere and stratosphere. Meteor. Gidrol., 1, 28-38.
27. Keen, R. A., 1983: Volcanic aerosols and lunar eclipses. Science, 222, 1011-1013.
28. Kelly, P. M., and C. B. Sear, 1984: Climatic impact of explosive volcanic eruptions. Nature, 311, 740-743.
29. Kiladis, G. N., and H. F. Diaz, 1989: Global climatic anomalies associated with extremes in the Southern Oscillation. J. Climate, 2, 1069-1090.
30. Lamb, H. H., 1970: Volcanic dust in the atmosphere; with a chronology and assessment of its meteorological significance. Philos. Trans. Roy. Soc. London, 266, 425-533.
31. _, 1977: Supplementary volcanic dust veil index assessments. Climate Monitor, 6, 57-67.
32. _, 1983: Update of the chronology of assessments of the volcanic dust veil index. Climate Monitor, 12, 79-90.
33. Lough, J. M., and H. C. Fritts, 1987: An assessment of the possible effects of volcanic eruptions on North American climate using tree ring data, 1602 to 1900 A. D. Clim. Change, 10, 219-239.
34. MacCracken, M. C., and F. M. Luther, 1984: Preliminary estimate of the radiative and climatic effects of the El Chichón eruption. Geofis. Int., 23, 385-401.
35. Mass, C. F., and S. H. Schneider, 1977: Statistical evidence on the influence of sunspots and volcanic dust on long-term temperature records. J. Atmos. Sci., 34, 1995-2004.
36. _, and D. A. Portman, 1989: Major volcanic eruptions and climate: A critical evaluation. J. Climate, 2, 566-593.
37. Newell, R. E., and B. C. Weare, 1976: Factors governing tropospheric mean temperature. Science, 194, 1413.
38. Newhall, C. G., and S. Self, 1982: The volcanic explosivity index (VEI): An estimate of explosive magnitude for historical volcanism. J. Geophys. Res., 87(C2), 1213-1238.
39. Oliver, R. C., 1976: On the response of hemispheric mean temperature to stratospheric dust: An empirical approach. J. Appl. Meteor., 15, 933-950.
40. Pan, Y. H., and A. H. Oort, 1983: Global climate variations connected with sea surface temperature anomalies in the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean for the 1958-73 period. Mon. Wea. Rev., 111, 1244-1258.
41. Parker, D. E., 1985: The influence of the Southern Oscillation and volcanic eruptions on temperature in the tropical troposphere. J. Climatol., 5, 273-282.
42. Pollack, J. B., O. Toon, C. Sagan, A. Summers, B. Baldwin, and W. Van Camp, 1976: Volcanic explosion and climatic change: A theoretical assessment. J. Geophys. Res., 81, 1071-1083.
43. Portman, D. A., 1993: Identifying and correcting urban bias in regional time series: Surface temperature in China's northern plains. J. Climate, 6, 2298-2308.
44. _, W.-C. Wang, and T. R. Karl, 1992: Comparison of general circulation model and observed regional climates: Daily and seasonal variability. J. Climate, 5, 343-353.
45. Quinn, W. H., and V. T. Neal, 1992: The historical record of El Niño events. Climate Since A. D. 1500, R. S. Bradley and P. D. Jones, Eds., Routledge, 623-648.
46. _, D. O. Zopf, K. S. Short, and R. T. W. Kuo Yang, 1978: Historical trends and statistics of the Southern Oscillation, El Niño, and Indonesian droughts. Fish. Bull., 76, 663-678.
47. _, V. T. Neal, and S. E. Antunez de Mayolo, 1987: El Niño occurrences over the past four and a half centuries. J. Geophys. Res., 92(C13), 14449-14461.
48. Rampino, M. R., and S. Self, 1982: Historic eruptions of Tambora (1815), Krakatoa (1883), and Agung (1963): Their stratospheric aerosols and climatic impact. Quat. Res., 18, 127-163.
49. Rasmusson, E. M., and T. H. Carpenter, 1982: Variations in tropical sea surface temperature and surface wind fields associated with the El Niño/Southern Oscillation. Mon. Wea. Rev., 110, 354-384.
50. _, and J. M. Wallace, 1983: Meteorological aspects of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation. Science, 222, 1195-1202.
51. Rind, D., N. K. Balachandra, and R. Suozzo, 1992: Climate change and the middle atmosphere. Part II: The impact of volcanic aerosols. J. Climate, 5, 189-208.
52. Robock, A., and J. Mao, 1992: Winter warming from large volcanic eruptions. Geophys. Res. Lett., 19, 2405-2408.
53. _, and _, 1995: The volcanic signal in surface temperature observations. J. Climate, 8, 1086-1103.
54. Ropelewski, C. F., and M. S. Halpert, 1986: North American precipitation and temperature patterns associated with the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Mon. Wea. Rev., 114, 2352-2362.
55. _, and _, 1987: Global and regional scale precipitation patterns associated with the El Niño-Southern Oscillation. Mon. Wea. Rev., 115, 1606-1626.
56. _, and _, 1989: Precipitation patterns associated with the high index phase of the Southern Oscillation. J. Climate, 2, 268-284.
57. Self, S., M. R. Rampino, and J. J. Barbera, 1981: The possible effects of large 19th and 20th century volcanic eruptions on zonal and hemispheric surface temperatures. J. Volcanol. Geotherm. Res., 11, 41-60.
58. Taylor, B. L., T. Gal-Chen, and S. H. Schneider, 1980: Volcanic eruptions and long-term temperature records: An empirical search for cause and effect. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 106, 175-199.
59. van Loon, H., and R. A. Madden, 1981: The Southern Oscillation. Part I: Global associations with pressure and temperature in northern winter. Mon. Wea. Rev., 109, 1150-1162.
60. Wexler, H., 1951: On the effects of volcanic dust on insolation and weather (I), Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 51, 10-15.
61. _, 1956: Variations in insolation, general circulation and climate. Tellus, 8, 480-494.
62. Yarnal, B., and H. F. Diaz, 1986: Relationships between extremes of the Southern Oscillation and the winter climate of the Anglo-American Pacific Coast. J. Climatol., 6, 197-219.