The impact of ensemble forecasts on predictability

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

Volumn 114, Issue 480, 1988, Pages 463-493

  Murphy, J M ^a  

^a MET OFFICE   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ENSEMBLE FORECAST; FORECAST MODEL; FORECAST SKILL; PREDICTABILITY;

EID: 0024256681     PISSN: 00359009     EISSN: 1477870X     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/qj.49711448010     Document Type: Article

References (24)

1. Medium‐range weather prediction‐operational experience at ECMWF
2. A spectral analysis of predictability and error in an operational forecast system
3. Multiple flow equilibria in the atmosphere and blocking
4. The United Kingdom Meteorological Office 5‐level general circulation model
5. Stochastic dynamic prediction
6. Statistical‐dynamical predictions
7. Statistical interpretations of ensemble‐time mean predict‐ability
8. Lagged‐average forecasting, an alternative to Monte Carlo forecasting
9. Forecasting forecast skill
10. Theoretical skill of Monte Carlo forecasts
11. Predictability in theory and practice
12. Atmospheric predictability experiments with a large numerical model
13. The skill of dynamical long‐range forecasts, including the effect of sea surface temperature anomalies
14. Cumulative results of extended forecast experiments. 1: Model performance for winter cases
15. One‐month forecast experiments: Without anomaly boundary forcing
16. Experimental monthly long‐range forecasts for the United Kingdom. Part II. A real‐time long‐range forecast by an ensemble of numerical integrations
17. Averaging techniques in long‐range weather forecasting
18. Dynamical predictability of monthly means
19. An initial state perturbation experiment with the GISS model
20. Teleconnections in the geopotential height field during the northern hemisphere winter