Estimating the flexibility of utility resource plans: An application to natural gas cofiring for SO2 control

IEEE Transactions on Power Systems

Volumn 9, Issue 1, 1994, Pages 167-173

  Bluestein, Joel ^c   Honious, Jeffrey C ^b  

^a CASE WESTERN RESERVE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^b The Analytic Sciences Corp 2555 University Blvd ^*  (United States)

^c ENVIRON INTERNATIONAL CORPORATION   (United States)

Author keywords

Acid Rain; Air; Economics; Flexibility; Fuel Switching; Natural Gas; Planning; Quality

Indexed keywords

AIR POLLUTION CONTROL; ECONOMICS; ELECTRIC UTILITIES; NATURAL GAS; PLANNING;

COFIRING; DECISION TREE BASED METHOD; FUEL SWITCHING;

ACID RAIN;

EID: 0028370863     PISSN: 08858950     EISSN: 15580679     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1109/59.317612     Document Type: Article

References (30)

1. R.D. Tabors and D.P. Flagg, “Natural Gas Fired Combined Cycle Generators: Dominant Solutions in Capacity Planning,” IEEE Trans. Power Syst., Vol. PWRS-1(2), pp. 122–127, 127, May 1986.
2. R.D. Tabors, “Coal to Natural Gas Seasonal Fuel Switching: An Option for Acid Rain Control,” IEEE Trans. Power Syst., Vol. PWRS-4(2), 457-462, May 1989.
3. J.M. Pratapas and J.G. Holmes, “Gas Co Firing in Coal-fired fired Electric Generating Plants - An Update on Performance and Economics,” Pittsburgh Coal Conference, Sept. 13, 1990 (avail. from Gas Research Inst., Chicago, IL).
4. Working Group 37–01, “Power Systems Flexibility, Principles and Means, Available Methods at the Planning Stage,” Conference Internationale des Grands Reseaux Electriques (CIGRE) SC-37, Florence, October 1989.
5. F.C. Schweppe, H.M. Merrill, and W.J. Burke, “Least-Cost Planning: Issues and Methods,” Proc. IEEE, Vol. 77(6), pp. 899–906, June 1989.
6. S.A. Mitnick, “To Scrub or Not to Scrub: The Hidden Risks of Inflexibility,” The Elect. J., Vol. 5(1), pp. 44–49, Jan./Feb. 1992.
7. J. Miller and F. Lad, “Flexibility, Learning, and Irreversibility in Environmental Decisions: A Bayesian Approach,” J. Environ. Econ. Manage. Vol. 11, 1984.
8. J.K. Delson, “Controlled Emission Dispatch,” IEEE Trans. Pow. App. Syst., Vol. PAS-93, pp. 1359-1366. 1974.
9. K.A. Miller, “Water, Electricity, and Institutional Innovation,” in P.E. Waggoner, ed., Climate Change and U.S. Water Resources, J. Wiley, New York, pp. 367–393, 1990.
10. G. Stigler, “Production and Distribution in the Short Run,” J. Political Econ., Vol. 47(3), pp. 305–327, 1939.
11. S.C. Lonergan, “Robustness as a Goal in Energy Models and Policies,” Energy, Vol. 10(11), pp. 1225–1235, 1985.
12. R. Tanabe et al., “Flexible Generation Mix Under Multi Objectives and Uncertainties,” IEEE Trans. Power Syst., in press.
13. T. Hashimoto, D.P. Loucks, and J.R. Stedinger, “Robustness of Water Resources Systems,” Water Resources Res., Vol. 18(1), pp. 21–26, Feb. 1982.
14. H.M. Merrill and A.J. Wood, “Risk and Uncertainty in Power System Planning,” Elect. Power & Energy Syst., Vol. 13(2), pp. 81–90, April 1991.
15. S.K. Gupta and J. Rosenhead, “Robustness in Sequential Investment Decisions,” Manage. Sci., Vol. 15(2), pp. B-18 - B-29, Oct. 1968.
16. A.M. Breipohl and F.N. Lee, “Reducing the Expected Cost of Uncertainty for Electric Utilities,” Pub. Util. Fort., Vol. 116(21), pp. 21–24, Sept. 5, 1985.
17. H.P. Chao et al., “Analysing Complex Decisions for Electric Utilities,” Long Range Plan., Vol. 18(2), pp. 46–55, 1985.
18. A. Ford and J. Geinzer, The BPA Conservation Policy Analysis Models, Bonneville Power Administration, Portland, OR, March 1986.
19. M. Farber, E. Brusger, and M. Gerber, MIDAS, Multiobjective objective Integrated Decision Analysis System, Vol. 2, Model Documentation, Electric Power Research Institute, Palo Alto, CA, 1988.
20. E. Hirst, Benefits and Costs of Small, Short-Lead-Time Power Plants and Demand-Side Programs in an Era of Load-Growth Growth Uncertainty, ORNL/CON-278, Oak Ridge Natl. Lab., Oak Ridge, TN, 1989.
21. B.F. Hobbs and P. Maheshwari, “A Decision Analysis of the Effect of Uncertainty Upon Electric Utility Planning,” Energy, Vol. 15(9), pp. 785–802, Sept. 1990.
22. B.F. Hobbs, J.C. Honious, and J. Bluestein, Flexibility and Emissions Dispatch Benefits of Natural Gas Cofiring in Coal-Fired Electric Generating Plants, Report GRI-91/0299, Gas Research Institute, Chicago, IL, 1992.
23. W. Huang and B.F. Hobbs, “Estimation of Marginal System Costs and Emissions of Changes in Generating Unit Characteristics,” IEEE Trans. Power Syst., Vol. 7(3), pp. 1251–1258, 1258, Aug. 1992.
24. J.S. Heslin and B.F. Hobbs, “A Multiobjective Production Costing System for Analysis of Effluent Dispatching and Fuel Switching,” IEEE Trans. Power Syst., Vol. PWRS-4(3), 4(3), pp. 836–842, Aug. 1989.
25. F.S. Hillier and G.J. Lieberman, Introduction to Operations Research, 5th Ed., McGraw-Hill, New York, 1990.
26. T.R. Bowe, W.D. Dapkus, and J.B. Patton, “Markov Models,” Energy, Vol. 15(7/8), pp. 661–677, Aug. 1990.
27. B. Mo, J. Hegge, and I. Wangensteen, “Stochastic Generation Expansion Planning by Means of Stochastic Dynamic Programming,” IEEE Trans. Power Syst., Vol. 6(2), pp. 662–668, May 1991.
28. B.F. Hobbs, “Emissions Dispatch under the Underutilization Provision of the 1990 U.S. Clean Air Act Amendments: Models and Analysis,” IEEE Trans. Power Syst., in press.
29. J. Meyer and R.H. Rasche, “Sufficient Conditions for Expected Utility to Imply Mean-Standard Deviation Rankings: Empirical Evidence Concerning the Location and Scale Condition,” The Econ. J., Vol. 102, pp. 91–106, Jan. 1992.
30. E. Crousillat et al., “Conflicting Objectives and Risk in Power System Planning,” IEEE Trans. Power Syst., in press.