메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 266, Issue 5185, 1994, Pages 634-637

Causes of decadal climate variability over the North Pacific and North America

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ATMOSPHERIC MOVEMENTS; METEOROLOGY; OCEANOGRAPHY; SIMULATION; WEATHER FORECASTING;

EID: 0028519405     PISSN: 00368075     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1126/science.266.5185.634     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (912)

References (26)
  • 1
    • 0000400947 scopus 로고
    • J. Namias, J. Geophys. Res. 64, 631 (1959); Mon. Weather Rev. 97, 173 (1969).
    • (1959) J. Geophys. Res. , vol.64 , pp. 631
    • Namias, J.1
  • 2
    • 0000726082 scopus 로고
    • J. Namias, J. Geophys. Res. 64, 631 (1959); Mon. Weather Rev. 97, 173 (1969).
    • (1969) Mon. Weather Rev. , vol.97 , pp. 173
  • 8
    • 0028160787 scopus 로고
    • G. A. Jacobs et al., Nature 370, 360 (1994).
    • (1994) Nature , vol.370 , pp. 360
    • Jacobs, G.A.1
  • 9
    • 84925693510 scopus 로고
    • M. Latif et al., Nature 46, 351 (1944). The atmospheric component is the standard Max-Planck-Institut (MPI) model ECHAM3, while the oceanic component is the Hamburg Ocean Model in Primitive Equations (HOPE) model, a primitive equation model of global ocean dynamics also developed at MPI. Both models have a resolution of approximately 2.5° by 2.5° in mid-latitudes. The resolution of the ocean model, however, is higher in the tropics. The ocean and atmosphere interact within the region from 60°N to 60°S, without the application of any flux correction. Poleward of 60°, SST and salinity are relaxed to the climatology by the use of a Newtonian formulation.
    • (1944) Nature , vol.46 , pp. 351
    • Latif, M.1
  • 15
    • 0022166319 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • T. N. Palmer and Z. Sun, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 111, 947 (1985); N.-C. Lau and M. J. Nath, J. Clim. 3, 965 (1990); Y. Kushnirand N.-C. Lau, ibid. 5, 271 (1992); L. Ferranti, F. Molteni, T. N. Palmer, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., in press.
    • (1985) Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. , vol.111 , pp. 947
    • Palmer, T.N.1    Sun, Z.2
  • 16
    • 0022166319 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • T. N. Palmer and Z. Sun, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 111, 947 (1985); N.-C. Lau and M. J. Nath, J. Clim. 3, 965 (1990); Y. Kushnirand N.-C. Lau, ibid. 5, 271 (1992); L. Ferranti, F. Molteni, T. N. Palmer, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., in press.
    • (1990) J. Clim. , vol.3 , pp. 965
    • Lau, N.-C.1    Nath, M.J.2
  • 17
    • 0022166319 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • T. N. Palmer and Z. Sun, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 111, 947 (1985); N.-C. Lau and M. J. Nath, J. Clim. 3, 965 (1990); Y. Kushnirand N.-C. Lau, ibid. 5, 271 (1992); L. Ferranti, F. Molteni, T. N. Palmer, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., in press.
    • (1992) J. Clim. , vol.5 , pp. 271
    • Kushnirand, Y.1    Lau, N.-C.2
  • 18
    • 0022166319 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • in press
    • T. N. Palmer and Z. Sun, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 111, 947 (1985); N.-C. Lau and M. J. Nath, J. Clim. 3, 965 (1990); Y. Kushnirand N.-C. Lau, ibid. 5, 271 (1992); L. Ferranti, F. Molteni, T. N. Palmer, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., in press.
    • Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc.
    • Ferranti, L.1    Molteni, F.2    Palmer, T.N.3
  • 19
    • 84925693113 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • note
    • Typical decadal-scale 500-hPa height anomalies over the North Pacific simulated by the coupled model are on the order of about 10 geopotential meters.
  • 21
    • 84925693112 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • note
    • The ocean transport index from the model is the meridional gradient of the density field in the upper 500 m at the dateline. An index of the Kuroshio strength (and, hence, the gyre) was taken to be the observed sea level at Hosojima, Kyushu, Japan.
  • 24
    • 84925693508 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • note
    • The long-range (decadal) forecasts would require that the ocean component of the coupled model be initialized with at least the observed thermal structure of the upper 500 m of the Pacific over a region extending from the Aleutians to 20°N and from Asia to North America. Existing expendable bathythermograph and buoy programs are close to providing the required information.
  • 25
    • 84925693111 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • note
    • This phrase was coined by J. J. O'Brien (Florida State University).
  • 26
    • 84925693875 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • note
    • We thank D. Cayan and W. White for many fruitful discussions; N. Schneider and D. Pierce for providing suggestions on an earlier version of the manuscript; and T. Stockdale, J. Wolff, and E. Maier-Reimer for helping to develop the coupled model; we also thank the Theoretical Applications Division of the Los Alamos National Laboratory for making most of the computer time available for these runs; D. Poling for tending these runs and managing the extensive output files; and C. Keller for facilitating the cooperation on this project. In addition, we thank M. Junge, J. Ritchie, T. Tubbs, and M. Tyree for providing computational assistance. Supported in part by the National Science Foundation under grant NSFATM 9314495, the U.S. Department of Energy's CHAMP program under grant DE-FG03-91-ER61215 (T.P.B.), the German Climate Computer Center (DKRZ), and the European Community under grant EV5V-CT92-0121 (M.L.).


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.