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M. Latif et al., Nature 46, 351 (1944). The atmospheric component is the standard Max-Planck-Institut (MPI) model ECHAM3, while the oceanic component is the Hamburg Ocean Model in Primitive Equations (HOPE) model, a primitive equation model of global ocean dynamics also developed at MPI. Both models have a resolution of approximately 2.5° by 2.5° in mid-latitudes. The resolution of the ocean model, however, is higher in the tropics. The ocean and atmosphere interact within the region from 60°N to 60°S, without the application of any flux correction. Poleward of 60°, SST and salinity are relaxed to the climatology by the use of a Newtonian formulation.
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T. N. Palmer and Z. Sun, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 111, 947 (1985); N.-C. Lau and M. J. Nath, J. Clim. 3, 965 (1990); Y. Kushnirand N.-C. Lau, ibid. 5, 271 (1992); L. Ferranti, F. Molteni, T. N. Palmer, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., in press.
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T. N. Palmer and Z. Sun, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 111, 947 (1985); N.-C. Lau and M. J. Nath, J. Clim. 3, 965 (1990); Y. Kushnirand N.-C. Lau, ibid. 5, 271 (1992); L. Ferranti, F. Molteni, T. N. Palmer, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., in press.
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Kushnirand, Y.1
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in press
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T. N. Palmer and Z. Sun, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 111, 947 (1985); N.-C. Lau and M. J. Nath, J. Clim. 3, 965 (1990); Y. Kushnirand N.-C. Lau, ibid. 5, 271 (1992); L. Ferranti, F. Molteni, T. N. Palmer, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., in press.
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Ferranti, L.1
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84925693113
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note
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Typical decadal-scale 500-hPa height anomalies over the North Pacific simulated by the coupled model are on the order of about 10 geopotential meters.
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84925693112
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note
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The ocean transport index from the model is the meridional gradient of the density field in the upper 500 m at the dateline. An index of the Kuroshio strength (and, hence, the gyre) was taken to be the observed sea level at Hosojima, Kyushu, Japan.
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24
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84925693508
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note
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The long-range (decadal) forecasts would require that the ocean component of the coupled model be initialized with at least the observed thermal structure of the upper 500 m of the Pacific over a region extending from the Aleutians to 20°N and from Asia to North America. Existing expendable bathythermograph and buoy programs are close to providing the required information.
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84925693111
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note
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This phrase was coined by J. J. O'Brien (Florida State University).
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26
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84925693875
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note
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We thank D. Cayan and W. White for many fruitful discussions; N. Schneider and D. Pierce for providing suggestions on an earlier version of the manuscript; and T. Stockdale, J. Wolff, and E. Maier-Reimer for helping to develop the coupled model; we also thank the Theoretical Applications Division of the Los Alamos National Laboratory for making most of the computer time available for these runs; D. Poling for tending these runs and managing the extensive output files; and C. Keller for facilitating the cooperation on this project. In addition, we thank M. Junge, J. Ritchie, T. Tubbs, and M. Tyree for providing computational assistance. Supported in part by the National Science Foundation under grant NSFATM 9314495, the U.S. Department of Energy's CHAMP program under grant DE-FG03-91-ER61215 (T.P.B.), the German Climate Computer Center (DKRZ), and the European Community under grant EV5V-CT92-0121 (M.L.).
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